Future changes in rainfall, temperature and reference evapotranspiration in the central India by least square support vector machine

Climate change affects the environment and natural resources immensely. Rainfall, temperature and evapotranspiration are major parameters of climate affecting changes in the environment. Evapotrans- piration plays a key role in crop production and water balance of a region, one of the major parameters affected by climate change. The reference evapotranspiration or ETo is a calculated parameter used in this research. In the present study, changes in the future rainfall, minimum and maximum temperature, and ETo have been shown by downscaling the HadCM3 （Hadley Centre Coupled Model version 3） model data. The selected study area is located in a part of the Narmada river basin area in Madhya Pradesh in central India. The downscaled outputs of projected rainfall, ETo and temperatures have been shown for the 21st century with the HADCM3 data of A2 scenario by the Least Square Support Vector Machine （LS-SVM） model. The efficiency of the LS-SVM model was measured by different statistical methods. The selected predictors show considerable correlation with the rainfall and temperature and the application of this model has been done in a basin area which is an agriculture based region and is sensitive to the change of rainfall and temperature. Results showed an increase in the future rainfall, temperatures and ETo. The temperature increase is projected in the high rise of minimum temperature in winter time and the highest increase in maximum temperature is projected in the pre-monsoon season or from March to May. Highest increase is projected in the 2080s in 2081-2091 and 2091-2099 in maximum temperature and 2091-2099 in minimum temperature in all the stations. Winter maximum temperature has been observed to have increased in the future. High rainfall is also observed with higher ETo in some decades. Two peaks of the increase are observed in ETo in the April-May and in the October. Variation in these parameters due to climate change might have an impact on the future water resource of the study area, which is mainly an agricultural based region, and will help in proper planning and management.

Application of particle swarm optimization-based least square support vector machine in quantitative analysis of extraction solution of yangxinshi tablet using near infrared spectroscopy

A particle swarm optimization(PSO)-based least square support vector machine(LS-SVM)method was investigated for quantitative analysis of extraction solution of Y angxinshi tablet using near infrared(NIR)spectroscopy.The usable spectral region(5400-6200cm^(-1))was identified,then the first derivative spectra smoothed using a Savitzky-Golay filter were employed to establish calibration models.The PSO algorithm was applied to select the LS-SVM hyper-parameters(including the regularization and kernel parametens).The calibration models of total flavonoids,puerarin,salvianolic acid B and icarin were established using the optimumn hyper-parameters of LS SVM.The performance of LS SVM models were compared with partial least squares(PLS)regression,feed forward back propagation network(BPANN)and support vector machine(SVM).Experimental results showed that both the calibration results and prediction accuracy of the PSO-based LS SVM method were superior to PLS,BP-ANN and SVM.For PSO-based LS-SVM models,the determination cofficients(R2)for the calibration set were above 0.9881,and the RSEP values were controlled within 5.772%.For the validation set,the RMSEP values were close to RMSEC and less than 0.042,the RSEP values were under 8.778%,which were much lower than the PLS,BP-ANN and SVM models.The PSO-based LS SVM algorithm employed in this study exhibited excellent calibration performance and prediction accuracy,which has definite practice significance and application value.

Least Squares One-Class Support Tensor Machine

One-class classification problem has become a popular problem in many fields, with a wide range of applications in anomaly detection, fault diagnosis, and face recognition. We investigate the one-class classification problem for second-order tensor data. Traditional vector-based one-class classification methods such as one-class support vector machine (OCSVM) and least squares one-class support vector machine (LSOCSVM) have limitations when tensor is used as input data, so we propose a new tensor one-class classification method, LSOCSTM, which directly uses tensor as input data. On one hand, using tensor as input data not only enables to classify tensor data, but also for vector data, classifying it after high dimensionalizing it into tensor still improves the classification accuracy and overcomes the over-fitting problem. On the other hand, different from one-class support tensor machine (OCSTM), we use squared loss instead of the original loss function so that we solve a series of linear equations instead of quadratic programming problems. Therefore, we use the distance to the hyperplane as a metric for classification, and the proposed method is more accurate and faster compared to existing methods. The experimental results show the high efficiency of the proposed method compared with several state-of-the-art methods.

A predictive model of chemical flooding for enhanced oil recovery purposes:Application of least square support vector machine

Applying chemical flooding in petroleum reservoirs turns into interesting subject of the recent researches.Developing strategies of the aforementioned method are more robust and precise when they consider both economical point of views(net present value(NPV))and technical point of views(recovery factor(RF)).In the present study huge attempts are made to propose predictive model for specifying efficiency of chemical flooding in oil reservoirs.To gain this goal,the new type of support vector machine method which evolved by Suykens and Vandewalle was employed.Also,high precise chemical flooding data banks reported in previous works were employed to test and validate the proposed vector machine model.According to the mean square error(MSE),correlation coefficient and average absolute relative deviation,the suggested LSSVM model has acceptable reliability;integrity and robustness.Thus,the proposed intelligent based model can be considered as an alternative model to monitor the efficiency of chemical flooding in oil reservoir when the required experimental data are not available or accessible.

An Approximate Linear Solver in Least Square Support Vector Machine Using Randomized Singular Value Decomposition

In this paper, we investigate the linear solver in least square support vector machine（LSSVM） for large-scale data regression. The traditional methods using the direct solvers are costly. We know that the linear equations should be solved repeatedly for choosing appropriate parameters in LSSVM, so the key for speeding up LSSVM is to improve the method of solving the linear equations. We approximate large-scale kernel matrices and get the approximate solution of linear equations by using randomized singular value decomposition（randomized SVD）. Some data sets coming from University of California Irvine machine learning repository are used to perform the experiments. We find LSSVM based on randomized SVD is more accurate and less time-consuming in the case of large number of variables than the method based on Nystrom method or Lanczos process.

Least-Square Support Vector Machine and Wavelet Selection for Hearing Loss Identification

Hearing loss(HL)is a kind of common illness,which can significantly reduce the quality of life.For example,HL often results in mishearing,misunderstanding,and communication problems.Therefore,it is necessary to provide early diagnosis and timely treatment for HL.This study investigated the advantages and disadvantages of three classical machine learning methods:multilayer perceptron(MLP),support vector machine(SVM),and least-square support vector machine(LS-SVM)approach andmade a further optimization of the LS-SVM model via wavelet entropy.The investigation illustrated that themultilayer perceptron is a shallowneural network,while the least square support vector machine uses hinge loss function and least-square optimizationmethod.Besides,a wavelet selection method was proposed,and we found db4 can achieve the best results.The experiments showed that the LS-SVM method can identify the hearing loss disease with an overall accuracy of three classes as 84.89±1.77,which is superior to SVM andMLP.The results show that the least-square support vector machine is effective in hearing loss identification.

Intelligent control for large-scale variable speed variable pitch wind turbines

Large-scale wind turbine generator systems have strong nonlinear multivariable characteristics with many uncertain factors and disturbances. Automatic control is crucial for the efficiency and reliability of wind turbines. On the basis of simplified and proper model of variable speed variable pitch wind turbines, the effective wind speed is estimated using extended Kaiman filter. Intelligent control schemes proposed in the paper include two loops which operate in synchronism with each other. At below-rated wind speed, the inner loop adopts adaptive fuzzy control based on variable universe for generator torque regulation to realize maximum wind energy capture. At above-rated wind speed, a controller based on least square support vector machine is proposed to adjust pitch angle and keep rated output power. The simulation shows the effectiveness of the intelligent control.

Regressive approach for predicting bearing capacity of bored piles from cone penetration test data

In this study, th e least sq u are su p p o rt v ecto r m achine （LSSVM） alg o rith m w as applied to predicting th ebearing capacity o f b ored piles e m b ed d ed in sand an d m ixed soils. Pile g eo m etry an d cone p e n e tra tio nte s t （CPT） resu lts w ere used as in p u t variables for pred ictio n o f pile bearin g capacity. The d ata u se d w erecollected from th e existing litera tu re an d consisted o f 50 case records. The application o f LSSVM w ascarried o u t by dividing th e d ata into th re e se ts： a train in g se t for learning th e pro b lem an d obtain in g arelationship b e tw e e n in p u t variables an d pile bearin g capacity, and testin g an d validation sets forevaluation o f th e predictive an d g en eralization ability o f th e o b tain ed relationship. The predictions o f pilebearing capacity by LSSVM w ere evaluated by com paring w ith ex p erim en tal d ata an d w ith th o se bytrad itio n al CPT-based m eth o d s and th e gene ex pression pro g ram m in g （GEP） m odel. It w as found th a t th eLSSVM perform s w ell w ith coefficient o f d eterm in atio n , m ean, an d sta n d ard dev iatio n equivalent to 0.99,1.03, an d 0.08, respectively, for th e testin g set, an d 1, 1.04, an d 0.11, respectively, for th e v alidation set. Thelow values o f th e calculated m ean squared e rro r an d m ean ab so lu te e rro r indicated th a t th e LSSVM w asaccurate in p redicting th e pile bearing capacity. The results o f com parison also show ed th a t th e p roposedalg o rith m p red icted th e pile bearin g capacity m ore accurately th a n th e trad itio n al m eth o d s including th eGEP m odel.

Model Parameter Transfer for Gear Fault Diagnosis under Varying Working Conditions

Gear fault diagnosis technologies have received rapid development and been effectively implemented in many engineering applications.However,the various working conditions would degrade the diagnostic performance and make gear fault diagnosis(GFD)more and more challenging.In this paper,a novel model parameter transfer(NMPT)is proposed to boost the performance of GFD under varying working conditions.Based on the previous transfer strategy that controls empirical risk of source domain,this method further integrates the superiorities of multi-task learning with the idea of transfer learning(TL)to acquire transferable knowledge by minimizing the discrepancies of separating hyperplanes between one specific working condition(target domain)and another(source domain),and then transferring both commonality and specialty parameters over tasks to make use of source domain samples to assist target GFD task when sufficient labeled samples from target domain are unavailable.For NMPT implementation,insufficient target domain features and abundant source domain features with supervised information are fed into NMPT model to train a robust classifier for target GFD task.Related experiments prove that NMPT is expected to be a valuable technology to boost practical GFD performance under various working conditions.The proposed methods provides a transfer learning-based framework to handle the problem of insufficient training samples in target task caused by variable operation conditions.

Determination of rock depth using artificial intelligence techniques

This article adopts three artificial intelligence techniques, Gaussian Process Regression（GPR）, Least Square Support Vector Machine（LSSVM） and Extreme Learning Machine（ELM）, for prediction of rock depth（d） at any point in Chennai. GPR, ELM and LSSVM have been used as regression techniques.Latitude and longitude are also adopted as inputs of the GPR, ELM and LSSVM models. The performance of the ELM, GPR and LSSVM models has been compared. The developed ELM, GPR and LSSVM models produce spatial variability of rock depth and offer robust models for the prediction of rock depth.

Combined forecast method of HMM and LS-SVM about electronic equipment state based on MAGA

For the deficiency that the traditional single forecast methods could not forecast electronic equipment states, a combined forecast method based on the hidden Markov model（HMM） and least square support vector machine（LS-SVM） is presented. The multi-agent genetic algorithm（MAGA） is used to estimate parameters of HMM to overcome the problem that the Baum-Welch algorithm is easy to fall into local optimal solution. The state condition probability is introduced into the HMM modeling process to reduce the effect of uncertain factors. MAGA is used to estimate parameters of LS-SVM. Moreover, pruning algorithms are used to estimate parameters to get the sparse approximation of LS-SVM so as to increase the ranging performance. On the basis of these, the combined forecast model of electronic equipment states is established. The example results show the superiority of the combined forecast model in terms of forecast precision,calculation speed and stability.

Fault Diagnosis of Overflow Valve Based on Trispectrum

The high-order spectrum can effectively remove Gaussian noise. The three-spectrum and its slices represent random signals from a higher probability structure. It can not only qualitatively describe the linearity and nonlinearity of vibration signals closely related to mechanical failures, Gaussian and non-Gaussian Performance, and can greatly improve the accuracy of mechanical fault diagnosis. The two-dimensional slices of trispectrum in normal and fault states show different peak characteristics. 2-D wavelet multi-level decomposition can effectively compress 2-D array information. Least squares support vector machine can obtain the global optimum under limited samples, thus avoiding the local optimum problem, and has the advantage of reducing computational complexity. In this paper, 2-D wavelet multi-level decomposition is used to extract features of trispectrum 2-D slices, and input LSSVM to diagnose the fault of the pressure reducing valve, which has achieved good results.

Improved Model of Radial Vibration in Switched Reluctance Motor Including Magnetic Saturation

This paper proposes an improved method for the prediction of radial vibration in switched reluctance motor(SRM)considering magnetic saturation.In this paper,the basic modeling principle is briefly introduced,it is based on the derivation that the peak acceleration is dependent on the product of phase current and current gradient idi/dt.However,the derivation may cause errors due to saturation effect.Thus in this paper,the discrete sample data are firstly acquired based on DC pulse measurement method,by which electromagnetic,torque and peak acceleration characteristics can all be acquired.Then the entire peak acceleration characteristics are obtained by improved Least Square Support Vector Machine(LSSVM).Based on the obtained static peak acceleration characteristics,the time-varied radial vibration model is established based on superposition of natural oscillations of dominant vibration modes.Finally,a simulation model is built up using MATLAB/Simulink.The good agreement between simulation and experiment shows that the proposed method for modeling is feasible and accurate,even under saturation.In addition,since LSSVM does not need any prior knowledge,it is much easier for modeling compared with other existing literatures.

On the prediction of filtration volume of drilling fluids containing different types of nanoparticles by ELM and PSO-LSSVM based models

There is a direct link between the extent of formation damage and the filtration volume of the drilling fluids in hydrocarbon reservoirs.The filtration volume can be diminished by adding different additives to the drilling fluids.Recently,nanoparticles have been extensively used for enhancing the filtration characteristics of the drilling fluids.However,there is no reliable model for investigating the influence of this class of additives on the performance of drilling fluids.Hence in this study,two powerful tools ELM(extreme learning machine)and PSO-LSSVM(particle swarm optimization-least square support vector machine)are applied to determine the effect of various nanoparticles on the filtration volume.The assessment of the models is carried out by computing the statistical parameters,and it is found that ELM has a greater ability to predict the filtration volumes,while PSO-LSSVM performs satisfactorily too.The model predictions and experimental results are in excellent agreement as suggested by the values of root mean squared error(RMSE=0.2459),coefficient of determination(R^(2)=0.999),and mean relative error(MRE=2.028%)for the dataset.The statistical analysis shows that the suggested model can predict the filtration volume with great accuracy.Moreover,through sensitivity analysis of the input parameters,it is found that for a specified nanoparticle,the filtration volume is highly influenced by nanoparticle concentration and it is the essential variable for the optimization process.

Determination of oil well production performance using artificial neural network (ANN) linked to the particle swarm optimization (PSO) tool

Greater complexity is involved in the transient pressure analysis of horizontal oil wells in contrast to vertical wells,as the horizontal wells are considered entirely horizontal and parallel with the top and underneath boundaries of the oil reserve.Therefore,there is an essential need to estimate productivity of horizontal wells accurately to examine the effectiveness of a horizontal well in terms of technical and economic prospects.In this work,novel and rigorous methods based on two different types of intelligent approaches including the artificial neural network(ANN)linked to the particle swarm optimization(PSO)tool are developed to precisely forecast the productivity of horizontal wells under pseudo-steady-state conditions.It was found that there is very good match between the modeling output and the real data taken from the literature,so that a very low average absolute error percentage is attained(e.g.,<0.82%).The developed techniques can be also incorporated in the numerical reservoir simulation packages for the purpose of accuracy improvement as well as better parametric sensitivity analysis.

Low parameter model to monitor bottom hole pressure in vertical multiphase flow in oil production wells

The importance of the flow patterns through petroleum production wells proved for upstream experts to provide robust production schemes based on the knowledge about flow behavior.To provide accurate flow pattern distribution through production wells,accurate prediction/representation of bottom hole pressure(BHP)for determining pressure drop from bottom to surface play important and vital role.Nevertheless enormous efforts have been made to develop mechanistic approach,most of the mechanistic and conventional models or correlations unable to estimate or represent the BHP with high accuracy and low uncertainty.To defeat the mentioned hurdle and monitor BHP in vertical multiphase flow through petroleum production wells,inventive intelligent based solution like as least square support vector machine(LSSVM)method was utilized.The evolved first-break approach is examined by applying precise real field data illustrated in open previous surveys.Thanks to the statistical criteria gained from the outcomes obtained from LSSVM approach,the proposed least support vector machine(LSSVM)model has high integrity and performance.Moreover,very low relative deviation between the model estimations and the relevant actual BHP data is figured out to be less than 6%.The output gained from LSSVM model are closed the BHP while other mechanistic models fails to predict BHP through petroleum production wells.Provided solutions of this study explicated that implies of LSSVM in monitoring bottom-hole pressure can indicate more accurate monitoring of the referred target which can lead to robust design with high level of reliability for oil and gas production operation facilities.

Natural disaster warning system for safe operation of a high-speed railway

In this paper,the least square support vector machine(LSSVM)is used to study the safety of a high-speed railway.According to the principle of LSSVM regression prediction,the parameters of the LSSVM are optimized to model the natural disaster early warning of safe operation of a high-speed railway,and the management measures and methods of high-speed railway safety operation under natural disasters are given.The relevant statistical data of China’s high-speed railway are used for training and verification.The experimental results show that the LSSVM can well reflect the nonlinear relationship between the accident rate and the influencing factors,with high simulation accuracy and strong generalization ability,and can effectively predict the natural disasters in the safe operation of a high-speed railway.Moreover,the early warning system can improve the ability of safety operation evaluation and early warning of high-speed railway under natural disasters,realize the development goals of high-speed railway(safety,speed,economic,low-carbon and environmental protection)and provide a theoretical basis and technical support for improving the safety of a high-speed railway.

Comparative Study of Reverse Algorithms via Artificial Neural Networks Based on Simulated Indentation Tests

The advances in the instrumented indentation equipments and the need to assess the properties of materials of small volume such as those constitute the micro-electro-mechanical devices, micro-electronic packages, and thin films have propelled the interest in material characterization via indentation tests. The load-displacement curves and their characteristics, namely, the curvature of the loading path, C, and the ratio of the remaining and total work done, WR / WT, can be conveniently obtained from finite element simulations for various elasto-plastic material properties. The paper reports the comparative study on two reverse neural networks algorithms involving several combinations of databases established from the results obtained from simulated indentation tests. The performance of each set of results is analyzed and the most appropriate algorithm identified and reported. The approach with the selected neural networks model has great potential in practical applications on the characterization of a small volume of materials.

Multiscale prediction of wind speed and output power for the wind farm

This paper focuses on establishing the multiscale prediction models for wind speed and power in wind farm by the average wind speed collected from the history records. Each type of the models is built with different time scales and by different approaches. There are three types of them that a short-term model for a day ahead is based on the least squares support vector machine （LSSVM）, a medium-term model for a month ahead is on the combination of LSSVM and wavelet transform （WT）, and a long-term model for a year ahead is on the empirical mode decomposition （EMD） and recursive least square （RLS） approaches. The simulation studies show that the average value of the mean absolute percentage error （MAPE） is 4.91%, 6.57% and 16.25% for the short-term, the medium-term and the long-term prediction, respectively. The predicted data also can be used to calculate the predictive values of output power for the wind farm in different time scales, combined with the generator＇s power characteristic, meteorologic factors and unit efficiency under various operating conditions.

LSSVM-based approach for refining soil failure criteria and calculating safety factor of slopes

The failure criteria of practical soil mass are very complex,and have significant influence on the safety factor of slope stability.The Coulomb strength criterion and the power-law failure criterion are classically simplified.Each one has limited applicability owing to the noticeable difference between calculated predictions and actual results in some cases.In the work reported here,an analysis method based on the least square support vector machine(LSSVM),a machine learning model,is purposefully provided to establish a complex nonlinear failure criterion via iteration computation based on strength test data of the soil,which is of more extensive applicability to many problems of slope stability.In particular,three evaluation indexes including coefficient of determination,mean absolute percentage error,and mean square error indicate that fitting precision of the machine learning-based failure criterion is better than those of the linear Coulomb criterion and nonlinear power-law criterion.Based on the proposed LSSVM approach to determine the failure criterion,the limit equilibrium method can be used to calculate the safety factor of three-dimensional slope stability.Analysis of results of the safety factor of two three-dimensional homogeneous slopes shows that the maximum relative errors between the proposed approach and the linear failure criterion-based method and the power-law failure criterion-based method are about 12%and 7%,respectively.