为倡导绿色出行理念,解决以往研究在处理重复观测数据时容易忽视的潜在相关性和个体异质性问题,针对如何利用智能手机APP提供的多模式出行信息引导小汽车出行者转向停车换乘(Park-and-Ride,P+R)模式进行了探究,同时引入广义线性混合模型...为倡导绿色出行理念,解决以往研究在处理重复观测数据时容易忽视的潜在相关性和个体异质性问题,针对如何利用智能手机APP提供的多模式出行信息引导小汽车出行者转向停车换乘(Park-and-Ride,P+R)模式进行了探究,同时引入广义线性混合模型(Generalized Linear Mixed Model,GLMM)分析了多模式出行信息对小汽车出行者转向P+R意向的影响。首先,基于上海市路网设计意向调查问卷,整合了自驾和P+R两种出行方式的道路拥堵程度、出行时间、停车费用及地铁车厢座位情况等信息,并运用全因子设计法构建了24种不同信息水平组合的假设情景。然后,通过智能手机APP界面示意图向小汽车出行者展示这些多模式出行信息,并收集其转向P+R的意向数据。最后,运用GLMM方法处理同一个体重复决策数据中潜在的相关性和捕捉个体间的异质性。结果显示,GLMM的应用不仅解决了同一个体重复决策间的相关性,还揭示了不同个体对道路拥堵程度和地铁车厢座位情况的差异化关注;智能手机APP整合的多模式出行信息显著提升了小汽车出行者转向P+R的意愿,且这一转变占比达29.2%;高收入、长驾龄以及对P+R政策不了解的出行者转向P+R的意愿较低。研究表明,通过智能手机APP整合自驾和P+R的多模式出行信息能显著增强P+R方式的吸引力,可为提升P+R的普及率提供新思路,有效促进小汽车出行者向绿色出行方式的转变。展开更多
To further understand the status quo and change tendency of ecological security in county area, we took the example of Ningwu County, the headstream of Fenhe River, confronting serious eco-environment problem and cons...To further understand the status quo and change tendency of ecological security in county area, we took the example of Ningwu County, the headstream of Fenhe River, confronting serious eco-environment problem and considerable human impacts. Taking Ningwu as the study area and using variation coefficient method to determine the weights of the indices, we built ecological security pattern based on Pressure-State-Response （P-S-R） Model of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The ecological security status was evaluated by calculating eco-security index （ESI） with socio-economic statistical data of Ningwu during 2001 -2010. The results showed that the situation of eco-security had been improved from heavy alarm to relative safety during 2001 -2010. It reflected that the ecological economic system in Ningwu County tended to be relaxed constantly after experienced a sharp conflict between ecological environment and economic growth. The ecological safety awareness was growing, however, by force of the objective requirements of population growth and economic development, the situation of ecological security was still unstable.展开更多
文摘为倡导绿色出行理念,解决以往研究在处理重复观测数据时容易忽视的潜在相关性和个体异质性问题,针对如何利用智能手机APP提供的多模式出行信息引导小汽车出行者转向停车换乘(Park-and-Ride,P+R)模式进行了探究,同时引入广义线性混合模型(Generalized Linear Mixed Model,GLMM)分析了多模式出行信息对小汽车出行者转向P+R意向的影响。首先,基于上海市路网设计意向调查问卷,整合了自驾和P+R两种出行方式的道路拥堵程度、出行时间、停车费用及地铁车厢座位情况等信息,并运用全因子设计法构建了24种不同信息水平组合的假设情景。然后,通过智能手机APP界面示意图向小汽车出行者展示这些多模式出行信息,并收集其转向P+R的意向数据。最后,运用GLMM方法处理同一个体重复决策数据中潜在的相关性和捕捉个体间的异质性。结果显示,GLMM的应用不仅解决了同一个体重复决策间的相关性,还揭示了不同个体对道路拥堵程度和地铁车厢座位情况的差异化关注;智能手机APP整合的多模式出行信息显著提升了小汽车出行者转向P+R的意愿,且这一转变占比达29.2%;高收入、长驾龄以及对P+R政策不了解的出行者转向P+R的意愿较低。研究表明,通过智能手机APP整合自驾和P+R的多模式出行信息能显著增强P+R方式的吸引力,可为提升P+R的普及率提供新思路,有效促进小汽车出行者向绿色出行方式的转变。
基金Supported by National Natural Science Fund,China(41271143)Soft Science Research Project of Shanxi,China(2013041059-04)
文摘To further understand the status quo and change tendency of ecological security in county area, we took the example of Ningwu County, the headstream of Fenhe River, confronting serious eco-environment problem and considerable human impacts. Taking Ningwu as the study area and using variation coefficient method to determine the weights of the indices, we built ecological security pattern based on Pressure-State-Response （P-S-R） Model of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The ecological security status was evaluated by calculating eco-security index （ESI） with socio-economic statistical data of Ningwu during 2001 -2010. The results showed that the situation of eco-security had been improved from heavy alarm to relative safety during 2001 -2010. It reflected that the ecological economic system in Ningwu County tended to be relaxed constantly after experienced a sharp conflict between ecological environment and economic growth. The ecological safety awareness was growing, however, by force of the objective requirements of population growth and economic development, the situation of ecological security was still unstable.
