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Wavelet time series MPARIMA modeling for power system short term load forecasting
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作者 冉启文 单永正 +1 位作者 王建赜 王骐 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2003年第1期11-18,共8页
The wavelet power system short term load forecasting(STLF) uses a mulriple periodical autoregressive integrated moving average(MPARIMA) model to model the mulriple near periodicity, nonstationarity and nonlinearity ex... The wavelet power system short term load forecasting(STLF) uses a mulriple periodical autoregressive integrated moving average(MPARIMA) model to model the mulriple near periodicity, nonstationarity and nonlinearity existed in power system short term quarter hour load time series, and can therefore accurately forecast the quarter hour loads of weekdays and weekends, and provide more accurate results than the conventional techniques, such as artificial neural networks and autoregressive moving average(ARMA) models test results. Obtained with a power system networks in a city in Northeastern part of China confirm the validity of the approach proposed. 展开更多
关键词 微波预测法 mparima模型 短期载荷预测 电力系统
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