Background Obstructive lung disease （OLD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma） is an important cause of death in older people. There has been no exhaustive population-based mortality study of this subjec...Background Obstructive lung disease （OLD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma） is an important cause of death in older people. There has been no exhaustive population-based mortality study of this subject in Shanghai. The objective of this study was to use a multiple cause of death methodology in the analysis of OLD mortality trends in the Yangpu district of Shanghai, from 2003 through 2011. Methods We analyzed death data from the Shanghai Yangpu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention for Medical Cause of Death database, selecting all death certificates for individuals 40 years or older on which OLD was listed as a cause of death. Results From 2003 to 2011, there were 8 775 deaths with OLD listed, of which 6 005 （68%） were identified as the underlying cause of death. For the entire period, a significantly decreasing trend of age standardized rates of death from OLD was observed in men （-6.2% per year） and in women （-5.7% per year）, similar trends were observed in deaths with OLD. The mean annual rates of deaths from OLD per 100 000 were 161.2 for men and 80.8 for women from 2003 to 2011. While, as the underlying cause of death, the main associated causes of death were as follows： cardiovascular diseases （70.7%）, carebrovascular diseases （13.3%）, diabetes （8.6%）, and cancer （4.3%）. The associated causes and the principal overall underlying causes of death were cardiovascular diseases （37.0%）, cancer （30.3%）, and cerebrovascular disease （15.3%）. A significant seasonal variation, with the highest frequency in winter, occurred in deaths identified with underlying causes of chronic bronchitis, other obstructive pulmonary diseases, and asthma. Conclusions Multiple cause mortality analysis provides a more accurate picture than underlying cause of total mortality attributed on death certificates to OLD. The major comorbidities associated with OLD were cardiovascular disease, cancer, and cerebrovascular disease. From 2003 to 2011, the mortality rate from OLD decreased substantially in the Yangpu district of Shanghai.展开更多
目的:不同相位角水平对老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病(chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,COPD)患者预后的评估价值。方法:回顾性分析2020年6月至2022年3月苏州大学附属第二医院收治的210例老年COPD患者临床资料,对所有患者进行出院后3个...目的:不同相位角水平对老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病(chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,COPD)患者预后的评估价值。方法:回顾性分析2020年6月至2022年3月苏州大学附属第二医院收治的210例老年COPD患者临床资料,对所有患者进行出院后3个月随访。将135例低相位角水平患者纳入低相位角组,将75例正常相位角水平患者纳入正常相位角组,并将患者出现急性加重症状、全因死亡作为2个终点事件,对不同相位角水平评估老年COPD患者预后情况的价值进行单因素、多因素回归分析。结果:正常相位角组年龄、体重指数、吸烟比例、入住重症监护病房(intensive care unit,ICU)比例、改良英国医学研究学会呼吸困难指数(modified British Medical Research Council,mMRC)量表评分、过去3个月COPD急性加重次数、慢性阻塞性肺疾病全球倡议(Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease,GOLD)分级、病情等级、第1秒用力呼气量(forced expiratory volume in one second,FEV1)、动脉血二氧化碳分压(partial arterial pressure of carbon dioxide,PaCO_(2))、动脉血氧分压与吸入氧浓度的比值(ratio of the partial arterial pressure of oxygen to the fraction of inspired oxygen,PaO_(2)/FiO_(2))、相位角水平与低相位角组比较,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。随访3个月,COPD急性加重症状者139例,死亡25例。将随访3个月内出现急性加重症状作为终点事件,经log-rank法分析,低相位角组出现COPD急性加重症状的时间短于正常相位角组(P<0.05)。将随访3个月内全因死亡作为终点事件,经log-rank法分析,低相位角组生存率低于正常相位角组(P<0.05)。单因素分析与多因素Cox回归分析显示:年龄、mMRC评分、病情等级、过去3个月COPD急性加重次数、低相位角水平均是老年COPD患者随访3个月内出现急性加重的危险因素(均P<0.05)。单因素分析与多因素Cox回归分析显示:mMRC评分、病情等级、低相位角水平均是老年COPD患者随访3个月内全因死亡的危险因素(均P<0.05)。结论:低相位角水平是老年COPD患者随访3个月内发生疾病急性加重及死亡的独立危险因素,其对于患者预后的预测具有一定价值。展开更多
文摘Background Obstructive lung disease （OLD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma） is an important cause of death in older people. There has been no exhaustive population-based mortality study of this subject in Shanghai. The objective of this study was to use a multiple cause of death methodology in the analysis of OLD mortality trends in the Yangpu district of Shanghai, from 2003 through 2011. Methods We analyzed death data from the Shanghai Yangpu District Center for Disease Control and Prevention for Medical Cause of Death database, selecting all death certificates for individuals 40 years or older on which OLD was listed as a cause of death. Results From 2003 to 2011, there were 8 775 deaths with OLD listed, of which 6 005 （68%） were identified as the underlying cause of death. For the entire period, a significantly decreasing trend of age standardized rates of death from OLD was observed in men （-6.2% per year） and in women （-5.7% per year）, similar trends were observed in deaths with OLD. The mean annual rates of deaths from OLD per 100 000 were 161.2 for men and 80.8 for women from 2003 to 2011. While, as the underlying cause of death, the main associated causes of death were as follows： cardiovascular diseases （70.7%）, carebrovascular diseases （13.3%）, diabetes （8.6%）, and cancer （4.3%）. The associated causes and the principal overall underlying causes of death were cardiovascular diseases （37.0%）, cancer （30.3%）, and cerebrovascular disease （15.3%）. A significant seasonal variation, with the highest frequency in winter, occurred in deaths identified with underlying causes of chronic bronchitis, other obstructive pulmonary diseases, and asthma. Conclusions Multiple cause mortality analysis provides a more accurate picture than underlying cause of total mortality attributed on death certificates to OLD. The major comorbidities associated with OLD were cardiovascular disease, cancer, and cerebrovascular disease. From 2003 to 2011, the mortality rate from OLD decreased substantially in the Yangpu district of Shanghai.
文摘目的:不同相位角水平对老年慢性阻塞性肺疾病(chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,COPD)患者预后的评估价值。方法:回顾性分析2020年6月至2022年3月苏州大学附属第二医院收治的210例老年COPD患者临床资料,对所有患者进行出院后3个月随访。将135例低相位角水平患者纳入低相位角组,将75例正常相位角水平患者纳入正常相位角组,并将患者出现急性加重症状、全因死亡作为2个终点事件,对不同相位角水平评估老年COPD患者预后情况的价值进行单因素、多因素回归分析。结果:正常相位角组年龄、体重指数、吸烟比例、入住重症监护病房(intensive care unit,ICU)比例、改良英国医学研究学会呼吸困难指数(modified British Medical Research Council,mMRC)量表评分、过去3个月COPD急性加重次数、慢性阻塞性肺疾病全球倡议(Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease,GOLD)分级、病情等级、第1秒用力呼气量(forced expiratory volume in one second,FEV1)、动脉血二氧化碳分压(partial arterial pressure of carbon dioxide,PaCO_(2))、动脉血氧分压与吸入氧浓度的比值(ratio of the partial arterial pressure of oxygen to the fraction of inspired oxygen,PaO_(2)/FiO_(2))、相位角水平与低相位角组比较,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。随访3个月,COPD急性加重症状者139例,死亡25例。将随访3个月内出现急性加重症状作为终点事件,经log-rank法分析,低相位角组出现COPD急性加重症状的时间短于正常相位角组(P<0.05)。将随访3个月内全因死亡作为终点事件,经log-rank法分析,低相位角组生存率低于正常相位角组(P<0.05)。单因素分析与多因素Cox回归分析显示:年龄、mMRC评分、病情等级、过去3个月COPD急性加重次数、低相位角水平均是老年COPD患者随访3个月内出现急性加重的危险因素(均P<0.05)。单因素分析与多因素Cox回归分析显示:mMRC评分、病情等级、低相位角水平均是老年COPD患者随访3个月内全因死亡的危险因素(均P<0.05)。结论:低相位角水平是老年COPD患者随访3个月内发生疾病急性加重及死亡的独立危险因素,其对于患者预后的预测具有一定价值。
