Landslide prediction based on improved principal component analysis and mixed kernel function least squares support vector regression model

Landslide probability prediction plays an important role in understanding landslide information in advance and taking preventive measures.Many factors can influence the occurrence of landslides,which is easy to have a curse of dimensionality and thus lead to reduce prediction accuracy.Then the generalization ability of the model will also decline sharply when there are only small samples.To reduce the dimension of calculation and balance the model’s generalization and learning ability,this study proposed a landslide prediction method based on improved principal component analysis(PCA)and mixed kernel function least squares support vector regression(LSSVR)model.First,the traditional PCA was introduced with the idea of linear discrimination,and the dimensions of initial influencing factors were reduced from 8 to 3.The improved PCA can not only weight variables but also extract the original feature.Furthermore,combined with global and local kernel function,the mixed kernel function LSSVR model was framed to improve the generalization ability.Whale optimization algorithm(WOA)was used to optimize the parameters.Moreover,Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),the sum of squared errors(SSE),Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Mean Absolute Precentage Error(MAPE),and reliability were employed to verify the performance of the model.Compared with radial basis function(RBF)LSSVR model,Elman neural network model,and fuzzy decision model,the proposed method has a smaller deviation.Finally,the landslide warning level obtained from the landslide probability can also provide references for relevant decision-making departments in emergency response.

Improved deep mixed kernel randomized network for wind speed prediction

Forecasting wind speed is an extremely complicated and challenging problem due to its chaotic nature and its dependence on several atmospheric conditions.Although there are several intelligent techniques in the literature for wind speed prediction,their accuracies are not yet very reliable.Therefore,in this paper,a new hybrid intelligent technique named the deep mixed kernel random vector functional-link network auto-encoder(AE)is proposed for wind speed prediction.The proposed method eliminates manual tuning of hidden nodes with random weights and biases,providing prediction model generalization and representation learning.This reduces reconstruction error due to the exact inversion of the kernel matrix,unlike the pseudo-inverse in a random vector functional-link network,and short-ens the execution time.Furthermore,the presence of a direct link from the input to the output reduces the complexity of the prediction model and improves the prediction accuracy.The kernel parameters and coefficients of the mixed kernel system are optimized using a new chaotic sine–cosine Levy flight optimization technique.The lowest errors in terms of mean absolute error(0.4139),mean absolute percentage error(4.0081),root mean square error(0.4843),standard deviation error(1.1431)and index of agreement(0.9733)prove the efficiency of the proposed model in comparison with other deep learning models such as deep AEs,deep kernel extreme learning ma-chine AEs,deep kernel random vector functional-link network AEs,benchmark models such as least square support vector machine,autoregressive integrated moving average,extreme learning machines and their hybrid models along with different state-of-the-art methods.