Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflict...Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflicting the Wenzhou region of Zhejiang province far away from the tropical storm center happening early on the morning of September 4, 1999 (TS9909 hereinafter). Evidence suggests that, like previously-studied typhoons landing in autumn south of Xiamen to the eastern part of Guangdong, TS9909 has an inverted trough in the central south of the coastal belt of Zhejiang province that produces the rainstorm from the meso convective complex (MCC) on the warm, moist shear inside; the time and order of the magnitude of the rainfall are bound up with the development of the pattern of strong Q-vector divergence gradients during the event for the study area; the NE - SW coastline and the unique topography of the Yandang mountains inside the region are favorable for air lifting are the major contributors to the torrential rains.展开更多
This paper studies a heavy snowfall in Beijing that took place on 1 November 2009. The date of the snowfall was about one month earlier than the average. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanal...This paper studies a heavy snowfall in Beijing that took place on 1 November 2009. The date of the snowfall was about one month earlier than the average. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data, conventional data, and Automatic Weather Station (AWS) data are utilized to explore the reasons for the snowfall and the influencing systems. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) It is revealed from the average geopotential height and average temperature fields at 500 hPa that the large scale circulation in November 2009 was favorable to snowfall. The cold-dry air from West Siberia and the warm-moist air from the Bay of Bengal converged in North China. In addition, it was found from the average moisture flux field at 700 hPa that the main water vapor source was in the Bay of Bengal. (2) Not only the "return current", as usually accepted, but also the inverted trough on the current had an important contribution to the snowfall. The inverted trough could produce the obvious upward motion that is an important environmental condition of snowfalls. (3) More attention should be paid to mesoscale systems such as mesolows during the cold season because of their importance, though they do not occur as frequently as in the warm season. It should be pointed out that AWS data are very useful in mesoscale system analysis during both warm and cold seasons.展开更多
Based on the conventional observation data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the circulation situation,influencing systems and causes of the heavy rain during September 20-21,2010 in Ulanqab City were analyzed from the ev...Based on the conventional observation data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the circulation situation,influencing systems and causes of the heavy rain during September 20-21,2010 in Ulanqab City were analyzed from the evolution process of weather circulation situation and the changes of various physical quantity fields.The results show that there was an obvious frontal zone between 45-52°N,which brought strong cold air.The transport of warm and humid air outside the subtropical high and typhoon was the main water vapor source of the strong precipitation,and the southwest jet at 700 hPa transported abundant water vapor.There was a broad inverted trough to the south of 45°N,with a central value of 1000.0 hPa.Ulanqab City was on the top of the inverted trough,stable and less moved,which was conducive to the occurrence of systematic heavy precipitation.The rainstorm was a strong precipitation process caused by the intersection of cold air brought by the southward movement of the upper frontal zone and warm and humid air outside the subtropical high.After the precipitation,the invasion of strong cold air brought frost and cold wave weather to Ulanqab City.展开更多
On August 7,2023,Mangshi City,Dehong Prefecture experienced a local heavy rainstorm,and the geological disaster caused by the heavy rainfall caused casualties and property losses.Based on the real-time observation dat...On August 7,2023,Mangshi City,Dehong Prefecture experienced a local heavy rainstorm,and the geological disaster caused by the heavy rainfall caused casualties and property losses.Based on the real-time observation data of automatic stations,Doppler weather radar detection and meteorological risk warning products,the disaster situation,social impact,forecast and early warning service,causes of heavy precipitation and forecast and early warning inspection were summarized and analyzed.The results show that the heavy rainfall was prominent locally,lasted for a long time and accumulated a large amount of rainfall.There were biases in model products,and it was difficult for forecasters to make subjective corrections in complex terrain.The analysis ideas and focus points of heavy rainfall forecast,the improvement ideas and technical schemes of forecast deviation,and the improvement ideas and suggestions of services were summarized.It provides a reference for the forecast and early warning of severe weather in the future.展开更多
For two rapid-intensification typhoons-Mujigae(2015)and Vicente(2012)-the atmospheric circulation conditions and potential vorticity(PV)anomaly are compared.Although similar in their rapid-intensification(RI)rate,thei...For two rapid-intensification typhoons-Mujigae(2015)and Vicente(2012)-the atmospheric circulation conditions and potential vorticity(PV)anomaly are compared.Although similar in their rapid-intensification(RI)rate,their atmospheric circulation conditions differ considerably,with the absence or presence of an upper-tropospheric inverted trough(IT)being their main difference.The IT provides useful clues for the onset of RI,by estimating the interaction between the environmental upper-tropospheric IT and the typhoon based on eddy momentum flux convergence calculation.The trough–typhoon interaction is examined by comparing the PV transport process for the two cases.An isolated positive PV column develops vertically near Mujigae’s onset of RI,which is not influenced by synoptic-scale PV advection.However,for Vicente,another source-advection from a high-latitude PV reservoir along the upper-tropospheric IT-joins the built-up high-PV anomaly in favor of RI.展开更多
Through analysis we found that some mesoscale anomalous regions (10 1~10 2 km) of meteorological parameters such as the special drought areas, unusual warm areas, the largest snowfall center, low pressure area toge...Through analysis we found that some mesoscale anomalous regions (10 1~10 2 km) of meteorological parameters such as the special drought areas, unusual warm areas, the largest snowfall center, low pressure area together with the epicenter area of M S=6.2 Zhangbei earthquake on January 10, 1998 are located at the same area, i.e. there appears the ″Five areas corresponding″ phenomenon. Meanwhile, three times of low pressure evolution are generated and develop in the earthquake area in five days after the occurrence of the earthquake. The abnormal variation of the lower limit of frozen soil layer shows indirectly that unusual warm in earthquake areas are related to the upward thermal conduction from the deeper layer of earth surface.展开更多
A heavy rainfall event that occurred in Shandong Province in 26 28 August 2004 was caused mainly by Typhoon Acre and cold air activities related to a westerly trough. The event was triggered by an inverted typhoon tro...A heavy rainfall event that occurred in Shandong Province in 26 28 August 2004 was caused mainly by Typhoon Acre and cold air activities related to a westerly trough. The event was triggered by an inverted typhoon trough, which was closely associated with the intensification of the low-level southeasterly flow and the northward transport of heat and momentum in the periphery of the typhoon low. A numerical simulation of this event is performed using the nonhydrostatic mesoscale model MM5 with two-way interactive and triply-nested grids, and the structure of the inverted typhoon trough is studied. Furthermore, the formation and development mechanism of the inverted typhoon trough and a mesoscale vortex are discussed through a vorticity budget analysis. The results show that the heavy rainfall was induced by the strong convergence between the strong and weak winds within the inverted typhoon trough. Dynamic effects of the low-level jet and the diabatic heating of precipitation played an important role in the development of the inverted typhoon trough and the formation of the mesoscale vortex. The vorticity budget analysis suggests that the divergence term in the low troposphere, the horizontal advection term, and the convection term in the middle troposphere were main contributors to positive vorticity. Nonetheless, at the same pressure level, the effect of the divergence term and that of the adveetion term were opposite to each other. In the middle troposphere, the vertical transport term made a positive contribution while the tilting term made a negative contribution, and the total vorticity tendency was the net result of their counteractions. It is found that the change tendency of the relative vorticity was not uniform horizontally. A strong positive vorticity tendency occurred in the southeast of the mesoscale vortex, which is why the heavy rainfall was concentrated there. The increase of positive vorticity in the low (upper) troposphere was caused by horizontal convergence (upward transport of vorticity from the lower troposphere). Therefore, the development of the inverted typhoon trough and the formation of the mesoscale vortex were mainly attributed to the vorticity generated in the low troposphere, and also the vertical transport of vorticity from the low and middle troposphere.展开更多
Large-scale and mesoscale analyses are made for extremely heavy rain (EHR) and meso-β scale low vortex (MSLV) in Jiading District of Shanghai Municipality during 6-7 July 2001.It is shown that the EHR forms in the si...Large-scale and mesoscale analyses are made for extremely heavy rain (EHR) and meso-β scale low vortex (MSLV) in Jiading District of Shanghai Municipality during 6-7 July 2001.It is shown that the EHR forms in the situation of northern westerly trough linking together with southern inverted typhoon trough at northwest side of the West Pacific Ocean subtropical high. Numerical simulation is made using a 21-layer improved REM (regional η coordinate model) for this course.The results show that the precipitation forms earlier than MSLV.and the strong convergence in wind velocity mate (WVM) triggers the strong precipitation.The formative reasons of WVM.especially the weak wind velocity center are discussed,and the formative mechanisms of the MSLV and EHR are discussed using high spatial and temporal resolution model- output physical fields.The results show that the heavy rain releases latent heat and warms the air column,and enhances the low level positive vorticity that existed before.Then it causes the formation of MSLV.There is a positive feedback mechanism between low vortex and precipitation,so CISK must be an important mechanism.展开更多
基金sponsored jointly by the Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant 4040950009402050084)the Project of Planned National Key Basic Research/Development (2004CB418301)
文摘Using T106 numerical products, MM5 simulations in conjunction of Q-vector scheme-computed NCEP results, observations and satellite cloud images, study is undertaken for an exceptionally intense rainstorm event afflicting the Wenzhou region of Zhejiang province far away from the tropical storm center happening early on the morning of September 4, 1999 (TS9909 hereinafter). Evidence suggests that, like previously-studied typhoons landing in autumn south of Xiamen to the eastern part of Guangdong, TS9909 has an inverted trough in the central south of the coastal belt of Zhejiang province that produces the rainstorm from the meso convective complex (MCC) on the warm, moist shear inside; the time and order of the magnitude of the rainfall are bound up with the development of the pattern of strong Q-vector divergence gradients during the event for the study area; the NE - SW coastline and the unique topography of the Yandang mountains inside the region are favorable for air lifting are the major contributors to the torrential rains.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2009CB421401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40930951)
文摘This paper studies a heavy snowfall in Beijing that took place on 1 November 2009. The date of the snowfall was about one month earlier than the average. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data, conventional data, and Automatic Weather Station (AWS) data are utilized to explore the reasons for the snowfall and the influencing systems. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) It is revealed from the average geopotential height and average temperature fields at 500 hPa that the large scale circulation in November 2009 was favorable to snowfall. The cold-dry air from West Siberia and the warm-moist air from the Bay of Bengal converged in North China. In addition, it was found from the average moisture flux field at 700 hPa that the main water vapor source was in the Bay of Bengal. (2) Not only the "return current", as usually accepted, but also the inverted trough on the current had an important contribution to the snowfall. The inverted trough could produce the obvious upward motion that is an important environmental condition of snowfalls. (3) More attention should be paid to mesoscale systems such as mesolows during the cold season because of their importance, though they do not occur as frequently as in the warm season. It should be pointed out that AWS data are very useful in mesoscale system analysis during both warm and cold seasons.
文摘Based on the conventional observation data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data,the circulation situation,influencing systems and causes of the heavy rain during September 20-21,2010 in Ulanqab City were analyzed from the evolution process of weather circulation situation and the changes of various physical quantity fields.The results show that there was an obvious frontal zone between 45-52°N,which brought strong cold air.The transport of warm and humid air outside the subtropical high and typhoon was the main water vapor source of the strong precipitation,and the southwest jet at 700 hPa transported abundant water vapor.There was a broad inverted trough to the south of 45°N,with a central value of 1000.0 hPa.Ulanqab City was on the top of the inverted trough,stable and less moved,which was conducive to the occurrence of systematic heavy precipitation.The rainstorm was a strong precipitation process caused by the intersection of cold air brought by the southward movement of the upper frontal zone and warm and humid air outside the subtropical high.After the precipitation,the invasion of strong cold air brought frost and cold wave weather to Ulanqab City.
基金Supported by the Research on the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics and Occurrence Mechanism of Rainstorm in Dehong (STIAP202244)Key Laboratory of Heavy Rainfall in River Basins,China Meteorological Administration (2023BHR-Y09)+1 种基金Project of Key Laboratory of Hydrometeorology,China Meteorological Administration (23SWQXZ009)National Natural Science Foundation of China (42075013,41765003,41665005).
文摘On August 7,2023,Mangshi City,Dehong Prefecture experienced a local heavy rainstorm,and the geological disaster caused by the heavy rainfall caused casualties and property losses.Based on the real-time observation data of automatic stations,Doppler weather radar detection and meteorological risk warning products,the disaster situation,social impact,forecast and early warning service,causes of heavy precipitation and forecast and early warning inspection were summarized and analyzed.The results show that the heavy rainfall was prominent locally,lasted for a long time and accumulated a large amount of rainfall.There were biases in model products,and it was difficult for forecasters to make subjective corrections in complex terrain.The analysis ideas and focus points of heavy rainfall forecast,the improvement ideas and technical schemes of forecast deviation,and the improvement ideas and suggestions of services were summarized.It provides a reference for the forecast and early warning of severe weather in the future.
基金jointly supported by the Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province(Grant No.PAEKL-2017-K3)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41405059,41675059,41375066,and 41875077)
文摘For two rapid-intensification typhoons-Mujigae(2015)and Vicente(2012)-the atmospheric circulation conditions and potential vorticity(PV)anomaly are compared.Although similar in their rapid-intensification(RI)rate,their atmospheric circulation conditions differ considerably,with the absence or presence of an upper-tropospheric inverted trough(IT)being their main difference.The IT provides useful clues for the onset of RI,by estimating the interaction between the environmental upper-tropospheric IT and the typhoon based on eddy momentum flux convergence calculation.The trough–typhoon interaction is examined by comparing the PV transport process for the two cases.An isolated positive PV column develops vertically near Mujigae’s onset of RI,which is not influenced by synoptic-scale PV advection.However,for Vicente,another source-advection from a high-latitude PV reservoir along the upper-tropospheric IT-joins the built-up high-PV anomaly in favor of RI.
文摘Through analysis we found that some mesoscale anomalous regions (10 1~10 2 km) of meteorological parameters such as the special drought areas, unusual warm areas, the largest snowfall center, low pressure area together with the epicenter area of M S=6.2 Zhangbei earthquake on January 10, 1998 are located at the same area, i.e. there appears the ″Five areas corresponding″ phenomenon. Meanwhile, three times of low pressure evolution are generated and develop in the earthquake area in five days after the occurrence of the earthquake. The abnormal variation of the lower limit of frozen soil layer shows indirectly that unusual warm in earthquake areas are related to the upward thermal conduction from the deeper layer of earth surface.
基金Supported by Wuhan Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration, under Grant No. IHR2008K03the Scientific Research Project of the Shandong Provincial Meteorological Bureau under Grant No. 2006sdqxz18
文摘A heavy rainfall event that occurred in Shandong Province in 26 28 August 2004 was caused mainly by Typhoon Acre and cold air activities related to a westerly trough. The event was triggered by an inverted typhoon trough, which was closely associated with the intensification of the low-level southeasterly flow and the northward transport of heat and momentum in the periphery of the typhoon low. A numerical simulation of this event is performed using the nonhydrostatic mesoscale model MM5 with two-way interactive and triply-nested grids, and the structure of the inverted typhoon trough is studied. Furthermore, the formation and development mechanism of the inverted typhoon trough and a mesoscale vortex are discussed through a vorticity budget analysis. The results show that the heavy rainfall was induced by the strong convergence between the strong and weak winds within the inverted typhoon trough. Dynamic effects of the low-level jet and the diabatic heating of precipitation played an important role in the development of the inverted typhoon trough and the formation of the mesoscale vortex. The vorticity budget analysis suggests that the divergence term in the low troposphere, the horizontal advection term, and the convection term in the middle troposphere were main contributors to positive vorticity. Nonetheless, at the same pressure level, the effect of the divergence term and that of the adveetion term were opposite to each other. In the middle troposphere, the vertical transport term made a positive contribution while the tilting term made a negative contribution, and the total vorticity tendency was the net result of their counteractions. It is found that the change tendency of the relative vorticity was not uniform horizontally. A strong positive vorticity tendency occurred in the southeast of the mesoscale vortex, which is why the heavy rainfall was concentrated there. The increase of positive vorticity in the low (upper) troposphere was caused by horizontal convergence (upward transport of vorticity from the lower troposphere). Therefore, the development of the inverted typhoon trough and the formation of the mesoscale vortex were mainly attributed to the vorticity generated in the low troposphere, and also the vertical transport of vorticity from the low and middle troposphere.
基金supported by the Air Force Foundation under Grant No.KJ99099
文摘Large-scale and mesoscale analyses are made for extremely heavy rain (EHR) and meso-β scale low vortex (MSLV) in Jiading District of Shanghai Municipality during 6-7 July 2001.It is shown that the EHR forms in the situation of northern westerly trough linking together with southern inverted typhoon trough at northwest side of the West Pacific Ocean subtropical high. Numerical simulation is made using a 21-layer improved REM (regional η coordinate model) for this course.The results show that the precipitation forms earlier than MSLV.and the strong convergence in wind velocity mate (WVM) triggers the strong precipitation.The formative reasons of WVM.especially the weak wind velocity center are discussed,and the formative mechanisms of the MSLV and EHR are discussed using high spatial and temporal resolution model- output physical fields.The results show that the heavy rain releases latent heat and warms the air column,and enhances the low level positive vorticity that existed before.Then it causes the formation of MSLV.There is a positive feedback mechanism between low vortex and precipitation,so CISK must be an important mechanism.