Employing a random forest model to forecast the likelihood of coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease: a study centered on four biomarkers

Background:Kawasaki disease is an acute immune vasculitis,which is more common in children under 5 years old.Kawasaki disease mainly affects the cardiovascular system,especially the coronary arteries.Once coronary artery damage occurs,it can significantly impact the patient’s prognosis.Therefore,in some countries and regions,Kawasaki disease has become a common acquired heart disease.Methods:First,univariate analysis was conducted on each predictive factor.Then,Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator and random forest algorithms were used to screen all predictive factors,and the prediction model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curve,calibration curve,and Decision Curve Analysis.Results:This study,based on data from 228 Kawasaki disease patients,utilized a random forest model to identify four predictive factors:white blood cell count,creatine kinase isoenzyme MB,albumin,and neutrophil count.These factors were used to construct a prediction model,which achieved an area under the curve of 0.743.Conclusions:We developed a forest plot based on white blood cell count,creatine kinase isoenzyme MB,albumin,and neutrophil count to effectively predict the occurrence of coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease.

A Meta-analysis of the Biomarkers Associated with Coronary Artery Lesions Secondary to Kawasaki Disease in Chinese Children

The biomarkers associated with coronary artery lesions （CAL） secondary to Kawasaki disease （KD） in Chinese children were investigated by using Meta-analysis. We searched documents published from January 1997 to December 2009 from medical electronic databases. According to inclusion and exclusion criteria, eligible full-text papers were identified. We conducted a comprehensive quantitative analysis by using Stata10.0 statistical software package to assess the heterogeneity among the documents, calculated the summary effect and analyze publication bias and sensitivity. A total of 92 documents and 16 biomarkers were identified. All documents were case-control studies, and included 2398 patients in CAL group and 5932 patients in non-CAL （NCAL） group. The Meta-analysis showed that the levels of platelet count, platelet hematocrit （PCT）, neutrophils count, platelet distribution width （PDW）, mean platelet volume （MPV）, erythrocyte sedimentation rate （ESR）, cardiac troponin Ⅰ （cTnI）, and endothelin-1 （ET-1） in CAL group were significantly higher than those in NCAL group, and serum albumin （Alb） and hemoglobin （Hb） levels were significantly lower in CAL group （all P〈0.05）. White blood cell （WBC） count, serum sodium, matrix metalloproteinase 9 （MMP-9）, total cholesterol （TC）, hematocrit （HCT） and CD3＋T lymphocytes percentage had no statistically significant difference between the two groups. In conclusion, our results indicated that the 10 biomarkers including platelet count, neutrophils count, PCT, PDW, MPV, ESR, cTnI, ET-1, Alb and Hb were associated with CAL, and may be involved in the pathogenesis of CAL. The biomarkers of WBC count, serum sodium, MMP-9, TC, HCT, and CD3＋T lymphocytes percentage bore no relationship with the development of CAL among Chinese children with KD.

Reevaluation of the Efficacy of Intravenous Gammaglobulin in the Prevention and Treatment of Coronary Artery Lesion in Kawasaki Disease

In order to objectively evaluate the efficacy of intravenous gammaglobulin (IVIG) in the prevention and treatment of coronary artery lesion (CAL) in Kawasaki disease (KD) and the related factors influencing the IVIG efficacy, 314 children with KD were reviewed retrospectively and comparatively and were divided into IVIG plus aspirin group and ASA group. The occurrence and restoration of CAL in these two groups as well as many laboratory and clinical indexes including average hospital stay (days), total fever duration, defervescence time, platelet count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C reactive protein etc. were observed. The incidence of CAL was 39.5 % in the children with KD. In the IVIG+ASA group, the incidence of CAL was 34.3 % and 56.0 % in ASA group respectively (P<0.001). The incidence of CAL was reduced in the group in which 2.0 g/kg or 1.0 g/kg IVIG was administered as compared with the group in which IVIG was administered at a dose ≤0.6 g/kg or ≥3.0 g/kg (P<0.05). CAL occurred less frequently when IVIG was administered at 3-10 days of the course than that when IVIG was administered ≤3 days or >10 days (P<0.05). About 13.4 % of the CAL treated with IVIG was not recovered at the 12 th month of the course, mostly in the groups in which only ASA was administered and IVIG treatment was started 10 days later. The hospital stay (days), defervescence time, total fever duration, platelet count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate and C reactive protein were significantly reduced in IVIG+ASA group as compared with those in the ASA group (P<0.05). IVIG treatment can remarkably shorten the course of patients with KD and decrease the incidence of CAL, but the efficacy of IVIG in the prevention and treatment of KD disease is not as expected by people, therefore, reevaluation of the practical efficacy of IVIG is required.

Echocardiography in Diagnosis and Prevention of the Coronary Artery Lesions in Kawasaki Disease

Kawasaki disease (muco-cutaneous lymph node syndrome, MCLS) was first reported by Kawasaki in 1967. It was characteried by nonvascular polymorphous rash, fever, ulcer in oral mucosa, edema of hands of feet, cervix lymphadenopathy and desquamations in peripheral extremities. Because of unknown pathogens, no lab examination was available as a single easily recognized diagnostic marker; the diagnosis is

Emerging role of computed tomography coronary angiography in evaluation of children with Kawasaki disease

Coronary artery abnormalities are the most important complications in children with Kawasaki disease(KD).Two-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography currently is the standard of care for initial evaluation and follow-up of children with KD.However,it has inherent limitations with regard to evaluation of mid and distal coronary arteries and,left circumflex artery and the poor acoustic window in older children often makes evaluation difficult in this age group.Catheter angiography(CA)is invasive,has high radiation exposure and fails to demonstrate abnormalities beyond lumen.The limitations of echocardiography and CA necessitate the use of an imaging modality that overcomes these problems.In recent years advances in computed tomography technology have enabled explicit evaluation of coronary arteries along their entire course including major branches with optimal and acceptable radiation exposure in children.Computed tomography coronary angiography(CTCA)can be performed during acute as well as convalescent phases of KD.It is likely that CTCA may soon be considered the reference standard imaging modality for evaluation of coronary arteries in children with KD.

Radiation dose analysis of computed tomography coronary angiography in Children with Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND There is evolving role of computed tomography coronary angiography(CTCA)in non-invasive evaluation of coronary artery abnormalities in children with Kawasaki disease(KD).Despite this,there is lack of data on radiation dose in this group of children undergoing CTCA.AIM To audit the radiation dose of CTCA in children with KD.METHODS Study(December 2013-February 2018)was performed on dual source CT scanner using adaptive prospective electrocardiography-triggering.The dose length product(DLP in milligray-centimeters-mGy.cm)was recorded.Effective radiation dose(millisieverts-mSv)was calculated by applying appropriate age adjusted conversion factors as per recommendations of International Commission on Radiological Protection.Radiation dose was compared across the groups(0-1,1-5,5-10,and>10 years).RESULTS Eighty-five children(71 boys,14 girls)with KD underwent CTCA.The median age was 5 years(range,2 mo-11 years).Median DLP and effective dose was 21 mGy.cm,interquartile ranges(IQR)=15(13,28)and 0.83 mSv,IQR=0.33(0.68,1.01)respectively.Mean DLP increased significantly across the age groups.Mean effective dose in infants(0.63 mSv)was significantly lower than the other age groups(1-5 years 0.85 mSv,5-10 years 1.04 mSv,and>10 years 1.38 mSv)(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the effective dose between the other groups of children.All the CTCA studies were of diagnostic quality.No child required a repeat examination.CONCLUSION CTCA is feasible with submillisievert radiation dose in most children with KD.Thus,CTCA has the potential to be an important adjunctive imaging modality in children with KD.

Coronary artery aneurysms caused by Kawasaki disease in an adult:A case report and literature review

BACKGROUND Kawasaki disease(KD) is a self-limiting febrile illness and an acute vasculitis with an unknown origin.It predominantly affects children aged < 5 years.KD is the common cause of acquired heart disease in children.We here report a case of KD in an asymptomatic young female patient diagnosed with multiple coronary aneurysms with calcification.CASE SUMMARY A 29-year-old female patient admitted to Hangzhou First People’s Hospital with coronary artery abnormality identified for 1 wk.The patient was asymptomatic;however,chest computed tomography occasionally revealed strip-like dense shadows in the coronal sulcus.After coronary angiography and Doppler echocardiography,the final diagnosis was coronary artery aneurysms(CAAs) caused by KD.Although the patient was asymptomatic with no history of KD in childhood,the definitive diagnosis was CAAs caused by KD.The patient was administered anticoagulant,and surgical treatment was recommended.CONCLUSION KD potentially causes CAAs in 25% of untreated cases,primarily occurring in the proximal portions of the coronary arteries.

AST-to-ALT ratio and coronary artery lesions among patients with Kawasaki disease

Background The aim of this study was to explore the associations between the aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio(AST/ALT)and coronary artery lesions(CALs)among patients with Kawasaki disease(KD).Methods Medical records of KD patients presenting to a single center between January 2019 and December 2020 were retrospectively collected and analyzed.Univariate,multivariable-adjusted analyses,subgroup analyses,restricted cubic spline test,and fitted curves were used to evaluate the associations between AST/ALT and CALs.Results A total of 831 patients were enrolled,of which 201(24.2%)had CALs on admission and 21(2.5%)developed CALs de novo after intravenous immunoglobulin(IVIG).Multivariable-adjusted analyses models revealed that a lower AST/ALT was associated with an increased risk of CALs on admission when AST/ALT was a continuous variable(P=0.007)and when it was a categorical variable(P for trend=0.004).Each unit increase in AST/ALT was associated with a 22%lower risk of CALs on admission(odds ratio=0.78,95%confidence interval 0.65-0.94).A negative linear relationship was noted between AST/ALT and the risk of CALs on admission in both observed and fitted models.However,such associations were not observed in AST/ALT and CALs de novo after IVIG.None of the variables significantly modified the association between AST/ALT and CALs on admission and CALs de novo after IVIG(P>0.05).Conclusion Our findings suggested that AST/ALT was a risk factor of CALs,but was not associated with progressive CALs.

Risk of coronary arterial lesions in immunoglobulin resistant Kawasaki disease

Objective: High-dose intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) decreases the risk for development of coronary arterial lesions (CAL) in Kawasaki disease (KD) while patients resistant to IVIG have higher risk. This study is aimed to investigate an additional therapy affects the risk for CAL in IVIG resistant KD. Design: The information from 11,510 children with KD was collected by the nationwide survey (2003-2004) in Japan. The secondary therapeutic strategies for IVIG resistant KD were an additional IVIG dose, steroids or both. The incidence of CAL was compared among 4 groups: G1, children responded to initial IVIG;G2, IVIG resistant patients receiving an additional IVIG dose;G3, IVIG resistant patients receiving additional steroids;G4, IVIG resistant patients receiving an additional IVIG dose plus steroids. CAL was assessed at 30th day of illness using ultrasound echocardiography. Results: 2229 patients (19.4%) were resistant to initial IVIG. Incidence of CAL was significantly lower in children responding to initial IVIG than in IVIG resistant patients (1.9% and 11.0%, respectively;odd’s ratio 6.3). The incidences of CAL in an each additional therapy group were as follows: G2: 6.7%, G3: 9.7%, G4: 22.2%. The risk for CAL was significantly higher in G4 as compared with G2 and G3. Giant aneurysmal formation (GA) was more frequently developed in G3 and G4 consisting of the patients receiving steroids (G1: 0.03%, G2: 0.63%, G3: 4.3%, G4: 3.7%). Conclusion: The incidence of CAL was considerably high in IVIG resistant KD and an additional therapy by steroids may increase the risk for GA.

OPCAB (Off Pump Coronary Artery Bypass) for Kawasaki Disease

We hereby report a case of Kawasaki disease in a 32 year old male, with giant aneurysm of both coronary arteries and severe LV (left ventricular) dysfunction who underwent OPCAB (off pump coronary artery bypass grafting) two years ago. He presented with acute myocardial infarction of his anterior wall of left ventricle. He was stabilised with medical management and was taken up for surgery when his enzymes became normal. His LV function had improved over the time and now has a good ejection fraction.

Biomarkers of intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease

Background Currently,there are no reliable indicators for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery lesions in the early stage of Kawasaki disease.Methods A total of 300 patients with Kawasaki disease were studied retrospectively.Laboratory data were compared between the intravenous immunoglobulin resistant (29 patients) and responsive groups,and between the groups with coronary artery lesions (48 patients) and without coronary artery lesions.Results The intravenous immunoglobulin resistant group had significantly higher D-dimer,globulin,interleukin-6 and serum ferritin levels in comparison to the intravenous immunoglobulin responder group.D-dimer level had a sensitivity of 87.0% and a specificity of 56.3% for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance at a cutoff point of 1.09 mg/L.Globulin had a sensitivity of 62.1% and a specificity of 82.3% for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance at a cutoff point of 34.7 g/L.Serum ferritin level had a sensitivity of 42.9% and a specificity of 88.8% for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance at a cutoff point of 269.7 ng/mL.The patients with coronary artery lesions had higher D-dimer and tumor necrosis factor-α level.D-dimer level had a sensitivity of 50% and a specificity of 78.6% for predicting coronary artery lesions at a cutoff point of 1.84 mg/L.Based on analysis by multivariate logistic regression,serum ferritin and globulin were independent risks for intravenous immunoglobulin resistance,D-dimer was independent risk for coronary artery lesions.Conclusions Elevated serum ferritin,globulin and D-dimer levels are significantly associated with intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease.Moreover,serum D-dimer is significantly increased in Kawasaki disease with coronary artery lesions.

PERCUTANEOUS TRANSLUMINAL CORONARY ANGIOPLASTY FOR COMPLICATED CORONARY ARTERY LESIONS

Objective To research the effect of percutaneous transluminalcoronary angioplasty (PTCA) on treating complicated artery lesions.Methods Type B or type C of complicated coronary artery lesionswere confirmed by selective coronary angingraphy in 16 cases with coronaryheart disease.Gruentzig’s method was used in carring out PTCA.Results Fifteen of sixteen and thirty-two of thirty-five parts ofcoronary artery lesions were dilated successfully,the success rate was 93.7%and 88.5%,respectively.In failed four parts of PTCA,three parts werebecause of the guilding wire or the balloon failed to pass the narrow arterythrough,the other one was unable to be performed for the occurrencedsevere arrthymia during the procedure.Four stents were implantend foracute accident.Symptoms of the successful cases were improved ordisappeared after PTCA.Conclusion PTCA is also fit in treating complicated coronary arterylesions and has a better therapeutic effect,but it has more complications andrun more risks relatively.

Incomplete Kawasaki disease complicated with acute abdomen: A case report

Kawasaki disease(KD)is an acute systemic vasculitis characterized by unknown etiology.CASE SUMMARY A 4.5-year-old boy developed an acute abdomen during the onset of incomplete KD.He still had persistent abdominal pain after undergoing exploratory laparotomy and appendectomy.Ultrasound examination at early onset revealed a giant coronary artery aneurysm.The patient developed a myocardial infarction and heart failure accompanied by respiratory and cardiac arrest.He underwent coronary artery revascularization and coronary artery bypass graft using an autologous internal mammary artery.After the operation,the cardiac output increased,and the symptoms of heart failure resolved.Follow-up evaluation at 1 mo after operation showed that the patient's cardiac function had restored to New York Heart Association standard Grade I heart failure,and normal growth was obtained.CONCLUSION Coronary artery revascularization and coronary artery bypass graft is an effective method for treating myocardial ischemia in children with KD complicated with giant coronary artery aneurysm.Nevertheless,some issues still need specific attention.

Nursing care of 25 children with Kawasaki disease

Objective The aim of this study is to estimate the incidence and describe the diagnosis,treatment and nursing care of Kawasaki Disease among children in Guilin city,Guangxi Province,China.The study is also designed to assess clinical aspects of retrospection,management and outcome,specifically in relation to cardiac disease.Methods To retrospectively collected the clinical data of pediatric patients with Kawasaki's disease at the Affiliated Hospital of Guilin Medical University in China,which covered a two-year period from 2015 to 2016.Results During the two-year study period,a total of 25 cases of Kawasaki disease were reported in the hospitals,comprising of 11 boys and 14 girls(male-female ratio was 1∶1.27).The seasonal distribution showed a slightly higher incidence in spring and summer.The patients’mean age of onset was 2.78 years old.The average hospitalization days of patients were 8.08(range from 5 to18days).16 Kawasaki patients were diagnosed as bronchial pneumonia.Coronary arterial abnormalities were detected during follow up by UCG in 5 cases,but no coronary artery aneurysm was found.All 25 patients recovered and were discharged from the hospital.Conclusion Early treatment and proper nursing management are key issues to prevent the occurrence of coronary artery aneurysm in Kawasaki Disease patients.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in a young adult survivor with sequelae of childhood Kawasaki disease: A case report

BACKGROUND Kawasaki disease(KD)is an acute type of systemic vasculitis involving small to medium-sized muscular arteries and outbreaks during childhood.KD can cause myocardial ischemia,infarction,and sudden cardiac arrest.We present a case of a young adult survivor of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest as late KD sequelae.CASE SUMMARY A 29-year-old man with presumed acute KD history at the age of 5 suddenly lost consciousness while jogging and was diagnosed a sudden cardiac arrest by an emergency doctor.After about 10 min cardiopulmonary resuscitation,return of spontaneous circulation was achieved,and the patient was transferred to our hospital.A coronary computed tomography angiogram and coronary angiography revealed extensive calcifications of left anterior descending and right coronary artery aneurysms.The patient was an active individual who took exercise regularly and claimed no previous symptoms of chest pain or shortness of breath on exertion.The most possible cause of his sudden cardiac arrest could be presumed as a thrombus within the coronary artery aneurysms.After that,a thromboembolism induced extensive ischemia,and this ischemia-induced arrhythmia led to a cardiac arrest.CONCLUSION Few patients who suffer a late sequela of KD can survive from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.Medications,surgical intervention,and active follow-up are extremely important for this patient to prevent occurrence of adverse events in the future.

Treatment Options for Refractory Kawasaki Disease

Kawasaki Disease (KD) is a self-limiting systemic vasculitis common among children under five years of age. Diagnosis of the disease is made primarily from the clinical features presented during the illness. Coronary artery aneurysm (CAA) is the main complication of this disease which can be prevented largely by the early diagnosis and administration of IVIG (Intravenous Immunoglobulin). Even with first dose of IVIG up to 10% - 20% of patients develop refractory Kawasaki Disease, i.e., remain unresponsive to initial IVIG treatment. Second dose of IVIG is recommended treatment for refractory Kawasaki Disease but other alternative treatments are also being considered to lower the risk of complications. Different drugs are still in trial phase and some others have limited studies on larger population. Most of the study reports that involved newer drugs have limited patients or are from single centers which are very hard to apply to larger population. We will review general treatment approach in refractory Kawasaki disease.

Coronary artery bypass grafting for Kawasaki disease

Background Kawasaki disease （KD） is the leading cause of pediatric ischemic heart disease. The incidence of serious coronary sequelae is low and about 2%-3% of patients with KD, but once myocardial infarction occurs in children, the mortality is quite high and 22% at the first infarction.This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of coronary artery bypass grafting （CABG） in patients with KD. Methods Eight patients with a history of KD underwent CABG between October 1997 and July 2005. The number of bypass grafts placed was 2 to 4 per patient （mean 2.5±0.8）. Various bypass grafts were used in patients, i.e. the left internal mammary artery （LIMA） in 3 patients, bilateral internal mammary artery （IMA） in 2 patients, LIMA plus gastroepiploic artery （GEA） in 1 patient and total saphenous vein grafts （SVGs） in 2 patients. The combined procedures included ventricular aneurysmectomy in 1 patient, mitral valve plasty in 1 and right coronary aneurysmectomy in 1. One patient was not able to wean from cardiopulmonary bypass （CPB）, after being supported with intra-aortic balloon pump （IABP）, the patient was weaned from CPB successfully. Results One patient died of low cardiac output syndrome and acute renal failure 19 days after operation. Other patients recovered and were discharged uneventfully. During the follow-up that ranged from 3 to 57 months （mean 27 months）, clincal angina disappeared or improved. Cardiac function was in Class I-II （NYHA）.Conclusion CABG is a safe and effective procedure for Kawasaki coronary artery disease. However long-term results need to be followed up.

Coronary artery bypass grafting in an adult patient with coronary artery aneurysm due to Kawasaki disease

Kawasaki disease （KD）, first reported by Kawasaki in .1967, is an extremely rare clinical event with adults in China. Here we describe a 39-year-old man who requires bypass surgery because of the significant coronary arterial disease caused by assumed KD in childhood.

Research progress on the correlation between S100protein family and Kawasaki disease with coronary artery aneurysm

Background Kawasaki disease(KD)is the systemic vasculitis with unknown cause.The S100 protein outside cells have an important effect on congenital and adaptive immunity,chemotaxis,white blood cell(WBC)and tumor cell invasion,tissue growth and repair.Recently,multiple works have investigated the value of S100 proteins as the predictive biomarker of KD.The most serious complication of KD is coronary artery aneurysm(CAA).KD is the most common cause of acquired heart disease among children within developed countries and a risk factor for myocardial infarction in early adulthood.Early treatment with intravenous immunoglobulin(IVIG)has been shown to reduce the risk of CAA in KD from 15%-25%to about 4%.S100 family proteins are calcium-binding proteins,some of which have been shown to have intracellular and extracellular functions associated with inflammation.Persistent elevation of S100 protein level(S100A8/A9 and S100A12)after IVIG therapy was reported in patients suffering CAA.In this paper,the role and mechanism of S100 protein family in CAA development in patients with KD were briefly reviewed.

Corticosteroid Therapy Might be Associated with the Development of Coronary Aneurysm in Children with Kawasaki Disease

Background：Coronary artery lesions （CALs） are known to be the main complication in children with Kawasaki disease （KD）.Instead of intravenous immunoglobulin （IVIG）,corticosteroid therapy has been accepted to be used for children with KD who are unresponsive to IVIG.This study aimed to evaluate risk factors for CALs in children with KD.Methods：We retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 2331 children with KD from January 2005 to December 2014.To identify the independent risk factors for CALs,multivariable logistic regression models were constructed using significant variables identified from univariate logistic regression analysis.Results：The incidence of CALs was 36.0% （840 of 2331）,including 625 （26.8%） coronary artery dilations and 215 （9.2%） coronary artery aneurysms （CAAs）.Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified that male,incomplete KD,longer fever duration,and C-reactive protein （CRP） 〉 100 mg/L were independent risk factors for coronary artery dilatations.On the other hand,male,incomplete KD,longer fever duration,prolonged days of illness at the initial treatment,corticosteroid therapy,sodium ≤133 mmol/L,and albumin 〈35 g/L were the independent risk factors for CAAs.In addition,corticosteroid therapy,prolonged days of illness at the initial treatment,and albumin 〈35 g/L were the independent risk factors for giant CAAs.Conclusions：CALs might be associated with male sex,incomplete KD,longer fever duration,prolonged days of illness at the initial treatment,albumin 〈35 g/L,sodium ≤ 133 mmol/L,CRP 〉 100 mg/L,and corticosteroid therapy.Corticosteroid therapy was an independent risk factor for CAAs and giant CAAs.Thus,corticosteroids should be used with caution in the treatment of KD with the risk for CALs.