Under a very general condition （TNC condition） we show that the spectral radius of the kernel of a general branching process is a threshold parameter and hence plays a role as the basic reproduction number in usual ...Under a very general condition （TNC condition） we show that the spectral radius of the kernel of a general branching process is a threshold parameter and hence plays a role as the basic reproduction number in usual CMJ processes. We discuss also some properties of the extinction probability and the generating operator of general branching processes. As an application in epidemics, in the final section we suggest a generalization of SIR model which can describe infectious diseases transmission in an inhomogeneous population.展开更多
Strong law of large numbers is a fundamental theory in probability and statistics. When the measure tool is nonadditive, this law is very different from additive case. In 2010 Chen investigated the strong law of large...Strong law of large numbers is a fundamental theory in probability and statistics. When the measure tool is nonadditive, this law is very different from additive case. In 2010 Chen investigated the strong law of large numbers under upper probabilityVby assumingVis continuous. This assumption is very strong. Upper probabilities may not be continuous. In this paper we prove the strong law of large numbers for an upper probability without the continuity assumption whereby random variables are quasi-continuous and the upper probability is generated by a weakly compact family of probabilities on a complete and separable metric sample space.展开更多
L_r convergence and convergence in probability for weighted sums of L_q-mixingale arrays have been discussed and the Marcinkiewicz type weak law of large numbers for L_q-mixingale arrays has been obtained.
The recurrence properties of random walks can be characterized by P61ya number, i.e., the probability that the walker has returned to the origin at least once. In this paper, we consider recurrence properties for a ge...The recurrence properties of random walks can be characterized by P61ya number, i.e., the probability that the walker has returned to the origin at least once. In this paper, we consider recurrence properties for a general 1D random walk on a line, in which at each time step the walker can move to the left or right with probabilities l and r, or remain at the same position with probability o （l ＋ r ＋ o = 1）. We calculate Polya number P of this model and find a simple expression for P as, P = 1 - △, where △ is the absolute difference of l and r （△= ｜l - r｜）. We prove this rigorous expression by the method of creative telescoping, and our result suggests that the walk is recurrent if and only if the left-moving probability l equals to the right-moving probability r.展开更多
In the existing formalism of quantum states, probability amplitudes of quantum states are complex numbers. A composition of entangled quantum states, such as a Bell state, cannot be decomposed into its constituent qua...In the existing formalism of quantum states, probability amplitudes of quantum states are complex numbers. A composition of entangled quantum states, such as a Bell state, cannot be decomposed into its constituent quantum states, implying that quantum states lose their identities when they get entangled. This is contrary to the observation that a composition of entangled quantum states decays back to its constituent quantum states. To eliminate this discrepancy, this paper introduces a new type of numbers, called virtual numbers, which produce zero upon multiplication with complex numbers. In the proposed formalism of quantum states, probability amplitudes of quantum states are general numbers made of complex and virtual numbers. A composition of entangled quantum states, such as a Bell state, can then be decomposed into its constituent quantum states, implying that quantum states retain their identities when they get entangled.展开更多
For weighted sums of the form?j=1kn anj Xnj\sum{_{j=1}^{k_(n)}}a_({nj})X_({nj})where{a_(nj),1?j?k_(n)↑∞,n?1}is a real constant array and{X_(aj),1≤j≤k n,n≥1}is a rowwise independent,zero mean,random element array ...For weighted sums of the form?j=1kn anj Xnj\sum{_{j=1}^{k_(n)}}a_({nj})X_({nj})where{a_(nj),1?j?k_(n)↑∞,n?1}is a real constant array and{X_(aj),1≤j≤k n,n≥1}is a rowwise independent,zero mean,random element array in a real separable Banach space of typep,we establishL r convergence theorem and a general weak law of large numbers respectively,conversely,we characterize Banach spaces of typep in terms of convergence inr-th mean and probability for such weighted sums.展开更多
The combination of fuzzy logic tools and multi-criteria decision making has a great relevance in literature. Compared with the classical fuzzy number, Z-number has more ability to describe the human knowledge. It can ...The combination of fuzzy logic tools and multi-criteria decision making has a great relevance in literature. Compared with the classical fuzzy number, Z-number has more ability to describe the human knowledge. It can describe both restraint and reliability. Prof. L. Zadeh introduced the concept of Z-numbers to describe the uncertain information which is a more generalized notion closely related to reliability. Use of Z-information is more adequate and intuitively meaningful for formalizing information of a decision making problem. In this paper, Z-number is applied to solve multi-criteria decision making problem. In this paper, we consider two approaches to decision making with Z-information. The first approach is based on converting the Z-numbers to crisp number to determine the priority weight of each alternative. The second approach is based on Expected utility theory by using Z-numbers. To illustrate a validity of suggested approaches to decision making with Z-information the numerical examples have been used.展开更多
Most probable number （MPN） and colony-forming unit （CFU） estimates of fecal indicator bacteria （FIB） concentration are common measures of water quality in aquatic environments. Thus, FIB intensively monitored in...Most probable number （MPN） and colony-forming unit （CFU） estimates of fecal indicator bacteria （FIB） concentration are common measures of water quality in aquatic environments. Thus, FIB intensively monitored in Yeongsan Watershed in an attempt to compare two different methods and to develop a statistical model to convert from CFU to MPN estimates or vice versa. As a result, the significant difference was found in the MPN and CFU estimates. The enumerated Escherichia coli concentrations in MPN are greater than those in CFU, except for the measurement in winter. Especially in fall, E. coli concentrations in MPN are one order of magnitude greater than that in CFU. Contrarily, enterococci bacteria in MPN are lower than those in CFU. However, in general, a strongly positive relationship are found between MPN and CFU estimates. Therefore, the statistical models were developed, and showed the reasonable converting FIB concentrations from CFU estimates to MPN estimates. We expect this study will provide preliminary information towards future research on whether different analysis methods may result in different water quality standard violation frequencies for the same water sample.展开更多
文摘Under a very general condition （TNC condition） we show that the spectral radius of the kernel of a general branching process is a threshold parameter and hence plays a role as the basic reproduction number in usual CMJ processes. We discuss also some properties of the extinction probability and the generating operator of general branching processes. As an application in epidemics, in the final section we suggest a generalization of SIR model which can describe infectious diseases transmission in an inhomogeneous population.
文摘Strong law of large numbers is a fundamental theory in probability and statistics. When the measure tool is nonadditive, this law is very different from additive case. In 2010 Chen investigated the strong law of large numbers under upper probabilityVby assumingVis continuous. This assumption is very strong. Upper probabilities may not be continuous. In this paper we prove the strong law of large numbers for an upper probability without the continuity assumption whereby random variables are quasi-continuous and the upper probability is generated by a weakly compact family of probabilities on a complete and separable metric sample space.
文摘L_r convergence and convergence in probability for weighted sums of L_q-mixingale arrays have been discussed and the Marcinkiewicz type weak law of large numbers for L_q-mixingale arrays has been obtained.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 10975057Doctor Fund Project of Ministry of Education under Contract 20103201120003+1 种基金the New Teacher Foundation of Soochow University under Contracts Q3108908, Q4108910the Extracurricular Pesearch Foundation of Undergraduates under Grant No. KY2010056A
文摘The recurrence properties of random walks can be characterized by P61ya number, i.e., the probability that the walker has returned to the origin at least once. In this paper, we consider recurrence properties for a general 1D random walk on a line, in which at each time step the walker can move to the left or right with probabilities l and r, or remain at the same position with probability o （l ＋ r ＋ o = 1）. We calculate Polya number P of this model and find a simple expression for P as, P = 1 - △, where △ is the absolute difference of l and r （△= ｜l - r｜）. We prove this rigorous expression by the method of creative telescoping, and our result suggests that the walk is recurrent if and only if the left-moving probability l equals to the right-moving probability r.
文摘In the existing formalism of quantum states, probability amplitudes of quantum states are complex numbers. A composition of entangled quantum states, such as a Bell state, cannot be decomposed into its constituent quantum states, implying that quantum states lose their identities when they get entangled. This is contrary to the observation that a composition of entangled quantum states decays back to its constituent quantum states. To eliminate this discrepancy, this paper introduces a new type of numbers, called virtual numbers, which produce zero upon multiplication with complex numbers. In the proposed formalism of quantum states, probability amplitudes of quantum states are general numbers made of complex and virtual numbers. A composition of entangled quantum states, such as a Bell state, can then be decomposed into its constituent quantum states, implying that quantum states retain their identities when they get entangled.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science F oundation of China(No.10071058)
文摘For weighted sums of the form?j=1kn anj Xnj\sum{_{j=1}^{k_(n)}}a_({nj})X_({nj})where{a_(nj),1?j?k_(n)↑∞,n?1}is a real constant array and{X_(aj),1≤j≤k n,n≥1}is a rowwise independent,zero mean,random element array in a real separable Banach space of typep,we establishL r convergence theorem and a general weak law of large numbers respectively,conversely,we characterize Banach spaces of typep in terms of convergence inr-th mean and probability for such weighted sums.
文摘The combination of fuzzy logic tools and multi-criteria decision making has a great relevance in literature. Compared with the classical fuzzy number, Z-number has more ability to describe the human knowledge. It can describe both restraint and reliability. Prof. L. Zadeh introduced the concept of Z-numbers to describe the uncertain information which is a more generalized notion closely related to reliability. Use of Z-information is more adequate and intuitively meaningful for formalizing information of a decision making problem. In this paper, Z-number is applied to solve multi-criteria decision making problem. In this paper, we consider two approaches to decision making with Z-information. The first approach is based on converting the Z-numbers to crisp number to determine the priority weight of each alternative. The second approach is based on Expected utility theory by using Z-numbers. To illustrate a validity of suggested approaches to decision making with Z-information the numerical examples have been used.
基金supported by the Korean Ministry of Environment as "The Eco-technopia 21 Project" (No. 019-071-053)
文摘Most probable number （MPN） and colony-forming unit （CFU） estimates of fecal indicator bacteria （FIB） concentration are common measures of water quality in aquatic environments. Thus, FIB intensively monitored in Yeongsan Watershed in an attempt to compare two different methods and to develop a statistical model to convert from CFU to MPN estimates or vice versa. As a result, the significant difference was found in the MPN and CFU estimates. The enumerated Escherichia coli concentrations in MPN are greater than those in CFU, except for the measurement in winter. Especially in fall, E. coli concentrations in MPN are one order of magnitude greater than that in CFU. Contrarily, enterococci bacteria in MPN are lower than those in CFU. However, in general, a strongly positive relationship are found between MPN and CFU estimates. Therefore, the statistical models were developed, and showed the reasonable converting FIB concentrations from CFU estimates to MPN estimates. We expect this study will provide preliminary information towards future research on whether different analysis methods may result in different water quality standard violation frequencies for the same water sample.
