Thailand has currently enhanced and promoted intensive trade and investment liberalization and implemented long-term growth policy according with current regional economic integration, WTO obligations and globalizatio...Thailand has currently enhanced and promoted intensive trade and investment liberalization and implemented long-term growth policy according with current regional economic integration, WTO obligations and globalization. Nevertheless, several recent internal and external factors e.g. the massive SARS and avian flu outbreaks, the Indian Ocean tsunami devastation, the Asia financial crisis and domestic policy reforms （ICSEAD, 2006） have also impeded this policy. While the issues are important for Thailand and developing countries in Asia, only limited research has been undertaken to investigate them. The paper conducts a substantive quantitative study to contribute to these trade and development policy issues. A new econometric modelling policy method, namely the generalized gravity theory （Tran Van Hoa, 2004） is used to develop a simple flexible simultaneous-equation econometric model of Thailand＇s openness model with its seven major trade partners （ASEAN-4, Australia, the USA, the EU, China, Japan and India）. Using data from the ICSEAD, the World Development Indicators and the Bank of Thailand databases, the paper reveals efficient and reliable empirical findings on trade-growth causality, trade determination including the impact of shocks and policy reform on trade and growth between Thailand and its major trade partners over the past two decades. The paper also provides evidence on the linkages between trade in goods, FDI and services and regional economic integration for more credible policy implications.展开更多
This study reassesses the macroeconomic and social impacts of Economic Partnership Agreements （EPAs） on Ivorian economy using Computable General Equilibrium （CGE） model with positive externalities of public invest...This study reassesses the macroeconomic and social impacts of Economic Partnership Agreements （EPAs） on Ivorian economy using Computable General Equilibrium （CGE） model with positive externalities of public investment in education, health, and economic infrastructure. Previous studies highlight negative effect of these agreements stressing particularly on losses in government revenues due to the removal of all tariffs on imports. This analysis aims to provide some insight into this question by refreshing the debate to show how this situation could be transformed into opportunities for Ivory Coast in order to promote growth and reduce poverty. To do so, this study postulates that government spending （investment） in economic infrastructure （roads, bridges, communication network, etc.）, in education and health sectors produces positive externalities in each industry. This assumption has not been set anymore in previous studies. Simulation results reveal that, despite this decline in government revenues, if it invests in economic infrastructure, health and education sector, EPAs will generate more revenue for government due to the rise in income tax on firms and households, and tax on overall production. Furthermore, household income will increase which will in turn stimulate （final） consumption. There won＇t also be a decline in economic growth.展开更多
As a result of deadlocked multilateral trade negotiations, many countries have embarked on the establishment of bilateral and regional trade agreements. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project database and a computabl...As a result of deadlocked multilateral trade negotiations, many countries have embarked on the establishment of bilateral and regional trade agreements. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project database and a computable general equilibrium model, our paper focuses on the impacts of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership （TTIP） and the Trans- Pacific Partnership （TPP） on the Chinese economy under three scenarios. The results suggest that when only the TTIP is realized, Chinese economic variables are negatively affected. When both the TTIP and the TPP are realized and China is excluded, the combined damage to the Chinese economy is higher than the damage with the TTIP alone. However, the inclusion of China in the TPP has a positively effect on economic variables in China. This indicates that the impacts of China ＇s participation in the TPP compensate for the negative impacts of the TTIP. Therefore, China should consider being part of the TPP to offset the negative impacts of the TTIP.展开更多
This study aims to explore the influencing factors of the location determinants of Taiwan’s foreign direct investments(FDIs)in China’s internal regions.This study proposes three models to examine the influencing fac...This study aims to explore the influencing factors of the location determinants of Taiwan’s foreign direct investments(FDIs)in China’s internal regions.This study proposes three models to examine the influencing factors of Taiwan’s FDIs in China by combining the location advantages of the host country,the economy and politics of the home country,and network relationship in bilateral and regional trade agreements:First,analyze the location distribution of Taiwan’s FDIs in China’s six regions;Second,analyze the location determinants of Taiwan’s main sectors’(manufacturing and service)FDIs in China;Third,analyze the location determinants of Taiwan’s high-tech industries’FDIs in China’s six regions.The estimated results show that bilateral trade agreement seems to have positive effects on Taiwan’s FDIs in China,while regional trade agreement seems to have negative effects.In Taiwan’s political form,the ruling party with characteristics of political defense against China seems to have negative effects on most of Taiwan’s industries(except manufacturing)and the overall FDIs in China.In terms of China’s relevant economic factors,the main determinants of Taiwan’s high-tech industries’FDIs in the major regions of Eastern and South Central of China are infrastructure and high-level human capital resources.China’s GDP growth and increase in unit labor cost have negative effects on FDIs in most regions of China.This implies that the advantage of low wages in China Factory may gradually decline.This study provides some references and implications for future research and policy makers for the analysis of relevant influencing factors of FDI.展开更多
The next US president will be elected in November 2008. Since the relative stabilization of war in Iraq, the economy has become the national priority of the 2008 US election. In their campaign efforts, the Democrats h...The next US president will be elected in November 2008. Since the relative stabilization of war in Iraq, the economy has become the national priority of the 2008 US election. In their campaign efforts, the Democrats have enjoyed greater momentum than the Republicans, in terms of polls, fund-raising and corporate support. After the Bush era, the next president will seek to restore America＇s leadership and to engage in multilateralism. Since the 1990s, China has been the most rapidly-growing US export destination. In terms of US-Shinese trade and investment, the next president, ira Democrat, will, among other issues, review trade agreements and has pledged to co-sponsor legislation that would allow US companies to seek anti-dumping duties on Chinese imports based on the perceived undervaluation of the Chinese currency. If a Republican, the next president will support global integration and oppose protectionist measures. The Democratic Congress is likely to oppose Republican policies in general and free trade policies in particular. Both scenarios imply increasing pressure on US-Chinese trade and investment relationships. Because these two nations now account for almost half of global growth, the state of the futureUS-Chinese bilateral relationship has worldwide implications.展开更多
Trade,investment and tax treaties are concluded for different reasons and with different objectives.The international trade and tax systems are overseen by different global organizations.The overlaps and inconsistenci...Trade,investment and tax treaties are concluded for different reasons and with different objectives.The international trade and tax systems are overseen by different global organizations.The overlaps and inconsistencies between these agreements could be exploited by investors to gain unintended advantages.Therefore,developing countries must ensure that there is greater cooperation and exchange of information in relation to trade,investment and tax policy.The exchange of information between tax administrations is important in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),where the tax administration in each jurisdiction needs to know more about the cross-border transactions of multinationals operating in its territory.The most effective way for developing countries to improve the exchange of information is to sign multilateral agreements,in particular the Convention on Mutual Assistance in Tax Matters.The customs and transfer pricing functions within a jurisdiction should collaborate and exchange information to ensure that the pricing of import transactions is consistent across different taxes.Both functions could carry out risk-based compliance audits that would involve comparison of transfer pricing and customs documentation.In the context of coordination between customs and direct tax functions,the comparison of customs and transfer pricing documentation can be established on a routine basis.Closer coordination of transfer pricing and customs would also help taxpayers reduce compliance costs in relation to cross-border transactions.In view of the compliance costs involved in putting together transfer pricing documentation,it would help taxpayers if much of the same documentation could also be used for the purposes of customs valuation.展开更多
文摘Thailand has currently enhanced and promoted intensive trade and investment liberalization and implemented long-term growth policy according with current regional economic integration, WTO obligations and globalization. Nevertheless, several recent internal and external factors e.g. the massive SARS and avian flu outbreaks, the Indian Ocean tsunami devastation, the Asia financial crisis and domestic policy reforms （ICSEAD, 2006） have also impeded this policy. While the issues are important for Thailand and developing countries in Asia, only limited research has been undertaken to investigate them. The paper conducts a substantive quantitative study to contribute to these trade and development policy issues. A new econometric modelling policy method, namely the generalized gravity theory （Tran Van Hoa, 2004） is used to develop a simple flexible simultaneous-equation econometric model of Thailand＇s openness model with its seven major trade partners （ASEAN-4, Australia, the USA, the EU, China, Japan and India）. Using data from the ICSEAD, the World Development Indicators and the Bank of Thailand databases, the paper reveals efficient and reliable empirical findings on trade-growth causality, trade determination including the impact of shocks and policy reform on trade and growth between Thailand and its major trade partners over the past two decades. The paper also provides evidence on the linkages between trade in goods, FDI and services and regional economic integration for more credible policy implications.
文摘This study reassesses the macroeconomic and social impacts of Economic Partnership Agreements （EPAs） on Ivorian economy using Computable General Equilibrium （CGE） model with positive externalities of public investment in education, health, and economic infrastructure. Previous studies highlight negative effect of these agreements stressing particularly on losses in government revenues due to the removal of all tariffs on imports. This analysis aims to provide some insight into this question by refreshing the debate to show how this situation could be transformed into opportunities for Ivory Coast in order to promote growth and reduce poverty. To do so, this study postulates that government spending （investment） in economic infrastructure （roads, bridges, communication network, etc.）, in education and health sectors produces positive externalities in each industry. This assumption has not been set anymore in previous studies. Simulation results reveal that, despite this decline in government revenues, if it invests in economic infrastructure, health and education sector, EPAs will generate more revenue for government due to the rise in income tax on firms and households, and tax on overall production. Furthermore, household income will increase which will in turn stimulate （final） consumption. There won＇t also be a decline in economic growth.
文摘As a result of deadlocked multilateral trade negotiations, many countries have embarked on the establishment of bilateral and regional trade agreements. Using the Global Trade Analysis Project database and a computable general equilibrium model, our paper focuses on the impacts of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership （TTIP） and the Trans- Pacific Partnership （TPP） on the Chinese economy under three scenarios. The results suggest that when only the TTIP is realized, Chinese economic variables are negatively affected. When both the TTIP and the TPP are realized and China is excluded, the combined damage to the Chinese economy is higher than the damage with the TTIP alone. However, the inclusion of China in the TPP has a positively effect on economic variables in China. This indicates that the impacts of China ＇s participation in the TPP compensate for the negative impacts of the TTIP. Therefore, China should consider being part of the TPP to offset the negative impacts of the TTIP.
文摘This study aims to explore the influencing factors of the location determinants of Taiwan’s foreign direct investments(FDIs)in China’s internal regions.This study proposes three models to examine the influencing factors of Taiwan’s FDIs in China by combining the location advantages of the host country,the economy and politics of the home country,and network relationship in bilateral and regional trade agreements:First,analyze the location distribution of Taiwan’s FDIs in China’s six regions;Second,analyze the location determinants of Taiwan’s main sectors’(manufacturing and service)FDIs in China;Third,analyze the location determinants of Taiwan’s high-tech industries’FDIs in China’s six regions.The estimated results show that bilateral trade agreement seems to have positive effects on Taiwan’s FDIs in China,while regional trade agreement seems to have negative effects.In Taiwan’s political form,the ruling party with characteristics of political defense against China seems to have negative effects on most of Taiwan’s industries(except manufacturing)and the overall FDIs in China.In terms of China’s relevant economic factors,the main determinants of Taiwan’s high-tech industries’FDIs in the major regions of Eastern and South Central of China are infrastructure and high-level human capital resources.China’s GDP growth and increase in unit labor cost have negative effects on FDIs in most regions of China.This implies that the advantage of low wages in China Factory may gradually decline.This study provides some references and implications for future research and policy makers for the analysis of relevant influencing factors of FDI.
文摘The next US president will be elected in November 2008. Since the relative stabilization of war in Iraq, the economy has become the national priority of the 2008 US election. In their campaign efforts, the Democrats have enjoyed greater momentum than the Republicans, in terms of polls, fund-raising and corporate support. After the Bush era, the next president will seek to restore America＇s leadership and to engage in multilateralism. Since the 1990s, China has been the most rapidly-growing US export destination. In terms of US-Shinese trade and investment, the next president, ira Democrat, will, among other issues, review trade agreements and has pledged to co-sponsor legislation that would allow US companies to seek anti-dumping duties on Chinese imports based on the perceived undervaluation of the Chinese currency. If a Republican, the next president will support global integration and oppose protectionist measures. The Democratic Congress is likely to oppose Republican policies in general and free trade policies in particular. Both scenarios imply increasing pressure on US-Chinese trade and investment relationships. Because these two nations now account for almost half of global growth, the state of the futureUS-Chinese bilateral relationship has worldwide implications.
文摘Trade,investment and tax treaties are concluded for different reasons and with different objectives.The international trade and tax systems are overseen by different global organizations.The overlaps and inconsistencies between these agreements could be exploited by investors to gain unintended advantages.Therefore,developing countries must ensure that there is greater cooperation and exchange of information in relation to trade,investment and tax policy.The exchange of information between tax administrations is important in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI),where the tax administration in each jurisdiction needs to know more about the cross-border transactions of multinationals operating in its territory.The most effective way for developing countries to improve the exchange of information is to sign multilateral agreements,in particular the Convention on Mutual Assistance in Tax Matters.The customs and transfer pricing functions within a jurisdiction should collaborate and exchange information to ensure that the pricing of import transactions is consistent across different taxes.Both functions could carry out risk-based compliance audits that would involve comparison of transfer pricing and customs documentation.In the context of coordination between customs and direct tax functions,the comparison of customs and transfer pricing documentation can be established on a routine basis.Closer coordination of transfer pricing and customs would also help taxpayers reduce compliance costs in relation to cross-border transactions.In view of the compliance costs involved in putting together transfer pricing documentation,it would help taxpayers if much of the same documentation could also be used for the purposes of customs valuation.
