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Quantitative assessment of the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis against the green peach aphid Myzus persicae
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作者 冯明光 许谦 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 CSCD 2003年第1期95-100,共6页
A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard t... A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard time-dose-mortality relationship, established by modeling data from bioassay 1 at varying conidial dosages (0.4- 10.4 conidia/mm^2) of Z. anhuiensis F97028, was used to yield an estimate of expected mortality probability at a given dosage. Secondly, bioassay 2 was conducted by simultaneously exposing six ≤4-day-old nymphal colonies to a shower of Z. anhuiensis conidia at each of four dosages (resulting from exposures of 0.3 - 8.0 min) . Subsequently, the colonies were separately immersed in a 0.1% chlorothalonil solution for 0.5 min to disinfect all surviving conidia on the host integument from 1 - 12 h after exposure under temperature treatments of 15 and 20℃, respectively. The infection rate during a specific period from the end of the exposure to the immersion was then estimated as the ratio of the observed mortality over the expected mortality probability at a particular dosage. The results showed that the infection of M. persicae from Z. anhuiensis was highly rapid with little difference between aphid colonies maintained at 15 and 20℃ before being immersed in the fungicidal solution after exposure. The first 6-hour period after exposure was most crucial to successful infection of the fungus with the infection rate greatly depending on conidial dosages. It took ≤ 1 h to infect > 50% of the aphids at a dosage of > 1.5 conida/mm^2 and > 90% at > 50 conidia/mm^2 . 展开更多
关键词 Zoophthora radicans Myzus persicae infection rate Dose dependence Time dose mortality relationship Conidia disinfection
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Investigation of Hepatitis C Virus Infection Rate of Patients in a General Hospital
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作者 Yue-qiu Zhang Shao-xia Xu +5 位作者 Sai-nan Bian Li-fan Zhang Yao Zhang Wei-hong Zhang Ying-chun Xu Xiao-qing Liu 《国际感染病学(电子版)》 CAS 2013年第4期149-152,共4页
Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C... Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection.Methods All patients tested for hepatitis C virus antibody from July 2008 to July 2009 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital were enrolled in this cross-sectional analysis.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection was compared according to age,gender,and departments,respectively.Among patients with positive serology hepatitis C virus marker,the positivity of hepatitis C virus RNA was analysed.Results Among 29 896 subjects included,the hepatitis C virus antibody of 494 patients were positive(1.7%).When patients were divided into 9 age groups,the age specific prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody were0.2%,1.7%,1.2%,1.1%,1.5%,1.9%,2.6%,2.4%and 2%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody in non-surgical department and surgical department was 3%and 1%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody of males was higher than that of the females.Total of 194 patients with positive hepatitis C virus antibody were tested for hepatitis C virus RNA,the RNA level of 113 patients(58.2%)were higher than the low detection limit.Conclusions The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody was relatively high among patients of general tertiary hospital.Age group of 60-69,males and patients in non-surgical departments were factors associated with high rate of hepatitis C virus infection. 展开更多
关键词 infection rate Hepatitis C virus Patients of tertiary teaching hospital
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Influencing Factors and Mortality Prediction of Covid-19 Contact Infection Rate in China
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作者 Xinping Yang WeiZheng +1 位作者 YunyuanYang Jie Zhang 《数学计算(中英文版)》 2021年第1期1-7,共7页
Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact ... Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact infection rate is used as response variable to establish a high precision ADL model,results of return substitution show that the predicted value of contact infection rate almost coincides with the sample value,and shows three stages of change characteristics.After March 1,2020,the overall trend is downward,stable below 12%.Main influencing factors of contact infection rate are analyzed quantitatively.Based on this,the ARIMA(1,2,2)model is established to analyze and predict the mortality change trend.The results showed that the domestic COVID-19 mortality rate is stable near 4%after 2020-3-27. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 ADL Model ARIMA Model Contact infection rate Mortality rate
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Patterns of tsetse abundance and trypanosome infection rates among habitats of surveyed villages in Maasai steppe of northern Tanzania
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作者 Anibariki Ngonyoka Paul S.Gwakisa +4 位作者 Anna B.Estes Linda P.Salekwa Happiness J.Nnko Peter J.Hudson Isabella M.Cattadori 《Infectious Diseases of Poverty》 SCIE 2017年第1期1111-1122,共12页
Background:Changes of land cover modify the characteristics of habitat,host-vector interaction and consequently infection rates of disease causing agents.In this paper,we report variations in tsetse distribution patte... Background:Changes of land cover modify the characteristics of habitat,host-vector interaction and consequently infection rates of disease causing agents.In this paper,we report variations in tsetse distribution patterns,abundance and infection rates in relation to habitat types and age in the Maasai Steppe of northern Tanzania.In Africa,Tsetse-transmitted trypanosomiasis negatively impacted human life where about 40 million people are at risk of contracting the disease with dramatic socio-economical consequences,for instance,loss of livestock,animal productivity,and manpower.Methods:We trapped tsetse flies in dry and wet seasons between October 2014 and May 2015 in selected habitats across four villages:Emboreet,Loiborsireet,Kimotorok and Oltukai adjacent to protected areas.Data collected include number and species of tsetse flies caught in baited traps,PCR identification of trypanosome species and extraction of monitored Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer(MODIS).Results:Our findings demonstrate the variation of tsetse fly species abundance and infection rates among habitats in surveyed villages in relation to NDVI and host abundance.Results have shown higher tsetse fly abundance in Acacia-swampy ecotone and riverine habitats for Emboreet and other villages,respectively.Tsetse abundance was inconsistent among habitats in different villages.Emboreet was highly infested with Glossina swynnertoni(68%)in ecotone and swampy habitats followed by G.morsitans(28%)and G.pallidipes(4%)in riverine habitat.In the remaining villages,the dominant tsetse fly species by 95%was G.pallidipes in all habitats.Trypanosoma vivax was the most prevalent species in all infected flies(95%)with few observations of co-infections(with T.congolense or T.brucei).Conclusions:The findings of this study provide a framework to mapping hotspots of tsetse infestation and trypanosomiasis infection and enhance the communities to plan for effective control of trypanosomiasis. 展开更多
关键词 Habitat variability Tsetse fly Host availability infection rate TRYPANOSOMES
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No Effects of Meteorological Factors on the SARS-CoV-2 Infection Fatality Rate
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作者 SOLANES Aleix LAREDO Carlos +7 位作者 GUASP Mar FULLANA Miquel Angel FORTEA Lydia GARCIA-OLIVE Ignasi SOLMI Marco SHIN Jae II URRA Xabier RADUA Joaquim 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第11期871-880,共10页
Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fata... Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fatality rate(IFR).We investigated the association between meteorological factors(temperature,humidity,solar irradiance,pressure,wind,precipitation,cloud coverage)and IFR across Spanish provinces(n=52)during the first wave of the pandemic(weeks 10–16 of 2020).Methods We estimated IFR as excess deaths(the gap between observed and expected deaths,considering COVID-19-unrelated deaths prevented by lockdown measures)divided by the number of infections(SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals plus excess deaths)and conducted Spearman correlations between meteorological factors and IFR across the provinces.Results We estimated 2,418,250 infections and 43,237 deaths.The IFR was 0.03%in<50-year-old,0.22%in 50–59-year-old,0.9%in 60–69-year-old,3.3%in 70–79-year-old,12.6%in 80–89-year-old,and26.5%in≥90-year-old.We did not find statistically significant relationships between meteorological factors and adjusted IFR.However,we found strong relationships between low temperature and unadjusted IFR,likely due to Spain’s colder provinces’aging population.Conclusion The association between meteorological factors and adjusted COVID-19 IFR is unclear.Neglecting age differences or ignoring COVID-19-unrelated deaths may severely bias COVID-19 epidemiological analyses. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE COVID-19 infection fatality rate SARS-CoV-2 TEMPERATURE WEATHER
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Result antanalysise on the infectional rate of anti-TTV about the blood donor
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《中国输血杂志》 CAS CSCD 2001年第S1期343-,共1页
关键词 rate TTV Result antanalysise on the infectional rate of anti-TTV about the blood donor
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Study on the Correlation between Human Papillomavirus and Mycoplasma genitalium Combined with TCT Detection
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作者 Hairong Fang Xiaoyu Jiang +1 位作者 Lianxing Xu Huan Zhao 《Natural Science》 2024年第8期121-129,共9页
Objective: This study aims to explore the correlation between human papillomavirus (HPV) and Mycoplasma genitalium (CT) combined with TCT detection in cervical cancer screening. Method: A cross-sectional study design ... Objective: This study aims to explore the correlation between human papillomavirus (HPV) and Mycoplasma genitalium (CT) combined with TCT detection in cervical cancer screening. Method: A cross-sectional study design was adopted, and a total of 609 women who came to seek medical treatment were recruited as the study subjects. Combination testing was evaluated on cervical cancer screening by testing the women for HPV, CT with TCT detection and analyzing the relationship of cervical lesions with HPV and CT infection. Results: The study results showed that 21.57% of the subjects were infected with both HPV and CT, and 48.42% of the cases had abnormal TCT results at the same time. Further data analysis showed that HPV infection was significantly associated with abnormal TCT outcomes (p < 0.05), suggesting a possible synergistic effect of the two infections in cervical lesions. The combined sensitivity and specificity of HPV, CT and TCT detection were 21.57% and 48.42%, respectively, which were significantly higher than that of single detection. Conclusion: In summary, the results of this study support the importance of combined HPV, CT, and TCT testing in cervical cancer screening, and propose the hypothesis that combined testing may improve screening effectiveness. However, further large sample studies are needed to confirm this conclusion and explore the prospects of combined testing in clinical practice. 展开更多
关键词 Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Mycoplasma infection of Reproductive Tract Liquid-Based Thin Layer Cytology (TCT) infection infection rate
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Investigation on Eperythrozoon Infection in Sheep in Xinjiang Region of China 被引量:1
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作者 ZHONG Fa-gang HE Li-xiong HUANG Xin XU Xue-ping 《Animal Husbandry and Feed Science》 CAS 2010年第3期25-27,共3页
[ Objective] To understand the epidemic status of Eperythrozoon ovis in sheep in Xinjiang region of China. [ Method ] A total of 850 blood samples were collected from seven sheep breeding areas in Xinjiang region. The... [ Objective] To understand the epidemic status of Eperythrozoon ovis in sheep in Xinjiang region of China. [ Method ] A total of 850 blood samples were collected from seven sheep breeding areas in Xinjiang region. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and polymerase chain reaction (PCR). [ Result] The infection rates were 97%, 97% and 75% when the samples were detected by blood tablet examination, blood smear stained with Wright's stain and PCR, respectively. Sheep eperythrozooo nosis occurred in the four seasons without seasonal epidemics. No obvious difference in infection rates was observed between the sheep breeding areas. The Eperythrozoon ovis infection was slight or mild in most cases, but the infection was severe in two periods, that is, from May to June and from November to December. [ Conclusion] The Eperythrozoon ovis infection is popular in sheep in Xinjiang region of China, and the main inducements may be changes in seasons and forage formula. 展开更多
关键词 Eperythrozoon ovis infection rate SHEEP
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Fungal Flora on Weeds in the Cashew (Anacardium occidentale L.) Orchard in Côte d’Ivoire
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作者 Traoré Aboulaye Soro Sibirina +3 位作者 Ayemou A. R. Emmanuella Traoré-Ouattara Karidia Kouabenan Abo Koné Daouda 《American Journal of Plant Sciences》 CAS 2023年第4期448-463,共16页
Since 2015, Côte d’Ivoire has been the world’s largest cashew producer. However, cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire are infected by fungal diseases that weaken production. And the contribution of weeds to t... Since 2015, Côte d’Ivoire has been the world’s largest cashew producer. However, cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire are infected by fungal diseases that weaken production. And the contribution of weeds to the spread of these diseases is not yet understood. This study was initiated with the aim of establishing the role of weeds in the proliferation of pathogenic fungi in orchards. It consisted of a survey of weeds showing disease symptoms in cashew orchards in Côte d’Ivoire from February 2021 to July 2022. The itinerant method was used for the weed inventory. Symptomatic leaves were collected and sent to the laboratory for diagnosis on PDA (Potatoes Dextrose Agar) medium. In total, 50 species in 46 genera and 23 families were recorded. Laboratory diagnosis of the samples showed that 80% of the weeds identified harboured pathogenic fungi. The highest infection rates were obtained on Danielia oliveri R. (99.33% to 100%), Vitellaria paradoxa G. (100%), Pterocarpus erinaceus P. (83.91% to 99.33%), Micuna pruriens L. (98.33% to 100%) and Isoberlinia doka C. et S. (56.33% to 100%). The diagnosis revealed the presence of Lasiodiplodia sp, Colletotrichum sp, Pestalotia sp, Alternaria sp and Curvularia sp on weeds in the cashew orchard in Côte d’Ivoire. 展开更多
关键词 WEED infection rate Symptoms CASHEW Côte d’Ivoire
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A four-compartment model for the COVID-19 infection—implications on infection kinetics,control measures,and lockdown exit strategies 被引量:5
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作者 Tianbing Wang Yanqiu Wu +6 位作者 Johnson Yiu-Nam Lau Yingqi Yu Liyu Liu Jing Li Kang Zhang Weiwei Tong Baoguo Jiang 《Precision Clinical Medicine》 2020年第2期104-112,共9页
Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projec... Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Design:A four-compartment model was constructed for SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the Wuhan data and validated with data collected in Italy,the UK,and the US.The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors:(a)the per capita contact rate(β)that can be lowered by means of social distancing,(b)infection probability upon contacting infectious individuals that can be lowered by wearing facemasks,personal hygiene,etc.,and(c)the population of infectious individuals in contact with the susceptible population,which can be lowered by quarantine.The model was used to make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Results:The model was applied to evaluate the epidemiological data and hospital burden in Italy,the UK,and the US.The control measures were identified as the key drivers for the observed epidemiological data through sensitivity analyses.Analysing the different lockdown exit strategies showed that a lockdown exit strategy with a combination of social separation/general facemask use may work,but this needs to be supported by intense monitoring whichwould allowre-introduction/tightening of the controlmeasures if the number of newinfected subjects increases again.Conclusions and relevance:Governments should act early in a swift and decisive manner for containment policies.Any lockdown exit will need to be monitored closely,with regards to the potential of lockdown reimplementation.This mathematical model provides a framework for major pandemics in the future. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 exit strategy population infection rates control measures
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Estimating geographic variation of infection fatality ratios during epidemics
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作者 Joshua Ladau Eoin L.Brodie +12 位作者 Nicola Falco Ishan Bansal Elijah B.Hoffman Marcin P.Joachimiak Ana M.Mora Angelica M.Walker Haruko M.Wainwright Yulun Wu Mirko Pavicic Daniel Jacobson Matthias Hess James B.Brown Katrina Abuabara 《Infectious Disease Modelling》 2024年第2期634-643,共10页
Objectives We aim to estimate geographic variability in total numbers of infections and infection fatality ratios(IFR;the number of deaths caused by an infection per 1,000 infected people)when the availability and qua... Objectives We aim to estimate geographic variability in total numbers of infections and infection fatality ratios(IFR;the number of deaths caused by an infection per 1,000 infected people)when the availability and quality of data on disease burden are limited during an epidemic.Methods We develop a noncentral hypergeometric framework that accounts for differential probabilities of positive tests and reflects the fact that symptomatic people are more likely to seek testing.We demonstrate the robustness,accuracy,and precision of this framework,and apply it to the United States(U.S.)COVID-19 pandemic to estimate county-level SARS-CoV-2 IFRs.Results The estimators for the numbers of infections and IFRs showed high accuracy and precision;for instance,when applied to simulated validation data sets,across counties,Pearson correlation coefficients between estimator means and true values were 0.996 and 0.928,respectively,and they showed strong robustness to model misspecification.Applying the county-level estimators to the real,unsimulated COVID-19 data spanning April 1,2020 to September 30,2020 from across the U.S.,we found that IFRs varied from 0 to 44.69,with a standard deviation of 3.55 and a median of 2.14.Conclusions The proposed estimation framework can be used to identify geographic variation in IFRs across settings. 展开更多
关键词 infection fatality ratio infection fatality rate Noncentral hypergeometric distribution COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2
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Study on Biological Characteristics of Livestock Eperythrozoon
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作者 Peng Haisheng Xie Minghua Mu Qionghua 《Animal Husbandry and Feed Science》 CAS 2015年第6期372-377,共6页
Based on the study of infection and morphological characteristics of 12 kinds of livestock Eperythrozoon,disinfection test by drugs in vitro,disinfection test by ultraviolet light,Eperythrozoon survival test at differ... Based on the study of infection and morphological characteristics of 12 kinds of livestock Eperythrozoon,disinfection test by drugs in vitro,disinfection test by ultraviolet light,Eperythrozoon survival test at different times and temperatures,drug sensitivity test and clinical treatment of infected swines were carried out on Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii to further study the biological characteristics. Test results showed that infection level of livestock Eperythrozoon was high,while morbidity was low. Eperythrozoon suis and Eperythrozoon wenyonii could survive for 1 year at 3- 5 ℃,180 d at 16- 26 ℃ and 30 min at- 20 ℃,while which died instantly at 65 ℃. Eperythrozoon was sensitive to general chemical disinfection drugs,while not sensitive to ultraviolet light disinfection. Transmission of Eperythrozoon mainly included contagious transmission and vertical transmission. Results of drug sensitivity test showed that Eperythrozoon was sensitive to Tetracycline and antigen insect drugs. Sizes and shapes of different livestock Eperythrozoon were different. The study provided a scientific basis for the effective prevention and treatment of livestock Eperythrozoonosis. 展开更多
关键词 EPERYTHROZOON infection rate Morphological characteristics Biological characteristics
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Different Epidemic Models on Complex Networks 被引量:6
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作者 ZHANG Hai-Feng Michael Small FU Xin-Chu 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2009年第7期180-184,共5页
Models for diseases spreading are not just limited to SIS or SIR. For instance, for the spreading of AIDS/HIV, the susceptible individuals can be classified into different cases according to their immunity, and simila... Models for diseases spreading are not just limited to SIS or SIR. For instance, for the spreading of AIDS/HIV, the susceptible individuals can be classified into different cases according to their immunity, and similarly, the infected individuals can be sorted into different classes according to their infectivity. Moreover, some diseases may develop through several stages. Many authors have shown that the individuals' relation can be viewed as a complex network. So in this paper, in order to better explain the dynamical behavior of epidemics, we consider different epidemic models on complex networks, and obtain the epidemic threshold for each ease. Finally, we present numerical simulations for each case to verify our results. 展开更多
关键词 epidemic threshold scale-free network diseases spreading multiple-staged infectivity rate
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SIX-YEAR EFFICACY OF HEPATITIS B REVACCINATION:A DOUBLE-BLIND,PLACEBO-CONTROLLED AND RANDOMIZED FIELD TRIAL
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作者 庄贵华 徐慧文 +3 位作者 左弘 王学良 刘蓬勃 孔令斌 《Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis》 CAS 1998年第1期44-48,共5页
in order to observe the efficacy or a booster dose of hepatitis B vaccine, ic4 primaryschool children with a good response were enrolled in a double-bind, placebo-controlled and randomized field trial three years afte... in order to observe the efficacy or a booster dose of hepatitis B vaccine, ic4 primaryschool children with a good response were enrolled in a double-bind, placebo-controlled and randomized field trial three years after the primary vaccination. At the end of the 6-year follow-up anti-HBspositive rate and GMT (of S/N value) In the revaccinated group were 54. 5% and 12. 0. still higherthan those in the control group (40. 5 % & 4. 8), but the difference of the positive rates was not statistically significant this time. Anti-HBs I,osltlve rate and GMT not only in the control group but inthe revaccinated group had dramatically declined against those 3 years arter the revaccination (thecontrol group: 69. 4 % & 20. 6 1 the revaccinated group: 87' 8% & 43. 3) (P < 0. of ). The higher anti-HBs titer before the revaccination, the better the persistence of anti-HBs after the revaccination.HBV infection rate (calculated by person-year) In the revacclnated group was l' 44%, without statistical difference from 3. 19% In the control group (P > 0. 05) as before. Considering the perfect longterm efficacy of hepatitis B vaccine, we concluded that a booster dose 9 years arter the primary immunization seems unnecessary. 展开更多
关键词 hepatitis B vaccine REVACCINATION infection rate
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Infection fatality rate and infection attack rate of COVID-19 in South American countries 被引量:1
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作者 Salihu Sabiu Musa Amna Tariq +2 位作者 Liu Yuan Wei Haozhen Daihai He 《Infectious Diseases of Poverty》 SCIE 2022年第2期42-52,共11页
Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with hi... Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with high vaccination coverage.This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal variability of the COVID-19 pandemic and estimate the infection fatality rate(IFR),infection attack rate(IAR)and reproduction number(R0)for twelve most affected South American countries.Methods:We fit a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)-based model with a time-varying transmission rate to the reported COVID-19 deaths for the twelve South American countries with the highest mortalities.Most of the epidemiological datasets analysed in this work are retrieved from the disease surveillance systems by the World Health Organization,Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and Our World in Data.We investigate the COVID-19 mortalities in these countries,which could represent the situation for the overall South American region.We employ COVID-19 dynamic model with-and-without vaccination considering time-varying flexible transmission rate to estimate IFR,IAR and R0 of COVID-19 for the South American countries.Results:We simulate the model in each scenario under suitable parameter settings and yield biologically reasonable estimates for IFR(varies between 0.303% and 0.723%),IAR(varies between 0.03 and 0.784)and R0(varies between 0.7 and 2.5)for the 12 South American countries.We observe that the severity,dynamical patterns of deaths and time-varying transmission rates among the countries are highly heterogeneous.Further analysis of the model with the effect of vaccination highlights that increasing the vaccination rate could help suppress the pandemic in South America.Conclusions:This study reveals possible reasons for the two waves of COVID-19 outbreaks in South America.We observed reductions in the transmission rate corresponding to each wave plausibly due to improvement in nonpharmaceutical interventions measures and human protective behavioral reaction to recent deaths.Thus,strategies coupling social distancing and vaccination could substantially suppress the mortality rate of COVID-19 in South America. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Epidemic model infection fatality rate infection attack rate PANDEMIC Reproduction number
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Lymphatic filariasis, infection status in Culex quinquefasciatus and Anopheles species after six rounds of mass drug administration in Masasi District, Tanzania 被引量:1
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作者 Eliza Lupenza Dinah B.Gasarasi Omary M.Minzi 《Infectious Diseases of Poverty》 SCIE 2021年第2期100-100,共1页
Background:Lymphatic filariasis(LF)elimination program in Tanzania started in 2000 in response to the Global program for the elimination of LF by 2020.Evidence shows a persistent LF transmission despite more than a de... Background:Lymphatic filariasis(LF)elimination program in Tanzania started in 2000 in response to the Global program for the elimination of LF by 2020.Evidence shows a persistent LF transmission despite more than a decade of mass drug administration(MDA).It is advocated that,regular monitoring should be conducted in endemic areas to evaluate the progress towards elimination and detect resurgence of the disease timely.This study was therefore designed to assess the status of Wuchererio bancrofti infection in Culex quinqefasciatus and Anopheles species after six rounds of MDA in Masasi District,South Eastern Tanzania. 展开更多
关键词 Lymphatic filariasis Wuchereria boncrofti Culex quinquefasciatus Anopheles gombioe Anopheles funestus Mass drug administration infection rate
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Optimal design of building openings to reduce the risk of indoor respiratory epidemic infections
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作者 Yixin Dong Li Zhu +1 位作者 Sui Li Martin Wollensak 《Building Simulation》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第5期871-884,共14页
The design of indoor airflow environments can significantly reduce the risk of respiratory epidemic infections indoors.Some studies have successfully developed theoretical models for calculating the effect of airflow ... The design of indoor airflow environments can significantly reduce the risk of respiratory epidemic infections indoors.Some studies have successfully developed theoretical models for calculating the effect of airflow fields on infection rates.However,up until now,studies have primarily focused on simulating and calculating the distribution of viral infection rates in current building scenarios.Due to the lack of a direct influence model for the design parameters and infection rate calculation,the present studies lack a quantitative analysis of the design parameters.This paper investigates the building openings design approach in a medium-sized kindergarten in Germany,intending to explore passive-based design solutions to improve the building's ability to prevent the virus'spread.We calculate the infection rate distribution in space by CFD combined with the Wells-Riley model.And then,use the Grasshopper platform to build an optimization model with the design parameters of building openings and infection rate values to discuss the relationship between geometric parameters and infection rate variation.The results show that the building openings'design parameters in transition spaces significantly affect the indoor infection rate under the condition that the input wind speed at the building openings is stable.We can see that optimizing building openings significantly reduces the average infection rate in space.The infection rate in the area with the largest decrease can be reduced by 18.41%.The distribution of infection rate in space is much more uniform,and the excess area is significantly reduced.This study has implications for future research and practice in designing public buildings under the influence of long-standing and cyclical outbreaks of epidemics. 展开更多
关键词 virus infection rate building openings parameter optimization transition spaces COVID-19 parametric simulation
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Study on the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,with prediction of its tendency 被引量:5
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作者 Yao Bai Zhihang Peng +10 位作者 Fengying Wei Zhen Jin Jinjie Wang Ximing Xu Xinyan Zhang Jun Xu Zixiong Ren Bulai Lu Zhaojun Wang Jianguo Xu Senzhong Huang 《Journal of Biosafety and Biosecurity》 2023年第1期39-44,共6页
The prediction system EpiSIX was used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,based on reported data from December 9,2022,to January 30,2023,released by The Chines... The prediction system EpiSIX was used to study the COVID-19 epidemic in China's Mainland between November 2022 and January 2023,based on reported data from December 9,2022,to January 30,2023,released by The Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on February 1,2023.Three kinds of reported data were used for model fitting:the daily numbers of positive nucleic acid tests and deaths,and the daily number of hospital beds taken by COVID-19 patients.It was estimated that the overall infection rate was 87.54%and the overall case fatality rate was 0.078%–0.116%(median 0.100%).Assuming that a new COVID-19 epidemic outbreak would start in March or April of 2023,induced by a slightly more infectious mutant strain,we predicted a possible large rebound between September and October 2023,with a peak demand of between 800,000 and 900,000 inpatient beds.If no such new outbreak was induced by other variants,then the current COVID-19 epidemic course in China's Mainland would remain under control until the end of 2023.However,it is suggested that the necessary medical resources be prepared to manage possible COVID-19 epidemic emergencies in the near future,especially for the period between September and October 2023. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 EPIDEMIC infection rate Case fatality rate PREDICTION
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Temporal-spatial risk assessment of COVID-19 under the influence of urban spatial environmental parameters:The case of Shenyang city
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作者 Sui Li Zhe Li +5 位作者 Yixin Dong Tiemao Shi Shiwen Zhou Yumeng Chen Xun Wang Feifei Qin 《Building Simulation》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第5期683-699,共17页
Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia,and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection.Based on the Wells-Ril... Respiratory infection is the main route for the transmission of coronavirus pneumonia,and the results have shown that the urban spatial environment significantly influences the risk of infection.Based on the Wells-Riley model of respiratory infection probability,the study determined the human respiratory-related parameters and the effective influence range;extracted urban morphological parameters,assessed the ventilation effects of different spatial environments,and,combined with population flow monitoring data,constructed a method for assessing the risk of Covid-19 respiratory infection in urban-scale grid cells.In the empirical study in Shenyang city,a severe cold region,urban morphological parameters,population size,background wind speed,and individual behavior patterns were used to calculate the distribution characteristics of temporal and spatial concomitant risks in urban areas grids under different scenarios.The results showed that the correlation between the risk of respiratory infection in urban public spaces and the above variables was significant.The exposure time had the greatest degree of influence on the probability of respiratory infection risk among the variables.At the same time,the change in human body spacing beyond 1 m had a minor influence on the risk of infection.Among the urban morphological parameters,building height had the highest correlation with the risk of infection,while building density had the lowest correlation.The actual point distribution of the epidemic in Shenyang from March to April 2022 was used to verify the evaluation results.The overlap rate between medium or higher risk areas and actual cases was 78.55%.The planning strategies for epidemic prevention and control were proposed for the spatial differentiation characteristics of different risk elements.The research results can accurately classify the risk level of urban space and provide a scientific basis for the planning response of epidemic prevention and control and the safety of public activities. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 virus infection rate GIS data simulations urban morphological parameters analysis infection risk assessment epidemic containment planning
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Surveillance-based evidence:elimination of schistosomiasis as a public health problem in the Peoples’Republic of China 被引量:24
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作者 Jing Xu Shi-Zhu Li +13 位作者 Li-Juan Zhang Robert Bergquist Hui Dang Qiang Wang Shan Lv Tian-Ping Wang Dan-Dan Lin Jian-Bing Liu Guang-Hui Ren Kun Yang Yang Liu Yi Dong Shi-Qing Zhang Xiao-Nong Zhou 《Infectious Diseases of Poverty》 SCIE 2020年第3期39-50,共12页
Background:A steady progress on schistosomiasis control in the Peoples’Republic of China(P.R.China)was achieved and broadened into the twelve-year medium and long term national plan(MLNP)which marled the implementati... Background:A steady progress on schistosomiasis control in the Peoples’Republic of China(P.R.China)was achieved and broadened into the twelve-year medium and long term national plan(MLNP)which marled the implementation of an integrated control strategy across all endemic areas in P.R.China in 2004.To understand the endemic trends of schistosomiasis to assess the effectiveness of an integrated strategy,we conducted an analysis of schistosomiasis surveillance data spanned from 2005 to 2015.Methods:The schistosomiasis sentinel surveillance data from sentinel sites were collected and analyzed from 2005 to 2015.In these sentinel sites,residents aged 6 years or above were screened annually by indirect hemagglutination assay(IHA),while only antibody positives were followed by stool examination either Kato-katz method(KK)and/or hatching technique(HT).Domestic animals raised in sentinel sites were examined by HT for confirming the infection of schistosomes.Snail investigation was conducted each year through systematic sampling method combined with environmental sampling method.The snails collected from field were tested by microscopic dissection method.The infection rates of schistosomes in residents,domestic animals and snails,as well as the indicators reflecting the snails’distribution were calculated and analyzed.ANOVA analysis was used to examine the changes of the number of eggs per gram feces in population and Chi-square test was used to examine any change in proportions among groups.Results:A total of 148902 residents from sentinel sites attended this study and 631676 blood samples were examined by IHA test during the 11 covered years.The annual average antibody positive rates presented a significant decrease trends,from 17.48%(95%CI:17.20–17.75%)in 2005 to 5.93%(95%CI:5.71–6.15%)(χ2=8890.47,P<0.001)in 2015.During 2005–2015,the average infection rate of schistosomes in residents declined from 2.07%(95%CI:1.96–2.17%)to 0.13%(95%CI:0.09–0.16%),accompanied by significant decrease of infection intensity in population.In 2015,the stool positives were only found in farmers,fishermen and boatmen with infection rate of 0.16%(95%CI:0.11–0.20%),0.17%(95%CI:0–0.50%)respectively.The infection rate of schistosomes in domestic animals dropped from 9.42%(538/5711,95%CI:8.66–10.18%)to 0.08%(2/2360,95%CI:0–0.20%)from 2005 to 2015.Infections were found in eight species of domestic animals at the beginning of surveillance while only two cattle were infected in 2015.Totally 98 ha of new snail habitats were found,while 94.90%(93/98)distributed in lake and marshland regions.The percentage of frames with snails decreased from 16.96%(56884/335391,95%CI:16.83–17.09%)in 2005 to 4.28%(18121/423755,95%CI:4.22–4.34%)in 2014,with a slightly increase in 2015.Meanwhile,the infection rate of schistosomes in snails was decreased from 0.26%(663/256531,95%CI:0.24–0.28%)to zero during 2005–2015.Conclusions:The infection rate of schistosomes declined significantly,providing evidence that the goal of the MLNP was achieved.Elimination of schistosomiasis as a public health problem defined as WHO was also reached in P.R.China nationwide.Surveillance-response system should be improved and strengthened to realize the final goal of schistosomiasis elimination. 展开更多
关键词 SCHISTOSOMIASIS SURVEILLANCE infection rate ELIMINATION China
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