A comprehensive economic analysis of twenty light olefin production pathways has been performed,covering current and promising processes from fossil(petroleum,coal and natural gas)and renewable resources(biomass and C...A comprehensive economic analysis of twenty light olefin production pathways has been performed,covering current and promising processes from fossil(petroleum,coal and natural gas)and renewable resources(biomass and CO_(2)).Taking steam cracking of naphtha as the benchmark,this study gives an economic perspective and points out the bottleneck in different olefin production pathways.The assessment indicates that nearly all renewable pathways are economically unattractive currently and the raw material cost accounts for dominant contribution in most pathways,especially in the oil-,natural gas-and CO_(2)-derived pathways.For the ways of methanol-to-olefins and methanol-to-propylene,fossil pathways are cost-competitive according to the date of current Chinese market prices.However,the price of feedstock hydrogen needs to be lowered by 55%to fill the cost gap between CO_(2)-derived pathways and the benchmark.For the ways of oxidative coupling of methane and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis to olefins,fossil pathways enable cost-competitive processes by feedstock price fall,but further process improvement is required to approach benchmark in renewable pathways.Conditionally,a decrease in ethanol price by45%can make ethanol dehydration pathway profitable.In addition,costs can reduce by 4%-23%in different pathways as the production scales expand from 100 to 1000 kt/a,resulting in a change from high cost to economic profit for some of the pathways.The results quantify the need for improvements on feedstock price,scale size and process improvement to achieve competitive production costs.展开更多
从分子筛催化剂和工艺(包括UOP公司的甲醇制烯烃(MTO)技术、Lurg i公司的甲醇制丙烯(MTP)技术、ExxonM ob il公司提出的含氧化合物制烯烃(OTO)技术)两方面综述了近年来国外一些大公司在甲醇转化制烯烃方面的研究进展,分析了未来可能的...从分子筛催化剂和工艺(包括UOP公司的甲醇制烯烃(MTO)技术、Lurg i公司的甲醇制丙烯(MTP)技术、ExxonM ob il公司提出的含氧化合物制烯烃(OTO)技术)两方面综述了近年来国外一些大公司在甲醇转化制烯烃方面的研究进展,分析了未来可能的发展动向。展开更多
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(21721004,21961130378,21711530020)the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China(2018YFE0117300)Dalian Science and Technology Innovation Fund(2019J11CY009)。
文摘A comprehensive economic analysis of twenty light olefin production pathways has been performed,covering current and promising processes from fossil(petroleum,coal and natural gas)and renewable resources(biomass and CO_(2)).Taking steam cracking of naphtha as the benchmark,this study gives an economic perspective and points out the bottleneck in different olefin production pathways.The assessment indicates that nearly all renewable pathways are economically unattractive currently and the raw material cost accounts for dominant contribution in most pathways,especially in the oil-,natural gas-and CO_(2)-derived pathways.For the ways of methanol-to-olefins and methanol-to-propylene,fossil pathways are cost-competitive according to the date of current Chinese market prices.However,the price of feedstock hydrogen needs to be lowered by 55%to fill the cost gap between CO_(2)-derived pathways and the benchmark.For the ways of oxidative coupling of methane and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis to olefins,fossil pathways enable cost-competitive processes by feedstock price fall,but further process improvement is required to approach benchmark in renewable pathways.Conditionally,a decrease in ethanol price by45%can make ethanol dehydration pathway profitable.In addition,costs can reduce by 4%-23%in different pathways as the production scales expand from 100 to 1000 kt/a,resulting in a change from high cost to economic profit for some of the pathways.The results quantify the need for improvements on feedstock price,scale size and process improvement to achieve competitive production costs.
