A Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Layer K-Nearest Neighbor Non-Parametric Regression Algorithm

Short-term traffic flow is one of the core technologies to realize traffic flow guidance. In this article, in view of the characteristics that the traffic flow changes repeatedly, a short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on a three-layer K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression algorithm is proposed. Specifically, two screening layers based on shape similarity were introduced in K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and the forecasting results were output using the weighted averaging on the reciprocal values of the shape similarity distances and the most-similar-point distance adjustment method. According to the experimental results, the proposed algorithm has improved the predictive ability of the traditional K-nearest neighbor non-parametric regression method, and greatly enhanced the accuracy and real-time performance of short-term traffic flow forecasting.

Strong Uniform Consistency of k-Nearest Neighbor Regression Function Estimators

<正> For a wide class of nonparametric regression functions, the nearest neighbor estimator is constructed, and the uniform measure of deviation from the estimator to the regression function is studied. Under some mild conditions, it is shown that the estimators are uniformly strongly consistent for both randomly complete data and censored data.

Active learning accelerated Monte-Carlo simulation based on the modified K-nearest neighbors algorithm and its application to reliability estimations

This paper proposes an active learning accelerated Monte-Carlo simulation method based on the modified K-nearest neighbors algorithm.The core idea of the proposed method is to judge whether or not the output of a random input point can be postulated through a classifier implemented through the modified K-nearest neighbors algorithm.Compared to other active learning methods resorting to experimental designs,the proposed method is characterized by employing Monte-Carlo simulation for sampling inputs and saving a large portion of the actual evaluations of outputs through an accurate classification,which is applicable for most structural reliability estimation problems.Moreover,the validity,efficiency,and accuracy of the proposed method are demonstrated numerically.In addition,the optimal value of K that maximizes the computational efficiency is studied.Finally,the proposed method is applied to the reliability estimation of the carbon fiber reinforced silicon carbide composite specimens subjected to random displacements,which further validates its practicability.

GHM-FKNN:a generalized Heronian mean based fuzzy k-nearest neighbor classifier for the stock trend prediction

Stock trend prediction is a challenging problem because it involves many variables.Aiming at the problem that some existing machine learning techniques, such as random forest(RF), probabilistic random forest(PRF), k-nearest neighbor(KNN), and fuzzy KNN(FKNN), have difficulty in accurately predicting the stock trend(uptrend or downtrend) for a given date, a generalized Heronian mean(GHM) based FKNN predictor named GHM-FKNN was proposed.GHM-FKNN combines GHM aggregation function with the ideas of the classical FKNN approach.After evaluation, the comparison results elucidated that GHM-FKNN outperformed the other best existing methods RF, PRF, KNN and FKNN on independent test datasets corresponding to three stocks, namely AAPL, AMZN and NFLX.Compared with RF, PRF, KNN and FKNN, GHM-FKNN achieved the best performance with accuracy of 62.37% for AAPL, 58.25% for AMZN, and 64.10% for NFLX.

The k Nearest Neighbors Estimator of the M-Regression in Functional Statistics

It is well known that the nonparametric estimation of the regression function is highly sensitive to the presence of even a small proportion of outliers in the data.To solve the problem of typical observations when the covariates of the nonparametric component are functional,the robust estimates for the regression parameter and regression operator are introduced.The main propose of the paper is to consider data-driven methods of selecting the number of neighbors in order to make the proposed processes fully automatic.We use thek Nearest Neighbors procedure(kNN)to construct the kernel estimator of the proposed robust model.Under some regularity conditions,we state consistency results for kNN functional estimators,which are uniform in the number of neighbors(UINN).Furthermore,a simulation study and an empirical application to a real data analysis of octane gasoline predictions are carried out to illustrate the higher predictive performances and the usefulness of the kNN approach.

Diagnosis of Disc Space Variation Fault Degree of Transformer Winding Based on K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm

Winding is one of themost important components in power transformers.Ensuring the health state of the winding is of great importance to the stable operation of the power system.To efficiently and accurately diagnose the disc space variation(DSV)fault degree of transformer winding,this paper presents a diagnostic method of winding fault based on the K-Nearest Neighbor(KNN)algorithmand the frequency response analysis(FRA)method.First,a laboratory winding model is used,and DSV faults with four different degrees are achieved by changing disc space of the discs in the winding.Then,a series of FRA tests are conducted to obtain the FRA results and set up the FRA dataset.Second,ten different numerical indices are utilized to obtain features of FRA curves of faulted winding.Third,the 10-fold cross-validation method is employed to determine the optimal k-value of KNN.In addition,to improve the accuracy of the KNN model,a comparative analysis is made between the accuracy of the KNN algorithm and k-value under four distance functions.After getting the most appropriate distance metric and kvalue,the fault classificationmodel based on theKNN and FRA is constructed and it is used to classify the degrees of DSV faults.The identification accuracy rate of the proposed model is up to 98.30%.Finally,the performance of the model is presented by comparing with the support vector machine(SVM),SVM optimized by the particle swarmoptimization(PSO-SVM)method,and randomforest(RF).The results show that the diagnosis accuracy of the proposed model is the highest and the model can be used to accurately diagnose the DSV fault degrees of the winding.

Unveiling the Predictive Capabilities of Machine Learning in Air Quality Data Analysis: A Comparative Evaluation of Different Regression Models

Air quality is a critical concern for public health and environmental regulation. The Air Quality Index (AQI), a widely adopted index by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), serves as a crucial metric for reporting site-specific air pollution levels. Accurately predicting air quality, as measured by the AQI, is essential for effective air pollution management. In this study, we aim to identify the most reliable regression model among linear discriminant analysis (LDA), quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA), logistic regression, and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). We conducted four different regression analyses using a machine learning approach to determine the model with the best performance. By employing the confusion matrix and error percentages, we selected the best-performing model, which yielded prediction error rates of 22%, 23%, 20%, and 27%, respectively, for LDA, QDA, logistic regression, and KNN models. The logistic regression model outperformed the other three statistical models in predicting AQI. Understanding these models' performance can help address an existing gap in air quality research and contribute to the integration of regression techniques in AQI studies, ultimately benefiting stakeholders like environmental regulators, healthcare professionals, urban planners, and researchers.

基于不规则区域划分方法的k-Nearest Neighbor查询算法

随着越来越多的数据累积,对数据处理能力和分析能力的要求也越来越高.传统k-Nearest Neighbor(k NN)查询算法由于其容易导致计算负载整体不均衡的规则区域划分方法及其单个进程或单台计算机运行环境的较低数据处理能力.本文提出并详细介绍了一种基于不规则区域划分方法的改进型k NN查询算法,并利用对大规模数据集进行分布式并行计算的模型Map Reduce对该算法加以实现.实验结果与分析表明,Map Reduce框架下基于不规则区域划分方法的k NN查询算法可以获得较高的数据处理效率,并可以较好的支持大数据环境下数据的高效查询.

Mapping aboveground biomass by integrating geospatial and forest inventory data through a k-nearest neighbor strategy in North Central Mexico

As climate change negotiations progress,monitoring biomass and carbon stocks is becoming an important part of the current forest research.Therefore,national governments are interested in developing forest-monitoring strategies using geospatial technology.Among statistical methods for mapping biomass,there is a nonparametric approach called k-nearest neighbor(kNN).We compared four variations of distance metrics of the kNN for the spatially-explicit estimation of aboveground biomass in a portion of the Mexican north border of the intertropical zone.Satellite derived,climatic,and topographic predictor variables were combined with the Mexican National Forest Inventory(NFI)data to accomplish the purpose.Performance of distance metrics applied into the kNN algorithm was evaluated using a cross validation leave-one-out technique.The results indicate that the Most Similar Neighbor(MSN)approach maximizes the correlation between predictor and response variables(r=0.9).Our results are in agreement with those reported in the literature.These findings confirm the predictive potential of the MSN approach for mapping forest variables at pixel level under the policy of Reducing Emission from Deforestation and Forest Degradation(REDD+).

Improved scheme to accelerate support vector regression

The computational cost of support vector regression in the training phase is O （N^3）, which is very expensive for a large scale problem. In addition, the solution of support vector regression is of parsimoniousness, which has relation to a part of the whole training data set. Hence, it is reasonable to reduce the training data set. Aiming at the scheme based on k-nearest neighbors to reduce the training data set with the computational complexity O （kMN^2）, an improved scheme is proposed to accelerate the reducing phase, which cuts down the computational complexity from O （kMN^2） to O （MN^2）. Finally, experimental results on benchmark data sets validate the effectiveness of the improved scheme.

Real-Time Spreading Thickness Monitoring of High-core Rockfill Dam Based on K-nearest Neighbor Algorithm

During the storehouse surface rolling construction of a core rockfilldam, the spreading thickness of dam face is an important factor that affects the construction quality of the dam storehouse' rolling surface and the overallquality of the entire dam. Currently, the method used to monitor and controlspreading thickness during the dam construction process is artificialsampling check after spreading, which makes it difficult to monitor the entire dam storehouse surface. In this paper, we present an in-depth study based on real-time monitoring and controltheory of storehouse surface rolling construction and obtain the rolling compaction thickness by analyzing the construction track of the rolling machine. Comparatively, the traditionalmethod can only analyze the rolling thickness of the dam storehouse surface after it has been compacted and cannot determine the thickness of the dam storehouse surface in realtime. To solve these problems, our system monitors the construction progress of the leveling machine and employs a real-time spreading thickness monitoring modelbased on the K-nearest neighbor algorithm. Taking the LHK core rockfilldam in Southwest China as an example, we performed real-time monitoring for the spreading thickness and conducted real-time interactive queries regarding the spreading thickness. This approach provides a new method for controlling the spreading thickness of the core rockfilldam storehouse surface.

Floating Car Data Based Nonparametric Regression Model for Short-Term Travel Speed Prediction

A K-nearest neighbor （K-NN） based nonparametric regression model was proposed to predict travel speed for Beijing expressway. By using the historical traffic data collected from the detectors in Beijing expressways, a specically designed database was developed via the processes including data filtering, wavelet analysis and clustering. The relativity based weighted Euclidean distance was used as the distance metric to identify the K groups of nearest data series. Then, a K-NN nonparametric regression model was built to predict the average travel speeds up to 6 min into the future. Several randomly selected travel speed data series, collected from the floating car data （FCD） system, were used to validate the model. The results indicate that using the FCD, the model can predict average travel speeds with an accuracy of above 90%, and hence is feasible and effective.

Pruned fuzzy K-nearest neighbor classifier for beat classification

Arrhythmia beat classification is an active area of research in ECG based clinical decision support systems. In this paper, Pruned Fuzzy K-nearest neighbor (PFKNN) classifier is proposed to classify six types of beats present in the MIT-BIH Arrhythmia database. We have tested our classifier on ~ 103100 beats for six beat types present in the database. Fuzzy KNN (FKNN) can be implemented very easily but large number of training examples used for classification can be very time consuming and requires large storage space. Hence, we have proposed a time efficient Arif-Fayyaz pruning algorithm especially suitable for FKNN which can maintain good classification accuracy with appropriate retained ratio of training data. By using Arif-Fayyaz pruning algorithm with Fuzzy KNN, we have achieved a beat classification accuracy of 97% and geometric mean of sensitivity of 94.5% with only 19% of the total training examples. The accuracy and sensitivity is comparable to FKNN when all the training data is used. Principal Component Analysis is used to further reduce the dimension of feature space from eleven to six without compromising the accuracy and sensitivity. PFKNN was found to robust against noise present in the ECG data.

Computational Intelligence Prediction Model Integrating Empirical Mode Decomposition,Principal Component Analysis,and Weighted k-Nearest Neighbor

On the basis of machine leaning,suitable algorithms can make advanced time series analysis.This paper proposes a complex k-nearest neighbor(KNN)model for predicting financial time series.This model uses a complex feature extraction process integrating a forward rolling empirical mode decomposition(EMD)for financial time series signal analysis and principal component analysis(PCA)for the dimension reduction.The information-rich features are extracted then input to a weighted KNN classifier where the features are weighted with PCA loading.Finally,prediction is generated via regression on the selected nearest neighbors.The structure of the model as a whole is original.The test results on real historical data sets confirm the effectiveness of the models for predicting the Chinese stock index,an individual stock,and the EUR/USD exchange rate.

Propagation Path Loss Models at 28 GHz Using K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm

In this paper,we develop and apply K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm to propagation pathloss regression.The path loss models present the dependency of attenuation value on distance using machine learning algorithms based on the experimental data.The algorithm is performed by choosing k nearest points and training dataset to find the optimal k value.The proposed method is applied to impove and adjust pathloss model at 28 GHz in Keangnam area,Hanoi,Vietnam.The experiments in both line-of-sight and non-line-of-sight scenarios used many combinations of transmit and receive antennas at different transmit antenna heights and random locations of receive antenna have been carried out using Wireless Insite Software.The results have been compared with 3GPP and NYU Wireless Path Loss Models in order to verify the performance of the proposed approach.

Wireless Communication Signal Strength Prediction Method Based on the K-nearest Neighbor Algorithm

Existing interference protection systems lack automatic evaluation methods to provide scientific, objective and accurate assessment results. To address this issue, this paper develops a layout scheme by geometrically modeling the actual scene, so that the hand-held full-band spectrum analyzer would be able to collect signal field strength values for indoor complex scenes. An improved prediction algorithm based on the K-nearest neighbor non-parametric kernel regression was proposed to predict the signal field strengths for the whole plane before and after being shield. Then the highest accuracy set of data could be picked out by comparison. The experimental results show that the improved prediction algorithm based on the K-nearest neighbor non-parametric kernel regression can scientifically and objectively predict the indoor complex scenes’ signal strength and evaluate the interference protection with high accuracy.

Efficient Parallel Processing of k-Nearest Neighbor Queries by Using a Centroid-based and Hierarchical Clustering Algorithm

The k-Nearest Neighbor method is one of the most popular techniques for both classification and regression purposes.Because of its operation,the application of this classification may be limited to problems with a certain number of instances,particularly,when run time is a consideration.However,the classification of large amounts of data has become a fundamental task in many real-world applications.It is logical to scale the k-Nearest Neighbor method to large scale datasets.This paper proposes a new k-Nearest Neighbor classification method(KNN-CCL)which uses a parallel centroid-based and hierarchical clustering algorithm to separate the sample of training dataset into multiple parts.The introduced clustering algorithm uses four stages of successive refinements and generates high quality clusters.The k-Nearest Neighbor approach subsequently makes use of them to predict the test datasets.Finally,sets of experiments are conducted on the UCI datasets.The experimental results confirm that the proposed k-Nearest Neighbor classification method performs well with regard to classification accuracy and performance.

Outsmarting Android Malware with Cutting-Edge Feature Engineering and Machine Learning Techniques

The growing usage of Android smartphones has led to a significant rise in incidents of Android malware andprivacy breaches.This escalating security concern necessitates the development of advanced technologies capableof automatically detecting andmitigatingmalicious activities in Android applications(apps).Such technologies arecrucial for safeguarding user data and maintaining the integrity of mobile devices in an increasingly digital world.Current methods employed to detect sensitive data leaks in Android apps are hampered by two major limitationsthey require substantial computational resources and are prone to a high frequency of false positives.This meansthat while attempting to identify security breaches,these methods often consume considerable processing powerand mistakenly flag benign activities as malicious,leading to inefficiencies and reduced reliability in malwaredetection.The proposed approach includes a data preprocessing step that removes duplicate samples,managesunbalanced datasets,corrects inconsistencies,and imputes missing values to ensure data accuracy.The Minimaxmethod is then used to normalize numerical data,followed by feature vector extraction using the Gain ratio andChi-squared test to identify and extract the most significant characteristics using an appropriate prediction model.This study focuses on extracting a subset of attributes best suited for the task and recommending a predictivemodel based on domain expert opinion.The proposed method is evaluated using Drebin and TUANDROMDdatasets containing 15,036 and 4,464 benign and malicious samples,respectively.The empirical result shows thatthe RandomForest(RF)and Support VectorMachine(SVC)classifiers achieved impressive accuracy rates of 98.9%and 98.8%,respectively,in detecting unknown Androidmalware.A sensitivity analysis experiment was also carriedout on all three ML-based classifiers based on MAE,MSE,R2,and sensitivity parameters,resulting in a flawlessperformance for both datasets.This approach has substantial potential for real-world applications and can serve asa valuable tool for preventing the spread of Androidmalware and enhancing mobile device security.

煤矿井下钻进速度影响因素及其智能预测方法研究

在煤矿井下钻探领域,钻进速度(DR)是评估钻探作业最有效的指标之一,钻速预测是实现煤矿钻进智能化的前提条件,对于优化钻机钻进参数、降低作业成本、实现安全高效钻探具有重要意义。为此,提出煤矿井下钻进速度影响因素及其智能预测方法研究,探索基于钻压、转速、扭矩以及钻进深度等少量钻机参数采用机器学习算法实现钻进速度精准预测。首先通过实验室微钻试验,深入分析煤岩力学性能、钻压、转速和钻进深度对扭矩、钻进速度影响规律。研究结果显示,在煤矿井下钻进过程中,随着钻进压力增大,钻进速度呈逐渐升高趋势,在较高的转速条件下钻进压力对钻进速度影响更加明显,转速增加有利于提高钻进速度,但转速对硬度较低的煤层钻进速度影响更为显著;然后,根据煤矿井下防冲钻孔现场数据,采用K–近邻(KNN)、支持向量回归(SVR)和随机森林回归(RFR)3种不同的机器学习算法建立钻进速度预测模型,并结合粒子群算法(PSO)对3种模型超参数进行优化,最后对比分析PSO–KNN,PSO–SVR和PSO–RFR三种钻进速度预测模型预测结果。研究结果表明,PSO–RFR模型准确性最好,决定系数R2高达0.963,均方误差MSE仅有29.742,而PSO–SVR模型鲁棒性最好,在对抗攻击后评价指标变化率最小。本文研究有助于实现煤矿井下钻进速度的精准预测,为煤矿井下智能钻进参数优化提供理论支撑。

基于集成学习的交通事故严重程度预测研究与应用

目前自动驾驶技术重点是关注如何主动避免碰撞,然而在面对其他交通参与者入侵而导致不可避免的碰撞事故场景时,预测车辆在不同行驶模式下的碰撞严重程度来降低事故严重程度的研究却很少。为此,提出一种双层Stacking事故严重程度预测模型。基于真实交通事故数据集NASS-CDS完成训练,模型输入为车辆传感器可感知得到的事故相关特征,输出为车内乘员最高受伤级别。在第1层中,通过实验对不同学习器组合进行训练,最终综合考虑预测性能以及耗时挑选K近邻、自适应提升树、极度梯度提升树作为基学习器;在第2层中,为降低过拟合,采用逻辑回归作为元学习器。实验结果表明,该方法准确率达到85.01%,在精确率、召回率和F1值方面优于其他个体模型和集成模型,该预测结果可作为智能车辆决策规划模块先验信息,帮助车辆做出正确的决策,减缓事故损害。最后阐述了模型在L_(2)辅助驾驶与L_(4)自动驾驶车辆中的应用,在常规车辆安全防护的基础上进一步提升车辆的安全性。