BACKGROUND Traditional lymph node stage(N stage)has limitations in advanced gastric remnant cancer(GRC)patients;therefore,establishing a new predictive stage is necessary.AIM To explore the predictive value of positiv...BACKGROUND Traditional lymph node stage(N stage)has limitations in advanced gastric remnant cancer(GRC)patients;therefore,establishing a new predictive stage is necessary.AIM To explore the predictive value of positive lymph node ratio(LNR)according to clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of locally advanced GRC.METHODS Seventy-four patients who underwent radical gastrectomy and lymphadenectomy for locally advanced GRC were retrospectively reviewed.The relationship between LNR and clinicopathological characteristics was analyzed.The survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression model.RESULTS Number of metastatic LNs,tumor diameter,depth of tumor invasion,Borrmann type,serum tumor biomarkers,and tumor-node-metastasis(TNM)stage were correlated with LNR stage and N stage.Univariate analysis revealed that the factors affecting survival included tumor diameter,anemia,serum tumor biomarkers,vascular or neural invasion,combined resection,LNR stage,N stage,and TNM stage(all P<0.05).The median survival time for those with LNR0,LNR1,LNR2 and LNR3 stage were 61,31,23 and 17 mo,respectively,and the differences were significant(P=0.000).Anemia,tumor biomarkers and LNR stage were independent prognostic factors for survival in multivariable analysis(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION The new LNR stage is uniquely based on number of metastatic LNs,with significant prognostic value for locally advanced GRC,and could better differentiate overall survival,compared with N stage.展开更多
BACKGROUND Colon cancer(CC)is one of the most common cancers of the digestive tract,the third most common cancer worldwide,and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths.Previous studies have demonstrated a...BACKGROUND Colon cancer(CC)is one of the most common cancers of the digestive tract,the third most common cancer worldwide,and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths.Previous studies have demonstrated a higher risk of lymph node metastasis(LNM)in young patients with CC.It might be reasonable to treat patients with early-onset locally advanced CC with extended lymph node dissection.However,few studies have focused on early-onset CC(ECC)patients with LNM.At present,the methods of predicting and evaluating the prognosis of ECC patients with LNM are controversial.From the data of patients with CC obtained from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)database,data of young patients with ECC(≤50 years old)was screened.Patients with unknown data were excluded from the study,while the remaining patients were included.The patients were randomly divided into a training group(train)and a testing group(test)in the ratio of 7:3,while building the model.The model was constructed by the training group and verified by the testing group.Using multiple Cox regression models to compare the prediction efficiency of LNM indicators,nomograms were built based on the best model selected for overall survival(OS)and cause-specific survival(CSS).In the two groups,the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by constructing a calibration plot,time-dependent area under the curve(AUC),and decision curve analysis.Finally,the patients were grouped based on the risk score predicted by the prognosis model,and the survival curve was constructed after comparing the survival status of the high and low-risk groups.RESULTS Records of 26922 ECC patients were screened from the SEER database.N classification,positive lymph nodes(PLN),lymph node ratio(LNR)and log odds of PLN(LODDS)were considered to be independent predictors of OS and CSS.In addition,independent risk factors for OS included gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,and M classification,while the independent prognostic factors for CSS included race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,and M classification.The prediction model including LODDS is composed of minimal Akaike information criterion,maximal concordance indexes,and AUCs.Factors including gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were integrated into the OS nomogram,while race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were included into the CSS nomogram.The nomogram representing both cohorts had been successfully verified in terms of prediction accuracy and clinical practicability.CONCLUSION LODDS is superior to N-stage,PLN,and LNR of ECC.The nomogram containing LODDS might be helpful in tumor evaluation and clinical decision-making,since it provides an appropriate prediction of ECC.展开更多
BACKGROUND: The prognostic factors related to lymph node involvement [lymph node status, the number of positive lymph nodes, lymph node ratio (LNR)] and the number of nodes evaluated in patients with pancreatic ade...BACKGROUND: The prognostic factors related to lymph node involvement [lymph node status, the number of positive lymph nodes, lymph node ratio (LNR)] and the number of nodes evaluated in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma after pancreatectomy are poorly defined. METHODS: A total of 167 patients who had undergone resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma from February 2010 to August 2011 were included in this study. Histological examination was performed to evaluate the tumor differentiation and lymph node involvement. Univariate and multivariate analyses were made to determine the relationship between the variables related to nodal involvement and the number of nodes and survival. RESULTS: The median number of total nodes examined was 10 (range 0-44) for the entire cohort. The median number of total nodes examined in node-negative (pN0) patients was similar to that in node-positive (pN1) patients. Patients with pN1 diseases had significantly worse survival than those with pN0 ones (P=0.000). Patients with three or more positive nodes had a poorer prognosis compared with those with the negative nodes (P=0.000). The prognosis of the patients with negative nodes was similar to that of those with one to two positive nodes (P=0.114). The median survival of patients with an LNR ≥0.4 was shorter than that of patients with an LNR 〈0.4 in the pN1 cohort (P=0.014). No significance was found between the number of total nodes examined and the prognosis, regardless of the cutoff of 10 or 12 and in the entire cohort or the pN0 and pN1 groups. Based on the multivariate analysis of the entire cohort and the pN1 group, the nodal status, the number of positive nodes and the LNR were all associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to the nodal status, the number of positive nodes and the LNR can serve as comprehensive factors for the evaluation of nodal involvement. This approach may be more effective for predicting the survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma after pancreatectomy.展开更多
Objective: Our aims were to establish novel nomogram models, which directly targeted patients with signet ring cell carcinoma(SRC), for individualized prediction of overall survival(OS) rate and cancer-specific surviv...Objective: Our aims were to establish novel nomogram models, which directly targeted patients with signet ring cell carcinoma(SRC), for individualized prediction of overall survival(OS) rate and cancer-specific survival(CSS).Methods: We selected 1,365 SRC patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results(SEER) database, and then randomly partitioned them into a training cohort and a validation cohort.Independent predicted indicators, which were identified by using univariate testing and multivariate analyses, were used to construct our prognostic nomogram models. Three methods, Harrell concordance index(C-index), receiver operating characteristics(ROC) curve and calibration curve, were used to assess the ability of discrimination and predictive accuracy. Integrated discrimination improvement(IDI), net reclassification improvement(NRI) and decision curve analysis(DCA) were used to assess clinical utility of our nomogram models.Results: Six independent predicted indicators, age, race, log odds of positive lymph nodes(LODDS), T stage, M stage and tumor size, were associated with OS rate. Nevertheless, only five independent predicted indicators were associated with CSS except race. The developed nomograms based on those independent predicted factors showed reliable discrimination. C-index of our nomogram for OS and CSS was 0.760 and 0.763, which were higher than American Joint Committee on Cancer(AJCC) 8 th edition tumor-node-metastasis(TNM) staging system(0.734 and 0.741, respectively). C-index of validation cohort for OS was 0.757 and for CSS was 0.773. The calibration curves also performed good consistency. IDI, NRI and DCA showed the nomograms for both OS and CSS had a comparable clinical utility than the TNM staging system.Conclusions: The novel nomogram models based on LODDS provided satisfying predictive ability of SRC both in OS and CSS than AJCC 8 th edition TNM staging system alone.展开更多
BACKGROUND Signet ring cell carcinoma is a rare type of oesophageal cancer,and we hypothesized that log odds of positive lymph nodes(LODDS)is a better prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma.AIM T...BACKGROUND Signet ring cell carcinoma is a rare type of oesophageal cancer,and we hypothesized that log odds of positive lymph nodes(LODDS)is a better prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma.AIM To explore a novel prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma by comparing two lymph node-related prognostic factors,log odds of positive LODDS and N stage.METHODS A total of 259 cases of oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma after oesophagectomy were obtained from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database between 2006 and 2016.The prognostic value of LODDS and N stage for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses.The Akaike information criterion and Harrell’s C-index were used to assess the value of two prediction models based on lymph nodes.External validation was performed to further confirm the conclusion.RESULTS The 5-year cancer-specific survival(CSS)and 5-year overall survival(OS)rates of all the cases were 41.3%and 27.0%,respectively.The Kaplan-Meier method showed that LODDS had a higher score of log rank chi-squared(OS:46.162,CSS:41.178)than N stage(OS:36.215,CSS:31.583).Univariate analyses showed that insurance,race,T stage,M stage,TNM stage,radiation therapy,N stage,and LODDS were potential prognostic factors for OS(P<0.1).The multivariate Cox regression model showed that LODDS was an significant independent prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring carcinoma patients after surgical resection(P<0.05),while N stage was not considered to be a significant prognostic factor(P=0.122).Model 2(LODDS)had a higher degree of discrimination and fit than Model 1(N stage)(LODDS vs N stage,Harell’s C-index 0.673 vs 0.656,P<0.001;Akaike information criterion 1688.824 vs 1697.519,P<0.001).The results of external validation were consistent with those in the study cohort.CONCLUSION LODDS is a superior prognostic factor to N stage for patients with oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma after oesophagectomy.展开更多
BACKGROUND Colorectal neuroendocrine neoplasms(NENs)are a rare malignancy that primarily arises from the diffuse distribution of neuroendocrine cells in the colon and rectum.Previous studies have pointed out that the ...BACKGROUND Colorectal neuroendocrine neoplasms(NENs)are a rare malignancy that primarily arises from the diffuse distribution of neuroendocrine cells in the colon and rectum.Previous studies have pointed out that the status of lymph node may be used to predict the prognosis.AIM To investigate the predictive values of lymph node ratio(LNR),positive lymph node(PLN),and log odds of PLNs(LODDS)staging systems on the prognosis of colorectal NENs treated surgically,and compare their predictive values.METHODS This cohort study included 895 patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database.The endpoint was mortality of patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically.X-tile software was utilized to identify most suitable thresholds for categorizing the LNR,PLN,and LODDS.Participants were selected in a random manner to form training and testing sets.The prognosis of surgically treating colorectal NENs was examined using multivariate cox analysis to assess the associations of LNR,PLN,and LODDS with the prognosis of colorectal NENs.C-index was used for assessing the predictive effectiveness.We conducted a subgroup analysis to explore the different lymph node staging systems’predictive values.RESULTS After adjusting all confounding factors,PLN,LNR and LODDS staging systems were linked with mortality in patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically(P<0.05).We found that LODDS staging had a higher prognostic value for patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically than PLN and LNR staging systems.Similar results were obtained in the different G staging subgroup analyses.Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values for LODDS staging system remained consistently higher than those of PLN or LNR,even at the 1-,2-,3-,4-,5-and 6-year follow-up periods.CONCLUSION LNR,PLN,and LODDS were found to significantly predict the prognosis of patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically.展开更多
BACKGROUND The prognostic significance of lymph nodes(LNs)metastases and the optimum number of LN yield in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours(GEP NETs)undergoing curative resection is still debatable.Many s...BACKGROUND The prognostic significance of lymph nodes(LNs)metastases and the optimum number of LN yield in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours(GEP NETs)undergoing curative resection is still debatable.Many studies have demonstrated that cure rate for patients with GEP NETs can be improved by the resection of the primary tumour and regional lymphadenectomy AIM To evaluate the effect of lymph node(LN)status and yield on relapse-free survival(RFS)and overall survival(OS)in patients with resected GEP NETs.METHODS Data on patients who underwent curative resection for GEP NETs between January 2002 and March 2017 were analysed retrospectively.Grade 3 tumours(Ki67>20%)were excluded.Univariate Cox proportional hazard models were computed for RFS and OS and assessed alongside cut-point analysis to distinguish a suitable binary categorisation of total LNs retrieved associated with RFS.RESULTS A total of 217 patients were included in the study.The median age was 59 years(21-97 years)and 51%(n=111)were male.Primary tumour sites were small bowel(42%),pancreas(25%),appendix(18%),rectum(7%),colon(3%),gastric(2%),others(2%).Median follow up times for all patients were 41 mo(95%CI:36-51)and 71 mo(95%CI:63–76)for RFS and OS respectively;50 relapses and 35 deaths were reported.LNs were retrieved in 151 patients.Eight or more LNs were harvested in 106 patients and LN positivity reported in 114 patients.Three or more positive LNs were detected in 62 cases.The result of univariate analysis suggested perineural invasion(P=0.0023),LN positivity(P=0.033),LN retrieval of≥8(P=0.047)and localisation(P=0.0049)have a statistically significant association with shorter RFS,but there was no effect of LN ratio on RFS:P=0.1 or OS:P=0.75.Tumour necrosis(P=0.021)and perineural invasion(P=0.016)were the only two variables significantly associated with worse OS.In the final multivariable analysis,localisation(pancreas HR=27.33,P=0.006,small bowel HR=32.44,P=0.005),and retrieval of≥8 LNs(HR=2.7,P=0.036)were independent prognostic factors for worse RFS.CONCLUSION An outcome-oriented approach to cut-point analysis can suggest a minimum number of adequate LNs to be harvested in patients with GEP NETs undergoing curative surgery.Removal of≥8 LNs is associated with increased risk of relapse,which could be due to high rates of LN positivity at the time of surgery.Given that localisation had a significant association with RFS,a prospective multicentre study is warranted with a clear direction on recommended surgical practice and follow-up guidance for GEP NETs.展开更多
背景与目的:当前,对于中低位局部晚期直肠癌和T4bM0的潜在可切除结肠癌患者,指南均推荐新辅助治疗策略,以提高治疗的缓解率和增加转化性切除的可能性。其中对于ypⅢ期的结直肠癌(colorectal cancer,CRC)患者,均使用国际抗癌联盟(Union f...背景与目的:当前,对于中低位局部晚期直肠癌和T4bM0的潜在可切除结肠癌患者,指南均推荐新辅助治疗策略,以提高治疗的缓解率和增加转化性切除的可能性。其中对于ypⅢ期的结直肠癌(colorectal cancer,CRC)患者,均使用国际抗癌联盟(Union for International Cancer Control,UICC)/美国癌症联合会(American Joint Committee on Cancer,AJCC)TNM分期系统评估术后病理学特征。然而,新辅助治疗会导致术区淋巴结退缩,检出淋巴结数不足12枚的患者无法按照常规的TNM分期进行划分,因此TNM分期常无法预测接受过新辅助治疗的ypⅢ期患者的预后。本研究旨在评估阳性淋巴结比率(positive lymph node ratio,LNR)在接受新辅助治疗的ypⅢ期CRC患者中的预后价值。方法:回顾性分析2008—2018年在复旦大学附属肿瘤医院接受新辅助治疗且行根治性手术的ypⅢ期CRC患者。收集患者手术时的年龄、性别、原发肿瘤位置、肿瘤分化等级、病理学分期以及随访期间患者是否复发或死亡等临床病理学特征。纳入标准:接受新辅助治疗和手术且术后病理学检查证实为Ⅲ期的CRC患者。排除标准:①术前影像学检查或术中探查发现已有远处脏器转移;②有既往恶性肿瘤病史;③多原发性CRC。本研究通过复旦大学附属肿瘤医院医学伦理委员会批准(伦理编号:050432-4-2108*)。使用R软件的survminer包(surv_cutpoint算法)计算LNR相对于无病生存期(disease-free survival,DFS)的最佳临界值并依此将患者分为低LNR组和高LNR组,比较两组的临床病理学特征和DFS。采用COX比例风险回归模型筛选不良病理学特征并使用survival包和rms包绘制DFS列线图预测模型。结果:共纳入489例患者,男性289例,女性200例,中位年龄为56岁(23~80岁),中位随访时间为1062 d。随访期间,164例(33.5%)患者死亡。整个队列中,204例(41.7%)患者检出淋巴结数不足12枚。LNR的最佳临界值为0.29,317例患者划为低LNR组(LNR≤0.29),172例患者划为高LNR组(LNR>0.29)。高LNR组相比低LNR组DFS更短[风险比(hazard ratio,HR)=2.103,95%CI:1.582~2.796,P<0.0001]。多变量COX回归分析显示,LNR是DFS的独立预后危险因素(HR=1.825,95%CI:1.391~2.394,P<0.001)。根据纳入LNR的多分类DFS列线图预测模型可以有效地评估接受新辅助治疗的Ⅲ期CRC患者的DFS。结论:LNR是ypⅢ期CRC患者的独立预后因素,与其他不良临床病理学特征联合使用具有良好的DFS预测效力。因此,将LNR作为TNM分期的补充可以提高CRC的预后评估准确率。展开更多
基金Shanghai Municipal Committee of Science and Technology,No.21Y11913200。
文摘BACKGROUND Traditional lymph node stage(N stage)has limitations in advanced gastric remnant cancer(GRC)patients;therefore,establishing a new predictive stage is necessary.AIM To explore the predictive value of positive lymph node ratio(LNR)according to clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis of locally advanced GRC.METHODS Seventy-four patients who underwent radical gastrectomy and lymphadenectomy for locally advanced GRC were retrospectively reviewed.The relationship between LNR and clinicopathological characteristics was analyzed.The survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression model.RESULTS Number of metastatic LNs,tumor diameter,depth of tumor invasion,Borrmann type,serum tumor biomarkers,and tumor-node-metastasis(TNM)stage were correlated with LNR stage and N stage.Univariate analysis revealed that the factors affecting survival included tumor diameter,anemia,serum tumor biomarkers,vascular or neural invasion,combined resection,LNR stage,N stage,and TNM stage(all P<0.05).The median survival time for those with LNR0,LNR1,LNR2 and LNR3 stage were 61,31,23 and 17 mo,respectively,and the differences were significant(P=0.000).Anemia,tumor biomarkers and LNR stage were independent prognostic factors for survival in multivariable analysis(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION The new LNR stage is uniquely based on number of metastatic LNs,with significant prognostic value for locally advanced GRC,and could better differentiate overall survival,compared with N stage.
文摘BACKGROUND Colon cancer(CC)is one of the most common cancers of the digestive tract,the third most common cancer worldwide,and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths.Previous studies have demonstrated a higher risk of lymph node metastasis(LNM)in young patients with CC.It might be reasonable to treat patients with early-onset locally advanced CC with extended lymph node dissection.However,few studies have focused on early-onset CC(ECC)patients with LNM.At present,the methods of predicting and evaluating the prognosis of ECC patients with LNM are controversial.From the data of patients with CC obtained from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results(SEER)database,data of young patients with ECC(≤50 years old)was screened.Patients with unknown data were excluded from the study,while the remaining patients were included.The patients were randomly divided into a training group(train)and a testing group(test)in the ratio of 7:3,while building the model.The model was constructed by the training group and verified by the testing group.Using multiple Cox regression models to compare the prediction efficiency of LNM indicators,nomograms were built based on the best model selected for overall survival(OS)and cause-specific survival(CSS).In the two groups,the performance of the nomogram was evaluated by constructing a calibration plot,time-dependent area under the curve(AUC),and decision curve analysis.Finally,the patients were grouped based on the risk score predicted by the prognosis model,and the survival curve was constructed after comparing the survival status of the high and low-risk groups.RESULTS Records of 26922 ECC patients were screened from the SEER database.N classification,positive lymph nodes(PLN),lymph node ratio(LNR)and log odds of PLN(LODDS)were considered to be independent predictors of OS and CSS.In addition,independent risk factors for OS included gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,and M classification,while the independent prognostic factors for CSS included race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,and M classification.The prediction model including LODDS is composed of minimal Akaike information criterion,maximal concordance indexes,and AUCs.Factors including gender,race,marital status,primary site,histology,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were integrated into the OS nomogram,while race,marital status,primary site,grade,T,M classification,and LODDS were included into the CSS nomogram.The nomogram representing both cohorts had been successfully verified in terms of prediction accuracy and clinical practicability.CONCLUSION LODDS is superior to N-stage,PLN,and LNR of ECC.The nomogram containing LODDS might be helpful in tumor evaluation and clinical decision-making,since it provides an appropriate prediction of ECC.
基金supported in part by grants from the Sino-German Center (GZ857)Science Foundation of Shanghai (13ZR1407500)+2 种基金Shanghai Rising Star Program (12QH1400600 and 14QA1400900)Fudan University Young Investigator Promoting Program (20520133403)the National Science Foundation of China (81101807, 81001058, 81372649, 81372653 and 81172276)
文摘BACKGROUND: The prognostic factors related to lymph node involvement [lymph node status, the number of positive lymph nodes, lymph node ratio (LNR)] and the number of nodes evaluated in patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma after pancreatectomy are poorly defined. METHODS: A total of 167 patients who had undergone resection of pancreatic adenocarcinoma from February 2010 to August 2011 were included in this study. Histological examination was performed to evaluate the tumor differentiation and lymph node involvement. Univariate and multivariate analyses were made to determine the relationship between the variables related to nodal involvement and the number of nodes and survival. RESULTS: The median number of total nodes examined was 10 (range 0-44) for the entire cohort. The median number of total nodes examined in node-negative (pN0) patients was similar to that in node-positive (pN1) patients. Patients with pN1 diseases had significantly worse survival than those with pN0 ones (P=0.000). Patients with three or more positive nodes had a poorer prognosis compared with those with the negative nodes (P=0.000). The prognosis of the patients with negative nodes was similar to that of those with one to two positive nodes (P=0.114). The median survival of patients with an LNR ≥0.4 was shorter than that of patients with an LNR 〈0.4 in the pN1 cohort (P=0.014). No significance was found between the number of total nodes examined and the prognosis, regardless of the cutoff of 10 or 12 and in the entire cohort or the pN0 and pN1 groups. Based on the multivariate analysis of the entire cohort and the pN1 group, the nodal status, the number of positive nodes and the LNR were all associated with survival. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to the nodal status, the number of positive nodes and the LNR can serve as comprehensive factors for the evaluation of nodal involvement. This approach may be more effective for predicting the survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma after pancreatectomy.
文摘Objective: Our aims were to establish novel nomogram models, which directly targeted patients with signet ring cell carcinoma(SRC), for individualized prediction of overall survival(OS) rate and cancer-specific survival(CSS).Methods: We selected 1,365 SRC patients diagnosed from 2010 to 2015 from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results(SEER) database, and then randomly partitioned them into a training cohort and a validation cohort.Independent predicted indicators, which were identified by using univariate testing and multivariate analyses, were used to construct our prognostic nomogram models. Three methods, Harrell concordance index(C-index), receiver operating characteristics(ROC) curve and calibration curve, were used to assess the ability of discrimination and predictive accuracy. Integrated discrimination improvement(IDI), net reclassification improvement(NRI) and decision curve analysis(DCA) were used to assess clinical utility of our nomogram models.Results: Six independent predicted indicators, age, race, log odds of positive lymph nodes(LODDS), T stage, M stage and tumor size, were associated with OS rate. Nevertheless, only five independent predicted indicators were associated with CSS except race. The developed nomograms based on those independent predicted factors showed reliable discrimination. C-index of our nomogram for OS and CSS was 0.760 and 0.763, which were higher than American Joint Committee on Cancer(AJCC) 8 th edition tumor-node-metastasis(TNM) staging system(0.734 and 0.741, respectively). C-index of validation cohort for OS was 0.757 and for CSS was 0.773. The calibration curves also performed good consistency. IDI, NRI and DCA showed the nomograms for both OS and CSS had a comparable clinical utility than the TNM staging system.Conclusions: The novel nomogram models based on LODDS provided satisfying predictive ability of SRC both in OS and CSS than AJCC 8 th edition TNM staging system alone.
基金Capital Health Development Research Project,No.2014-1-4021.
文摘BACKGROUND Signet ring cell carcinoma is a rare type of oesophageal cancer,and we hypothesized that log odds of positive lymph nodes(LODDS)is a better prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma.AIM To explore a novel prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma by comparing two lymph node-related prognostic factors,log odds of positive LODDS and N stage.METHODS A total of 259 cases of oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma after oesophagectomy were obtained from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database between 2006 and 2016.The prognostic value of LODDS and N stage for oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses.The Akaike information criterion and Harrell’s C-index were used to assess the value of two prediction models based on lymph nodes.External validation was performed to further confirm the conclusion.RESULTS The 5-year cancer-specific survival(CSS)and 5-year overall survival(OS)rates of all the cases were 41.3%and 27.0%,respectively.The Kaplan-Meier method showed that LODDS had a higher score of log rank chi-squared(OS:46.162,CSS:41.178)than N stage(OS:36.215,CSS:31.583).Univariate analyses showed that insurance,race,T stage,M stage,TNM stage,radiation therapy,N stage,and LODDS were potential prognostic factors for OS(P<0.1).The multivariate Cox regression model showed that LODDS was an significant independent prognostic factor for oesophageal signet ring carcinoma patients after surgical resection(P<0.05),while N stage was not considered to be a significant prognostic factor(P=0.122).Model 2(LODDS)had a higher degree of discrimination and fit than Model 1(N stage)(LODDS vs N stage,Harell’s C-index 0.673 vs 0.656,P<0.001;Akaike information criterion 1688.824 vs 1697.519,P<0.001).The results of external validation were consistent with those in the study cohort.CONCLUSION LODDS is a superior prognostic factor to N stage for patients with oesophageal signet ring cell carcinoma after oesophagectomy.
基金Supported by the Zhaoqing Science and Technology Innovation Guidance Project,No.2022040314032.
文摘BACKGROUND Colorectal neuroendocrine neoplasms(NENs)are a rare malignancy that primarily arises from the diffuse distribution of neuroendocrine cells in the colon and rectum.Previous studies have pointed out that the status of lymph node may be used to predict the prognosis.AIM To investigate the predictive values of lymph node ratio(LNR),positive lymph node(PLN),and log odds of PLNs(LODDS)staging systems on the prognosis of colorectal NENs treated surgically,and compare their predictive values.METHODS This cohort study included 895 patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically from the Surveillance,Epidemiology,and End Results database.The endpoint was mortality of patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically.X-tile software was utilized to identify most suitable thresholds for categorizing the LNR,PLN,and LODDS.Participants were selected in a random manner to form training and testing sets.The prognosis of surgically treating colorectal NENs was examined using multivariate cox analysis to assess the associations of LNR,PLN,and LODDS with the prognosis of colorectal NENs.C-index was used for assessing the predictive effectiveness.We conducted a subgroup analysis to explore the different lymph node staging systems’predictive values.RESULTS After adjusting all confounding factors,PLN,LNR and LODDS staging systems were linked with mortality in patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically(P<0.05).We found that LODDS staging had a higher prognostic value for patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically than PLN and LNR staging systems.Similar results were obtained in the different G staging subgroup analyses.Furthermore,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values for LODDS staging system remained consistently higher than those of PLN or LNR,even at the 1-,2-,3-,4-,5-and 6-year follow-up periods.CONCLUSION LNR,PLN,and LODDS were found to significantly predict the prognosis of patients with colorectal NENs treated surgically.
文摘BACKGROUND The prognostic significance of lymph nodes(LNs)metastases and the optimum number of LN yield in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours(GEP NETs)undergoing curative resection is still debatable.Many studies have demonstrated that cure rate for patients with GEP NETs can be improved by the resection of the primary tumour and regional lymphadenectomy AIM To evaluate the effect of lymph node(LN)status and yield on relapse-free survival(RFS)and overall survival(OS)in patients with resected GEP NETs.METHODS Data on patients who underwent curative resection for GEP NETs between January 2002 and March 2017 were analysed retrospectively.Grade 3 tumours(Ki67>20%)were excluded.Univariate Cox proportional hazard models were computed for RFS and OS and assessed alongside cut-point analysis to distinguish a suitable binary categorisation of total LNs retrieved associated with RFS.RESULTS A total of 217 patients were included in the study.The median age was 59 years(21-97 years)and 51%(n=111)were male.Primary tumour sites were small bowel(42%),pancreas(25%),appendix(18%),rectum(7%),colon(3%),gastric(2%),others(2%).Median follow up times for all patients were 41 mo(95%CI:36-51)and 71 mo(95%CI:63–76)for RFS and OS respectively;50 relapses and 35 deaths were reported.LNs were retrieved in 151 patients.Eight or more LNs were harvested in 106 patients and LN positivity reported in 114 patients.Three or more positive LNs were detected in 62 cases.The result of univariate analysis suggested perineural invasion(P=0.0023),LN positivity(P=0.033),LN retrieval of≥8(P=0.047)and localisation(P=0.0049)have a statistically significant association with shorter RFS,but there was no effect of LN ratio on RFS:P=0.1 or OS:P=0.75.Tumour necrosis(P=0.021)and perineural invasion(P=0.016)were the only two variables significantly associated with worse OS.In the final multivariable analysis,localisation(pancreas HR=27.33,P=0.006,small bowel HR=32.44,P=0.005),and retrieval of≥8 LNs(HR=2.7,P=0.036)were independent prognostic factors for worse RFS.CONCLUSION An outcome-oriented approach to cut-point analysis can suggest a minimum number of adequate LNs to be harvested in patients with GEP NETs undergoing curative surgery.Removal of≥8 LNs is associated with increased risk of relapse,which could be due to high rates of LN positivity at the time of surgery.Given that localisation had a significant association with RFS,a prospective multicentre study is warranted with a clear direction on recommended surgical practice and follow-up guidance for GEP NETs.
文摘背景与目的:当前,对于中低位局部晚期直肠癌和T4bM0的潜在可切除结肠癌患者,指南均推荐新辅助治疗策略,以提高治疗的缓解率和增加转化性切除的可能性。其中对于ypⅢ期的结直肠癌(colorectal cancer,CRC)患者,均使用国际抗癌联盟(Union for International Cancer Control,UICC)/美国癌症联合会(American Joint Committee on Cancer,AJCC)TNM分期系统评估术后病理学特征。然而,新辅助治疗会导致术区淋巴结退缩,检出淋巴结数不足12枚的患者无法按照常规的TNM分期进行划分,因此TNM分期常无法预测接受过新辅助治疗的ypⅢ期患者的预后。本研究旨在评估阳性淋巴结比率(positive lymph node ratio,LNR)在接受新辅助治疗的ypⅢ期CRC患者中的预后价值。方法:回顾性分析2008—2018年在复旦大学附属肿瘤医院接受新辅助治疗且行根治性手术的ypⅢ期CRC患者。收集患者手术时的年龄、性别、原发肿瘤位置、肿瘤分化等级、病理学分期以及随访期间患者是否复发或死亡等临床病理学特征。纳入标准:接受新辅助治疗和手术且术后病理学检查证实为Ⅲ期的CRC患者。排除标准:①术前影像学检查或术中探查发现已有远处脏器转移;②有既往恶性肿瘤病史;③多原发性CRC。本研究通过复旦大学附属肿瘤医院医学伦理委员会批准(伦理编号:050432-4-2108*)。使用R软件的survminer包(surv_cutpoint算法)计算LNR相对于无病生存期(disease-free survival,DFS)的最佳临界值并依此将患者分为低LNR组和高LNR组,比较两组的临床病理学特征和DFS。采用COX比例风险回归模型筛选不良病理学特征并使用survival包和rms包绘制DFS列线图预测模型。结果:共纳入489例患者,男性289例,女性200例,中位年龄为56岁(23~80岁),中位随访时间为1062 d。随访期间,164例(33.5%)患者死亡。整个队列中,204例(41.7%)患者检出淋巴结数不足12枚。LNR的最佳临界值为0.29,317例患者划为低LNR组(LNR≤0.29),172例患者划为高LNR组(LNR>0.29)。高LNR组相比低LNR组DFS更短[风险比(hazard ratio,HR)=2.103,95%CI:1.582~2.796,P<0.0001]。多变量COX回归分析显示,LNR是DFS的独立预后危险因素(HR=1.825,95%CI:1.391~2.394,P<0.001)。根据纳入LNR的多分类DFS列线图预测模型可以有效地评估接受新辅助治疗的Ⅲ期CRC患者的DFS。结论:LNR是ypⅢ期CRC患者的独立预后因素,与其他不良临床病理学特征联合使用具有良好的DFS预测效力。因此,将LNR作为TNM分期的补充可以提高CRC的预后评估准确率。