The Influence of Air Pollution Concentrations on Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using CNN-LSTM-mRMR Feature Extraction

Maintaining a steady power supply requires accurate forecasting of solar irradiance,since clean energy resources do not provide steady power.The existing forecasting studies have examined the limited effects of weather conditions on solar radiation such as temperature and precipitation utilizing convolutional neural network(CNN),but no comprehensive study has been conducted on concentrations of air pollutants along with weather conditions.This paper proposes a hybrid approach based on deep learning,expanding the feature set by adding new air pollution concentrations,and ranking these features to select and reduce their size to improve efficiency.In order to improve the accuracy of feature selection,a maximum-dependency and minimum-redundancy(mRMR)criterion is applied to the constructed feature space to identify and rank the features.The combination of air pollution data with weather conditions data has enabled the prediction of solar irradiance with a higher accuracy.An evaluation of the proposed approach is conducted in Istanbul over 12 months for 43791 discrete times,with the main purpose of analyzing air data,including particular matter(PM10 and PM25),carbon monoxide(CO),nitric oxide(NOX),nitrogen dioxide(NO_(2)),ozone(O₃),sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))using a CNN,a long short-term memory network(LSTM),and MRMR feature extraction.Compared with the benchmark models with root mean square error(RMSE)results of 76.2,60.3,41.3,32.4,there is a significant improvement with the RMSE result of 5.536.This hybrid model presented here offers high prediction accuracy,a wider feature set,and a novel approach based on air concentrations combined with weather conditions for solar irradiance prediction.

Bi-LSTM-Based Deep Stacked Sequence-to-Sequence Autoencoder for Forecasting Solar Irradiation and Wind Speed

Wind and solar energy are two popular forms of renewable energy used in microgrids and facilitating the transition towards net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.However,they are exceedingly unpredictable since they rely highly on weather and atmospheric conditions.In microgrids,smart energy management systems,such as integrated demand response programs,are permanently established on a step-ahead basis,which means that accu-rate forecasting of wind speed and solar irradiance intervals is becoming increasingly crucial to the optimal operation and planning of microgrids.With this in mind,a novel“bidirectional long short-term memory network”(Bi-LSTM)-based,deep stacked,sequence-to-sequence autoencoder(S2SAE)forecasting model for predicting short-term solar irradiation and wind speed was developed and evaluated in MATLAB.To create a deep stacked S2SAE prediction model,a deep Bi-LSTM-based encoder and decoder are stacked on top of one another to reduce the dimension of the input sequence,extract its features,and then reconstruct it to produce the forecasts.Hyperparameters of the proposed deep stacked S2SAE forecasting model were optimized using the Bayesian optimization algorithm.Moreover,the forecasting performance of the proposed Bi-LSTM-based deep stacked S2SAE model was compared to three other deep,and shallow stacked S2SAEs,i.e.,the LSTM-based deep stacked S2SAE model,gated recurrent unit-based deep stacked S2SAE model,and Bi-LSTM-based shallow stacked S2SAE model.All these models were also optimized and modeled in MATLAB.The results simulated based on actual data confirmed that the proposed model outperformed the alternatives by achieving an accuracy of up to 99.7%,which evidenced the high reliability of the proposed forecasting.

Classification and Summarization of Solar Irradiance and Power Forecasting Methods:A Thorough Review

Solar forecasting is of great importance for ensuring safe and stable operations of the power system with increased solar power integration,thus numerous models have been presented and reviewed to predict solar irradiance and power forecasting in the past decade.Nevertheless,few studies take into account the temporal and spatial resolutions along with specific characteristics of the models.Therefore,this paper aims to demonstrate a comprehensive and systematic review to further solve these problems.First,five classifications and seven pre-processing methods of solar forecasting data are systematically reviewed,which are significant in improving forecasting accuracy.Then,various methods utilized in solar irradiance and power forecasting are thoroughly summarized and discussed,in which 128 algorithms are elaborated in tables in the light of input variables,temporal resolution,spatial resolution,forecast variables,metrics,and characteristics for a more fair and comprehensive comparison.Moreover,they are categorized into four groups,namely,statistical,physical,hybrid,and others with relevant application conditions and features.Meanwhile,six categories,along with 30 evaluation criteria,are summarized to clarify the major purposes/applicability of the different methods.The prominent merit of this study is that a total of seven perspectives and trends for further research in solar forecasting are identified,which aim to help readers more effectively utilize these approaches for future in-depth research.

An advantageous charging/discharging scheduling of electric vehicles in a PV energy enhanced power distribution grid

Electric vehicles(EVs)are going to overrule the transportation sector due to their pollution-free technology and low running costs.However,charging the EVs causes significant power demand and stress on the power delivery network.The challenge can be tackled well when charging and discharging scheduling are coordinated with intelligent EV routing.In this work,two-stage charging and discharging scheduling are proposed.In the first stage,a time scheduling algorithm is structured to identify EV charging/discharging slots at different hours,and at a later stage,the slots are optimally distributed among different charging stations.Routing of the EVs towards the EVCSs has been designed to enhance the useful participation of the EVs in the charging and discharging program.In this regard,a possible number of EVs in the test region has been forecasted with a regression model.The adequacy of the combined charging-discharging and location scheduling model is tested on a typical PV-enhanced 28-bus Indian distribution network.Three case studies containing three sub-cases in each have been performed incorporating the choice of the EV owners towards charging and discharging in different time slots in a day.The case studies have resulted in a peak-to-average ratio(PAR)of 1.151,0,1.165,0,1.196,8,1.165,0,1.180,9,1.196,8,1.196,8,1.196,8 and 1.196,8 for the 24-h demand pattern in Case-1a,Case-1b,Case-1c,Case-2a,Case-2b,Case-2c,Case-3a,Case-3b and Case-1c respectively in comparison to a PAR of 1.2 for the 24-h demand in base case.