A grey multi-objective programming approach for sustainable land-use in the Miyun Reservoir Basin,China

Miyun Reservoir is the most important water source to Beijing City. Land-use of the basin plays a great role in the protection of water resources. Hence a sustainable land-use planning is required to optimize land-use structure and protect water resources in the basin. Based on the complete land-use system analysis in Miyun, a grey multi-objective programming to basin land-use(GMOPBLU) model was developed and applied to land-use planning. Two alternatives were produced and analyzed by means of interactive adjustment and scenario analysis. The results showed the GMOPBLU model is a valuable approach for basin land-use planning.

Early Neoarchean Magmatic and Paleoproterozoic Metamorphic Events in the Northern North China Craton:SHRIMP Zircon Dating and Hf Isotopes of Archean Rocks from the Miyun Area,Beijing

The Miyun area of Beijing is located in the northern part of the North China Craton （NCC） and includes a variety of Archean granitoids and metamorphic rocks. Magmatic domains in zircon from a tonalite reveal Early Neoarchean （2752±7 Ma） ages show a small range in εHf（t） from 3.1 to 7.4 and tDM1（Hf） from 2742 to 2823 Ma, similar to their U-Pb ages, indicating derivation from a depleted mantle source only a short time prior to crystallization. SHRIMP zircon ages of granite, gneiss, amphibolite and hornblendite in the Miyun area reveal restricted emplacement ages from 2594 to 2496 Ma. They also record metamorphic events at ca. 2.50 Ga, 2.44 Ga and 1.82 Ga, showing a similar evolutionary history to the widely distributed Late Neoarchean rocks in the NCC. Positive eHf（t） values of 1.5 to 5.9, with model ages younger than 3.0 Ga for magmatic zircon domains from these Late Neoarchean intrusive rocks indicate that they are predominantly derived from juvenile crustal sources and suggest that significant crustal growth occurred in the northern NCC during the Neoarchean. Late Paleoproterozoic metamorphism developed widely in the NCC, not only in the Trans-North China Orogen, but also in areas of Eastern and Western Blocks, which suggest that the late Paleoproterozoic was the assembly of different micro-continents, which resulted in the final consolidation to form the NCC, and related to the development of the Paleo-Mesoproterozoic Columbia or Nuna supercontinent.

Dynamic Monitoring of Soil Erosion for Upper Stream of Miyun Reservoir in the Last 30 Years

The Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation （RUSLE） was applied to assess the spatial distribution and dynamic properties of soil loss with geographic information system （GIS） and remote sensing （RS） technologies. To improve the accuracy of soil-erosion estimates, a new C-factor estimation model was developed based on land cover and time series normalized difference vegetation index （NDVI） datasets. The new C-factor was then applied in the RUSLE to integrate rainfall, soil, vegetation, and topography data of different periods, and thus monitor the distribution of soil erosion patterns and their dynamics during a 3o-year period of the upstream watershed of Miynn Reservoir （UWMR）, China. The results showed that the new C-factor estimation method, which considers land cover status and dynamics, and explicitly incorporates within-land cover variability, was more rational, quantitative, and reliable. An average annual soil loss in UWMR of 25.68, 21.04, and 16.8o t ha-1 a-1 was estimated for 1990, 2000 and 2010, respectively, corroborated by comparing spatial and temporal variation in sediment yield. Between 2000 and 2010, a 1.38% average annual increase was observed in the area of lands that lost less than 5 t ha-1 a^-1, while during 1990-2000 such lands only increased on average by o.46%. Areas that classified as severe, very severe and extremely severe accounted for 5.68% of the total UWMR in 2010, and primarily occurred in dry areas or grasslands of sloping fields. The reason for the change in rate of soil loss is explained by an increased appreciation of soil conservation by developers and planners. Moreover,we recommend that UWMR watershed adopt further conservation measures such as terraced plowing of dry land, afforestation, or grassland enclosures as part of a concerted effort to reduce on-going soil erosion.

Development and application of a GIS database for the Miyun Reservoir water quality protection

A high quality database is the starting point for any GIS application. For the Miyun Reservoir, a large amount of spatial data has been accumulated by numerous studies. This paper introduces a GIS database development in support of these studies. And some applications of the GIS database, include integration with GPS, view and management of data, and integration with WASP5 model, are also introduced.

A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN THE MIYUN RESERVOIR AREA, CHINA

Miyun Reservoir was designated as the water source of Beijing City in 1982. Since that time, socio economic development in Miyun Area has been slowing due to the restriction of severe environmental standards. More and more attention from the public and government has been paid to the regional sustainable development. And an effective planning for the local society management system is urgently desired. In this study, a regional sustainable development system dynamics model, named MiyunSD, is developed for supporting this planning task. MiyunSD consists of dynamic simulation models that explicitly consider information feedback that governs interactions in the system. Such models are capable of simulating the system′s behavior and predicting its developing situation of the future. For the study case, interactions among a number of system components within a time frame of fifteen years are examined dynamically. Three planning alternatives are carefully considered. The base run is based on an assumption that the existing pattern of human activities will prevail in the entire planning horizon, and the other alternatives are based on previous and present planning studies. The different alternatives will get different system′s environmental and socio economic results. Through analyzing these dynamic results, local authorities may find an optimal way to realize the objectives that the regional environment will be well protected and at the same time the economy will be rapidly developed.

Projection of Water Availability in the Miyun Watershed from an RCM Simulation

Based on a high-resolution regional climate model (RegCM3) simulation over East Asia, future climate changes over the Miyun Reservoir in the 21st century under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1B scenario are analyzed. The model simulation extends from 1951 to 2100 at a grid spacing of 25 km and is one-way nested within a global model of MIROC3.2_ hires (the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate). The focus of the analysis is on the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, the main water supply for Beijing in northern China. The results show that RegCM3 reproduces the observed temperature well but it overestimates precipitation over the region. Significant warming in the 21st century is simulated in the annual mean, December-January-February (DJF) and June-July-August (JJA), although with differences concerning the spatial distribution and magnitude. Changes in precipitation for the annual mean, DJF, and JJA also show differences. A prevailing increase of precipitation in DJF and a decrease of it in JJA is projected over the region, while little change in the annual mean is projected. Changes of the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration to measure the potential water availability are also presented in the paper.

Effects of Closing Mountain for Forest Restoration in the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, Beijing

The paper provides a systematical analysis of ecological restoration effects of natural secondary forest of closure area in Chao Guanxi Gou, Miyun County, Beijing. The results indicate that through more than twenty years of hillclosing afforestation since 1983, canopy closure has improved almost by 0.2; forest cover rate has raised from 7.2% to 93.8%; biodiversity, tree biomass and vegetation community have increased to a great extent. Compared with the average canopy closure before hillclosing afforestation in this area, it has improved to over 0.4 in average and increased by 0.10.2. The forest coverage degree has reached more than 90%. Consequently, the forest plays more important roles in intercepting precipitation, improving water storage capacity of soil, decreasing the surface runoff, and preventing soil and water loss.

Research of the Response of Ecosystem to LUCC in Miyun County,Beijing:Based on Ecosystem Services Valuation

Miyun County,located in the northeast of Chinese capital Beijing,was underwent remarkable variations in land use in recent years.This paper aimed to detect changes in land use of Miyun from 1997 to 2005,and to qualify the response of ecosystem to LUCC based on ecosystem services valuation.With two-periods TM images,we got land use change data,and then ecosystem services values were calculated using ecosystem services valuation coefficients proposed by Chinese scholar Xie Gaodi.Results showed that water area,farm land and unused land decreased while residential land,forest land,grassland and orchard land increased during the study period.The loss of ESV was RMB 206 million and the main reason was the decrease of water area and farm land area.As for spatial variation,there were most dramatically land use change and ESV decline in reservoir ecological protection region.The coefficient sensitivity analysis indicates that valuation coefficients used in the study are suitable and results are reasonable.The driving forces of ESV loss were rapid population growth and economic development.More work should be done to make eco-environment stay healthy.

Land use scenarios simulation in ecological conservation area:A case study of Miyun district,Beijing

Ecological conservation area,as the main water source and ecological barrier of a city,provides ecosystem service for urban sustainable development.Land use simulation and forecast could be beneficial to improve future land use efficiency and environmental protection.In this paper,we took the Miyun district as the study area and applied the CLUE-S model for land use simulation,based on land use data in 2001 and 2010.Eight key driving factors were selected,including elevation,slope,distance,population density and others.Based on the adjusted model parameters,the land use patterns of 2020 in Miyun district were simulated respectively for rapid growth scenario,land use planning scenario and ecological protection scenario and then identify the area needed extraordinary supervision in land planning implementation.The results showed that the simulation accuracy for 2010 reached 85%considerably,implying that the CLUE-S model is well fitted for modeling the land use pattern in Miyun district.Construction land increases and cultivated land decreases dramatically by 2020 in rapid growth and land use planning scenarios.The potential land use change tends to occur near Miyun reservoir,while the sensitive area for ecological protection and land planning implementation are distributed around urban area,Fengjiayu and Jugezhuang town.Some opencast mine areas,which would be converted to forest land in planning,will be hard to execute in the actual situation,so these areas should be paid more attention in land management.The conclusions made in this study will provide data reference and basic information for the future ecological protection and land use planning implementation in Miyun district,which could also be useful for other similar cities.

New Year Fun in Miyun

AT the end of 2010, Miyun County, on the northeastern skirts of Beijing, launched a holiday promotion "Happy Warm Journey to Minyun," beckoning merrymakers to join the locals for the Chinese New Year.

Characteristics of Non-Point Source Pollution in the Watershed of Miyun Reservoir, Beijing, China

Nitrogen and phosphorus are the major nutrients to cause eutrophication to degrade water quality of the Miyun Reservoir, a very important drinking water source of Beijing, China, and they are mainly from non-point sources. The watershed in Miyun County was selected as the study region with a total area of 1400 km\+2. Four typical monitoring catchments and two experimental units were used to monitor the precipitation, runoff, sediment yield and pollutant loading related to various land uses in the meantime. The results show that the total nutrient loss amounts of TN and TP are \{898.07\} t/a, and \{40.70\} t/a, respectively, in which nutrients N and P carried by runoff are \{91.3%\} and \{77.3%\}, respectively. There is relatively heavier soil erosion in the northern mountain area whereas the main nutrient loss occurs near the northeast edge of the reservoir. Different land uses would influence the loss amounts of non-point source pollutants. The amount of nutrient loss from the agricultural land per unit is highest, that from forestry comes next and that from grassland is lowest. However, due to the variability of land use areas, agricultural land contributes a lot to TP and forestry lands to TN.

Nutrient Loss from Various Land-Use Areas in Shixia Small Watershed of Miyun County, Beijing, China

In the Shixia small watershed, twenty experimental plots and two monitoring channels, the residential area and livestock areas were used to monitor the flow, runoff and erosion. Nitrogen and phosphorous concentrations associated with various land uses were analyzed at the same time. The results are presented as follows: (1) TP, TN and COD concentrations of runoff samples in the residential area and livestock areas are nearly 10 times those in other land-use areas. High nutrient loads are associated with village land use, which is due to unsuitable livestock rising. These areas should be treated as the critical areas of non-point source pollution. (2) Different land-use influences intensity the loss of nutrients, especially slope tillings in agricultural land. The amount of nutrient loss from agricultural land per unit is highest, that from forestry is intermediate and that from pastures is lowest. However, in consideration of the variability of land-use areas, agricultural land contributes the greatest to TP and forestry land to TN. (3) The concentrations of TN and TP in sediments from gangues are highest, those in forestry land are intermediate, and those in agricultural land are lowest. Nutrient loss from hilly areas is much greater than from mountainous areas.

The Current Situation and Development Countermeasures of Creative Agriculture in Miyun

Creative agriculture,a new agricultural format formed by integrating agriculture,tourism and creative industries,is an important part of the urban modern agriculture. Proceeding from the functional position as an ecological conservation area,Miyun creative agriculture has obtained rapid growth,relying on its ecological resources,agricultural resources,tourist resources and leisure industry advantages. But there are still some problems. On the basis of analyzing the advantages and problems of creative agriculture in Miyun,the paper put forward the basic principles and thought pattern of developing creative agriculture in there. Besides,several countermeasures in terms of resources integration, scientific planning,exploring local cultural resources,developing theme products,constructing industrial chain,carrying out project design and creative planning,creating creative agricultural advantage brand are put forward.

生态系统休闲游憩价值评估--以北京密云区为例

作为生态产品总值核算的重要内容,生态系统文化服务主要包括休闲游憩、旅游康养与景观增值三个核算内容,但受公共产品性质的影响,休闲游憩服务缺乏市场价值,因此目前的研究很少涉及对生态系统休闲游憩价值的评估。而随着公园绿地等区域被广泛利用,其能为人们带来的休闲游憩服务也逐渐成为生态系统文化服务中不可忽视的重要组成部分。因此以北京密云区的公园绿地、滨水带与山地健身区为研究对象,运用替代成本法与支付意愿法对生态系统的休闲游憩价值进行评估与比较。结果表明,替代成本法评估的结果相对更合理;公园绿地、滨水带与山地健身区的休闲游憩价值分别为2.93亿元、4.54亿元、2.78亿元;密云区生态系统的休闲游憩价值为10.25亿元,其中费用成本6.69亿元,时间成本3.56亿元。

基于小班尺度的北京市密云区森林火灾危险性评价

【目的】森林火灾危险性评价是实现科学林火管理工作的重要前提和基础,基于小班尺度开展森林火灾危险性评价及其空间特征分析,可为林火精细化管理提供依据。【方法】以密云区为研究对象,基于2019年森林资源二类调查小班数据、森林可燃物数据、气象数据、重要火源点等数据,构建密云区森林火灾危险性评价体系,应用层次分析法和熵权法相结合的主客观赋权法确定评价体系中各指标权重,根据评价体系中最终权重采用加权综合评价法计算各小班的危险性指数,依据自然断点分级法划分为高、中高、中低、低4个等级;采用全域和局域莫兰指数判断各小班之间的空间自相关性和聚集分布特征。【结果】(1)基于小班尺度综合4类因子构建体系,权重分布比例合理,可较好地开展火灾危险性评价;(2)研究区内高等级、中高等级、中低等级、低等级危险性的小班面积占比分别为12.75%,19.01%,41.70%,26.54%。其中,高等级危险性小班以灌木林、侧柏林、油松林为主,小班面积占比分别为38.40%、25.76%、24.13%;(3)高等级危险性小班分布在研究区范围的东部以及中南部区域,从乡镇尺度分析,呈片状分布于巨各庄镇、高岭镇和新城子镇;(4)小班危险性的全域莫兰指数为0.2413(大于0),说明密云区各小班存在一定的正相关性,即小班呈现出聚集分布的特征,采用局域莫兰指数分析发现火灾危险性等级为高-高聚集型小班的面积达34637.77 hm^(2),占密云区面积的15.56%。【结论】(1)构建的森林火灾危险性评价体系中,野外火源所占权重最大,是影响森林火灾危险性的主要因素;(2)高等级危险性小班区域灌木林占比较高,且聚集分布特征明显,根据权重结果,建议增强对野外火源和重点人群的监督和管理;另一方面,制定可燃物清理的标准和要求,定期在农林交错地区和火源点周围进行可燃物清理作业。

密云水库流域降水径流非平稳特征识别及归因

为更准确揭示和认识变化环境下密云水库流域水文过程的非平稳特征,选取该流域1960—2019年降水和径流资料,采用多种时间序列分析方法综合诊断其趋势、突变点和周期等非平稳特征并进行成因分析。结果显示:该流域降水变化主要表现出较明显的随机特性,径流相比降水的下降趋势更显著,且在1979年发生了向下跳跃的强变异;相比气候变异影响,人类活动是密云水库流域径流减少的主导因素;1980—1998年流域水土保持措施与水利工程兴建对径流变化的贡献率为-111.40%,抵消了气候变异11.4%的增水效应;1999—2019年,塘坝建造和用地类型转变对径流变化的贡献率为-66.60%,同时叠加气候变异-33.40%的减水效应,导致近20年来该流域径流呈现显著减少的态势。研究结果可为密云水库安全运行、洪水调度以及流域水资源管理决策提供科学支撑。

基于多因素分析的密云水库流域径流变化归因

为准确揭示密云水库流域径流变化的物理成因,基于降水、径流非平稳特征诊断结果,采用SWAT(soil and water assessment tool)水文模型,基于Budyko理论的弹性系数法和水量平衡法揭示该流域径流变化原因;对比验证各模型归因结果差异,进一步探究归因方法和基准期选择对流域径流变化归因结果的影响。结果表明:基于Budyko理论的水量平衡方法更适用于水利工程众多、跨流域调水活动频繁的密云水库流域径流变化归因计算;利用该方法进行分析,当基准期长度达到16年及以上时,流域径流变化归因分析结果逐渐趋于稳定,而基准期选取过短会高估人类活动对径流的减水效应;此外,基准期选取靠近研究初始时段时,计算得到人类活动的减水效应相对较大。综合考虑上述各因素的影响,认为人类活动是密云水库流域径流变化的主导因素;在变化期Ⅰ,其减水效应在-128.32%~-119.56%波动,在变化期Ⅱ,其对径流的削减作用为-75.58%~-70.70%。研究结果有助于提升对密云水库流域径流复杂演变规律和物理成因的科学认识。

利用ArcGIS研究密怀顺回补区地下水位时空变化

密怀顺地区是北京市重要的水源涵养区,直接影响着主城区的供水安全。2014年南水北调盈余水量通过潮白河河道回补地下水,地下水位持续抬升,地下水升幅带不断变厚,包气带厚度变薄。基于ArcGIS软件,通过对区域地下水位2014—2022年进行研究,结果表明:研究区地下水位持续快速升高,升幅为26.38 m,其中密云区升幅19.01 m,怀柔区升幅28.26 m,顺义区升幅31.67 m;地下水位低升幅带面积为144.47 km^(2),占研究区面积的29.67%,地下水位中升幅带面积约为128.85 km^(2),占研究区面积的26.47%,地下水位高升幅带面积约为213.52 km^(2),占研究区面积的43.86%;研究区包气带厚度由43.07 m减小至16.69 m,减少了26.38 m,其中密云区由43.42 m减小至24.41 m,减少了19.01 m,怀柔区由39.38 m减小至11.13 m,减少了28.26 m,顺义区由45.83 m减小至14.11 m,减少了31.72 m。结果基本反映了该地区地下水时空变化特征,分区结果可进一步支撑地下水管理、地下水政策制定及地下水型水源地的精细化管理。

密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康评价

密云水库是北京市重要饮用水水源地,开展流域水生态健康评价并分析影响水生态健康的关键因素,对于密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态保护具有重要意义。基于密云水库上游20个小流域生境结构、水质和水生生物数据,结合密云水库上游(北京段)流域生态现状,构建了涵盖生境结构、水质和水生生物的评价指标体系,运用基于熵权法的综合健康指数法对流域水生态健康状况进行综合评价,结果表明:密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康状况总体为亚健康,其中小流域健康、亚健康、一般等级占比分别为10%、65%、25%;密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康状况具有较强的空间异质性,健康等级较高的地区主要分布在白马关河、琉璃河、汤河中游、天河上游,健康等级相对较低的地区主要分布在潮河、白河中下游、汤河下游、清水河、安达木河上游;面源污染、植被覆盖度低、水土流失等是影响密云水库上游(北京段)流域水生态健康的关键因素。

基于荧光指纹的土门西沟小流域农业面源溯源研究

于2022—2023年采集密云水库的典型农业小流域土门西沟小流域内源样品构建指纹库,采集7、8月河道6个重点断面水样进行三维荧光光谱测定,通过平行因子分析解析小流域氮素来源。结果表明:研究区氮平均质量浓度为7.92 mg/L,主要形态为硝态氮;通过结合荧光激发发射矩阵与平行因子分析共解析出4种荧光组分,主要包括两种类腐殖质组分(C1、C2)及类蛋白组分(C3、C4),C1与农业有机肥施用有关,C2与堆肥有关,C3、C4主要来自农村生活污水或未分解的尿素化肥;研究区农村生活污水荧光指数平均值约为2.16,土壤浸提液荧光指数平均值约为1.83,农村生活污水在8月对农业面源约贡献35%;小流域丰水期水质波动主要与类腐殖质C1、C2组分相关,应对研究区有机肥带来的农业面源给予关注并加强管控。