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Mean field game of optimal relative investment with jump risk
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作者 Lijun Bo Shihua Wang Xiang Yu 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第5期1159-1188,共30页
In this paper,we study the n-player game and the mean field game under the constant relative risk aversion relative performance on terminal wealth,in which the interaction occurs by peer competition.In the model with ... In this paper,we study the n-player game and the mean field game under the constant relative risk aversion relative performance on terminal wealth,in which the interaction occurs by peer competition.In the model with n agents,the price dynamics of underlying risky assets depend on a common noise and contagious jump risk modeled by a multi-dimensional nonlinear Hawkes process.With a continuum of agents,we formulate the mean field game problem and characterize a deterministic mean field equilibrium in an analytical form under some conditions,allowing us to investigate some impacts of model parameters in the limiting model and discuss some financial implications.Moreover,based on the mean field equilibrium,we construct an approximate Nash equilibrium for the n-player game when n is sufficiently large.The explicit order of the approximation error is also derived. 展开更多
关键词 relative performance contagious jump risk mean field game with jumps mean field equilibrium approximate Nash equilibrium
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PRICING EUROPEAN OPTION IN A DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL JUMP-DIFFUSION MODEL WITH TWO MARKET STRUCTURE RISKS AND ITS COMPARISONS 被引量:13
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作者 Deng Guohe 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2007年第2期127-137,共11页
Using Fourier inversion transform, P.D.E. and Feynman-Kac formula, the closedform solution for price on European call option is given in a double exponential jump-diffusion model with two different market structure ri... Using Fourier inversion transform, P.D.E. and Feynman-Kac formula, the closedform solution for price on European call option is given in a double exponential jump-diffusion model with two different market structure risks that there exist CIR stochastic volatility of stock return and Vasicek or CIR stochastic interest rate in the market. In the end, the result of the model in the paper is compared with those in other models, including BS model with numerical experiment. These results show that the double exponential jump-diffusion model with CIR-market structure risks is suitable for modelling the real-market changes and very useful. 展开更多
关键词 double exponential distribution jump-diffusion model market structure risk
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A RISK-SENSITIVE STOCHASTIC MAXIMUM PRINCIPLE FOR OPTIMAL CONTROL OF JUMP DIFFUSIONS AND ITS APPLICATIONS 被引量:1
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作者 史敬涛 吴臻 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第2期419-433,共15页
A stochastic maximum principle for the risk-sensitive optimal control prob- lem of jump diffusion processes with an exponential-of-integral cost functional is derived assuming that the value function is smooth, where ... A stochastic maximum principle for the risk-sensitive optimal control prob- lem of jump diffusion processes with an exponential-of-integral cost functional is derived assuming that the value function is smooth, where the diffusion and jump term may both depend on the control. The form of the maximum principle is similar to its risk-neutral counterpart. But the adjoint equations and the maximum condition heavily depend on the risk-sensitive parameter. As applications, a linear-quadratic risk-sensitive control problem is solved by using the maximum principle derived and explicit optimal control is obtained. 展开更多
关键词 risk-sensitive control jump diffusions maximum principle adioint equation
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THE JOINT DISTRIBUTIONS OF SOME ACTUARIAL DIAGNOSTICS FOR THE JUMP-DIFFUSION RISK PROCESS
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作者 吕玉华 吴荣 徐润 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2010年第3期664-676,共13页
In this article, the joint distributions of several actuarial diagnostics which are important to insurers' running for the jump-diffusion risk process are examined. They include the ruin time, the time of the surplus... In this article, the joint distributions of several actuarial diagnostics which are important to insurers' running for the jump-diffusion risk process are examined. They include the ruin time, the time of the surplus process leaving zero ultimately (simply, the ultimately leaving-time), the surplus immediately prior to ruin, the supreme profits before ruin, the supreme profits and deficit until it leaves zero ultimately and so on. The explicit expressions for their distributions are obtained mainly by the various properties of Levy process, such as the homogeneous strong Markov property and the spatial homogeneity property etc, moveover, the many properties for Brownian motion. 展开更多
关键词 jump-diffusion risk process Brownian motion time of ruin ultimately leaving-time homogeneous strong Markov property
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Measuring the Intraday Jump Tail Risk of Financial Asset Price with Noisy High Frequency Data
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作者 Chao Yu Xujie Zhao Feng Zhang 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2017年第1期72-83,共12页
This paper proposes a simple two-step nonparametric procedure to estimate the intraday jump tail and measure the jump tail risk in asset price with noisy high frequency data. We first propose the pre-averaging thresho... This paper proposes a simple two-step nonparametric procedure to estimate the intraday jump tail and measure the jump tail risk in asset price with noisy high frequency data. We first propose the pre-averaging threshold approach to estimate the intraday jumps occurred, and then use the peaks-over-threshold (POT) method and generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to model the intraday jump tail and further measure the jump tail risk. Finally, an empirical example further demonstrates the power of the proposed method to measure the jump tail risk under the effect of microstructure noise. 展开更多
关键词 High Frequency Data Intraday jump Microstructure Noise jump TAIL risk Pre-Averaging
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Integro-Differential Equations for a Jump-Diffusion Risk Process with Dependence between Claim Sizes and Claim Intervals
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作者 Heli Gao 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2016年第11期2061-2068,共8页
The classical Poisson risk model in ruin theory assumed that the interarrival times between two successive claims are mutually independent, and the claim sizes and claim intervals are also mutually independent. In thi... The classical Poisson risk model in ruin theory assumed that the interarrival times between two successive claims are mutually independent, and the claim sizes and claim intervals are also mutually independent. In this paper, we modify the classical Poisson risk model to describe the surplus process of an insurance portfolio. We consider a jump-diffusion risk process compounded by a geometric Brownian motion, and assume that the claim sizes and claim intervals are dependent. Using the properties of conditional expectation, we establish integro-differential equations for the Gerber-Shiu function and the ultimate ruin probability. 展开更多
关键词 jump-Diffusion risk Process Diffusion Geometric Brownian Motion Gerber-Shiu Function
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可变风险溢价结构下跳扩散模型的期权定价
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作者 朱福敏 周海川 郑尊信 《证券市场导报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第3期64-79,共16页
风险溢价结构是真实测度与风险中性测度间的纽带,能够帮助提取投资者的风险偏好特征。本文针对跳扩散模型构建了灵活的风险溢价形式,允许期权市场隐含信息参与校准跳跃风险的市场价格,进而研究存在跳跃情形下的期权定价,并探索市场风险... 风险溢价结构是真实测度与风险中性测度间的纽带,能够帮助提取投资者的风险偏好特征。本文针对跳扩散模型构建了灵活的风险溢价形式,允许期权市场隐含信息参与校准跳跃风险的市场价格,进而研究存在跳跃情形下的期权定价,并探索市场风险溢价结构。数值分析和实证研究表明,可变风险溢价结构有助于准确刻画市场定价核曲线,且市场风险溢价结构具有明显的时变特征,跳跃风险溢价能够较好解释隐含波动率曲面。此外,跳扩散模型的可变风险溢价结构在样本内外都具有明显的期权定价优势。考虑了不同样本长度、定价方法、定价区间以及期权产品后,以上结论均是稳健的。本研究有助于系统了解不同市场风险溢价结构与定价规律,有利于深入探索跳跃风险溢价补偿机制。 展开更多
关键词 不完备市场 跳扩散模型 定价核 风险溢价结构 期权定价
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足球运动落地错误评分系统测试非接触性损伤风险标准评估 被引量:1
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作者 张津沁 崔建 +3 位作者 高晓嶙 时永进 朱超 黄鹏 《中国组织工程研究》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第11期1641-1646,共6页
背景:落地错误评分系统(LESS)测试是评估非接触性损伤风险的标准,目前尚无对中国大学生足球运动项目的开发。目的:建立大学生足球运动落地错误评分系统测试评估标准,为评价该人群非接触性损伤风险提供依据。方法:设计前瞻性队列研究,对1... 背景:落地错误评分系统(LESS)测试是评估非接触性损伤风险的标准,目前尚无对中国大学生足球运动项目的开发。目的:建立大学生足球运动落地错误评分系统测试评估标准,为评价该人群非接触性损伤风险提供依据。方法:设计前瞻性队列研究,对10所高校足球队的219名运动员进行标准落地错误评分系统测试,通过问卷和医学检查跟踪调查受试者测试后1年内下肢和躯干非接触性损伤情况,确定落地错误评分系统测试指标的性别差异及评估标准。结果与结论:①219名受试者落地错误评分系统总分(8.22±1.65)分,其中男性(8.29±1.74)分、女性(8.07±1.44)分,男女间比较差异无显著性意义(P>0.05);②测试后1年内,219名受试者总体损伤率为10.05%,发病率为15.98%;男性受试者下肢及躯干非接触性损伤的损伤率为12.75%,发病率为20.13%;女性受试者下肢及躯干非接触性损伤的损伤率为4.29%,发病率为7.14%,男女间损伤率比较差异有显著性意义(P<0.05);③损伤组落地错误评分系统总分高于非损伤组[(9.50±1.14),(8.08±1.64)分,P<0.01];男性受试者中,损伤组的错误评分系统总分高于非损伤组[(9.63±1.12),(8.09±1.73)分,P<0.01];④落地错误评分系统总分曲线下面积为0.773(P=0.000),对男性受试者下肢及躯干非接触性损伤风险有诊断意义,最佳截断点为8.5,灵敏度为0.842,特异性为0.623,阳性似然比为2.233,阴性似然比为0.254,相对危险系数为8.400,比值比为8.816;落地错误评分系统总分对女性受试者下肢及躯干非接触性损伤风险没有诊断意义;⑤结果表明,落地错误评分系统测试可以作为中国大学生男性足球运动员下肢及躯干非接触性损伤风险的评估标准,最佳截断点为8.5分,落地错误评分系统测试≥8.5分的男性运动员下肢及躯干非接触性损伤风险是<8.5分运动员的8.40倍。 展开更多
关键词 落地错误评分系统测试(LESS) 非接触性损伤 损伤风险 足球 跳跃 落地
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基于Levy-GARCH模型的股票市场尾部风险度量研究
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作者 朱福敏 宋佳音 刘仪榕 《中央财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第1期47-60,共14页
防范化解金融风险是牢牢守住不发生系统性风险底线的重要工作,描述资产价格规律、准确度量尾部风险是风险管理的前提。为研究非对称性和非高斯性对我国股市收益率预测和尾部风险度量的影响,本文使用20种Levy-GARCH模型对上证综合指数进... 防范化解金融风险是牢牢守住不发生系统性风险底线的重要工作,描述资产价格规律、准确度量尾部风险是风险管理的前提。为研究非对称性和非高斯性对我国股市收益率预测和尾部风险度量的影响,本文使用20种Levy-GARCH模型对上证综合指数进行实证分析,计算噪声服从跳跃过程时的VaR和CVaR值,结合快速傅里叶变换数值计算和回溯测试进行检验。研究结果表明:在中国股市中,非高斯性和非对称性是不可忽视的重要特征,跳跃行为在收益率拟合、预测和风险度量方面有重要影响;在尾部风险度量上,带跳跃的非仿射结构条件方差模型表现稳定地优于仿射结构模型,而且有限跳跃过程模型的综合表现优于带无限活动率跳跃过程的模型。总的来说,非对称、非高斯、非仿射的Levy-GARCH模型在收益率拟合与尾部风险测度上表现更好,而且有限跳跃形态可以更准确地解释中国股票市场的尾部风险。 展开更多
关键词 市场尾部风险 VAR Levy-GARCH 模型 有限跳跃 非对称 GARCH
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基于混合次分数跳过程的亚式期权模糊定价
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作者 庞秋月 汪育兵 《兰州文理学院学报(自然科学版)》 2024年第1期9-16,共8页
考虑到金融资产价格的长记忆性及跳跃现象,基于混合次分数布朗运动和泊松过程,建立了几何亚式期权定价模型;进一步考虑金融市场模糊性,引入模糊理论得到模糊定价模型.首先,得到混合次分数跳过程Ito∧公式及其股价所满足随机微分方程的... 考虑到金融资产价格的长记忆性及跳跃现象,基于混合次分数布朗运动和泊松过程,建立了几何亚式期权定价模型;进一步考虑金融市场模糊性,引入模糊理论得到模糊定价模型.首先,得到混合次分数跳过程Ito∧公式及其股价所满足随机微分方程的解析解;其次,运用风险中性原理给出几何亚式期权的定价公式;然后,运用模糊理论构建了几何亚式模糊期权定价模型;最后,数值模拟分析了置信度和Hurst指数对模糊价格的影响,并将本文所建立模型与经典BS模型进行对比.结果表明,在相应的置信度下模糊定价模型能够给出较为合理的价格区间,有助于金融投资者的决策,从而验证了模型的合理性和实用性. 展开更多
关键词 混合次分数跳过程 风险中性原理 几何亚式期权 模糊理论
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On pricing of corporate securities in the case of jump-diffusion 被引量:1
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作者 REN Xue-min JIANG Li-shang 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第2期205-216,共12页
Structural models of credit risk are known to present vanishing spreads at very short maturities. This shortcoming, which is due to the diffusive behavior assumed for asset values, can be circumvented by considering d... Structural models of credit risk are known to present vanishing spreads at very short maturities. This shortcoming, which is due to the diffusive behavior assumed for asset values, can be circumvented by considering discontinuities of the jump type in their evolution over time. In this paper, we extend the pricing model for corporate bond and determine the default probability in jump-diffusion model to address this issue. To make the problem clearly, we first investigate the case that the firm value follows a geometric Brownian motion under similar assumptions to those in Black and Scholes(1973), Briys and de Varenne(1997), i.e, the default barrier is KD (t, T) and the recovery rate is (1 -w), where D (t, T) is the price of zero coupon default free bond and w is a constant (0 〈 w 〈 1). By changing the numeraire, we obtain the closed-form solution for both the price of bond and default probability. Further, we consider the case of jump-diffusion and suppose that a firm will go bankruptcy if its value Vt 〈 KD (t, T) and at the same time, the bondholder will receive (1 - w) vt/k By introducing the Green function of PDE with absorbing boundary and converting the problem to an II-type Volterra integral equation, we get the closed-form expressions in series form for bond price and corresponding default probability. Numerical results are presented to show the impact of different parameters to credit spread of bond. 展开更多
关键词 default risk corporate bond stochastic interest rate jump diffusion process.
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Insiders' Hedging for Jump Diffusion Processes with Applications to Index Tracking
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作者 苏小囡 王伟 王文胜 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2011年第6期571-575,共5页
The hedging problem for insiders is very important in the financial market.The locally risk minimizing hedging was adopted to solve this problem.Since the market was incomplete,the minimal martingale measure was chose... The hedging problem for insiders is very important in the financial market.The locally risk minimizing hedging was adopted to solve this problem.Since the market was incomplete,the minimal martingale measure was chosen as the equivalent martingale measure.By the F-S decomposition,the expression of the locally risk minimizing strategy was presented.Finally,the local risk minimization was applied to index tracking and its relationship with tracking error variance (TEV)-minimizing strategy was obtained. 展开更多
关键词 jump diffusion processes local risk minimization insiders’ hedging index tracking
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Markovian risk process
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作者 王汉兴 颜云志 +1 位作者 赵飞 方大凡 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2007年第7期955-962,共8页
A Markovian risk process is considered in this paper, which is the generalization of the classical risk model. It is proper that a risk process with large claims is modelled as the Markovian risk model. In such a mode... A Markovian risk process is considered in this paper, which is the generalization of the classical risk model. It is proper that a risk process with large claims is modelled as the Markovian risk model. In such a model, the occurrence of claims is described by a point process {N(t)}t≥0 with N(t) being the number of jumps during the interval (0, t] for a Markov jump process. The ruin probability ψ(u) of a company facing such a risk model is mainly studied. An integral equation satisfied by the ruin probability function ψ(u) is obtained and the bounds for the convergence rate of the ruin probability ψ(u) are given by using a generalized renewal technique developed in the paper. 展开更多
关键词 risk process ruin probability Markov jump process
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研发投入跳跃、地区制度环境与经营风险
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作者 申琳 孙庆文 《科技创业月刊》 2023年第1期39-44,共6页
研发投入是企业进行创新发展的动力之本,其策略选择对增强企业核心竞争力起着至关重要的作用。在市场化进程下,企业根据内外部环境变化与现实条件对创新策略的调整愈加频繁,制度环境的不同也将导致政策工具的差异化运用。关注研发投入... 研发投入是企业进行创新发展的动力之本,其策略选择对增强企业核心竞争力起着至关重要的作用。在市场化进程下,企业根据内外部环境变化与现实条件对创新策略的调整愈加频繁,制度环境的不同也将导致政策工具的差异化运用。关注研发投入波动情况,分析论证研发投入跳跃对企业经营风险施加的影响以及地区制度环境对其的调节作用。研究结果表明:研发投入跳跃对企业经营风险产生U型影响;地区制度环境能减弱研发投入跳跃对经营风险间的影响;较优的制度环境能够帮助组织在探索与利用之间顺利转换,降低因研发投入显著性变化所导致的经营风险。 展开更多
关键词 研发投入跳跃 制度环境 经营风险 创新选择
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基于机制转换跳扩散模型的外汇挂钩的相关期权定价
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作者 宋子豪 韩苗 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第4期547-560,共14页
本文研究了机制转换跳扩散模型下外汇挂钩的相关期权的定价问题.在风险中性概率测度下,假设汇率服从机制转换均值回复模型、资产价格服从机制转换跳扩散模型,通过测度变换和傅里叶变换方法,推导出了外汇挂钩相关期权的定价公式.运用快... 本文研究了机制转换跳扩散模型下外汇挂钩的相关期权的定价问题.在风险中性概率测度下,假设汇率服从机制转换均值回复模型、资产价格服从机制转换跳扩散模型,通过测度变换和傅里叶变换方法,推导出了外汇挂钩相关期权的定价公式.运用快速傅里叶变换算法求得期权价值的数值解,并比较分析了不同模型以及一些重要参数对外汇挂钩相关期权价值的影响情况. 展开更多
关键词 期权定价 机制转换 跳扩散模型 外汇挂钩 相关期权 傅里叶变换
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跳跃风险如何影响期权复制收益?——基于多维跳跃扩散的模型与证据 被引量:8
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作者 刘杨树 郑振龙 陈蓉 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第6期74-86,共13页
文章在最一般的多维跳跃扩散过程假设下,推导出Delta对冲组合盈亏所遵循的随机过程,从理论上证明了Delta对冲组合会受到跳跃风险以及跳跃风险的风险溢酬的影响.并且,通过美国SPX期权数据对理论推导的结论进行分样本实证,实证结果表明,... 文章在最一般的多维跳跃扩散过程假设下,推导出Delta对冲组合盈亏所遵循的随机过程,从理论上证明了Delta对冲组合会受到跳跃风险以及跳跃风险的风险溢酬的影响.并且,通过美国SPX期权数据对理论推导的结论进行分样本实证,实证结果表明,在考虑了模型风险、市场信息传递效率等以往学者未曾考虑到的控制变量后,跳跃风险对于对冲标的风险后的期权复制收益的影响仍然显著,但其影响看涨看跌期权的内在途径和机理在平时、危机时刻都不相同. 展开更多
关键词 跳跃扩散过程 期权复制收益 跳跃风险 跳跃风险溢酬
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含跳跃风险的公司贷款违约率测度——基于首达时模型的理论扩展 被引量:7
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作者 黄苒 唐齐鸣 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2015年第7期93-102,共10页
在美国金融危机、欧债危机及国内各种突发事件的冲击下,我国各类公司均遭受了不同程度的损失,资产价值短时间内迅速下降,违约率急增.而基于纯扩散过程的贷款违约率测度模型无法刻画公司资产价值的这种跳跃风险.考虑到无论何时公司资产... 在美国金融危机、欧债危机及国内各种突发事件的冲击下,我国各类公司均遭受了不同程度的损失,资产价值短时间内迅速下降,违约率急增.而基于纯扩散过程的贷款违约率测度模型无法刻画公司资产价值的这种跳跃风险.考虑到无论何时公司资产价值只要低于违约门限便可能违约的特性,本文以贷款违约率首达时模型为基础,从理论上探讨了违约门限为常数及可变时,跳跃风险对贷款违约率的影响.为了使该概率测度可用于实证研究,本文还重点分析了跳跃因素引入后公司资产结构的变化,导出了公司权益价值和资产价值间的非线性关系,并给出了违约概率参数的估计方法. 展开更多
关键词 公司贷款违约率 首达时模型 跳跃风险 违约门限
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有跳风险的信用价差简化模型 被引量:4
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作者 邓国和 杨向群 《湖南师范大学自然科学学报》 CAS 北大核心 2007年第1期5-9,共5页
假定即时利差过程存在跳风险并与无风险的即时利率相关,建立了两因素信用价差简化模型.利用随机分析和偏微分方程的方法,讨论了违约债券的信用价差和违约概率的期限结构,并应用数值算例分析了期限结构的变动规律.结果表明该模型能较好... 假定即时利差过程存在跳风险并与无风险的即时利率相关,建立了两因素信用价差简化模型.利用随机分析和偏微分方程的方法,讨论了违约债券的信用价差和违约概率的期限结构,并应用数值算例分析了期限结构的变动规律.结果表明该模型能较好地拟合实际. 展开更多
关键词 跳风险 信用价差 违约债券
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考虑融雪洪水跳跃变异的水库极限防洪风险复核 被引量:8
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作者 陈伏龙 李绍飞 +2 位作者 冯平 何新林 龙爱华 《水利水电科技进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2019年第6期9-16,43,共9页
采用Pettitt非参数检验法和Mann-Kendall非参数趋势检验法分析肯斯瓦特水库年最大洪峰流量序列非一致性,确定序列变异形式,利用“分解-合成”理论进行一致性修正,得到过去、现状两种条件下年最大洪峰流量序列,将其作为水库入库融雪洪水... 采用Pettitt非参数检验法和Mann-Kendall非参数趋势检验法分析肯斯瓦特水库年最大洪峰流量序列非一致性,确定序列变异形式,利用“分解-合成”理论进行一致性修正,得到过去、现状两种条件下年最大洪峰流量序列,将其作为水库入库融雪洪水过程,根据水库防洪调度规则进行调洪演算,并通过频率分析法对两种条件下水库极限防洪风险率进行分析计算。结果表明:年最大洪峰流量序列在1993年发生变异,序列整体上升趋势不显著,跳跃变异为序列主要变异形式;根据两种条件下水库坝前最高库水位,以校核洪水位Z d=993.35 m为水库极限防洪风险控制指标,过去条件下肯斯瓦特水库极限防洪风险率为0.23123%,而现状条件下为0.35458%,两种条件下复核后的肯斯瓦特水库极限防洪风险率均大于5000年一遇的校核标准0.02%。 展开更多
关键词 融雪洪水 跳跃变异 防洪风险率 肯斯瓦特水库
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跳-扩散风险模型下的最优投资和再保策略 被引量:3
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作者 王永茂 王丹 +1 位作者 龙梅 贠小青 《郑州大学学报(理学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2015年第1期50-54,共5页
研究了跳-扩散模型下的最优投资和最优再保险策略问题.基于跳-扩散风险模型,考虑购买非便宜比例再保险,以及资产投资于无风险资产和风险资产的条件下,通过应用HJB方程理论,得到破产时期望红利最大的最优策略和值函数.同时给出了当理赔... 研究了跳-扩散模型下的最优投资和最优再保险策略问题.基于跳-扩散风险模型,考虑购买非便宜比例再保险,以及资产投资于无风险资产和风险资产的条件下,通过应用HJB方程理论,得到破产时期望红利最大的最优策略和值函数.同时给出了当理赔分布为指数分布时最优投资策略和值函数的计算方法.算例中给出了一些参数对投资策略的影响,可以看出投资策略是符合实际情况的. 展开更多
关键词 跳-扩散风险模型 HAMILTON-JACOBI-BELLMAN方程 再保险 投资策略
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