Operation safety risk analysis method of hydropower project considering time-dependent effect

In order to consider the time-dependent characteristic of risk factors of hydropower project,the method of stochastic process simulating structure resistance and load effect is adopted.On the basis of analyzing the structure characteristics and mode of operation,the operation safety risk rate assessment model of hydropower project is established on the comprehensive application of the improved analytic hierarchy process,the time-dependent reliability theory and the risk rate threshold.A scheme to demonstrate the time-dependent risk rate assessment method for an example of the earth-rock dam is particularly implemented by the proposed approach.The example shows that operation safety risk rate is closely related to both the service period and design standard;considering the effect of time-dependent,the risk rate increases with time and the intersection of them reflects the technical service life of structures.It could provide scientific basis for the operation safety and risk decision of the hydropower project by predicting the trend of risk rate via this model.

Research on Operation Safety of Urban Rail Transit Based on Automatic Ticket Checking(AFC)System

At present,after the actual inspection of the rail transit automatic ticket checking system,some security vulnerabilities have appeared,and there are also some defects in information security.For example,the database and virus protection need to be analyzed and upgraded in order to cope with the increasing number of information security risks.This article analyzes the security problems in the AFC system,and puts forward related suggestions and solutions,hoping to provide some reference for technical developers.

Research progress on train operation safety in Xinjiang railway under wind environment

Railway lines in the Xinjiang wind area face severe wind disasters year-round,which seriously affects the safety and economy of the railway in China.Therefore,the wind characteristics and statistics of wind-induced accidents along the Xinjiang railway lines are presented and the basic research route for evaluating the train running safety under crosswinds and effective measures to improve the windproof performances of trains are proposed,which are meaningful to deal with wind-induced train accidents.Based on this research route,a series of numerical simulations are conducted to evaluate train safety and the corresponding measures are provided.The results show the following.The running safety of the train under crosswinds mainly depends on the aerodynamic loads acting on the train.The relationships between the safe speed limit and train type,the load weight,the embankment height,the road cutting depth,the railway line curve parameters,the yaw angle and other factors are obtained.The critical wind-vehicle speed relationship,as well as the engineering speed limit value under different running conditions,are determined.Large values of the aerodynamic and dynamic indices mainly appear in special locations,such as near earth-embankment-type windbreak walls,shallow cuttings and the transition sections between various types of windbreak walls.Measures such as increasing the height of the earth-embankment-type windbreak walls,adding wind barriers with reasonable heights in shallow cuttings and optimizing the design of different types of transition sections are proposed to significantly improve the safe speed limits of trains under crosswinds.

Operational Safety Assessment of a High-Speed Train Exposed to the Strong Gust Wind

The operational safety characteristics of trains exposed to a strong wind have caused great concern in recent years.In the present paper,the effect of the strong gust wind on a high-speed train is investigated.A typical gust wind model for any wind angle,named“Chinese hat gust wind model”,was first constructed,and an algorithm for computing the aerodynamic loads was elaborated accordingly.A vehicle system dynamic model was then set up in order to investigate the vehicle system dynamic characteristics.The assessment of the operational safety has been conducted by means of characteristic wind curves(CWC).As some of the parameters of the wind-train system were difficult to measure,we also investigated the impact of the uncertain system parameters on the CWC.Results indicate that,the descending order of the operational safety index of the vehicle for each wind angle is 90°-60°-120°-30°-150°,and the worst condition for the operational safety occurs when the wind angle reaches around 90°.According to our findings,the gust factor and aerodynamic side force coefficient have great impact on the critical wind speed.Thus,these two parameters require special attention when considering the operational safety of a railway vehicle subjected to strong gust wind.

Running safety and seismic optimization of a fault-crossing simply-supported girder bridge for high-speed railways based on a train-track-bridge coupling system

Bridges crossing active faults are more likely to suffer serious damage or even collapse due to the wreck capabilities of near-fault pulses and surface ruptures under earthquakes.Taking a high-speed railway simply-supported girder bridge with eight spans crossing an active strike-slip fault as the research object,a refined coupling dynamic model of the high-speed train-CRTS III slab ballastless track-bridge system was established based on ABAQUS.The rationality of the established model was thoroughly discussed.The horizontal ground motions in a fault rupture zone were simulated and transient dynamic analyses of the high-speed train-track-bridge coupling system under 3-dimensional seismic excitations were subsequently performed.The safe running speed limits of a high-speed train under different earthquake levels(frequent occurrence,design and rare occurrence)were assessed based on wheel-rail dynamic(lateral wheel-rail force,derailment coefficient and wheel-load reduction rate)and rail deformation(rail dislocation,parallel turning angle and turning angle)indicators.Parameter optimization was then investigated in terms of the rail fastener stiffness and isolation layer friction coefficient.Results of the wheel-rail dynamic indicators demonstrate the safe running speed limits for the high-speed train to be approximately 200 km/h and 80 km/h under frequent and design earthquakes,while the train is unable to run safely under rare earthquakes.In addition,the rail deformations under frequent,design and rare earthquakes meet the safe running requirements of the high-speed train for the speeds of 250,100 and 50 km/h,respectively.The speed limits determined for the wheel-rail dynamic indicators are lower due to the complex coupling effect of the train-track-bridge system under track irregularity.The running safety of the train was improved by increasing the fastener stiffness and isolation layer friction coefficient.At the rail fastener lateral stiffness of 60 kN/mm and isolation layer friction coefficients of 0.9 and 0.8,respectively,the safe running speed limits of the high-speed train increased to 250 km/h and 100 km/h under frequent and design earthquakes,respectively.

Design of motion control of dam safety inspection underwater vehicle

Plenty of dams in China are in danger while there are few effective methods for underwater dam inspections of hidden problems such as conduits,cracks and inanitions.The dam safety inspection remotely operated vehicle(DSIROV) is designed to solve these problems which can be equipped with many advanced sensors such as acoustical,optical and electrical sensors for underwater dam inspection.A least-square parameter estimation method is utilized to estimate the hydrodynamic coefficients of DSIROV,and a four degree-of-freedom(DOF) simulation system is constructed.The architecture of DSIROV's motion control system is introduced,which includes hardware and software structures.The hardware based on PC104 BUS,uses AMD ELAN520 as the controller's embedded CPU and all control modules work in VxWorks real-time operating system.Information flow of the motion system of DSIROV,automatic control of dam scanning and dead-reckoning algorithm for navigation are also discussed.The reliability of DSIROV's control system can be verified and the control system can fulfill the motion control mission because embankment checking can be demonstrated by the lake trials.

Research on the Optimization Design of Intersections for Safe Operation of Large Trucks

When big trucks are running at urban road intersections,they are easy to interfere with other motor vehicles,and the turning big trucks are easy to have conflicts with non-motor vehicles and pedestrians,which will affect the safety of intersections.This paper first studied the intersection of trucks to the running trajectory,on this basis,through the establishment of mathematical model analysis of large truck steering conditions inside the wheel,and the influence of blind area to the driver.In the research of intersection safety design,the safety design is divided into three parts:Entrance road,internal operation and signal control.At the same time,the design method of the entrance road,the interior of the intersection and the signal control is given,which improves the safety of the truck driving at the intersection.Finally,the intersection of Jungong road and Zhoujiazui road in Yangpu district of Shanghai was selected as a case,and the optimal design of the intersection for large trucks was carried out through the investigation and analysis of actual data.The evaluation and analysis were carried out by using the multi-index matter-element model.The results show that the comprehensive safety correlation degree of the intersection is reduced to 0.42,and the safety level of is improved by one level.

Revision of the National Standard on Safety Specification for Power Driven Vehicles Operating on Roads

The national standard--Safety Specifications for Power Driven VehiclesOperating on Roads--is the most basic technical regulation for safety and technical management ofmotor vehicles in China. It is the safety and technical basis for the Public Security TrafficControl Dept. to register new vehicles, periodic inspection of vehicles under operation andinspection of vehicles involved in traffic accidents. It is also one of the important technicalbases of our country for compulsory inspection of new vehicles on fi-nalization of its model,ex-works inspection of new vehicles and the inspection of imported motor vehicles. Since the formalcountrywide implementation of GB7258-1997 Safety Specifications for Power Driven Vehicles Operatingon Roads on Jan. 1, 1998, the standard has played a very active role in strengthening the operatingsafety management of motor vehicles, improving the operating safety level of motor vehicles, and insafeguarding road traffic safety, etc. However, along with the rapid and sustainable growth of ournational economy, the number of motor vehicles has increased rapidly, especially privately-ownedautomobiles, so that the incidence of road traffic accidents rises yearly and the road trafficsafety situation is becoming increasingly serious. Therefore, the General Administration of QualitySupervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People's Republic of China (AQSIQ) and theStandardization Administration of China (SAC) have issued the revised standard GB725 8-2004 SafetySpecifications for Power Driven Vehicles Operating on Roads, which will be put into effect onOctober 1, 2004. The timely revision of this standard is very necessary for upgrading the safety andtechnical requirements for motor vehicles in China.

A Meta-Learning Approach for Aircraft Trajectory Prediction

The aviation industry has seen significant advancements in safety procedures over the past few decades, resulting in a steady decline in aviation deaths worldwide. However, the safety standards in General Aviation (GA) are still lower compared to those in commercial aviation. With the anticipated growth in air travel, there is an imminent need to improve operational safety in GA. One way to improve aircraft and operational safety is through trajectory prediction. Trajectory prediction plays a key role in optimizing air traffic control and improving overall flight safety. This paper proposes a meta-learning approach to predict short- to mid-term trajectories of aircraft using historical real flight data collected from multiple GA aircraft. The proposed solution brings together multiple models to improve prediction accuracy. In this paper, we are combining two models, Random Forest Regression (RFR) and Long Short-term Memory (LSTM), using k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), to output the final prediction based on the combined output of the individual models. This approach gives our model an edge over single-model predictions. We present the results of our meta-learner and evaluate its performance against individual models using the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Absolute Altitude Error (AAE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) evaluation metrics. The proposed methodology for aircraft trajectory forecasting is discussed in detail, accompanied by a literature review and an overview of the data preprocessing techniques used. The results demonstrate that the proposed meta-learner outperforms individual models in terms of accuracy, providing a more robust and proactive approach to improve operational safety in GA.

On a New Method for Evaluation of Wheel Climb Derailment

In the paper, a new derailment index λ for evaluation of wheel climb derailment is proposed which is based on primary suspension forces. It is easy to apply because of its minimum criterion characteristic and can also be applied to explain the reason why wheel climb derailments are almost always accompanied by some wheel unloadings.

Robust Assignment of Airport Gates with Operational Safety Constraints

This paper reviews existing approaches to the airport gate assignment problem （AGAP） and presents an optimization model for the problem considering operational safety constraints. The main objective is to minimize the dispersion of gate idle time periods （to get robust optimization） while ensuring appropriate matching between the size of each aircraft and its assigned gate type and avoiding the potential hazard caused by gate apron operational conflict. Genetic algorithm is adopted to solve the problem, An illustrative example is given to show the effectiveness and efficiency of the algorithm. The algorithm performance is further demonstrated using data of a terminal from Beijing Capital International Airport （PEK）.

Analysis of STC Fault in Urban Rail Transit Station of Mobile Block System

Mobile block system is a new type of block technology based on the theory of interval block. This article focuses on the analysis of safety key points, the efficient use of emergency time, the maximum efficiency of mobilizers, to reduce the loss of emergency incidents and casualties.

Study on risk assessment and factors ranking of the LTE-M communication system

To assess the operational safety risk of long-term evolution for the metro(LTE-M)communication system more accurately,the guide maintenance strategy,the improved evidence theory and the multi-attribute ideal reality comparative analysis(MAIRCA)approaches are proposed.According to the features of LTE-M system,the risk evaluation system is established.The enhanced structural entropy weight method is used to obtain the weight.Furthermore,it is combined with nine-element fuzzy mathematics to transform the degree of membership,modifying the conflict and fusion rules to solve the confidence degree clashed problem of evidence theory.Then,the system risk grade assessment result is obtained.For the purpose of forming the ranking of indicator importance,the MAIRCA is introduced and the ranking is three-dimensional.The operational state of the metro line is used as the data source in various ways the obtained risk grade increased by 7.12%.It is verified that MAIRCA can be applied to the field of urban rail transit because it has based on the test and calculation.The results show that the method is effective;compared with others,the confidence degree of excellent stability and the ranking result of risk factors is reasonable.The influencing indicator with the highest importance is the'equipment failure rate".

Reduced-order modeling of train-curved-slab-track dynamics with the effects of fastening failures

Fastening failures have frequently been found on China high-speed railway curved tracks in recent years.Thus the influence of fastening failures on high-speed train-track interaction in curved track needs to be analyzed.A train-curved slab track interaction model is built,in which the real shape of the curved rail is considered and modeled with reduced beam model(RBM)and curved beam theory,and the slabs are modeled with four-nodes Kirchhoff-Love plate elements.The present model is validated at first with different traditional models.Then the influence of fastening failure in curved slab track on train-track interaction dynamics is studied.A different number of failed fastenings is assumed to occur at the curved track,and different types of fastening failure including the fatigue fracture of the clip structure and failure of the rail pad are considered.Based on the calculation results,the fatigue fracture of the clip structure has little influence on train-track interaction dynamics.But when rail pad failure happens and its equivalent vertical stiffness and damping are less than one-tenth of its original,the fastening failure seriously affects the high-speed train operation safety,and it must be prevented.

Analyses of maximum-speed path definition at single-lane roundabouts

The process of designing roundabouts is an iterative process through which, in several checks, the design elements of a roundabout get optimized. Existing regulations for roundabouts involve swept path analyses, sight distance analyses and speed analyses of vehicles passing through the roundabout. Speed analyses are done mostly based on two models, Dutch and American. Each of these two models, in their own way takes into account design elements of the roundabouts, and the US model also envisions the construction of vehicle paths through the roundabout. Main assumption of both models is that vehicle paths through roundabouts consist of few connected radii. US models for path definition takes into account safety distances from marked lines and geometric elements（curbs） at the entrance and exit and through roundabout. Experimentally determined elements of the vehicle path through the roundabout, do not correspond to those recommendations. Comparison of the measured speed at the roundabouts and speed calculated according to aforementioned models at several roundabouts in Croatia, showed a significant difference. An experimental research was conducted as a first step in developing a new model for operating speed through roundabouts. The research aimed to define the basic path elements of vehicle movement in the roundabout at which the maximum speed is achieved. Results of the study are presented in this paper.