In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits...In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.展开更多
Aiming at the problems of low accuracy and slow convergence speed of current intrusion detection models,SpiralConvolution is combined with Long Short-Term Memory Network to construct a new intrusion detection model.Th...Aiming at the problems of low accuracy and slow convergence speed of current intrusion detection models,SpiralConvolution is combined with Long Short-Term Memory Network to construct a new intrusion detection model.The dataset is first preprocessed using solo thermal encoding and normalization functions.Then the spiral convolution-Long Short-Term Memory Network model is constructed,which consists of spiral convolution,a two-layer long short-term memory network,and a classifier.It is shown through experiments that the model is characterized by high accuracy,small model computation,and fast convergence speed relative to previous deep learning models.The model uses a new neural network to achieve fast and accurate network traffic intrusion detection.The model in this paper achieves 0.9706 and 0.8432 accuracy rates on the NSL-KDD dataset and the UNSWNB-15 dataset under five classifications and ten classes,respectively.展开更多
Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department t...Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.展开更多
Cadmium and its compounds are currently known as Class I carcinogens,and excessive intake can cause severe health damage to humans.Rice has a strong absorption effect on cadmium,and rice products with excessive cadmiu...Cadmium and its compounds are currently known as Class I carcinogens,and excessive intake can cause severe health damage to humans.Rice has a strong absorption effect on cadmium,and rice products with excessive cadmium content have caused several significant public health contamination incidents.It is essential to predict the development trend of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain so that countermeasures can be formulated to reduce the hazards.This paper proposes a deep prediction model for cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain based on the regularization method.Firstly,a long and short-term memory network is used to build the depth prediction model by using the regularization method,and the noise penalty term is added to reduce the model fitting to the noise and prevent the over-fitting caused by the noise.Finally,the optimization of the model hyperparameters was carried out using a Bayesian optimization approach to develop the prediction performance.Then,early warning system for prediction of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain is built based on the deep prediction model proposed in this paper with SOA architecture,including data resource,business logic,and application service layers.The proposed model performs well on an actual data set of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain and fits the data well.展开更多
基金supported by a State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co.,Ltd.Economic and Technical Research Institute Project(Key Technologies and Empirical Research of Diversified Integrated Operation of User-Side Energy Storage in Power Market Environment,No.5211JY19000W)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Research on Power Market Management to Promote Large-Scale New Energy Consumption,No.71804045).
文摘In the electricity market,fluctuations in real-time prices are unstable,and changes in short-term load are determined by many factors.By studying the timing of charging and discharging,as well as the economic benefits of energy storage in the process of participating in the power market,this paper takes energy storage scheduling as merely one factor affecting short-term power load,which affects short-term load time series along with time-of-use price,holidays,and temperature.A deep learning network is used to predict the short-term load,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to extract the features,and a long short-term memory(LSTM)network is used to learn the temporal characteristics of the load value,which can effectively improve prediction accuracy.Taking the load data of a certain region as an example,the CNN-LSTM prediction model is compared with the single LSTM prediction model.The experimental results show that the CNN-LSTM deep learning network with the participation of energy storage in dispatching can have high prediction accuracy for short-term power load forecasting.
基金the Gansu University of Political Science and Law Key Research Funding Project in 2018(GZF2018XZDLW20)Gansu Provincial Science and Technology Plan Project(Technology Innovation Guidance Plan)(20CX9ZA072).
文摘Aiming at the problems of low accuracy and slow convergence speed of current intrusion detection models,SpiralConvolution is combined with Long Short-Term Memory Network to construct a new intrusion detection model.The dataset is first preprocessed using solo thermal encoding and normalization functions.Then the spiral convolution-Long Short-Term Memory Network model is constructed,which consists of spiral convolution,a two-layer long short-term memory network,and a classifier.It is shown through experiments that the model is characterized by high accuracy,small model computation,and fast convergence speed relative to previous deep learning models.The model uses a new neural network to achieve fast and accurate network traffic intrusion detection.The model in this paper achieves 0.9706 and 0.8432 accuracy rates on the NSL-KDD dataset and the UNSWNB-15 dataset under five classifications and ten classes,respectively.
基金Project(61873283)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(KQ1707017)supported by the Changsha Science&Technology Project,ChinaProject(2019CX005)supported by the Innovation Driven Project of the Central South University,China。
文摘Short-term traffic flow forecasting is a significant part of intelligent transportation system.In some traffic control scenarios,obtaining future traffic flow in advance is conducive to highway management department to have sufficient time to formulate corresponding traffic flow control measures.In hence,it is meaningful to establish an accurate short-term traffic flow method and provide reference for peak traffic flow warning.This paper proposed a new hybrid model for traffic flow forecasting,which is composed of the variational mode decomposition(VMD)method,the group method of data handling(GMDH)neural network,bi-directional long and short term memory(BILSTM)network and ELMAN network,and is optimized by the imperialist competitive algorithm(ICA)method.To illustrate the performance of the proposed model,there are several comparative experiments between the proposed model and other models.The experiment results show that 1)BILSTM network,GMDH network and ELMAN network have better predictive performance than other single models;2)VMD can significantly improve the predictive performance of the ICA-GMDH-BILSTM-ELMAN model.The effect of VMD method is better than that of EEMD method and FEEMD method.To conclude,the proposed model which is made up of the VMD method,the ICA method,the BILSTM network,the GMDH network and the ELMAN network has excellent predictive ability for traffic flow series.
基金supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFC1600605,2020YFC1606801).
文摘Cadmium and its compounds are currently known as Class I carcinogens,and excessive intake can cause severe health damage to humans.Rice has a strong absorption effect on cadmium,and rice products with excessive cadmium content have caused several significant public health contamination incidents.It is essential to predict the development trend of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain so that countermeasures can be formulated to reduce the hazards.This paper proposes a deep prediction model for cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain based on the regularization method.Firstly,a long and short-term memory network is used to build the depth prediction model by using the regularization method,and the noise penalty term is added to reduce the model fitting to the noise and prevent the over-fitting caused by the noise.Finally,the optimization of the model hyperparameters was carried out using a Bayesian optimization approach to develop the prediction performance.Then,early warning system for prediction of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain is built based on the deep prediction model proposed in this paper with SOA architecture,including data resource,business logic,and application service layers.The proposed model performs well on an actual data set of cadmium hazards in the rice supply chain and fits the data well.