In recent years, El Nino Modoki （a type of pseudo-El Nino） has been distinguished as a unique large-scale ocean warming phenomenon happening in the central tropical Pacific that is quite different from the tradition...In recent years, El Nino Modoki （a type of pseudo-El Nino） has been distinguished as a unique large-scale ocean warming phenomenon happening in the central tropical Pacific that is quite different from the traditional El Nino. In this study, EOF analysis was used to successfully separate El Nino and El Nino Modoki. The abilities of the NINO3 index, NINO3.4 index, NINO1＋2 index and NINO4 index in characterizing El Nino were explored in detail. The resulting suggestion was that, comparatively, NINO3 is the optimal index for monitoring El Nino among the four NINO indices, as the other NINO indices were found to be less good at distinguishing between El Nino and El Nino Modoki signals, or were easily disturbed by El Nino Modoki signals. Further, an improved El Nino Modoki index （IEMI） was introduced in the current paper to better represent the El Nino Modoki that is captured by the second leading EOF mode of monthly tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies （SSTAs）. The IEMI is an improvement of the El Nino Modoki index （EMI） through adjustments made to the inappropriate weight coefficients of the three boxes of EMI. The IEMI therefore overcomes the EMI’s inability to monitor the two historical El Nino Modoki events, as well as avoids the possible risk （present in the EMI） of excluding the interference of the El Nino signal. The realistic and potential advantages of the IEMI are clear.展开更多
利用来自欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)将风浪、涌浪分离的具有较高时空分辨率的45年ERA-40海浪资料,对太平洋的海表风场、风浪、涌浪、混合浪的特征进行分析。研究发现太平洋大部...利用来自欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)将风浪、涌浪分离的具有较高时空分辨率的45年ERA-40海浪资料,对太平洋的海表风场、风浪、涌浪、混合浪的特征进行分析。研究发现太平洋大部分海域的涌浪波高、混合浪波高呈显著的逐年线性递增趋势,趋势分别为0.3—0.6cm.a 1、0.3—1.2cm.a 1;太平洋的涌浪在混合浪中四季皆起主导作用,涌浪指标的低值区主要集中在南北半球的西风带,太平洋赤道附近海域存在明显的涌浪池;北太平洋的风场与风浪场的相关系数好于南太平洋,风场与涌浪场的相关系数则是南太平洋好于北太平洋;研究还发现太平洋的浪场与Nino3指数有着密切的关系。展开更多
A premonitory sign of an anomalous SST over the eastern equatorial Pacific shows up in the North Pacific Subtropical Mode Water (STMW) 18 months earlier,and the air-sea relationship between the STMW and the anomalous ...A premonitory sign of an anomalous SST over the eastern equatorial Pacific shows up in the North Pacific Subtropical Mode Water (STMW) 18 months earlier,and the air-sea relationship between the STMW and the anomalous SST over the eastern equatorial Pacific is shown.This premonitory connection involves an air-sea coupling between the longtime persistent mid-latitude sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) induced by the remote re-emergence of the STMW and the following spring subtropical atmospheric circulation anomalies.An examination of the air-sea interaction reveals that the following spring subtropical atmospheric circulation,which responds to the longtime persistent SSTA,is dominated by the anomalous negative (positive) geopotential height downstream of the negative (positive) SSTA in the strong (weak) STMW case.Thus,the tropics adjust to these anomalies through coupled dynamics,producing positive (negative) SST anomalies over the eastern equatorial Pacific.A cold water event that occurred over the eastern equatorial Pacific during winter 2008-09 was successfully forecasted by the weak summer STMW index in 2007.The evolution of this process for the air-sea interactions from the autumn of 2007 to December 2008 is presented.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foun-dation of China (Grant Nos. 40675028 and 40975029)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No.2006CB403600)the State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG)
文摘In recent years, El Nino Modoki （a type of pseudo-El Nino） has been distinguished as a unique large-scale ocean warming phenomenon happening in the central tropical Pacific that is quite different from the traditional El Nino. In this study, EOF analysis was used to successfully separate El Nino and El Nino Modoki. The abilities of the NINO3 index, NINO3.4 index, NINO1＋2 index and NINO4 index in characterizing El Nino were explored in detail. The resulting suggestion was that, comparatively, NINO3 is the optimal index for monitoring El Nino among the four NINO indices, as the other NINO indices were found to be less good at distinguishing between El Nino and El Nino Modoki signals, or were easily disturbed by El Nino Modoki signals. Further, an improved El Nino Modoki index （IEMI） was introduced in the current paper to better represent the El Nino Modoki that is captured by the second leading EOF mode of monthly tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies （SSTAs）. The IEMI is an improvement of the El Nino Modoki index （EMI） through adjustments made to the inappropriate weight coefficients of the three boxes of EMI. The IEMI therefore overcomes the EMI’s inability to monitor the two historical El Nino Modoki events, as well as avoids the possible risk （present in the EMI） of excluding the interference of the El Nino signal. The realistic and potential advantages of the IEMI are clear.
文摘利用来自欧洲中期天气预报中心(European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,ECMWF)将风浪、涌浪分离的具有较高时空分辨率的45年ERA-40海浪资料,对太平洋的海表风场、风浪、涌浪、混合浪的特征进行分析。研究发现太平洋大部分海域的涌浪波高、混合浪波高呈显著的逐年线性递增趋势,趋势分别为0.3—0.6cm.a 1、0.3—1.2cm.a 1;太平洋的涌浪在混合浪中四季皆起主导作用,涌浪指标的低值区主要集中在南北半球的西风带,太平洋赤道附近海域存在明显的涌浪池;北太平洋的风场与风浪场的相关系数好于南太平洋,风场与涌浪场的相关系数则是南太平洋好于北太平洋;研究还发现太平洋的浪场与Nino3指数有着密切的关系。
基金jointly supported by the Key Projects in the National Science&Technology Pillar Program of China(2007BAC29B03)the National Basic Research Program of China(2009CB421401)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(40675031)
文摘A premonitory sign of an anomalous SST over the eastern equatorial Pacific shows up in the North Pacific Subtropical Mode Water (STMW) 18 months earlier,and the air-sea relationship between the STMW and the anomalous SST over the eastern equatorial Pacific is shown.This premonitory connection involves an air-sea coupling between the longtime persistent mid-latitude sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) induced by the remote re-emergence of the STMW and the following spring subtropical atmospheric circulation anomalies.An examination of the air-sea interaction reveals that the following spring subtropical atmospheric circulation,which responds to the longtime persistent SSTA,is dominated by the anomalous negative (positive) geopotential height downstream of the negative (positive) SSTA in the strong (weak) STMW case.Thus,the tropics adjust to these anomalies through coupled dynamics,producing positive (negative) SST anomalies over the eastern equatorial Pacific.A cold water event that occurred over the eastern equatorial Pacific during winter 2008-09 was successfully forecasted by the weak summer STMW index in 2007.The evolution of this process for the air-sea interactions from the autumn of 2007 to December 2008 is presented.
