在分析关于光伏电站项目当前政策的基础上,建立了对标燃煤标杆上网电价的光伏发电平准化度电成本(LCOE)模型,并与实物期权方法相结合,考虑项目延迟期权与放弃期权的复合实物期权价值,构建了全面反映项目竞争力价值的扩展平准化度电成本(...在分析关于光伏电站项目当前政策的基础上,建立了对标燃煤标杆上网电价的光伏发电平准化度电成本(LCOE)模型,并与实物期权方法相结合,考虑项目延迟期权与放弃期权的复合实物期权价值,构建了全面反映项目竞争力价值的扩展平准化度电成本(extended levelized cost of energy,ELCOE)模型,并以某光伏电站项目为例进行了分析。分析结果表明:平价上网机制下,建立的LCOE模型能够直接对标燃煤标杆上网电价,且ELCOE模型考虑了光伏电站项目未来收益的不确定性与管理灵活性,弥补了LCOE法忽略项目未来不确定性价值的不足,避免决策失误。展开更多
This article presents the results of comparative study of two PV solar modules technologies,namely monofacial and bifacial.This study main objective is to identify conditions and parameters that make it possible to ob...This article presents the results of comparative study of two PV solar modules technologies,namely monofacial and bifacial.This study main objective is to identify conditions and parameters that make it possible to obtain better energy and economic efficiency from one or other of two technologies.The study reason lies in revival observed on bifacial module in recent years where all the major manufacturers of PV solar panels are developing them where in a few years,this technology risks being at the same price as the monofacial solar panel with better efficiency.Economic indicator used is energy levelized cost(LCOE)which is function technology type,energy productivity,annual investment and operation cost.To achieve this,a 3.685 MWc solar PV power plant was dimensioned and simulated under Matlab for a 3.5 ha site with a 2,320,740,602 FCFA budget for monofacial installation,against 1,925,188,640 FCFA for 2.73 MWc bifacial installation.The LCOE comparative analysis of two technologies calculated over a period of 25 years,showed that plant with bifacial panels is more beneficial if bifacial gain is greater than 9%.It has further been found that it is possible to gain up to 40%of invested cost if bifacial gain reaches 45%.Finally,a loss of about 10%of invested cost could be recorded if bifacial gain is less than 9%.展开更多
文摘在分析关于光伏电站项目当前政策的基础上,建立了对标燃煤标杆上网电价的光伏发电平准化度电成本(LCOE)模型,并与实物期权方法相结合,考虑项目延迟期权与放弃期权的复合实物期权价值,构建了全面反映项目竞争力价值的扩展平准化度电成本(extended levelized cost of energy,ELCOE)模型,并以某光伏电站项目为例进行了分析。分析结果表明:平价上网机制下,建立的LCOE模型能够直接对标燃煤标杆上网电价,且ELCOE模型考虑了光伏电站项目未来收益的不确定性与管理灵活性,弥补了LCOE法忽略项目未来不确定性价值的不足,避免决策失误。
文摘This article presents the results of comparative study of two PV solar modules technologies,namely monofacial and bifacial.This study main objective is to identify conditions and parameters that make it possible to obtain better energy and economic efficiency from one or other of two technologies.The study reason lies in revival observed on bifacial module in recent years where all the major manufacturers of PV solar panels are developing them where in a few years,this technology risks being at the same price as the monofacial solar panel with better efficiency.Economic indicator used is energy levelized cost(LCOE)which is function technology type,energy productivity,annual investment and operation cost.To achieve this,a 3.685 MWc solar PV power plant was dimensioned and simulated under Matlab for a 3.5 ha site with a 2,320,740,602 FCFA budget for monofacial installation,against 1,925,188,640 FCFA for 2.73 MWc bifacial installation.The LCOE comparative analysis of two technologies calculated over a period of 25 years,showed that plant with bifacial panels is more beneficial if bifacial gain is greater than 9%.It has further been found that it is possible to gain up to 40%of invested cost if bifacial gain reaches 45%.Finally,a loss of about 10%of invested cost could be recorded if bifacial gain is less than 9%.