By making full use of GMS TBB data, diagnosis and analysis of the formation and development of El Ni駉 event in 2002 and 2003 were made. It suggests that the first clue of the El Ni event appeared in December 2001. Th...By making full use of GMS TBB data, diagnosis and analysis of the formation and development of El Ni駉 event in 2002 and 2003 were made. It suggests that the first clue of the El Ni event appeared in December 2001. The event was formed at the end of 2002 after five phases of development, and came into the phase of flourishing in the winter of 2002. From the analysis the dynamics, it is noted that that the position of the ascending branch of Walker cell was moving from the equatorial west Pacific to the equatorial central Pacific in the phase of formation and development of the El Ni駉 event. The process of diagnosis shows that it can provide an important clue for forecasting the genesis and development of the El Ni駉 episodes.展开更多
文摘By making full use of GMS TBB data, diagnosis and analysis of the formation and development of El Ni駉 event in 2002 and 2003 were made. It suggests that the first clue of the El Ni event appeared in December 2001. The event was formed at the end of 2002 after five phases of development, and came into the phase of flourishing in the winter of 2002. From the analysis the dynamics, it is noted that that the position of the ascending branch of Walker cell was moving from the equatorial west Pacific to the equatorial central Pacific in the phase of formation and development of the El Ni駉 event. The process of diagnosis shows that it can provide an important clue for forecasting the genesis and development of the El Ni駉 episodes.
