The accuracy of historical situation values is required for traditional network security situation prediction(NSSP).There are discrepancies in the correlation and weighting of the various network security elements.To ...The accuracy of historical situation values is required for traditional network security situation prediction(NSSP).There are discrepancies in the correlation and weighting of the various network security elements.To solve these problems,a combined prediction model based on the temporal convolution attention network(TCAN)and bi-directional gate recurrent unit(BiGRU)network is proposed,which is optimized by singular spectrum analysis(SSA)and improved quantum particle swarmoptimization algorithm(IQPSO).This model first decomposes and reconstructs network security situation data into a series of subsequences by SSA to remove the noise from the data.Furthermore,a prediction model of TCAN-BiGRU is established respectively for each subsequence.TCAN uses the TCN to extract features from the network security situation data and the improved channel attention mechanism(CAM)to extract important feature information from TCN.BiGRU learns the before-after status of situation data to extract more feature information from sequences for prediction.Besides,IQPSO is proposed to optimize the hyperparameters of BiGRU.Finally,the prediction results of the subsequence are superimposed to obtain the final predicted value.On the one hand,IQPSO compares with other optimization algorithms in the experiment,whose performance can find the optimum value of the benchmark function many times,showing that IQPSO performs better.On the other hand,the established prediction model compares with the traditional prediction methods through the simulation experiment,whose coefficient of determination is up to 0.999 on both sets,indicating that the combined prediction model established has higher prediction accuracy.展开更多
Network Security Situation Awareness System YHSAS acquires,understands and displays the security factors which cause changes of network situation,and predicts the future development trend of these security factors.YHS...Network Security Situation Awareness System YHSAS acquires,understands and displays the security factors which cause changes of network situation,and predicts the future development trend of these security factors.YHSAS is developed for national backbone network,large network operators,large enterprises and other large-scale network.This paper describes its architecture and key technologies:Network Security Oriented Total Factor Information Collection and High-Dimensional Vector Space Analysis,Knowledge Representation and Management of Super Large-Scale Network Security,Multi-Level,Multi-Granularity and Multi-Dimensional Network Security Index Construction Method,Multi-Mode and Multi-Granularity Network Security Situation Prediction Technology,and so on.The performance tests show that YHSAS has high real-time performance and accuracy in security situation analysis and trend prediction.The system meets the demands of analysis and prediction for large-scale network security situation.展开更多
The accurate and real-time prediction of network security situation is the premise and basis of preventing intrusions and attacks in a large-scale network. In order to predict the security situation more accurately, a...The accurate and real-time prediction of network security situation is the premise and basis of preventing intrusions and attacks in a large-scale network. In order to predict the security situation more accurately, a quantitative prediction method of network security situation based on Wavelet Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm （GAWNN） is proposed. After analyzing the past and the current network security situation in detail, we build a network security situation prediction model based on wavelet neural network that is optimized by the improved genetic algorithm and then adopt GAWNN to predict the non-linear time series of network security situation. Simulation experiments prove that the proposed method has advantages over Wavelet Neural Network （WNN） method and Back Propagation Neural Network （BPNN） method with the same architecture in convergence speed, functional approximation and prediction accuracy. What is more, system security tendency and laws by which security analyzers and administrators can adjust security policies in near real-time are revealed from the prediction results as early as possible.展开更多
Network security situation is a hot research topic in the field of network security. Whole situation awareness includes the current situation evaluation and the future situation prediction. However, the now-existing r...Network security situation is a hot research topic in the field of network security. Whole situation awareness includes the current situation evaluation and the future situation prediction. However, the now-existing research focuses on the current situation evaluation, and seldom discusses the future prediction. Based on the historical research, an improved grey Verhulst model is put forward to predict the future situation. Aiming at the shortages in the prediction based on traditional Verhulst model, the adaptive grey parameters and equal- dimensions grey filling methods are proposed to improve the precision. The simulation results prove that the scheme is efficient and applicable.展开更多
基金This work is supported by the National Science Foundation of China(61806219,61703426,and 61876189)by National Science Foundation of Shaanxi Provence(2021JM-226)by the Young Talent fund of the University,and the Association for Science and Technology in Shaanxi,China(20190108,20220106)by and the Innovation Capability Support Plan of Shaanxi,China(2020KJXX-065).
文摘The accuracy of historical situation values is required for traditional network security situation prediction(NSSP).There are discrepancies in the correlation and weighting of the various network security elements.To solve these problems,a combined prediction model based on the temporal convolution attention network(TCAN)and bi-directional gate recurrent unit(BiGRU)network is proposed,which is optimized by singular spectrum analysis(SSA)and improved quantum particle swarmoptimization algorithm(IQPSO).This model first decomposes and reconstructs network security situation data into a series of subsequences by SSA to remove the noise from the data.Furthermore,a prediction model of TCAN-BiGRU is established respectively for each subsequence.TCAN uses the TCN to extract features from the network security situation data and the improved channel attention mechanism(CAM)to extract important feature information from TCN.BiGRU learns the before-after status of situation data to extract more feature information from sequences for prediction.Besides,IQPSO is proposed to optimize the hyperparameters of BiGRU.Finally,the prediction results of the subsequence are superimposed to obtain the final predicted value.On the one hand,IQPSO compares with other optimization algorithms in the experiment,whose performance can find the optimum value of the benchmark function many times,showing that IQPSO performs better.On the other hand,the established prediction model compares with the traditional prediction methods through the simulation experiment,whose coefficient of determination is up to 0.999 on both sets,indicating that the combined prediction model established has higher prediction accuracy.
基金This work is funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant U1636215the National key research and development plan under Grant Nos.2018YFB0803504,2016YFB0800303.
文摘Network Security Situation Awareness System YHSAS acquires,understands and displays the security factors which cause changes of network situation,and predicts the future development trend of these security factors.YHSAS is developed for national backbone network,large network operators,large enterprises and other large-scale network.This paper describes its architecture and key technologies:Network Security Oriented Total Factor Information Collection and High-Dimensional Vector Space Analysis,Knowledge Representation and Management of Super Large-Scale Network Security,Multi-Level,Multi-Granularity and Multi-Dimensional Network Security Index Construction Method,Multi-Mode and Multi-Granularity Network Security Situation Prediction Technology,and so on.The performance tests show that YHSAS has high real-time performance and accuracy in security situation analysis and trend prediction.The system meets the demands of analysis and prediction for large-scale network security situation.
基金Supported by the National High Technology Development 863 Program of China under Grant No.2007AA01Z401the National Research Foundation for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China under Grant No.20050217007the National Defense Advanced Foundation under Grant No.513150602.
文摘The accurate and real-time prediction of network security situation is the premise and basis of preventing intrusions and attacks in a large-scale network. In order to predict the security situation more accurately, a quantitative prediction method of network security situation based on Wavelet Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm （GAWNN） is proposed. After analyzing the past and the current network security situation in detail, we build a network security situation prediction model based on wavelet neural network that is optimized by the improved genetic algorithm and then adopt GAWNN to predict the non-linear time series of network security situation. Simulation experiments prove that the proposed method has advantages over Wavelet Neural Network （WNN） method and Back Propagation Neural Network （BPNN） method with the same architecture in convergence speed, functional approximation and prediction accuracy. What is more, system security tendency and laws by which security analyzers and administrators can adjust security policies in near real-time are revealed from the prediction results as early as possible.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.60605019)
文摘Network security situation is a hot research topic in the field of network security. Whole situation awareness includes the current situation evaluation and the future situation prediction. However, the now-existing research focuses on the current situation evaluation, and seldom discusses the future prediction. Based on the historical research, an improved grey Verhulst model is put forward to predict the future situation. Aiming at the shortages in the prediction based on traditional Verhulst model, the adaptive grey parameters and equal- dimensions grey filling methods are proposed to improve the precision. The simulation results prove that the scheme is efficient and applicable.
文摘计算机与网络技术的发展,使得大部分行业已经进入深度的网络融合应用阶段。计算机网络的高性能和高效率在为人类社会带来福利的同时,也因网络安全问题给社会运转带来威胁。特别是随着诸如网络功能虚拟化(Network Functions Virtualization,NFV)、软件定义网络(Software Defined Network,SDN)等技术得以实施和应用的今天,迥异于传统物理网络结构的虚拟化网络,使得人们在应对网络安全问题时面临新的挑战,特别是在网络安全态势预测方面。基于此,针对NFV与SDN高度融合环境下的网络安全态势预测方案进行研究和探讨,构建编码网络模型,对该环境下的网络安全态势要素进行提取,并利用基于注意力机制的循环门控单元预测方法,建立网络模型,以实现网络安全态势预测。该方案弥补了传统网络安全态势预测方案在准确度、适应性等方面的不足,期望能够为网络安全态势预测的相关研究与应用提供帮助。
