Two statistical validation methods were used to evaluate the confidence level of the Total Column Ozone (TCO) measurements recorded by satellite systems measuring simultaneously, one using the normal distribution and ...Two statistical validation methods were used to evaluate the confidence level of the Total Column Ozone (TCO) measurements recorded by satellite systems measuring simultaneously, one using the normal distribution and another using the Mann-Whitney test. First, the reliability of the TCO measurements was studied hemispherically. While similar coincidences and levels of significance > 0.05 were found with the two statistical tests, an enormous variability in the levels of significance throughout the year was also exposed. Then, using the same statistical comparison methods, a latitudinal study was carried out in order to elucidate the geographical distribution that gave rise to this variability. Our study reveals that between the TOMS and OMI measurements in 2005 there was only a coincidence in 50% of the latitudes, which explained the variability. This implies that for 2005, the TOMS measurements are not completely reliable, except between the -50° and -15° latitude band in the southern hemisphere and between +15° and +50° latitude band in the northern hemisphere. In the case of OMI-OMPS, we observe that between 2011 and 2016 the measurements of both satellite systems are reasonably similar with a confidence level higher than 95%. However, in 2017 a band with a width of 20° latitude centered on the equator appeared, in which the significance levels were much less than 0.05, indicating that one of the measurement systems had begun to fail. In 2018, the fault was not only located in the equator, but was also replicated in various bands in the Southern Hemisphere. We interpret this as evidence of irreversible failure in one of the measurement systems.展开更多
饮用水水源地水质演变趋势研究对水源地的保护具有重要意义。以中国某城市6个市级水源地为研究对象,采用水质指数法进行水质评价,在此基础上结合Pettitt Mann Whitney变异点分析法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验法和线性回归法,深入分析了各水...饮用水水源地水质演变趋势研究对水源地的保护具有重要意义。以中国某城市6个市级水源地为研究对象,采用水质指数法进行水质评价,在此基础上结合Pettitt Mann Whitney变异点分析法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验法和线性回归法,深入分析了各水源地水质突变时间及演变趋势,并结合该市近年来的管理政策分析了水质变化的原因。2020年-2022年各水源地水质现状整体较好,4个水源地水质评价结果为优良,其余为良好。变异点和演变趋势分析结果表明,各水源地均存在突变时间,水质指数突变时间主要集中在2021年2月-2022年4月,突变后2个水源地水质变差,其余水源地水质变好,仅1个水源地变异显著。该市水源地整体上2022年水质状况优于往年,主要得益于流域整体水环境质量改善和水源地特殊保护的加强。展开更多
The empirical relationship between annual daily maximum temperature(ADMT)and annual daily maximum rainfall(ADMR)was investigated.The data were collected from four weather stations located in Adelaide,South Australia,f...The empirical relationship between annual daily maximum temperature(ADMT)and annual daily maximum rainfall(ADMR)was investigated.The data were collected from four weather stations located in Adelaide,South Australia,from 1988 to 2017.Due to the influence of sea surface temperature on rainfall and temperature,the distance from the weather station to the sea was considered in the selection of weather stations.Two weather stations near the sea and two inland weather stations were selected.Three non-parametric statistical tests(Kruskal–Wallis,Mann–Whitney,and correlation)were applied to perform statistical analysis on the ADMT and ADMR data.It was revealed that the temperature and rainfall in South Australia varies according to weather station location.The distance from the sea to the weather station was found to have limited influence on temperature and rainfall.Meanwhile,with the 0.05 level of significance,the association between ADMT and ADMR near sea stations is not as significant as the association between the two inland weather stations.It is relatively unrealistic to use ADMR to predict ADMT,or vice versa,since their correlation is not statistically significant(Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient:−0.106).展开更多
Purpose： We want to contribute to the evaluation of Chinese research, focusing on contributions in top journals. Design/methodology/approach： Using a Mann-Whitney test we investigate if contributions in Nature, Scie...Purpose： We want to contribute to the evaluation of Chinese research, focusing on contributions in top journals. Design/methodology/approach： Using a Mann-Whitney test we investigate if contributions in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America （PNAS） by Chinese or American authors only, i.e. articles for which all authors have a Chinese or an American address, have a different citation potential. Findings： There is no reason to state that Chinese and American contributions in these top journals have a different citation potential. Research limitations： Because of the small numbers involved we were not able to make a distinction between publications in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. Practical implications： These results suggest that the better Chinese research results are of a similar level as those by American colleagues. Originality/value： It is well-known that the number of citations per publication by Chinese authors is still lagging with respect to leading scientific nations and in particular compared with the USA. We have shown that this difference does not necessarily hold in contributions in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.展开更多
气候变化和人类活动导致珠江流域水文变化,变化前后洪水频率分布显著不同.运用滑动秩和(Mann-Whitney U test)结合Brown-Forsythe、滑动T、有序聚类和Mann-Kendall检验法,并用累积距平曲线法获取年最大流量序列详细信息,综合确定样本最...气候变化和人类活动导致珠江流域水文变化,变化前后洪水频率分布显著不同.运用滑动秩和(Mann-Whitney U test)结合Brown-Forsythe、滑动T、有序聚类和Mann-Kendall检验法,并用累积距平曲线法获取年最大流量序列详细信息,综合确定样本最佳变化节点,并对水文变化成因做了系统分析.在此基础上,对整体序列、变化前后序列用线性矩法推求广义极值分布参数以及不同重现期设计流量.结果表明:(1)西江大部以及北江流域最佳变化节点在1991年左右;东江流域最佳变化节点与该流域内3大控制性水库建成时间基本吻合;(2)变化后,西江、北江年最大流量持续增加,洪峰强度增大,尤其是西江干流年最大流量显著增加;东江流域年最大流量显著减小,洪峰强度降低;(3)变化后,西江与北江洪水风险增加,尤其是下游珠三角地区本身受人类活动显著影响,加之西江与北江持续增加的洪水强度,珠三角地区发生洪水的强度及频次加剧,而东江洪水风险减小.此研究对于珠江流域在变化环境下的洪水风险评估与防洪抗灾具有重要意义.展开更多
文摘Two statistical validation methods were used to evaluate the confidence level of the Total Column Ozone (TCO) measurements recorded by satellite systems measuring simultaneously, one using the normal distribution and another using the Mann-Whitney test. First, the reliability of the TCO measurements was studied hemispherically. While similar coincidences and levels of significance > 0.05 were found with the two statistical tests, an enormous variability in the levels of significance throughout the year was also exposed. Then, using the same statistical comparison methods, a latitudinal study was carried out in order to elucidate the geographical distribution that gave rise to this variability. Our study reveals that between the TOMS and OMI measurements in 2005 there was only a coincidence in 50% of the latitudes, which explained the variability. This implies that for 2005, the TOMS measurements are not completely reliable, except between the -50° and -15° latitude band in the southern hemisphere and between +15° and +50° latitude band in the northern hemisphere. In the case of OMI-OMPS, we observe that between 2011 and 2016 the measurements of both satellite systems are reasonably similar with a confidence level higher than 95%. However, in 2017 a band with a width of 20° latitude centered on the equator appeared, in which the significance levels were much less than 0.05, indicating that one of the measurement systems had begun to fail. In 2018, the fault was not only located in the equator, but was also replicated in various bands in the Southern Hemisphere. We interpret this as evidence of irreversible failure in one of the measurement systems.
文摘饮用水水源地水质演变趋势研究对水源地的保护具有重要意义。以中国某城市6个市级水源地为研究对象,采用水质指数法进行水质评价,在此基础上结合Pettitt Mann Whitney变异点分析法、Mann-Kendall趋势检验法和线性回归法,深入分析了各水源地水质突变时间及演变趋势,并结合该市近年来的管理政策分析了水质变化的原因。2020年-2022年各水源地水质现状整体较好,4个水源地水质评价结果为优良,其余为良好。变异点和演变趋势分析结果表明,各水源地均存在突变时间,水质指数突变时间主要集中在2021年2月-2022年4月,突变后2个水源地水质变差,其余水源地水质变好,仅1个水源地变异显著。该市水源地整体上2022年水质状况优于往年,主要得益于流域整体水环境质量改善和水源地特殊保护的加强。
文摘The empirical relationship between annual daily maximum temperature(ADMT)and annual daily maximum rainfall(ADMR)was investigated.The data were collected from four weather stations located in Adelaide,South Australia,from 1988 to 2017.Due to the influence of sea surface temperature on rainfall and temperature,the distance from the weather station to the sea was considered in the selection of weather stations.Two weather stations near the sea and two inland weather stations were selected.Three non-parametric statistical tests(Kruskal–Wallis,Mann–Whitney,and correlation)were applied to perform statistical analysis on the ADMT and ADMR data.It was revealed that the temperature and rainfall in South Australia varies according to weather station location.The distance from the sea to the weather station was found to have limited influence on temperature and rainfall.Meanwhile,with the 0.05 level of significance,the association between ADMT and ADMR near sea stations is not as significant as the association between the two inland weather stations.It is relatively unrealistic to use ADMR to predict ADMT,or vice versa,since their correlation is not statistically significant(Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient:−0.106).
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.:71173185)
文摘Purpose： We want to contribute to the evaluation of Chinese research, focusing on contributions in top journals. Design/methodology/approach： Using a Mann-Whitney test we investigate if contributions in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America （PNAS） by Chinese or American authors only, i.e. articles for which all authors have a Chinese or an American address, have a different citation potential. Findings： There is no reason to state that Chinese and American contributions in these top journals have a different citation potential. Research limitations： Because of the small numbers involved we were not able to make a distinction between publications in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. Practical implications： These results suggest that the better Chinese research results are of a similar level as those by American colleagues. Originality/value： It is well-known that the number of citations per publication by Chinese authors is still lagging with respect to leading scientific nations and in particular compared with the USA. We have shown that this difference does not necessarily hold in contributions in Nature, Science or the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
文摘气候变化和人类活动导致珠江流域水文变化,变化前后洪水频率分布显著不同.运用滑动秩和(Mann-Whitney U test)结合Brown-Forsythe、滑动T、有序聚类和Mann-Kendall检验法,并用累积距平曲线法获取年最大流量序列详细信息,综合确定样本最佳变化节点,并对水文变化成因做了系统分析.在此基础上,对整体序列、变化前后序列用线性矩法推求广义极值分布参数以及不同重现期设计流量.结果表明:(1)西江大部以及北江流域最佳变化节点在1991年左右;东江流域最佳变化节点与该流域内3大控制性水库建成时间基本吻合;(2)变化后,西江、北江年最大流量持续增加,洪峰强度增大,尤其是西江干流年最大流量显著增加;东江流域年最大流量显著减小,洪峰强度降低;(3)变化后,西江与北江洪水风险增加,尤其是下游珠三角地区本身受人类活动显著影响,加之西江与北江持续增加的洪水强度,珠三角地区发生洪水的强度及频次加剧,而东江洪水风险减小.此研究对于珠江流域在变化环境下的洪水风险评估与防洪抗灾具有重要意义.
