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General mapping of one-dimensional non-Hermitian mosaic models to non-mosaic counterparts:Mobility edges and Lyapunov exponents
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作者 蒋盛莲 刘彦霞 郎利君 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第9期79-86,共8页
We establish a general mapping from one-dimensional non-Hermitian mosaic models to their non-mosaic counterparts.This mapping can give rise to mobility edges and even Lyapunov exponents in the mosaic models if critica... We establish a general mapping from one-dimensional non-Hermitian mosaic models to their non-mosaic counterparts.This mapping can give rise to mobility edges and even Lyapunov exponents in the mosaic models if critical points of localization or Lyapunov exponents of localized states in the corresponding non-mosaic models have already been analytically solved.To demonstrate the validity of this mapping,we apply it to two non-Hermitian localization models:an Aubry-Andre-like model with nonreciprocal hopping and complex quasiperiodic potentials,and the Ganeshan-Pixley-Das Sarma model with nonreciprocal hopping.We successfully obtain the mobility edges and Lyapunov exponents in their mosaic models.This general mapping may catalyze further studies on mobility edges,Lyapunov exponents,and other significant quantities pertaining to localization in non-Hermitian mosaic models. 展开更多
关键词 non-Hermitian mosaic model mosaic-to-non-mosaic mapping mobility edge lyapunov exponent
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Lagrangian-based investigation of multiphase flows by finite-timeLyapunov exponents 被引量:12
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作者 Jia-Ning Tang Chien-Chou Tseng Ning-FeiWang 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第3期612-624,共13页
Multiphase flows are ubiquitous in our daily life and engineering applications. It is important to investigate the flow structures to predict their dynamical behaviors ef- fectively. Lagrangian coherent structures (... Multiphase flows are ubiquitous in our daily life and engineering applications. It is important to investigate the flow structures to predict their dynamical behaviors ef- fectively. Lagrangian coherent structures (LCS) defined by the ridges of the finite-time Lyapunov exponent (FTLE) is utilized in this study to elucidate the multiphase interactions in gaseous jets injected into water and time-dependent turbu- lent cavitation under the framework of Navier-Stokes flow computations. For the gaseous jets injected into water, the highlighted phenomena of the jet transportation can be observed by the LCS method, including expansion, bulge, necking/breaking, and back-attack. Besides, the observation of the LCS reveals that the back-attack phenomenon arises from the fact that the injected gas has difficulties to move toward downstream re- gion after the necking/breaking. For the turbulent cavitating flow, the ridge of the FTLE field can form a LCS to capture the front and boundary of the re-entraint jet when the ad- verse pressure gradient is strong enough. It represents a bar- rier between particles trapped inside the circulation region and those moving downstream. The results indicate that the FFLE field has the potential to identify the structures of mul- tiphase flows, and the LCS can capture the interface/barrier or the vortex/circulation region. 展开更多
关键词 Finite-time lyapunov exponents Lagrangiancoherent structures Multiphase flow Gaseous jets injectedinto water CAVITATION
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Forecasting available parking space with largest Lyapunov exponents method 被引量:3
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作者 季彦婕 汤斗南 +2 位作者 郭卫红 BLYTHE T.Phil 王炜 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第4期1624-1632,共9页
The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of ... The techniques to forecast available parking space(APS) are indispensable components for parking guidance systems(PGS). According to the data collected in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, the changing characteristics of APS were studied. Thereafter, aiming to build up a multi-step APS forecasting model that provides richer information than a conventional one-step model, the largest Lyapunov exponents(largest LEs) method was introduced into PGS. By experimental tests conducted using the same dataset, its prediction performance was compared with traditional wavelet neural network(WNN) method in both one-step and multi-step processes. Based on the results, a new multi-step forecasting model called WNN-LE method was proposed, where WNN, which enjoys a more accurate performance along with a better learning ability in short-term forecasting, was applied in the early forecast steps while the Lyapunov exponent prediction method in the latter steps precisely reflect the chaotic feature in latter forecast period. The MSE of APS forecasting for one hour time period can be reduced from 83.1 to 27.1(in a parking building with 492 berths) by using largest LEs method instead of WNN and further reduced to 19.0 by conducted the new method. 展开更多
关键词 available parking space lyapunov exponents wavelet neural network multi-step forecasting method
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Local Lyapunov Exponents and characteristics of fixed/periodic points embedded within a chaotic attractor
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作者 ALI M SAHA L.M 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2005年第4期296-304,共9页
A chaotic dynamical system is characterized by a positive averaged exponential separation of two neighboring tra- jectories over a chaotic attractor. Knowledge of the Largest Lyapunov Exponent λ1 of a dynamical syste... A chaotic dynamical system is characterized by a positive averaged exponential separation of two neighboring tra- jectories over a chaotic attractor. Knowledge of the Largest Lyapunov Exponent λ1 of a dynamical system over a bounded attractor is necessary and sufficient for determining whether it is chaotic (λ1>0) or not (λ1≤0). We intended in this work to elaborate the connection between Local Lyapunov Exponents and the Largest Lyapunov Exponent where an alternative method to calculate λ1 has emerged. Finally, we investigated some characteristics of the fixed points and periodic orbits embedded within a chaotic attractor which led to the conclusion of the existence of chaotic attractors that may not embed in any fixed point or periodic orbit within it. 展开更多
关键词 Chaotic attractor Largest lyapunov Exponent Local lyapunov exponents
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Stability analysis via the concept of Lyapunov exponents―a case study
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作者 Chen Cheng Xu Jinfa +2 位作者 Liu Yunping Li Xianying Zhang Yonghong 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 2018年第2期156-162,共7页
The dynamics characteristics of the robotic arm system are usually highly nonlinear and strongly coupling,which will make it difficult to analyze the stability by the methods of solving kinetic equations or constructi... The dynamics characteristics of the robotic arm system are usually highly nonlinear and strongly coupling,which will make it difficult to analyze the stability by the methods of solving kinetic equations or constructing Lyapunov function,especially,these methods cannot calculate the quantitative relationship between mechanical structures or control input and dynamics parameters and stability.The theoretical analysis process from symbol dynamics modeling of the robotic arm system to the movement stability is studied by using the concept of Lyapunov exponents method. To verify the algorithm effectiveness,the inner relation between its joint input torque and stability or chaotic and stable motion of the 2-DOF robotic arm system is analyzed quantitatively. As compared with its counterpart of Lyapunov's direct method,the main advantage of the concept of Lyapunov exponents is that the methods for calculating the exponents are constructive to provide an effective analysis tool for analyzing robotic arm system movement stability of nonlinear systems. 展开更多
关键词 stability analysis nonlinear systems lyapunov exponents LEs) 2-DOF roboticarm system
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Optimization of support vector machine power load forecasting model based on data mining and Lyapunov exponents 被引量:7
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作者 牛东晓 王永利 马小勇 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2010年第2期406-412,共7页
According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are comput... According to the chaotic and non-linear characters of power load data,the time series matrix is established with the theory of phase-space reconstruction,and then Lyapunov exponents with chaotic time series are computed to determine the time delay and the embedding dimension.Due to different features of the data,data mining algorithm is conducted to classify the data into different groups.Redundant information is eliminated by the advantage of data mining technology,and the historical loads that have highly similar features with the forecasting day are searched by the system.As a result,the training data can be decreased and the computing speed can also be improved when constructing support vector machine(SVM) model.Then,SVM algorithm is used to predict power load with parameters that get in pretreatment.In order to prove the effectiveness of the new model,the calculation with data mining SVM algorithm is compared with that of single SVM and back propagation network.It can be seen that the new DSVM algorithm effectively improves the forecast accuracy by 0.75%,1.10% and 1.73% compared with SVM for two random dimensions of 11-dimension,14-dimension and BP network,respectively.This indicates that the DSVM gains perfect improvement effect in the short-term power load forecasting. 展开更多
关键词 power load forecasting support vector machine (SVM) lyapunov exponent data mining embedding dimension feature classification
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Determining the Spectrum of the Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponents in a Multidimensional Chaotic System 被引量:6
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作者 Ruiqiang DING Jianping LI Baosheng LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第9期1027-1034,共8页
For an n-dimensional chaotic system, we extend the definition of the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE) from one- to n-dimensional spectra, and present a method for computing the NLLE spectrum. The method is t... For an n-dimensional chaotic system, we extend the definition of the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE) from one- to n-dimensional spectra, and present a method for computing the NLLE spectrum. The method is tested on three chaotic systems with different complexity. The results indicate that the NLLE spectrum realistically characterizes the growth rates of initial error vectors along different directions from the linear to nonlinear phases of error growth. This represents an improvement over the traditional Lyapunov exponent spectrum, which only characterizes the error growth rates during the linear phase of error growth. In addition, because the NLLE spectrum can effectively separate the slowly and rapidly growing perturbations, it is shown to be more suitable for estimating the predictability of chaotic systems, as compared to the traditional Lyapunov exponent spectrum. 展开更多
关键词 lyapunov exponent nonlinear local lyapunov exponent PREDICTABILITY
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Application of the Conditional Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent to Second-Kind Predictability
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作者 Ming ZHANG Ruiqiang DING +2 位作者 Quanjia ZHONG Jianping LI Deyu LU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第9期1769-1786,共18页
In order to quantify the influence of external forcings on the predictability limit using observational data,the author introduced an algorithm of the conditional nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent(CNLLE)method.The eff... In order to quantify the influence of external forcings on the predictability limit using observational data,the author introduced an algorithm of the conditional nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent(CNLLE)method.The effectiveness of this algorithm is validated and compared with the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent(NLLE)and signal-to-noise ratio methods using a coupled Lorenz model.The results show that the CNLLE method is able to capture the slow error growth constrained by external forcings,therefore,it can quantify the predictability limit induced by the external forcings.On this basis,a preliminary attempt was made to apply this method to measure the influence of ENSO on the predictability limit for both atmospheric and oceanic variable fields.The spatial distribution of the predictability limit induced by ENSO is similar to that arising from the initial conditions calculated by the NLLE method.This similarity supports ENSO as the major predictable signal for weather and climate prediction.In addition,a ratio of predictability limit(RPL)calculated by the CNLLE method to that calculated by the NLLE method was proposed.The RPL larger than 1 indicates that the external forcings can significantly benefit the long-term predictability limit.For instance,ENSO can effectively extend the predictability limit arising from the initial conditions of sea surface temperature over the tropical Indian Ocean by approximately four months,as well as the predictability limit of sea level pressure over the eastern and western Pacific Ocean.Moreover,the impact of ENSO on the geopotential height predictability limit is primarily confined to the troposphere. 展开更多
关键词 conditional nonlinear local lyapunov exponent second-kind predictability coupled Lorenz model ENSO
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Surface Billiards and Nonvanishing Lyapunov Exponents
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作者 Cheng Jian (Department of Mathematics,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210008,China) 《Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series》 SCIE CSCD 1997年第1期21-34,共14页
We study in this paper the billiards on surfaces with mix-valued Gaussian curvature and the condition which gives nonvanishing Lyapunov exponents of the system.We introduce a criterion upon which a small perturbation ... We study in this paper the billiards on surfaces with mix-valued Gaussian curvature and the condition which gives nonvanishing Lyapunov exponents of the system.We introduce a criterion upon which a small perturbation of the surface will also produce a system with positive Lyapunov exponents.Some examples of such surfaces are given in this article. 展开更多
关键词 BILLIARDS lyapunov exponents CURVATURE
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A SPECTRUM OF LYAPUNOV EXPONENTS OBTAINED FROM A CHAOTIC TIME SERIES
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作者 严绍瑾 彭永清 王建中 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1992年第3期379-385,共7页
A complete spectrum of Lyapunov exponents (LEs) is obtained from 1970— 1985 daily mean pressure measurements at Shanghai by means of a correlation matrix analysis technique and it is found that there exist LEs≥0, an... A complete spectrum of Lyapunov exponents (LEs) is obtained from 1970— 1985 daily mean pressure measurements at Shanghai by means of a correlation matrix analysis technique and it is found that there exist LEs≥0, and <0. with their sum <zero (∑λ_1<0), thus showing the evolution of the climate-weather system represented by the series to be chaotic. The sum of positive LE is known to represent the bodily divergence of the system and the sum of these positive LEs is theoretically found to be Kolmogorov entropy of the system. This paper shows that with the time lag τ=5, the parameter m=2 and the dimensionality d_M=9, the sum of the positive LEs sum fromλ_i>0λ_i=K=0.110405 whereupon T=1 /K =9 is obtained as the predictable time scale, a result close to that acquired by the dynamic-statistical approach in early days and also in agreement with that present by the authors themselves(1991). 展开更多
关键词 spectrum of lyapunov exponents chaotic time series daily mean pressure
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New proof of continuity of Lyapunov exponents for a class of smooth Schrödinger cocycles with weak Liouville frequencies
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作者 Linlin FU Jiahao XU Fan WU 《Frontiers of Mathematics in China》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第3期467-489,共23页
We reconsider the continuity of the Lyapunov exponents for a class of smooth Schrödinger cocycles with a C2 cos-type potential and a weak Liouville frequency.We propose a new method to prove that the Lyapunov exp... We reconsider the continuity of the Lyapunov exponents for a class of smooth Schrödinger cocycles with a C2 cos-type potential and a weak Liouville frequency.We propose a new method to prove that the Lyapunov exponent is continuous in energies.In particular,a large deviation theorem is not needed in the proof. 展开更多
关键词 Schrodinger cocycle lyapunov exponent(LE) weak Liouville frequency C2 cos-type potential large deviation theorem(LDT)
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The Predictability Limit of Oceanic Mesoscale Eddy Tracks in the South China Sea
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作者 Hailong LIU Pingxiang CHU +5 位作者 Yao MENG Mengrong DING Pengfei LIN Ruiqiang DING Pengfei WANG Weipeng ZHENG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第9期1661-1679,共19页
Employing the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE) technique, this study assesses the quantitative predictability limit of oceanic mesoscale eddy (OME) tracks utilizing three eddy datasets for both annual and seas... Employing the nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent (NLLE) technique, this study assesses the quantitative predictability limit of oceanic mesoscale eddy (OME) tracks utilizing three eddy datasets for both annual and seasonal means. Our findings reveal a discernible predictability limit of approximately 39 days for cyclonic eddies (CEs) and 44 days for anticyclonic eddies (AEs) within the South China Sea (SCS). The predictability limit is related to the OME properties and seasons. The long-lived, large-amplitude, and large-radius OMEs tend to have a higher predictability limit. The predictability limit of AE (CE) tracks is highest in autumn (winter) with 52 (53) days and lowest in spring (summer) with 40 (30) days. The spatial distribution of the predictability limit of OME tracks also has seasonal variations, further finding that the area of higher predictability limits often overlaps with periodic OMEs. Additionally, the predictability limit of periodic OME tracks is about 49 days for both CEs and AEs, which is 5-10 days higher than the mean values. Usually, in the SCS, OMEs characterized by high predictability limit values exhibit more extended and smoother trajectories and often move along the northern slope of the SCS. 展开更多
关键词 PREDICTABILITY mesoscale eddy nonlinear local lyapunov exponent South China Sea seasonal variability
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Oil–water two-phase flow pattern analysis with ERT based measurement and multivariate maximum Lyapunov exponent 被引量:8
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作者 谭超 王娜娜 董峰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2016年第1期240-248,共9页
Oil–water two-phase flow patterns in a horizontal pipe are analyzed with a 16-electrode electrical resistance tomography(ERT) system. The measurement data of the ERT are treated as a multivariate time-series, thus th... Oil–water two-phase flow patterns in a horizontal pipe are analyzed with a 16-electrode electrical resistance tomography(ERT) system. The measurement data of the ERT are treated as a multivariate time-series, thus the information extracted from each electrode represents the local phase distribution and fraction change at that location. The multivariate maximum Lyapunov exponent(MMLE) is extracted from the 16-dimension time-series to demonstrate the change of flow pattern versus the superficial velocity ratio of oil to water. The correlation dimension of the multivariate time-series is further introduced to jointly characterize and finally separate the flow patterns with MMLE. The change of flow patterns with superficial oil velocity at different water superficial velocities is studied with MMLE and correlation dimension, respectively, and the flow pattern transition can also be characterized with these two features. The proposed MMLE and correlation dimension map could effectively separate the flow patterns, thus is an effective tool for flow pattern identification and transition analysis. 展开更多
关键词 oil-water two-phase flow flow patterns electrical resistance tomography (ERT) multivariate time-series multivariate maximum lyapunov exponent correlation dimension
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New prediction of chaotic time series based on local Lyapunov exponent 被引量:9
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作者 张勇 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第5期191-197,共7页
A new method of predicting chaotic time series is presented based on a local Lyapunov exponent, by quantitatively measuring the exponential rate of separation or attraction of two infinitely close trajectories in stat... A new method of predicting chaotic time series is presented based on a local Lyapunov exponent, by quantitatively measuring the exponential rate of separation or attraction of two infinitely close trajectories in state space. After recon- structing state space from one-dimensional chaotic time series, neighboring multiple-state vectors of the predicting point are selected to deduce the prediction formula by using the definition of the locaI Lyapunov exponent. Numerical simulations are carded out to test its effectiveness and verify its higher precision over two older methods. The effects of the number of referential state vectors and added noise on forecasting accuracy are also studied numerically. 展开更多
关键词 chaotic time series prediction of chaotic time series local lyapunov exponent least squaresmethod
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Estimating the largest Lyapunov exponent in a multibody system with dry friction by using chaos synchronization 被引量:6
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作者 Shihui Fu Qi Wang 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第3期277-283,共7页
Using the properties of chaos synchronization, the method for estimating the largest Lyapunov exponent in a multibody system with dry friction is presented in this paper. The Lagrange equations with multipliers of the... Using the properties of chaos synchronization, the method for estimating the largest Lyapunov exponent in a multibody system with dry friction is presented in this paper. The Lagrange equations with multipliers of the systems are given in matrix form, which is adequate for numerical calculation. The approach for calculating the generalized velocity and acceleration of the slider is given to determine slipping or sticking of the slider in the systems. For slip-slip and stick-slip multibody systems, their largest Lyapunov exponents are calculated to characterize their dynamics. 展开更多
关键词 Multibody system Dry friction lyapunov exponent Chaos synchronization
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A perturbation method to the tent map based on Lyapunov exponent and its application 被引量:4
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作者 曹绿晨 罗玉玲 +1 位作者 丘森辉 刘俊秀 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第10期78-85,共8页
Perturbation imposed on a chaos system is an effective way to maintain its chaotic features. A novel parameter perturbation method for the tent map based on the Lyapunov exponent is proposed in this paper. The pseudo-... Perturbation imposed on a chaos system is an effective way to maintain its chaotic features. A novel parameter perturbation method for the tent map based on the Lyapunov exponent is proposed in this paper. The pseudo-random sequence generated by the tent map is sent to another chaos function - the Chebyshev map for the post processing. If the output value of the Chebyshev map falls into a certain range, it will be sent back to replace the parameter of the tent map. As a result, the parameter of the tent map keeps changing dynamically. The statistical analysis and experimental results prove that the disturbed tent map has a highly random distribution and achieves good cryptographic properties of a pseudo-random sequence. As a result, it weakens the phenomenon of strong correlation caused by the finite precision and effectively compensates for the digital chaos system dynamics degradation. 展开更多
关键词 PERTURBATION tent map lyapunov exponent finite precision
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Coherent structures over riblets in turbulent boundary layer studied by combining time-resolved particle image velocimetry(TRPIV),proper orthogonal decomposition(POD),and finite-time Lyapunov exponent(FTLE) 被引量:4
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作者 Shan Li Nan Jiang +2 位作者 Shaoqiong Yang Yongxiang Huang Yanhua Wu 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第10期395-404,共10页
Time-resolved particle image velocimetry(TRPIV) experiments are performed to investigate the coherent structure's performance of riblets in a turbulent boundary layer(TBL) at a friction Reynolds number of 185. To... Time-resolved particle image velocimetry(TRPIV) experiments are performed to investigate the coherent structure's performance of riblets in a turbulent boundary layer(TBL) at a friction Reynolds number of 185. To visualize the energetic large-scale coherent structures(CSs) over a smooth surface and riblets, the proper orthogonal decomposition(POD) and finite-time Lyapunov exponent(FTLE) are used to identify the CSs in the TBL. Spatial-temporal correlation is implemented to obtain the characters and transport properties of typical CSs in the FTLE fields. The results demonstrate that the generic flow structures, such as hairpin-like vortices, are also observed in the boundary layer flow over the riblets, consistent with its smooth counterpart. Low-order POD modes are more sensitive to the riblets in comparison with the high-order ones,and the wall-normal movement of the most energy-containing structures are suppressed over riblets. The spatial correlation analysis of the FTLE fields indicates that the evolution process of the hairpin vortex over riblets are inhibited. An apparent decrease of the convection velocity over riblets is noted, which is believed to reduce the ejection/sweep motions associated with high shear stress from the viscous sublayer. These reductions exhibit inhibition of momentum transfer among the structures near the wall in the TBL flows. 展开更多
关键词 turbulent boundary layer RIBLETS proper orthogonal decomposition finite-time lyapunov exponent
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Trend Prediction Method Based on the Largest Lyapunov Exponent for Large Rotating Machine Equipments 被引量:5
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作者 徐小力 朱春梅 张建民 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第4期433-436,共4页
In order to predict electromechanical equipments' nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on... In order to predict electromechanical equipments' nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on chaos theory. The predict method of chaos time series and two methods of proposing f and F are dis- cussed. The arithmetic of max prediction time of chaos time series is provided. Aiming at the key part of large rotating mechanical equipments-bearing, used this prediction method the simulation experiment is carried out. The result shows that this method has excellent performance for condition trend prediction. 展开更多
关键词 largest lyapunov exponent large rotating machine equipments developing condition prediction
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Lyapunov exponent calculation of a two-degree-of-freedom vibro-impact system with symmetrical rigid stops 被引量:3
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作者 李群宏 谭洁燕 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第4期123-131,共9页
A two-degree-of-freedom vibro-impact system having symmetrical rigid stops and subjected to periodic excitation is investigated in this paper. By introducing local maps between different stages of motion in the whole ... A two-degree-of-freedom vibro-impact system having symmetrical rigid stops and subjected to periodic excitation is investigated in this paper. By introducing local maps between different stages of motion in the whole impact process, the Poincare map of the system is constructed. Using the Poincare map and the Gram Schmidt orthonormalization, a method of calculating the spectrum of Lyapunov exponents of the above vibro-impact system is presented. Then the phase portraits of periodic and chaotic attractors for the system and the corresponding convergence diagrams of the spectrum of Lyapunov exponents are given out through the numerical simulations. To further identify the validity of the aforementioned computation method, the bifurcation diagram of the system with respect to the bifurcation parameter and the corresponding largest Lyapunov exponents are shown. 展开更多
关键词 vibro-impact system Poincare map Gram-Schmidt orthonormalization lyapunov exponent
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Quantitative Comparison of Predictabilities of Warm and Cold Events Using the Backward Nonlinear Local Lyapunov Exponent Method 被引量:1
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作者 Xuan LI Ruiqiang DING Jianping LI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第9期951-958,共8页
The backward nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent method(BNLLE)is applied to quantify the predictability of warm and cold events in the Lorenz model.Results show that the maximum prediction lead times of warm and cold ev... The backward nonlinear local Lyapunov exponent method(BNLLE)is applied to quantify the predictability of warm and cold events in the Lorenz model.Results show that the maximum prediction lead times of warm and cold events present obvious layered structures in phase space.The maximum prediction lead times of each warm(cold)event on individual circles concentric with the distribution of warm(cold)regime events are roughly the same,whereas the maximum prediction lead time of events on other circles are different.Statistical results show that warm events are more predictable than cold events. 展开更多
关键词 backward nonlinear local lyapunov exponent maximum prediction lead time layered structure statistical result
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