The temporal variability and spatial pattern of the Arctic Oscillation(AO)simulated in the historical experiment of26 coupled climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)are...The temporal variability and spatial pattern of the Arctic Oscillation(AO)simulated in the historical experiment of26 coupled climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)are evaluated.Spectral analysis of the monthly AO index indicates that 23 out of the 26 CMIP5 models exhibit no statistically significant spectral peak in the historical experiment,as seen in the observations.These models are able to reproduce the AO pattern in the sea level pressure anomaly field during boreal winter,but the intensity of the AO pattern tends to be overestimated in all the models.The zonal-mean zonal wind anomalies associated with the AO is dominated by a meridional dipole in the mid-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere during boreal winter,which is well reproduced by only a few models.Most models show significant biases in both strength and location of the dipole compared to the observation.In considering the temporal variability as well as spatial structures in both horizontal and vertical directions,the MPI-ESM-P model reproduces an AO pattern that resembles the observation the best.展开更多
On the basic of a type of practical examples we set up a new queueing model with negative customers. By the use of “Supplemental Variables method” and “State transfer analysis”, we get the generating function wit...On the basic of a type of practical examples we set up a new queueing model with negative customers. By the use of “Supplemental Variables method” and “State transfer analysis”, we get the generating function with negative powers of queue length and the waiting time expressions.展开更多
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(No.2010CB950501&2010CB950404)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41205058)the China Postdoctoral Sci-ence Foundation(No.2012M510634)
文摘The temporal variability and spatial pattern of the Arctic Oscillation(AO)simulated in the historical experiment of26 coupled climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5(CMIP5)are evaluated.Spectral analysis of the monthly AO index indicates that 23 out of the 26 CMIP5 models exhibit no statistically significant spectral peak in the historical experiment,as seen in the observations.These models are able to reproduce the AO pattern in the sea level pressure anomaly field during boreal winter,but the intensity of the AO pattern tends to be overestimated in all the models.The zonal-mean zonal wind anomalies associated with the AO is dominated by a meridional dipole in the mid-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere during boreal winter,which is well reproduced by only a few models.Most models show significant biases in both strength and location of the dipole compared to the observation.In considering the temporal variability as well as spatial structures in both horizontal and vertical directions,the MPI-ESM-P model reproduces an AO pattern that resembles the observation the best.
基金This research is supported by the the Scientific Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK97047) and the Foundation of Jiangsu Education bureau (00KJT11003)
文摘On the basic of a type of practical examples we set up a new queueing model with negative customers. By the use of “Supplemental Variables method” and “State transfer analysis”, we get the generating function with negative powers of queue length and the waiting time expressions.
