Research on the Changes of Celestial Tide-generating Force and the Outgoing Long-wave Radiation before the Lushan (China) M_S7.0 Earthquake

Calculation of tidal changes reveals that the MS 7. 0 Lushan County,Sichuan,China,earthquake of April 20,2013 occurred at the minimum phase point of tidal force. It indicates that the seismogenic fault on which the tidal force acts on is of thrust type. The outgoing long-wave radiation( OLR) is the energy radiating from the Earth as infrared radiation at low energy to space. According to the tidal cycle,abnormal OLR change is analyzed based on NOAA satellite data around the whole of China before and after the earthquake. The result shows that the OLR changed evidently with the tide force change.Temporally,the change went through the course: initial OLR rise → s trengthening →reaching abnormal peak → a ttenuation → r eturning to normal; in space,the abnormal area was distributed along the Longmenshan fault and evolved as: scattering→ c onvergent→ s cattering. The process is similar to the change process of rock breaking under stress loading. It indicates that the celestial tidal force can trigger earthquakes when the tectonic stress reaches the critical break point of an active fault and the OLR anomaly is proportional to the seismic tectonic stress change. It is of practical value to combine OLR and tidal force anomaly with earthquake precursor studies.

A Quasi-Linear Relationship between Planetary Outgoing Longwave Radiation and Surface Temperature in a Radiative-Convective-Transportive Climate Model of a Gray Atmosphere

In this study,we put forward a radiative-convective-transportive energy balance model of a gray atmosphere to examine individual roles of the greenhouse effect of water vapor,vertical convection,and atmospheric poleward energy transport as well as their combined effects for a quasi-linear relationship between the outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)and surface temperature(T_(S)).The greenhouse effect of water vapor enhances the meridional gradient of surface temperature,thereby directly contributing to a quasi-linear OLR-T_(S) relationship.The atmospheric poleward energy transport decreases the meridional gradient of surface temperature.As a result of the poleward energy transport,tropical(high-latitude)atmosphere-surface columns emit less(more)OLR than the solar energy input at their respective locations,causing a substantial reduction of the meridional gradient of the OLR.The combined effect of reducing the meridional gradients of both OLR and surface temperature by the poleward energy transport also contributes to the quasi-linear OLR-T_(S) relationship.Vertical convective energy transport reduces the meridional gradient of surface temperature without affecting the meridional gradient of OLR,thereby suppressing part of the reduction to the increasing rate of OLR with surface temperature by the greenhouse effect of water vapor and poleward energy transport.Because of the nature of the energy balance in the climate system,such a quasi-linear relationship is also a good approximation for the relationship between the annual-mean net downward solar energy flux at the top of the atmosphere and surface temperature.

Correlation Analysis of Persistent Heavy Rainfall Events in the Vicinity of the Yangtze River Valley and Global Outgoing Longwave Radiation in the Preceding Month

Based on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration （NOAA） daily satellite dataset of global outgoing longwave radiation （OLR） for the period of 1974-2004 and the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis for 1971- 2004, the linkage between persistent heavy rainfall （PHR） events in the vicinity of the Yangtze River valley and global OLR leading up to those events （with 1- to 3O-day lag） was investigated. The results reveal that there is a significant connection between the initiation of PHR events over the study area and anomalous convective activity over the tropical Indian Ocean, maritime continent, and tropical western Pacific Ocean. During the 30-day period prior to the onset of PHR events, the major significantly anomalous convective centers have an apparent dipole structure, always with enhanced convection in the west and suppressed convection in the east. This dipole structure continuously shifts eastward with time during the 30-day lead period. The influence of the anomalous convective activity over the tropical oceans on the initiation of PHR events over the study area is achieved via an interaction between tropical and extratropical latitudes. More specifically, anomalous convective activity weakens the Walker circulation cell over the tropical Indian Ocean first. This is followed by a weakening of the Indian summer monsoon background state and the excitation and dispersion of Rossby wave activity over Eurasia. Finally, a major modulation of the large scale background circulation occurs. As a result, the condition of a phase-lock among major large scale circulation features favoring PHR events is established over the study area.

Retrieval of Outgoing Longwave Radiation from COMS Narrowband Infrared Imagery

Hourly outgoing longwave radiation （OLR） from the geostationary satellite Communication Oceanography Meteorological Satellite （COMS） has been retrieved since June 2010.The COMS OLR retrieval algorithms are based on regression analyses of radiative transfer simulations for spectral functions of COMS infrared channels.This study documents the accuracies of OLRs for future climate applications by making an intercomparison of four OLRs from one single-channel algorithm （OLR12.0 using the 12.0 μm channel） and three multiple-channel algorithms （OLR10.8＋12.0 using the 10.8 and 12.0 pm channels; OLR6.7＋10.8 using the 6.7 and 10.8 μm channels; and OLRAll using the 6.7,10.8,and 12.0 μm channels）.The COMS OLRs from these algorithms were validated with direct measurements of OLR from a broadband radiometer of the Clouds and Earth＇s Radiant Energy System （CERES） over the full COMS field of view [roughly （50°S-50°N,70°-170°E）] during April 2011.Validation results show that the root-mean-square errors of COMS OLRs are 5-7 W m-2,which indicates good agreement with CERES OLR over the vast domain.OLR6.7＋10.8 and OLRAll have much smaller errors （～ 6 W m-2） than OLR12.0 and OLR10.8＋12.0 （～ 8 W m-2）.Moreover,the small errors of OLR6.7＋10.8 and OLRAll are systematic and can be readily reduced through additional mean bias correction and/or radiance calibration.These results indicate a noteworthy role of the 6.7 μm water vapor absorption channel in improving the accuracy of the OLRs.The dependence of the accuracy of COMS OLRs on various surface,atmospheric,and observational conditions is also discussed.

Generation of global 1-km daily top-of-atmosphere outgoing longwave radiation product from 2000 to 2021 using machine learning

Top-of-atmosphere(TOA)outgoing longwave radiation(OLR),a key component of the Earth’s energy budget,serves as a diagnostic of the Earth’s climate system response to incoming solar radiation.However,existing products are typically estimated using broadband sensors with coarse spatial resolutions.This paper presents a machine learning method to estimate TOA OLR by directly linking Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)TOA radiances with TOA OLR determined by Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System(CERES)and other information,such as the viewing geometry,land surface temperature and cloud top temperature determined by Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications,Version 2(MERRA-2).Models are built separately under clear-and cloudy-sky conditions using a gradient boosting regression tree.Independent test results show that the root mean square errors(RMSEs)of the clear-sky and cloudy-sky models for estimating instantaneous values are 4.1 and 7.8 W/m^(2),respectively.Real-time conversion ratios derived from CERES daily and hourly OLR data are used to convert the instantaneous MODIS OLR to daily results.Inter-comparisons of the daily results show that the RMSE of the estimated MODIS OLR is 8.9 W/m^(2) in East Asia.The developed high resolution dataset will be beneficial in analyzing the regional energy budget.

From Poincaré’s Electro-Gravific Ether (1905) to Cosmological Background Radiation (3°K, 1965)

It is well known that Einstein published in June 1905 his theory of Special Relativity (SR) without entirely based on space-time Lorentz Transformation (LT) with invariance of Light Velocity. It is much less known that Poincaré published, practically at the same time, a SR also based entirely on LT with also an invariant velocity. However, according to Poincaré, the invariant is not only that of light wave but also that of Gravific Wave in Ether. Poincaré’s Gravific ether exerts also a Gravific pressure, in the same paper, on charged (e) Electron (a “Hole in Ether” according to Poincaré). There are thus two SR: That of Einstein (ESR), without ether and without gravitation, and that of Poincaré (PSR), with Electro-Gravific-Ether. The crucial question arises then: Does “SPECIAL” Poincaré’s (e)-G field fall in the framework of Einstein’s GENERAL Relativity? Our answer is positive. On the basis of Einstein’s equation of gravitation (1917) with Minkowskian Metric (MM) and Zero Constant Cosmological (CC) we rediscover usual Static Vacuum (without charge e of electron). On the other hand with MM and Non-Zero CC, we discover the gravific field of a Cosmological Black Hole (CBH) with density of dark energy compatible with expanding vacuum. Hawking’s Stellar Black Hole (SBH) emits outgoing Black Radiation, whilst Poincaré’s CBH emits (at time zero) incoming Black Radiation. We show that Poincaré’s G-electron involves a (quantum) GRAVITON (on the model of Einstein’s quantum photon) underlying a de Broglie’s G-Wave. There is therefore a Gackground Cosmological model in Poincaré’s basic paper which predicts a density and a temperature of CBR very close to the observed (COBE) values.

2023年积石山6.2级地震热红外异常研究

应用卫星遥感数据,采用相对功率谱法和均线差值振幅增强比法,提取甘肃积石山6.2级地震前的热红外信息。结果表明,震前存在显著的热红外异常现象。相对功率谱法提取到的热红外异常现象分为两个阶段:(1)在2023年10月以托莱山断裂和冷龙岭断裂交汇处为核心区,出现了沿北东向展布的热红外异常(功率谱最高值超过8);(2)在2023年11月,冷龙岭断裂和金强河断裂交汇处至日月山断裂和拉脊山断裂交汇处出现了较弱的热红外异常(功率谱最高值不到7),异常的空间演化逐步向震中靠近。均线差值振幅增强比法的计算结果显示出背景性异常的特征,9月在祁连山中东至甘东南段出现了显著的长波辐射异常,两种热红外异常提取方法的结果起到了互相佐证的作用。

Eye on the Sky: A UAP Research and Field Study off New York’s Long Island Coast

A ten-month field research study was meticulously conducted at Robert Moses State Park (RMSP) on the south shore of Long Island, NY. The objective was to determine if aerial phenomena of an unknown nature exist over a coastal location and to characterize their properties and behaviors. Primary and secondary field observation methods were utilized in this data-centric study. Forensic engineering principles and methodologies guided the study. The challenges set forward were object detection, observation, and characterization, where multispectral electro-optical devices and radar were employed due to limited visual acuity and intermittent presentation of the phenomena. The primary means of detection utilized a 3 cm X-band radar operating in two scan geometries, the X- and Y-axis. Multispectral electro-optical devices were utilized as a secondary means of detection and identification. Data was emphasized using HF and LF detectors and spectrum analyzers incorporating EM, ultrasonic, magnetic, and RF field transducers to record spectral data in these domains. Data collection concentrated on characterizing VIS, NIR, SWIR, LWIR, UVA, UVB, UVC, and the higher energy spectral range of ionizing radiation (alpha, beta, gamma, and X-ray) recorded by Geiger-Müller counters as well as special purpose semiconductor diode sensors.

The Effects of Different HITRAN Versions on Calculated Long-Wave Radiation and Uncertainty Evaluation

Four editions of the High Resolution Transmission （HITRAN） databases （HITRAN96, HITRAN2K, HITRAN04, and HITRAN08） are compared by using a line-by-line （LBL） radiative model in the long-wave calculation for six typical atmospheres. The results show that differences in downward radiative fluxes between HITRAN96 and HITRAN08 at the surface can reach a maximum of 1.70 W m-2 for tropical atmospheres. The largest difference in heating rate between HITRAN96 and HITRAN08 can reach 0.1 K day-1 for midlatitude summer atmosphere. Uncertainties caused by line intensity and air-broadened half- widths are also evaluated in this work using the uncertainty codes given in HITRAN08. The uncertainty is found to be 1.92 W m-2 for upward fluxes at the top of the atmosphere （TOA） and 1.97 W m-2 for downward fluxes at the surface. The largest heating rate caused by the uncertainty of line intensity and air-broadened hMf-width can reach 0.5 K day-1. The differences in optical depths between 1300 and 1700 cm-1 caused by different HITRAN versions are larger than those caused by the uncertainties in intensity and air-broadened half-width. This paper suggests that there is inaccurate representation of line parameters over some spectral ranges in HITRAN and more attention should be paid to these ranges in fields such as remote sensing.

ADVANCES IN APPLIED RESEARCH OF THE OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION IN CHINA

The outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)observed by NOAA satellite series has widely applied in various research fields since the 1980s in China.In this paper,advances of the applied research of OLR are described in the following re- spects: (1)Studies of the global ITCZ; (2)Climatology of the subtropical high over northern Pacific; (3)Studies of the tropical cyclone over West Pacific; (4)Characteristics of the intraseasonal variation(ISV)of tropical convective activities; (5)Divergence wind and large scale circulation over the tropics; (6)Studies of the air-sea interaction; (7)Estimation of precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau and the Yangtze River(Changjiang River)basin during the rainy season; (8)Analyses of regional climates of China; (9)Studies of prediction of the severe and disastrous weather and climate; (10)Atlas of OLR. The distinctive features of these advances are reviewed and the focal points of the OLR applied research in future are also suggested.

CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS OF EARTH-ATMOSPHERE OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION OVER CHINA

ERBE and ISCCP data are used to investigate the cloud forcing and latitude and atmospheric temperature effects on outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)in the earth-atmosphere system,and the similarity of OLR field to 500 hPa and surface effective radiation fields.Also,discussion is taken up of the OLR distribution on a nationwide basis,indicating that the winter(summer)OLR pattern is roughly a zonal type(asymmetrical saddle)with the annual pattern analogous to the January one.In the end the yearly OLR variation features are addressed on a regional basis.

QINGHAI-XIZANG SURFACE LONG-WAVE RADIATION PARAMETERIZATION WITH ITS CLIMATIC CALCULATION

In the context of August 1982- July 1983 radiation balance data of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, detailed study is made of the relation between the active-surface temperature and surface temperature, proposing two parameterization schemes on surface long-wave radiation (SLWR) of the form U=kδσ(T_0 + 273)~4 and U=δσ[(T_0+273)~4+△T)]~4, where k and △T are indicated by parameterization equations, separately, others being in conventional notation. Retrieved verification shows the two formulae to be of the same fitting accuracy with the mean relative error of 3.6% and suitable for computing instantaneous and mean flux density, alongside analyzed daily and annual variations of k and △T. Eventually. SLWR in the target area is investigated and its climatic characteristics examined.

INVESTIGATION OF LAGGED CORRELATION BETWEEN THE TEMPERATURE OF CHINA AND THE GLOBAL OUTGOING LONGWAVE RADIATION IN 1974-1985

1-12 month lagged correlations between winter temperatures at 22 stations in China and the global dis- tribution of the Outgoing Longwave Radiation(OLR)are investigated.The basic results are:(1)The monthly averaged temperatures of Dec.,Jan.and Feb.of China are correlated to the global distribution of OLR of Oct.,Nov.and Dec.,respectively.It is consistent with the response period(about 50 days)of 500 hPa geopotential height field in extratropical latitudes to the thermal forcing in tropical latitudes,and also consis- tent with the Walker cell of a 40-60 day oscillation.(2)There is a significant positive correlation between the winter temperature of the most part of China and the OLR in the Gulf of Mexico.It shows that when the thermal forcing of the Gulf of Mexico is stronger,the excited barotropic instability of westerlies in northern Atlantic could influence the East Asian circulation and cause the temperature of China to be below normal. (3)The temperature around the Tibetan(Xizang)Plateau is negatively correlated to the OLR in western equa- torial Pacific,showing that when the Walker cell is stronger,the local Hadley cell in Southeast Asia is stronger and it causes the temperature around the Tibetan Plateau to be higher than normal.

Evaluation of Reprocessed Fengyun-3B Global Outgoing Longwave Radiation Data:Comparison with CERES OLR

Outgoing longwave radiation(OLR)at the top of the atmosphere(TOA)is a key parameter for understanding and interpreting the relationship between clouds,radiation,and climate interactions.It has been one of the operational products of the Fengyun(FY)meteorological satellites.OLR accuracy has gradually improved with advancements in satellite payload performance and the OLR retrieval algorithm.Supported by the National Key R&D Program Retrospective Calibration of Historical Chinese Earth Observation Satellite data(Richceos)project,a long-term OLR climate data record(CDR)was reprocessed based on the recalibrated Level 1 data of FY series satellites using the latest OLR retrieval algorithm.In this study,Fengyun-3B(FY-3B)’s reprocessed global OLR data from 2010 to 2018 were evaluated by using the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System(CERES)global daily OLR data.The results showed that there was a high consistency between the FY-3B instantaneous OLR and CERES Single Scanner Footprint(SSF)OLR.Globally,between the two CDR datasets,the correlation coefficient reached 0.98,and the rootmean-square error(RMSE)was approximately 8-9 W m^(−2).The bias mainly came from the edge regions of the satellite orbit,which may be related to the satellite zenith angle and cloud cover distribution.It was shown that the longterm FY-3B OLR had temporal stability compared to CERES OLR long-term data.In terms of spatial distribution,the mean deviations showed zonal and seasonal characteristics,although seasonal fluctuations were observed in the differences between the two datasets.Effects of FY-3B OLR application to the South China Sea monsoon region and ENSO were demonstrated and analyzed,and the results showed that the seasonal deviation of FY-3B’s OLR comes mainly from the retrieval algorithm.However,it has little effect on the analysis of climate events.

Investigating the Effects of Madden-Julian Oscillation on Climate Elements of Iran (1980-2020)

The Madden-Julian Oscillation is one of the large-scale climate change patterns in the maritime tropics,with sub-seasonal time periods of 30 to 60 days affecting tropical and subtropical regions.This phenomenon can cause changes in various quantities of the atmosphere and ocean,such as pressure,sea surface temperature,and the rate of evaporation from the ocean surface in tropical regions.In this research,the effects of Madden-Julian fluctuation on the weather elements of Iran have been investigated with the aim of knowing the effects of different phases in order to improve the quality of forecasts and benefits in territorial planning.At first,the daily rainfall data of 1980-2020 were received from the National Meteorological Organization and quality controlled.Using the Wheeler and Hendon method,the two main components RMM1 and RMM2 were analyzed,based on which the amplitude of the above two components is considered as the main indicator of the intensity and weakness of this fluctuation.This index is based on the experimental orthogonal functions of the meteorological fields,including the average wind levels of 850 and 200 hectopascals and outgoing long wave radiation(OLR)between the latitudes of 20 degrees south and 20 degrees north.The clustering of the 7-day sequence with a component above 1 was used as the basis for clustering all eight phases,and by calculating the abnormality of each phase compared to its long term in the DJF time frame,the zoning of each phase was produced separately.In the end,phases 1,2,7,8 were concluded as effective phases in Iran’s rainfall and phases 3,4,5,6 as suppressive phases of Iran’s rainfall.

云南及其邻近地区OLR场的气候特征

利用美国ＮＯＡＡ卫星观测的１５年２．５°×２．５°经纬度网格月平均射出长波辐射（ＯＬＲ）资料对云南及其邻近地区的辐射气候特征进行了分析，发现ＯＬＲ分布基本呈纬向型，冬季风期间呈北低南高，夏季风期间则相反。云南ＯＬＲ值大于青藏高原小于热带地区。云南ＯＬＲ变化与青藏高原反相，而与印度、孟加拉湾、中南半岛、南海地区同位相，但年较差最小。云南ＯＬＲ分布与降水有较好的对应关系。年均相关系数为－０．５９。

2003年云南夏季罕见高温干旱的诊断研究

2003年夏季云南出现了历史上罕见的大范围异常高温干旱天气,是自1961年以来云南最严重的夏季高温干旱天气之一,影响范围、持续时间及危害程度仅次于1983年。是20世纪80年代中期云南进入气温偏暖期后的一次夏季极端气候事件,打破多项历史纪录。利用高度、OLR、TBB等资料对此次气候灾害过程进行了诊断分析。发现西太平洋副热带高压持续稳定且偏强偏西,季风低压偏弱偏西,云南TBB值偏高,降水云系较少,OLR值偏高,对流活动抑制,云南正好处于东、西两个垂直环流圈的下沉气流控制区是形成高温干旱的主要原因。

奇异谱迭代插补的改进算法及其在缺损数据恢复中的应用

基于奇异谱分析(SSA)迭代插补的基本思想,针对该方法在参数确定(主成分个数K和嵌入维数M)上存在较大随意性和计算效率低等缺陷,提出了一种参数优化的新算法——区间四分法,该方法在误差曲线存在局部波动情况下仍能有效搜索到全局最优参数解,且迭代插补精度和计算效率可得到显著提高.采用外逸长波辐射(OLR)逐日资料进行的插补试验对比分析表明,基于区间四分法改进的SSA迭代插补方案的缺损数据恢复的效率和精度良好.

中强地震前的长波辐射异常震例研究

文章利用NOAA提供的1°×1°长波辐射产品对2008年发生在我国的三次地震(2008年8月25日仲巴6.8级地震、5月12日汶川8.0级地震和3月21日于田7.3级地震)进行了研究。通过滑动平均,标准方差阈值等方法分析了各地震震前2个月和震后2个月的长波辐射日数据的时间序列,分析结果表明在震前40余天到震前几天均出现不同程度的长波辐射异常,这些异常可能与地震相关,并且异常的幅度和震级不是简单的线性关系。

中国大陆地区卫星长波辐射背景场特征初步分析及震例研究

利用美国国家海洋大气局（NOAA）提供的30年（1979--2008）的长波辐射数据产品（OLR），对中国大陆地区长波辐射背景场进行分析。结果表明．长波辐射值具有很强的季节性和地域性，青藏高原块体在四季中都呈现低值，中因西北部和华东地区的长波辐射值相对青藏高原块体高，这些区域在春秋两季长波辐射变化剧烈，夏冬两季变化相对缓慢。熟悉这些特征将有利于识别地震异常与非震异常．可以为为进一步开展长波辐射的地震异常信息提取提供科学依据。通过建立的中图川滇地区长波辐射背景场，分析了2008年5月12日汶川8．0级地震前的长波辐射数据，发现震前一个月长波辐射异常显著，并且异常的分布受活动构造控制。