Baotou City is an industrial city developed in the farming-grazing transitional zone in northern China. The development of industry, farming and grazing is very fast. It has become a typical intergrated economic regio...Baotou City is an industrial city developed in the farming-grazing transitional zone in northern China. The development of industry, farming and grazing is very fast. It has become a typical intergrated economic region of industry, farming and grazing. Based on the analysis of utilization of land resources, this paper points out the main conflicts and problems on the utilization of land resources in the city, and puts forward a corresponding proposal.展开更多
基金Supported by the key project of Baotou Science and Technology Committee (No.973B2054)
文摘Baotou City is an industrial city developed in the farming-grazing transitional zone in northern China. The development of industry, farming and grazing is very fast. It has become a typical intergrated economic region of industry, farming and grazing. Based on the analysis of utilization of land resources, this paper points out the main conflicts and problems on the utilization of land resources in the city, and puts forward a corresponding proposal.
文摘目的运用自回归积分滑动平均模型(Autoregressive Intergrated Moving Average,ARIMA)建立月平均住院费用和住院日的医学经济学模型,为医院精细化管理提供依据。方法利用R4.0.2软件对2017年1月—2021年12月四川大学华西医院宜宾医院(宜宾市第二人民医院)的平均住院费用和住院日数据建立时间序列ARIMA预测模型。结果住院费用最优模型为ARIMA(0,1,1),赤池信息准则(Akaike information criterion,AIC)=924.35,贝叶斯信息准则(Bayesian Information Criterion,BIC)=928.51,残差Ljung-Box Q=12.51(P=0.768),可认为残差序列为白噪声。平均住院日的最优模型为ARIMA(5,1,1),AIC=87.49,BIC=104.11,残差Ljung-Box Q=10.05(P=0.612),可认为残差序列为白噪声。2022年1—12月实际值与预测值基本吻合,月人均住院费用和人均住院日的平均相对误差为0.55%、0.29%。结论建立基于时间序列ARIMA模型能够为合理配置卫生资源提供强有力的数据支撑。