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Changes in confirmed plus borderline cases of congenital hypothyroidism in California as a function of environmental fallout from the Fukushima nuclear meltdown 被引量:1
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作者 Joseph Mangano Janette Sherman Christopher Busby 《Open Journal of Pediatrics》 2013年第4期370-376,共7页
Radiation exposure has been linked to increased risk of congenital hypothyroidism (CH) for decades. CH is a relatively uncommon condition, occurring in about 1 of 2000 US births. Thyroid Stimulating Hormone (TSH) leve... Radiation exposure has been linked to increased risk of congenital hypothyroidism (CH) for decades. CH is a relatively uncommon condition, occurring in about 1 of 2000 US births. Thyroid Stimulating Hormone (TSH) levels for each child born in California permitted an analysis of combined confirmed and borderline CH cases. Borderline/confirmed CH cases are more than seven times greater than just confirmed cases. Airborne levels of gross beta nuclear radiation in the US were elevated in the period starting several days after the Fukushima nuclear meltdown, especially in west coast states like California. The borderline/confirmed CH rate for newborns during the last 9.5 months in 2011 (exposed to Fukushima in utero) vs. births during other periods in 2011 and 2012 (not exposed) was significantly elevated, suggesting that adverse health effects to the newborn thyroid were not restricted to just a small number of confirmed CH cases. The sensitivity of the fetus to radiation exposure, plus the presence of thyroid-seeking radioiodine, suggest further analysis of Fukushima’s potential to cause adverse health effects in newborns is needed. 展开更多
关键词 Congenital HYPOTHYROIDISM FUKUSHIMA Dai-Ichi nuclear meltdown Fetal THYROID
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核泄漏事故风险评估中的概率分析及预测
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作者 何博文 关群 《合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 北大核心 2024年第2期161-168,共8页
文章利用逻辑回归模型(logistic regression model,LRM)、线性判别模型(linear discriminant model,LDM)和支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)3种统计模型,从核反应堆的内部和外部因素2个方面评估其在核泄漏事故中所体现的相关安... 文章利用逻辑回归模型(logistic regression model,LRM)、线性判别模型(linear discriminant model,LDM)和支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)3种统计模型,从核反应堆的内部和外部因素2个方面评估其在核泄漏事故中所体现的相关安全性能。针对每种模型,利用数理统计理论探究核反应堆相关影响因素与其发生核泄漏事故的概率。研究发现核反应堆外部因素有主导内部因素的趋势并在整个核泄漏事故风险中占有举足轻重的地位。文章提供的模型分析与预测结果可为核反应堆工程师及其相关决策者在核反应堆的选址、设计及建设运营等方面提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 核泄漏 风险评估 概率分析 逻辑回归模型(LRM) 线性判别模型(LDM) 支持向量机(SVM)
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秦山一期核电站小破口冷却剂丧失初因严重事故以及缓解措施的研究 被引量:4
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作者 许以全 车济尧 +1 位作者 苏云 曹学武 《核动力工程》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2004年第6期546-549,共4页
采用基于SCDAP/RELAP5的核反应堆严重事故分析平台,分析研究了秦山一期核电站一回路冷段小破口冷却剂流失(SBLOCA)初因导致严重事故进程,并根据美国SAN ONOFRE 核电站的IPE结果以及SURRY的PSA评估结果[1、2],选择适当的缓解措施,即进行... 采用基于SCDAP/RELAP5的核反应堆严重事故分析平台,分析研究了秦山一期核电站一回路冷段小破口冷却剂流失(SBLOCA)初因导致严重事故进程,并根据美国SAN ONOFRE 核电站的IPE结果以及SURRY的PSA评估结果[1、2],选择适当的缓解措施,即进行一回路补给水,对该事故做了相应的干预。通过计算分析,对阻止SBLOCA引发的严重事故进程的缓解措施的有效性进行了验证。 展开更多
关键词 秦山一期核电站 小破口冷却剂流失 严重事故管理 缓解措施
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用ICARE2分析秦山二期核电厂堆芯熔化行为
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作者 肖增光 史晓磊 +2 位作者 陈林林 孙雪霆 魏严凇 《应用能源技术》 2017年第5期52-54,共3页
建立了秦山二期核电厂ICARE2程序堆芯计算模型,分析了小破口失水加全厂断电事故的堆芯熔化进程。计算结果表明,堆芯在3 923 s开始破坏,在4 284 s时发生移位并逐渐形成熔渣,4 951 s时堆芯内的一个流道完全堵塞,计算结束时,约产生了66 000... 建立了秦山二期核电厂ICARE2程序堆芯计算模型,分析了小破口失水加全厂断电事故的堆芯熔化进程。计算结果表明,堆芯在3 923 s开始破坏,在4 284 s时发生移位并逐渐形成熔渣,4 951 s时堆芯内的一个流道完全堵塞,计算结束时,约产生了66 000 kg固态熔渣和9 000 kg液态熔渣。 展开更多
关键词 CARE2 秦山核电厂 堆芯熔化
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Changes in Congenital Anomaly Incidence in West Coast and Pacific States (USA) after Arrival of Fukushima Fallout
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作者 Joseph Mangano Janette D. Sherman 《Open Journal of Pediatrics》 2015年第1期76-89,共14页
Radioactive fallout after the March 2011 Fukushima nuclear meltdown entered the U.S. environment within days;levels of radioactivity were particularly elevated in the five western states bordering on the Pacific Ocean... Radioactive fallout after the March 2011 Fukushima nuclear meltdown entered the U.S. environment within days;levels of radioactivity were particularly elevated in the five western states bordering on the Pacific Ocean. The particular sensitivity of the fetus to radiation exposure, and the ability of radioisotopes to attach to cells, tissues, and DNA raise the question of whether fetuses/newborns with birth defects with the greater exposures suffered elevated harm during the period after the meltdown. We compare rates of five congenital anomalies for 2010 and 2011 births from April-November. The increase of 13.00% in the five western states is significantly greater than the 3.77% decrease for all other U.S. states combined (CI 0.030 - 0.205, p < 0.008). Consistent patterns of elevated increases are observed in the west (20 of 21 comparisons, 6 of which are statistically significant/borderline significant), by state, type of birth defect, month of birth, and month of conception. While these five anomalies are relatively uncommon (about 7500 cases per year in the U.S.), sometimes making statistical significance difficult to achieve, the consistency of the results lend strength to the analysis, and suggest fetal harm from Fukushima may have occurred in western U.S. states. 展开更多
关键词 BIRTH Defects FUKUSHIMA Radiation meltdown nuclear Plant
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一种关于熔化情况下锆-4合金包壳管氧化物膜厚度变化估计的计算公式
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作者 张喜燕 《渝州大学学报》 1989年第4期56-61,共6页
已有的研究表明,核反应堆堆内温度超过元件包壳熔点时,锆—4合金与蒸汽反应在包壳表生成的ZrO_2氧化膜将对Zr—4合金熔体起到一定的保护作用。因此这层氧化膜的厚度及完整性对于堆芯元件过热及流动导致的反应堆事故具有极重要的影响。... 已有的研究表明,核反应堆堆内温度超过元件包壳熔点时,锆—4合金与蒸汽反应在包壳表生成的ZrO_2氧化膜将对Zr—4合金熔体起到一定的保护作用。因此这层氧化膜的厚度及完整性对于堆芯元件过热及流动导致的反应堆事故具有极重要的影响。本文假定氧的扩散是ZrO_2氧化膜厚变化的控制因素,通过解扩散方程,建立了对在这种情况下ZrO_2膜厚度变化进行估计时的计算公式。 展开更多
关键词 锆合金 氧化物膜 厚度 计算公式
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