Microvasculature of the retina is considered an alternative marker of cerebral vascular risk in healthy populations.However,the ability of retinal vasculature changes,specifically focusing on retinal vessel diameter,t...Microvasculature of the retina is considered an alternative marker of cerebral vascular risk in healthy populations.However,the ability of retinal vasculature changes,specifically focusing on retinal vessel diameter,to predict the recurrence of cerebrovascular events in patients with ischemic stroke has not been determined comprehensively.While previous studies have shown a link between retinal vessel diameter and recurrent cerebrovascular events,they have not incorporated this information into a predictive model.Therefore,this study aimed to investigate the relationship between retinal vessel diameter and subsequent cerebrovascular events in patients with acute ischemic stroke.Additionally,we sought to establish a predictive model by combining retinal veessel diameter with traditional risk factors.We performed a prospective observational study of 141 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University.All of these patients underwent digital retinal imaging within 72 hours of admission and were followed up for 3 years.We found that,after adjusting for related risk factors,patients with acute ischemic stroke with mean arteriolar diameter within 0.5-1.0 disc diameters of the disc margin(MAD_(0.5-1.0DD))of≥74.14μm and mean venular diameter within 0.5-1.0 disc diameters of the disc margin(MVD_(0.5-1.0DD))of≥83.91μm tended to experience recurrent cerebrovascular events.We established three multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models:model 1 included traditional risk factors,model 2 added MAD_(0.5-1.0DD)to model 1,and model 3 added MVD0.5-1.0DD to model 1.Model 3 had the greatest potential to predict subsequent cerebrovascular events,followed by model 2,and finally model 1.These findings indicate that combining retinal venular or arteriolar diameter with traditional risk factors could improve the prediction of recurrent cerebrovascular events in patients with acute ischemic stroke,and that retinal imaging could be a useful and non-invasive method for identifying high-risk patients who require closer monitoring and more aggressive management.展开更多
目的探讨脑小血管(cerebral small vessel disease,CSVD)负担评分对短暂性脑缺血发作(transient ischemic attack,TIA)患者复发性脑血管事件(recurrence cerebrovascular events,RCVEs)的预测价值。材料与方法回顾性分析2019年10月至202...目的探讨脑小血管(cerebral small vessel disease,CSVD)负担评分对短暂性脑缺血发作(transient ischemic attack,TIA)患者复发性脑血管事件(recurrence cerebrovascular events,RCVEs)的预测价值。材料与方法回顾性分析2019年10月至2022年12月期间于安徽省第二人民医院就诊的182例TIA患者病例资料,依据MRI检查计算CSVD总体负担评分,根据随访1个月内有无发生RCVEs分为RCVEs组(n=46)和未RCVEs组(n=136)。比较两组临床资料和CSVD总体负担评分,采用多因素logistic回归分析模型分析RCVEs的独立危险因素,绘制受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线分析CSVD影像特征得分及总负担评分对TIA患者RCVEs的预测价值。结果RCVEs组和未RCVEs组TIA发作次数、症状持续时间、既往高血压病史、CSVD总负担评分及分级情况比较差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示:TIA发作次数、症状持续时间、CSVD总负担评分是TIA患者发生RCVEs的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示:CSVD影像特征评分及总负担评分预测TIA患者发生RCVEs的曲线下面积(areas under the curve,AUC)分别为0.771(95%CI:0.673~0.869,P<0.001)、0.745(95%CI:0.655~0.835,P<0.001)、0.664(95%CI:0.549~0.780,P=0.009)、0.845(95%CI:0.766~0.924,P<0.001)、0.945(95%CI:0.896~0.994,P<0.001),其中CVSD总负担评分预测的AUC最高,当最佳截断值为2分时,敏感度为86.05%,特异度为83.02%。结论CSVD总负担评分对TIA患者发生RCVEs的预测价值良好,有助于临床评估TIA患者的短期预后。展开更多
基金supported by the Youth Fund of Fundamental Research Fund for the Central Universities of Jinan University,No.11622303(to YZ).
文摘Microvasculature of the retina is considered an alternative marker of cerebral vascular risk in healthy populations.However,the ability of retinal vasculature changes,specifically focusing on retinal vessel diameter,to predict the recurrence of cerebrovascular events in patients with ischemic stroke has not been determined comprehensively.While previous studies have shown a link between retinal vessel diameter and recurrent cerebrovascular events,they have not incorporated this information into a predictive model.Therefore,this study aimed to investigate the relationship between retinal vessel diameter and subsequent cerebrovascular events in patients with acute ischemic stroke.Additionally,we sought to establish a predictive model by combining retinal veessel diameter with traditional risk factors.We performed a prospective observational study of 141 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University.All of these patients underwent digital retinal imaging within 72 hours of admission and were followed up for 3 years.We found that,after adjusting for related risk factors,patients with acute ischemic stroke with mean arteriolar diameter within 0.5-1.0 disc diameters of the disc margin(MAD_(0.5-1.0DD))of≥74.14μm and mean venular diameter within 0.5-1.0 disc diameters of the disc margin(MVD_(0.5-1.0DD))of≥83.91μm tended to experience recurrent cerebrovascular events.We established three multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models:model 1 included traditional risk factors,model 2 added MAD_(0.5-1.0DD)to model 1,and model 3 added MVD0.5-1.0DD to model 1.Model 3 had the greatest potential to predict subsequent cerebrovascular events,followed by model 2,and finally model 1.These findings indicate that combining retinal venular or arteriolar diameter with traditional risk factors could improve the prediction of recurrent cerebrovascular events in patients with acute ischemic stroke,and that retinal imaging could be a useful and non-invasive method for identifying high-risk patients who require closer monitoring and more aggressive management.
文摘目的探讨脑小血管(cerebral small vessel disease,CSVD)负担评分对短暂性脑缺血发作(transient ischemic attack,TIA)患者复发性脑血管事件(recurrence cerebrovascular events,RCVEs)的预测价值。材料与方法回顾性分析2019年10月至2022年12月期间于安徽省第二人民医院就诊的182例TIA患者病例资料,依据MRI检查计算CSVD总体负担评分,根据随访1个月内有无发生RCVEs分为RCVEs组(n=46)和未RCVEs组(n=136)。比较两组临床资料和CSVD总体负担评分,采用多因素logistic回归分析模型分析RCVEs的独立危险因素,绘制受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线分析CSVD影像特征得分及总负担评分对TIA患者RCVEs的预测价值。结果RCVEs组和未RCVEs组TIA发作次数、症状持续时间、既往高血压病史、CSVD总负担评分及分级情况比较差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析结果显示:TIA发作次数、症状持续时间、CSVD总负担评分是TIA患者发生RCVEs的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示:CSVD影像特征评分及总负担评分预测TIA患者发生RCVEs的曲线下面积(areas under the curve,AUC)分别为0.771(95%CI:0.673~0.869,P<0.001)、0.745(95%CI:0.655~0.835,P<0.001)、0.664(95%CI:0.549~0.780,P=0.009)、0.845(95%CI:0.766~0.924,P<0.001)、0.945(95%CI:0.896~0.994,P<0.001),其中CVSD总负担评分预测的AUC最高,当最佳截断值为2分时,敏感度为86.05%,特异度为83.02%。结论CSVD总负担评分对TIA患者发生RCVEs的预测价值良好,有助于临床评估TIA患者的短期预后。
