As Mianyang has neglected the coordination relationship with the ecological environment in the course of rapid urbanization,its ecological environment is getting worse.To this end,this study used the ecological footpr...As Mianyang has neglected the coordination relationship with the ecological environment in the course of rapid urbanization,its ecological environment is getting worse.To this end,this study used the ecological footprint method to explore the ecological carrying capacity of Mianyang from 2007 to 2014 under the background of rapid urbanization,which has important guiding significance for the future development of Mianyang.The results showed that in 2007–2014,the ecological footprint of Mianyang was greater than its ecological carrying capacity,indicating that Mianyang is in an ecological deficit.Specifically,the per capita ecological footprint showed a downtrend,and the per capita ecological carrying capacity showed a trend of smooth decline.In addition,the per capita ecological deficit was generally decreasing.In summary,Mianyang was generally in an ecological deficit in 2007–2014.Thus,the ecological environment of the region should be protected,in order to promote the sustainable development of the ecosystem in the region.展开更多
The rational layout of urban commercial space is conducive to optimizing the allocation of commercial resources in the urban interior space. Based on the commercial POI (Point of Interest) data in the central district...The rational layout of urban commercial space is conducive to optimizing the allocation of commercial resources in the urban interior space. Based on the commercial POI (Point of Interest) data in the central district of Mianyang, the characteristics of urban commercial spatial pattern under different scales are analyzed by using Kernel Density Estimation, Getis-Ord , Ripley’s K Function and Location Entropy method, and the spatial agglomeration characteristics of various industries in urban commerce are studied. The results show that: 1) The spatial distribution characteristics of commercial outlets in downtown Mianyang are remarkable, and show a multi-center distribution pattern. The hot area distribution of commercial outlets based on road grid unit is generally consistent with the identified commercial density center distribution. 2) The commercial grade scale structure has been formed in the central urban area as a whole, and the distribution of commercial network hot spots based on road grid unit is generally consistent with the identified commercial density center distribution. 3) From the perspective of commercial industry, the differentiation of urban commercial space “center-periphery” is obvious, and different industries show different spatial agglomeration modes. 4) The multi-scale spatial agglomeration of each industry is different, the spatial scale of location choice of comprehensive retail, household appliances and other industries is larger, and the scale of location choice of textile, clothing, culture and sports is small. 5) There are significant differences in specialized functional areas from the perspective of industry. Mature areas show multi-functional elements, multi-advantage industry agglomeration characteristics, and a small number of developing areas also show multi-advantage industry agglomeration characteristics.展开更多
Based on the overall analysis of the floating population among big and medium-sized cities in China,this paper, by means of statistics and questionnaires, makes a systematical study on the migratory features of the fl...Based on the overall analysis of the floating population among big and medium-sized cities in China,this paper, by means of statistics and questionnaires, makes a systematical study on the migratory features of the floating population in Mianyang, its employment structure, migrating causes and channels. According to the findings, the author finds a fact that with the strategy of Western Development, and with the construction of science and technology city of Mianyang, the migrating in Mianyang conforms to the general patterns of the migration, which has happened in those big and medium-sized cities in China.In addition,the city has a new but unique feature — economic factor, as the driving force of population migration, is quite distinct from that of those citiesin eastern areas of China.展开更多
As a representative business of shared economy, shared bicycle solves the problem of “the last kilometer” and contributes to the development of modern urban public traffic. It facilitates the life of modern people, ...As a representative business of shared economy, shared bicycle solves the problem of “the last kilometer” and contributes to the development of modern urban public traffic. It facilitates the life of modern people, but the enterprise competition, improper operation and immature technology result in the supply over demand or demand over supply in some regions or sites, which fail to meet the public demand on bicycles. Therefore, the bicycle quantity put into the market should be comprehensively evaluated. Taking Mianyang City for example, the demanded quantity of shared bicycle was considered from multiple dimensions, specifically, population composition, district and county area, GDP and public facility, to solve the problems such as resource waste caused by excessive supply of shared bicycles, and failure to meet citizens’ demands caused by insufficient supply, to provide a better solution to the development of urban public transportation, and promote the reasonable development of urban shared economy.展开更多
In order to understand the relationship between breakfast frequency and academic performance of grade 5 and grade 8 students, we conducted an investigation through a multistage cluster sampling design with 16,840 stud...In order to understand the relationship between breakfast frequency and academic performance of grade 5 and grade 8 students, we conducted an investigation through a multistage cluster sampling design with 16,840 students (8017 5th graders and 8823 8th graders) from Mianyang city. Results show that: 1) 71.3% of fifth graders and 59.7% of eighth graders had breakfast every day of the week, and 9.7% of fifth graders and 7.5% of eighth graders had breakfast three times or less per week. 2) The number of times students eat breakfast per week has a significant impact on their comprehensive academic performance, which is reflected in the trend that the more times students eat breakfast, the better their overall academic performance is. Based on this, in order to help students eat breakfast more often, and further improve students’ academic performance, we will strengthen the publicity and education of students’ breakfast knowledge from multiple perspectives.展开更多
Sichuan Province Mianyang Medicine (Group) Co. was founded in May 1993. It was formed by the Mianyang Medicine Station and Mianyang Chinese Medicine Station. It has 1,000 staff and workers. Its capital totals RMB130 m...Sichuan Province Mianyang Medicine (Group) Co. was founded in May 1993. It was formed by the Mianyang Medicine Station and Mianyang Chinese Medicine Station. It has 1,000 staff and workers. Its capital totals RMB130 million. The business scope includes medicine sales, medicines, sanitary materials, building materials, chemicals, restaurants and tourism.展开更多
This paper probes into the establishment of ecological city of Mianyang and directive thoughts,measures, and countermoves are put forward based on analyzing the current situation about ecological environment of Mianya...This paper probes into the establishment of ecological city of Mianyang and directive thoughts,measures, and countermoves are put forward based on analyzing the current situation about ecological environment of MianyangCity.展开更多
Tourist agriculture, based on agriculture,is a new cross combination of agriculture and tourism from 1970s.Ithas appeared some original features by now, and weshould use the successful experience of the tourist agricu...Tourist agriculture, based on agriculture,is a new cross combination of agriculture and tourism from 1970s.Ithas appeared some original features by now, and weshould use the successful experience of the tourist agriculture in Taiwan of China for reference to standardize all the aspects of work.Support it more in policy,fund, technology, and propaganda, and strengthen the combination of the program of city and suburb to promote the development of the tourist agriculture in Mianyang.展开更多
Several strong earthquakes occurred in the regions of Batang and Xiaojin of Sichuan Province in 1989. This paper uses broadband waveform data from GDSN, by the forward trial-and-error modeling for multiple subevent, i...Several strong earthquakes occurred in the regions of Batang and Xiaojin of Sichuan Province in 1989. This paper uses broadband waveform data from GDSN, by the forward trial-and-error modeling for multiple subevent, in terms of analysis on quasi-source time function or qSTF of station, to study source rupture characteristics of these strong earthquakes and to discuss tectonic background of earthquake occurrence regions preliminarily.展开更多
In 1996,the gross domestic product(GDP)of Sichuan Province reached 298.5 billion yuan,ranking No.8 in the country.Sichuan accounts for about 30%of the total eco-nomic output in West China.
The total population of Sichuan Province will be con-trolled below 87 milion and the average annual birth rate at about 17 per thousand during the Ninth Five-year Plan(1996-2000).
Sichuan Province.located in Southwest China on the upper reaches of the Yangtze River,covered an area of 485;000 square kilometers,or 6%of the nati onal to-tal and had a population of 83.56 million at the end of 1996....Sichuan Province.located in Southwest China on the upper reaches of the Yangtze River,covered an area of 485;000 square kilometers,or 6%of the nati onal to-tal and had a population of 83.56 million at the end of 1996.It has 20 cities and prefectures(includi ngi au-tonomous prefectures inhabited by ethnic groups)and 180 counties a nd districts under its juni sdiction.展开更多
Sichuan a province inhabited by many nationalities.had an eth-nic population of 4.9 million by 1990.making up 40o of the province's total,according to the 1990 census In addition to the Han nationality:it is also ...Sichuan a province inhabited by many nationalities.had an eth-nic population of 4.9 million by 1990.making up 40o of the province's total,according to the 1990 census In addition to the Han nationality:it is also inbabited by 14 ethnic groups.such as the Yi.Tibetan Qiang.Tujia.Miao,Hui.Mongolian,Lisu,Naxi,Nanchu,Buyi,Dai,Zhuang and Bai nationa lities.展开更多
Research on the seismic vulnerability of building structures is very important for the work of earthquake disaster preparedness and mitigation. On the basis of the related studies over a long time, this paper provides...Research on the seismic vulnerability of building structures is very important for the work of earthquake disaster preparedness and mitigation. On the basis of the related studies over a long time, this paper provides several seismic vulnerability matrices of building structure in different regions of Sichuan Province. Poor anti-seismic capability is one of the factors resulting in the earthquake disasters in the past. We can reduce economic losses caused by earthquake through improving the anti-seismic and prevention level of building structures in Sichuan Province.展开更多
This paper adopts the research methods such as literature material method, questionnaire investigation method, expert interview method and mathematical statistics to investigate and study the conditions of fancy rope ...This paper adopts the research methods such as literature material method, questionnaire investigation method, expert interview method and mathematical statistics to investigate and study the conditions of fancy rope skipping curriculum in 22 universities in Sichuan. The research shows that the university teachers highly recognize the fancy rope skipping curriculum; construction of teaching resources should be strengthened; cultivation of the professional teaching staffs should be strengthened; in terms of teaching materials, more premium teaching materials with high pertinence and professionalism are needed; the promotion and implementation of the curriculum system of fancy rope skipping should be boosted in different steps and stages; cultivation of the professional teachers should be enlarged; related scientific research of the curriculum system of fancy rope skipping should be strengthened.展开更多
Based on the situation and progress of marine oil/gas exploration in the Sichuan Basin,SW China,the whole petroleum system is divided for marine carbonate rocks of the basin according to the combinations of hydrocarbo...Based on the situation and progress of marine oil/gas exploration in the Sichuan Basin,SW China,the whole petroleum system is divided for marine carbonate rocks of the basin according to the combinations of hydrocarbon accumulation elements,especially the source rock.The hydrocarbon accumulation characteristics of each whole petroleum system are analyzed,the patterns of integrated conventional and unconventional hydrocarbon accumulation are summarized,and the favorable exploration targets are proposed.Under the control of multiple extensional-convergent tectonic cycles,the marine carbonate rocks of the Sichuan Basin contain three sets of regional source rocks and three sets of regional cap rocks,and can be divided into the Cambrian,Silurian and Permian whole petroleum systems.These whole petroleum systems present mainly independent hydrocarbon accumulation,containing natural gas of affinity individually.Locally,large fault zones run through multiple whole petroleum systems,forming a fault-controlled complex whole petroleum system.The hydrocarbon accumulation sequence of continental shelf facies shale gas accumulation,marginal platform facies-controlled gas reservoirs,and intra-platform fault-and facies-controlled gas reservoirs is common in the whole petroleum system,with a stereoscopic accumulation and orderly distribution pattern.High-quality source rock is fundamental to the formation of large gas fields,and natural gas in a whole petroleum system is generally enriched near and within the source rocks.The development and maintenance of large-scale reservoirs are essential for natural gas enrichment,multiple sources,oil and gas transformation,and dynamic adjustment are the characteristics of marine petroleum accumulation,and good preservation conditions are critical to natural gas accumulation.Large-scale marginal-platform reef-bank facies zones,deep shale gas,and large-scale lithological complexes related to source-connected faults are future marine hydrocarbon exploration targets in the Sichuan Basin.展开更多
Analysis and research of large complex phenomena before and after the devastating earthquake to reduce the threat of natural disasters to human survival environment is of great significance.This paper analyzes the Wen...Analysis and research of large complex phenomena before and after the devastating earthquake to reduce the threat of natural disasters to human survival environment is of great significance.This paper analyzes the Wenchuan earthquake zone characteristics of gravity anomaly distributions,and then use edge detection and Euler deconvolution method to inverse Longmenshan gravity anomaly before earthquake.Fault distribution features and the general depth about the fault top of Longmenshan and its adjacent area before earthquake has been obtained.Morphology difference and possible earthquake formation have been analyzed through the Euler deconvolution result of gravity anomaly profile before and after the earthquake.展开更多
Objective Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the current status and dynamic trends of the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)prevalence in Sichuan,the second most heavily affected province in China,a...Objective Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the current status and dynamic trends of the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)prevalence in Sichuan,the second most heavily affected province in China,and to explore future interventions.Methods The epidemiological,behavioral,and population census data from multiple sources were analyzed to extract inputs for an acquired immunodeficiency syndrome(AIDS)epidemic model(AEM).Baseline curves,derived from historical trends in HIV prevalence,were used,and the AEM was employed to examine future intervention scenarios.Results In 2015,the modeled data suggested an adult HIV prevalence of 0.191%in Sichuan,with an estimated 128,766 people living with HIV/AIDS and 16,983 individuals with newly diagnosed infections.Considering current high-risk behaviors,the model predicts an increase in the adult prevalence to 0.306%by 2025,projecting an estimated 212,168 people living with HIV/AIDS and 16,555 individuals with newly diagnosed infections.Conclusion Heterosexual transmission will likely emerge as the primary mode of AIDS transmission in Sichuan.Furthermore,we anticipate a stabilization in the incidence of AIDS with a concurrent increase in prevalence.Implementing comprehensive intervention measures aimed at high-risk groups could effectively alleviate the spread of AIDS in Sichuan.展开更多
Lacustrine shale oil and gas are important fields for unconventional exploration and development in China,and organic-rich shale deposition lays down the critical foundation for hydrocarbon generation.There are two se...Lacustrine shale oil and gas are important fields for unconventional exploration and development in China,and organic-rich shale deposition lays down the critical foundation for hydrocarbon generation.There are two sets of shale,the Dongyuemiao and Da’anzhai Members,in the Ziliujing Formation in the Sichuan Basin.To identify the differential enrichment characteristics of organic matter and clarify its controlling factors,geochemical analyses of organic and inorganic geochemical analyses were performed.The results showed that the total organic carbon content of the Dongyuemiao shale(1.36%)is slightly higher than that of the Da’anzhai shale(0.95%).The enrichment of organic matter in the two shales resulted from the comprehensive controls of paleoproductivity,paleoenvironment,and terrigenous input,but different factors have different effects.In addition,driven by climate,the change in the sulfate concentration in the bottom water further led to the different intensities of bacterial sulfate reduction in early diagenesis.This made a great difference regarding organic matter accumulation in the two members.In general,climate may have played a dominant role in organic matter enrichment in the two sets of shale.展开更多
文摘As Mianyang has neglected the coordination relationship with the ecological environment in the course of rapid urbanization,its ecological environment is getting worse.To this end,this study used the ecological footprint method to explore the ecological carrying capacity of Mianyang from 2007 to 2014 under the background of rapid urbanization,which has important guiding significance for the future development of Mianyang.The results showed that in 2007–2014,the ecological footprint of Mianyang was greater than its ecological carrying capacity,indicating that Mianyang is in an ecological deficit.Specifically,the per capita ecological footprint showed a downtrend,and the per capita ecological carrying capacity showed a trend of smooth decline.In addition,the per capita ecological deficit was generally decreasing.In summary,Mianyang was generally in an ecological deficit in 2007–2014.Thus,the ecological environment of the region should be protected,in order to promote the sustainable development of the ecosystem in the region.
文摘The rational layout of urban commercial space is conducive to optimizing the allocation of commercial resources in the urban interior space. Based on the commercial POI (Point of Interest) data in the central district of Mianyang, the characteristics of urban commercial spatial pattern under different scales are analyzed by using Kernel Density Estimation, Getis-Ord , Ripley’s K Function and Location Entropy method, and the spatial agglomeration characteristics of various industries in urban commerce are studied. The results show that: 1) The spatial distribution characteristics of commercial outlets in downtown Mianyang are remarkable, and show a multi-center distribution pattern. The hot area distribution of commercial outlets based on road grid unit is generally consistent with the identified commercial density center distribution. 2) The commercial grade scale structure has been formed in the central urban area as a whole, and the distribution of commercial network hot spots based on road grid unit is generally consistent with the identified commercial density center distribution. 3) From the perspective of commercial industry, the differentiation of urban commercial space “center-periphery” is obvious, and different industries show different spatial agglomeration modes. 4) The multi-scale spatial agglomeration of each industry is different, the spatial scale of location choice of comprehensive retail, household appliances and other industries is larger, and the scale of location choice of textile, clothing, culture and sports is small. 5) There are significant differences in specialized functional areas from the perspective of industry. Mature areas show multi-functional elements, multi-advantage industry agglomeration characteristics, and a small number of developing areas also show multi-advantage industry agglomeration characteristics.
文摘Based on the overall analysis of the floating population among big and medium-sized cities in China,this paper, by means of statistics and questionnaires, makes a systematical study on the migratory features of the floating population in Mianyang, its employment structure, migrating causes and channels. According to the findings, the author finds a fact that with the strategy of Western Development, and with the construction of science and technology city of Mianyang, the migrating in Mianyang conforms to the general patterns of the migration, which has happened in those big and medium-sized cities in China.In addition,the city has a new but unique feature — economic factor, as the driving force of population migration, is quite distinct from that of those citiesin eastern areas of China.
文摘As a representative business of shared economy, shared bicycle solves the problem of “the last kilometer” and contributes to the development of modern urban public traffic. It facilitates the life of modern people, but the enterprise competition, improper operation and immature technology result in the supply over demand or demand over supply in some regions or sites, which fail to meet the public demand on bicycles. Therefore, the bicycle quantity put into the market should be comprehensively evaluated. Taking Mianyang City for example, the demanded quantity of shared bicycle was considered from multiple dimensions, specifically, population composition, district and county area, GDP and public facility, to solve the problems such as resource waste caused by excessive supply of shared bicycles, and failure to meet citizens’ demands caused by insufficient supply, to provide a better solution to the development of urban public transportation, and promote the reasonable development of urban shared economy.
文摘In order to understand the relationship between breakfast frequency and academic performance of grade 5 and grade 8 students, we conducted an investigation through a multistage cluster sampling design with 16,840 students (8017 5th graders and 8823 8th graders) from Mianyang city. Results show that: 1) 71.3% of fifth graders and 59.7% of eighth graders had breakfast every day of the week, and 9.7% of fifth graders and 7.5% of eighth graders had breakfast three times or less per week. 2) The number of times students eat breakfast per week has a significant impact on their comprehensive academic performance, which is reflected in the trend that the more times students eat breakfast, the better their overall academic performance is. Based on this, in order to help students eat breakfast more often, and further improve students’ academic performance, we will strengthen the publicity and education of students’ breakfast knowledge from multiple perspectives.
文摘Sichuan Province Mianyang Medicine (Group) Co. was founded in May 1993. It was formed by the Mianyang Medicine Station and Mianyang Chinese Medicine Station. It has 1,000 staff and workers. Its capital totals RMB130 million. The business scope includes medicine sales, medicines, sanitary materials, building materials, chemicals, restaurants and tourism.
文摘This paper probes into the establishment of ecological city of Mianyang and directive thoughts,measures, and countermoves are put forward based on analyzing the current situation about ecological environment of MianyangCity.
基金Partachievementsof the projectof the science and research fund in MianyangNormal University.
文摘Tourist agriculture, based on agriculture,is a new cross combination of agriculture and tourism from 1970s.Ithas appeared some original features by now, and weshould use the successful experience of the tourist agriculture in Taiwan of China for reference to standardize all the aspects of work.Support it more in policy,fund, technology, and propaganda, and strengthen the combination of the program of city and suburb to promote the development of the tourist agriculture in Mianyang.
文摘Several strong earthquakes occurred in the regions of Batang and Xiaojin of Sichuan Province in 1989. This paper uses broadband waveform data from GDSN, by the forward trial-and-error modeling for multiple subevent, in terms of analysis on quasi-source time function or qSTF of station, to study source rupture characteristics of these strong earthquakes and to discuss tectonic background of earthquake occurrence regions preliminarily.
文摘In 1996,the gross domestic product(GDP)of Sichuan Province reached 298.5 billion yuan,ranking No.8 in the country.Sichuan accounts for about 30%of the total eco-nomic output in West China.
文摘The total population of Sichuan Province will be con-trolled below 87 milion and the average annual birth rate at about 17 per thousand during the Ninth Five-year Plan(1996-2000).
文摘Sichuan Province.located in Southwest China on the upper reaches of the Yangtze River,covered an area of 485;000 square kilometers,or 6%of the nati onal to-tal and had a population of 83.56 million at the end of 1996.It has 20 cities and prefectures(includi ngi au-tonomous prefectures inhabited by ethnic groups)and 180 counties a nd districts under its juni sdiction.
文摘Sichuan a province inhabited by many nationalities.had an eth-nic population of 4.9 million by 1990.making up 40o of the province's total,according to the 1990 census In addition to the Han nationality:it is also inbabited by 14 ethnic groups.such as the Yi.Tibetan Qiang.Tujia.Miao,Hui.Mongolian,Lisu,Naxi,Nanchu,Buyi,Dai,Zhuang and Bai nationa lities.
文摘Research on the seismic vulnerability of building structures is very important for the work of earthquake disaster preparedness and mitigation. On the basis of the related studies over a long time, this paper provides several seismic vulnerability matrices of building structure in different regions of Sichuan Province. Poor anti-seismic capability is one of the factors resulting in the earthquake disasters in the past. We can reduce economic losses caused by earthquake through improving the anti-seismic and prevention level of building structures in Sichuan Province.
文摘This paper adopts the research methods such as literature material method, questionnaire investigation method, expert interview method and mathematical statistics to investigate and study the conditions of fancy rope skipping curriculum in 22 universities in Sichuan. The research shows that the university teachers highly recognize the fancy rope skipping curriculum; construction of teaching resources should be strengthened; cultivation of the professional teaching staffs should be strengthened; in terms of teaching materials, more premium teaching materials with high pertinence and professionalism are needed; the promotion and implementation of the curriculum system of fancy rope skipping should be boosted in different steps and stages; cultivation of the professional teachers should be enlarged; related scientific research of the curriculum system of fancy rope skipping should be strengthened.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42090022)。
文摘Based on the situation and progress of marine oil/gas exploration in the Sichuan Basin,SW China,the whole petroleum system is divided for marine carbonate rocks of the basin according to the combinations of hydrocarbon accumulation elements,especially the source rock.The hydrocarbon accumulation characteristics of each whole petroleum system are analyzed,the patterns of integrated conventional and unconventional hydrocarbon accumulation are summarized,and the favorable exploration targets are proposed.Under the control of multiple extensional-convergent tectonic cycles,the marine carbonate rocks of the Sichuan Basin contain three sets of regional source rocks and three sets of regional cap rocks,and can be divided into the Cambrian,Silurian and Permian whole petroleum systems.These whole petroleum systems present mainly independent hydrocarbon accumulation,containing natural gas of affinity individually.Locally,large fault zones run through multiple whole petroleum systems,forming a fault-controlled complex whole petroleum system.The hydrocarbon accumulation sequence of continental shelf facies shale gas accumulation,marginal platform facies-controlled gas reservoirs,and intra-platform fault-and facies-controlled gas reservoirs is common in the whole petroleum system,with a stereoscopic accumulation and orderly distribution pattern.High-quality source rock is fundamental to the formation of large gas fields,and natural gas in a whole petroleum system is generally enriched near and within the source rocks.The development and maintenance of large-scale reservoirs are essential for natural gas enrichment,multiple sources,oil and gas transformation,and dynamic adjustment are the characteristics of marine petroleum accumulation,and good preservation conditions are critical to natural gas accumulation.Large-scale marginal-platform reef-bank facies zones,deep shale gas,and large-scale lithological complexes related to source-connected faults are future marine hydrocarbon exploration targets in the Sichuan Basin.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42304153,42104138 and U2244220)China Geological Survey(Grant Nos.DD20221715,DD20243057,DD20243216).
文摘Analysis and research of large complex phenomena before and after the devastating earthquake to reduce the threat of natural disasters to human survival environment is of great significance.This paper analyzes the Wenchuan earthquake zone characteristics of gravity anomaly distributions,and then use edge detection and Euler deconvolution method to inverse Longmenshan gravity anomaly before earthquake.Fault distribution features and the general depth about the fault top of Longmenshan and its adjacent area before earthquake has been obtained.Morphology difference and possible earthquake formation have been analyzed through the Euler deconvolution result of gravity anomaly profile before and after the earthquake.
基金funded by the Humanities and Social Sciences Research Project of Ministry of Education of China[Grant ID:18YJA840018].
文摘Objective Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the current status and dynamic trends of the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV)prevalence in Sichuan,the second most heavily affected province in China,and to explore future interventions.Methods The epidemiological,behavioral,and population census data from multiple sources were analyzed to extract inputs for an acquired immunodeficiency syndrome(AIDS)epidemic model(AEM).Baseline curves,derived from historical trends in HIV prevalence,were used,and the AEM was employed to examine future intervention scenarios.Results In 2015,the modeled data suggested an adult HIV prevalence of 0.191%in Sichuan,with an estimated 128,766 people living with HIV/AIDS and 16,983 individuals with newly diagnosed infections.Considering current high-risk behaviors,the model predicts an increase in the adult prevalence to 0.306%by 2025,projecting an estimated 212,168 people living with HIV/AIDS and 16,555 individuals with newly diagnosed infections.Conclusion Heterosexual transmission will likely emerge as the primary mode of AIDS transmission in Sichuan.Furthermore,we anticipate a stabilization in the incidence of AIDS with a concurrent increase in prevalence.Implementing comprehensive intervention measures aimed at high-risk groups could effectively alleviate the spread of AIDS in Sichuan.
基金This work was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42002139 and U20B6001)the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.XDA14010404).
文摘Lacustrine shale oil and gas are important fields for unconventional exploration and development in China,and organic-rich shale deposition lays down the critical foundation for hydrocarbon generation.There are two sets of shale,the Dongyuemiao and Da’anzhai Members,in the Ziliujing Formation in the Sichuan Basin.To identify the differential enrichment characteristics of organic matter and clarify its controlling factors,geochemical analyses of organic and inorganic geochemical analyses were performed.The results showed that the total organic carbon content of the Dongyuemiao shale(1.36%)is slightly higher than that of the Da’anzhai shale(0.95%).The enrichment of organic matter in the two shales resulted from the comprehensive controls of paleoproductivity,paleoenvironment,and terrigenous input,but different factors have different effects.In addition,driven by climate,the change in the sulfate concentration in the bottom water further led to the different intensities of bacterial sulfate reduction in early diagenesis.This made a great difference regarding organic matter accumulation in the two members.In general,climate may have played a dominant role in organic matter enrichment in the two sets of shale.