Exploring the patterns of population change under low fertility is a historical mission for demographic research in the 21st century.Taking Shanghai as an example,this paper discusses the new patterns and charac...Exploring the patterns of population change under low fertility is a historical mission for demographic research in the 21st century.Taking Shanghai as an example,this paper discusses the new patterns and characteristics of people’s childbearing intention and behavior under low fertility settings.The results show that Shanghai,as a typical society with ultra-low fertility,people’s childbearing intention and behavior demonstrate the characteristics such as“downward inconsistency”between childbearing intention and childbearing behavior,“convergence”of childbearing intention and childbearing behavior between different sub-groups,“inversion”in childbearing intention and childbearing behavior with education and income,and the“decoupling”between marriage and childbearing.The childbearing intention and behavior of low fertility society as seen in the case of Shanghai show the patterns as somehow different from what was observed in a high fertility society.It suggests that many of the childbearing patterns shown in the high-fertility era may not necessarily be applicable in low fertility settings,and urges more research to be carried out in this regard.展开更多
基金supported by 2019 The National Social Sciences Fund of China(19CRK017):“Study on the new characteristics,causes,influences and trends of marriage behavior of residents in big cities of China”.
文摘Exploring the patterns of population change under low fertility is a historical mission for demographic research in the 21st century.Taking Shanghai as an example,this paper discusses the new patterns and characteristics of people’s childbearing intention and behavior under low fertility settings.The results show that Shanghai,as a typical society with ultra-low fertility,people’s childbearing intention and behavior demonstrate the characteristics such as“downward inconsistency”between childbearing intention and childbearing behavior,“convergence”of childbearing intention and childbearing behavior between different sub-groups,“inversion”in childbearing intention and childbearing behavior with education and income,and the“decoupling”between marriage and childbearing.The childbearing intention and behavior of low fertility society as seen in the case of Shanghai show the patterns as somehow different from what was observed in a high fertility society.It suggests that many of the childbearing patterns shown in the high-fertility era may not necessarily be applicable in low fertility settings,and urges more research to be carried out in this regard.
