利用济南和威海成山头1951～2006年的冬季气温的观测资料,用 MHF(墨西哥帽函数)小波分析了两地冬季气温的多时间尺度变化特征并对两地出现的极端气候进行了一定分析。结果表明近60 a 来,济南冬季年平均气温(0.82℃)比威海成山头冬季年...利用济南和威海成山头1951～2006年的冬季气温的观测资料,用 MHF(墨西哥帽函数)小波分析了两地冬季气温的多时间尺度变化特征并对两地出现的极端气候进行了一定分析。结果表明近60 a 来,济南冬季年平均气温(0.82℃)比威海成山头冬季年平均气温(0.53℃)高,济南和威海成山头两地冬季气温倾向率分别为0.431℃/10a 和0.3590C/10a;两地在较大时间尺度上,突变点位置比较接近,在较小时间尺度上,演变略有差异,济南冬季气温变化比威海成山头略快;在振动周期上,济南的冬季平均气温变化以5,18 a 左右周期振动较强,威海成山头的冬季平均气温变化则以4,18 a 左右为较强周期振动;在未来一段时间内,两地冬季气温将保持偏高状态,但都有转低的趋势;出现极端气候时有明显的群发性和阶段性,成山头出现极端气候时情况更加恶劣。展开更多
The unique regional climate characteristics are among the main reasons for the frequent wind-sand activity in arid and cold areas in the agro-pastoral ecotone in Inner Mongolia, China. This paper focuses on the time s...The unique regional climate characteristics are among the main reasons for the frequent wind-sand activity in arid and cold areas in the agro-pastoral ecotone in Inner Mongolia, China. This paper focuses on the time series of temperature and precipitation in spring when sandstorms often occur in the area. Based on meteorological data for a 46-year period from 1959 to 2004, multi-scale variations and abrupt changes in temperature and precipitation were analyzed with the Mexican hat function （MHF） wavelet method, showing the multi-scale variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation, as well as the periods and change points at different time scales. The relationship between temperature and precipitation was obtained using the wavelet analysis method. Obvious staggered features of the variations of spring temperature and precipitation were observed in this agro-pastoral ecotone. The strongest oscillation periods of spring temperature variations were 1 and 22 years, while for precipitation, the strongest oscillation periods of variations were 2, 8, and 22 years. In addition, lower spring temperature corresponded to lower precipitation, whereas higher temperature yielded higher precipitation rate.展开更多
文摘利用济南和威海成山头1951～2006年的冬季气温的观测资料,用 MHF(墨西哥帽函数)小波分析了两地冬季气温的多时间尺度变化特征并对两地出现的极端气候进行了一定分析。结果表明近60 a 来,济南冬季年平均气温(0.82℃)比威海成山头冬季年平均气温(0.53℃)高,济南和威海成山头两地冬季气温倾向率分别为0.431℃/10a 和0.3590C/10a;两地在较大时间尺度上,突变点位置比较接近,在较小时间尺度上,演变略有差异,济南冬季气温变化比威海成山头略快;在振动周期上,济南的冬季平均气温变化以5,18 a 左右周期振动较强,威海成山头的冬季平均气温变化则以4,18 a 左右为较强周期振动;在未来一段时间内,两地冬季气温将保持偏高状态,但都有转低的趋势;出现极端气候时有明显的群发性和阶段性,成山头出现极端气候时情况更加恶劣。
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 100262001)the Advanced University Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia (Grant No. NJzy08044)the Ph. D. Foundation of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University (Grant No. BJ07-27)
文摘The unique regional climate characteristics are among the main reasons for the frequent wind-sand activity in arid and cold areas in the agro-pastoral ecotone in Inner Mongolia, China. This paper focuses on the time series of temperature and precipitation in spring when sandstorms often occur in the area. Based on meteorological data for a 46-year period from 1959 to 2004, multi-scale variations and abrupt changes in temperature and precipitation were analyzed with the Mexican hat function （MHF） wavelet method, showing the multi-scale variation characteristics of temperature and precipitation, as well as the periods and change points at different time scales. The relationship between temperature and precipitation was obtained using the wavelet analysis method. Obvious staggered features of the variations of spring temperature and precipitation were observed in this agro-pastoral ecotone. The strongest oscillation periods of spring temperature variations were 1 and 22 years, while for precipitation, the strongest oscillation periods of variations were 2, 8, and 22 years. In addition, lower spring temperature corresponded to lower precipitation, whereas higher temperature yielded higher precipitation rate.
