BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a common surgical condition,with severe AP(SAP)potentially lethal.Many prognostic indices,including;acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score(APACHE II),bedside index ...BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a common surgical condition,with severe AP(SAP)potentially lethal.Many prognostic indices,including;acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score(APACHE II),bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP),Glasgow score,harmless acute pancreatitis score(HAPS),Ranson’s score,and sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)evaluate AP severity and predict mortality.AIM To evaluate these indices'utility in predicting severity,intensive care unit(ICU)admission,and mortality.METHODS A retrospective analysis of 653 patients with AP from July 2009 to September 2016 was performed.The demographic,clinical profile,and patient outcomes were collected.SAP was defined as per the revised Atlanta classification.Values for APACHE II score,BISAP,HAPS,and SOFA within 24 h of admission were retrospectively obtained based on laboratory results and patient evaluation recorded on a secure hospital-based online electronic platform.Data with<10%missing data was imputed via mean substitution.Other patient information such as demographics,disease etiology,and patient outcomes were also derived from electronic medical records.RESULTS The mean age was 58.7±17.5 years,with 58.7%males.Gallstones(n=404,61.9%),alcohol(n=38,5.8%),and hypertriglyceridemia(n=19,2.9%)were more common aetiologies.81(12.4%)patients developed SAP,20(3.1%)required ICU admission,and 12(1.8%)deaths were attributed to SAP.Ranson’s score and APACHE-II demonstrated the highest sensitivity in predicting SAP(92.6%,80.2%respectively),ICU admission(100%),and mortality(100%).While SOFA and BISAP demonstrated lowest sensitivity in predicting SAP(13.6%,24.7%respectively),ICU admission(40.0%,25.0%respectively)and mortality(50.0%,25.5%respectively).However,SOFA demonstrated the highest specificity in predicting SAP(99.7%),ICU admission(99.2%),and mortality(98.9%).SOFA demonstrated the highest positive predictive value,positive likelihood ratio,diagnostic odds ratio,and overall accuracy in predicting SAP,ICU admission,and mortality.SOFA and Ranson’s score demonstrated the highest area under receiver-operator curves at 48 h in predicting SAP(0.966,0.857 respectively),ICU admission(0.943,0.946 respectively),and mortality(0.968,0.917 respectively).CONCLUSION The SOFA and 48-h Ranson’s scores accurately predict severity,ICU admission,and mortality in AP,with more favorable statistics for the SOFA score.展开更多
BACKGROUND:The quick sequential organ failure assessment(qSOFA)is recommended to identify sepsis and predict sepsis mortality.However,some studies have recently shown its poor performance in sepsis mortality predictio...BACKGROUND:The quick sequential organ failure assessment(qSOFA)is recommended to identify sepsis and predict sepsis mortality.However,some studies have recently shown its poor performance in sepsis mortality prediction.To enhance its effectiveness,researchers have developed various revised versions of the qSOFA by adding other parameters,such as the lactate-enhanced qSOFA(LqSOFA),the procalcitonin-enhanced qSOFA(PqSOFA),and the modified qSOFA(MqSOFA).This study aimed to compare the performance of these versions of the qSOFA in predicting sepsis mortality in the emergency department(ED).METHODS:This retrospective study analyzed data obtained from an electronic register system of adult patients with sepsis between January 1 and December 31,2019.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analyses were performed to determine the area under the curve(AUC),with sensitivity,specificity,and positive and negative predictive values calculated for the various scores.RESULTS:Among the 936 enrolled cases,there were 835 survivors and 101 deaths.The AUCs of the LqSOFA,MqSOFA,PqSOFA,and qSOFA were 0.740,0.731,0.712,and 0.705,respectively.The sensitivity of the LqSOFA,MqSOFA,PqSOFA,and qSOFA were 64.36%,51.40%,71.29%,and 39.60%,respectively.The specificity of the four scores were 70.78%,80.96%,61.68%,and 91.62%,respectively.The LqSOFA and MqSOFA were superior to the qSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality.CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with sepsis in the ED,the performance of the PqSOFA was similar to that of the qSOFA and the values of the LqSOFA and MqSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality were greater compared to qSOFA.As the added parameter of the MqSOFA was more convenient compared to the LqSOFA,the MqSOFA could be used as a candidate for the revised qSOFA to increase the performance of the early prediction of sepsis mortality.展开更多
Background The prognostic power of n-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide （NT-proBNP） in sepsis is disputable and unstable among different models. We attempt to evaluate the prognostic potential of NT-proBNP in co...Background The prognostic power of n-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide （NT-proBNP） in sepsis is disputable and unstable among different models. We attempt to evaluate the prognostic potential of NT-proBNP in combination with the sequential organ failure assessment （SOFA） score in sepsis. Methods In this retrospective study, 100 consecutive sepsis patients were enrolled. Clinical data such as admission SOFA, the Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation score, shock prevalence, use of lung protective ventilation, vasopressors, and glucocorticoids were recorded. Additionally, serum creatinine （Scrl and Scr3） and NT-proBNP （NT-proBNP1 and NT-proBNP3） were assayed and evaluated at admission and on day 3 respectively. Results ANT-proBNP （NT-proBNP3 minus NT-proBNP1） （P 〈0.001, Hazard ratio （HR）=1.245, 95% confidence interval （CI）, 1.137-1.362） and admission SOFA （P 〈0.001, HR=1.197, 95% CI, 1.106-1.295） were independently related to in-hospital mortality. Their combination was a more robust predictor for in-hospital mortality than either of them individually. Patients with high ANT-proBNP and SOFA had the poorest prognosis. Conclusions In our study, both ANT-proBNP and SOFA were independent predictors of septic patients＇ prognosis. Moreover, the combination of ,~NT-proBNP and admission SOFA provided a novel strategy that contained information regarding both the response to treatment and sepsis severity.展开更多
Background： The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment （qSOFA） score emerged recently. We investigated its contribution to risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism （PE） by combining with electrocardiogr...Background： The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment （qSOFA） score emerged recently. We investigated its contribution to risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism （PE） by combining with electrocardiography （ECG）. Methods： Acute PE patients diagnosed in Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, from 2008 to 2018 were retrospectively studied and divided into high- and low-risk groups by imaging and biomarkers. The ECG scores consisted oftachycardia, McGinn-White sign （S1Q3T3）, right bundle branch block, and T-wave inversion of leads V1-V3. A new combination of qSOFA scores and ECG scores by logistic regression for predicting high-risk stratification patients with acute PE was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic curve. Results： Totally 1318 patients were enrolled, including 271 in the high-risk group and 1047 in the low-risk group. A combination predictive scoring system named qSOFA-ECG = qSOFA score ＋ ECG score was created. The optimal cutoffvalue for qSOFA-ECG was 2, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 81.5%, 72.3%, 43.2%, and 93.8%, respectively. For predicting high-risk stratification and reperfusion therapy, the qSOFA-ECG is superior to PE Severity Index （PESI） and simplified PESI. Conclusions： The qSOFA score contributes to identify acute PE patients with potentially hemodynamic decompensation that need monitoring and possible reperfusion therapy at the emergency department arrival when used in combination with ECG score.展开更多
目的评价新生儿序贯器官衰竭评分(nSOFA)对极低出生体重儿晚发败血症死亡风险的预测价值。方法采用单中心、回顾性病例对照性研究。收集2018—2021年于南京医科大学附属苏州医院(苏州市立医院)新生儿科重症监护室住院的首次患有晚发败...目的评价新生儿序贯器官衰竭评分(nSOFA)对极低出生体重儿晚发败血症死亡风险的预测价值。方法采用单中心、回顾性病例对照性研究。收集2018—2021年于南京医科大学附属苏州医院(苏州市立医院)新生儿科重症监护室住院的首次患有晚发败血症的95例极低出生体重儿确诊感染时及感染6 h后的nSOFA评分,上述患者以持续使用抗生素后发生的临床结局分为死亡组和存活组。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估nSOFA评分对极低出生体重儿晚发败血症死亡风险的预测价值。结果感染后6 h晚发败血症死亡组nSOFA与存活组相比,差异有统计学意义(P<0.01),而在确诊感染时差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。感染后6 h nSOFA评分预测模型ROC的AUC=0.873(95%CI 0.729~1.00,P=0.000),而确诊感染时AUC=0.541(95%CI 0.32~0.77,P=0.69)。感染后6 h nSOFA评分约登指数最大值为0.687,最佳截断值为6.5分。结论确诊败血症后6 h nSOFA能较好地预测极低出生体重儿的死亡风险。监测nSOFA对改善新生儿脓毒症预后有一定的临床价值。展开更多
背景脓毒症是由感染因素引发机体免疫反应失调而导致的全身炎症反应,可能会导致潜在的危及生命的器官功能障碍。目前对于未成熟血小板比率(IPF)在脓毒症严重程度及预后方面已有一些研究,但关于IPF联合其他指标在脓毒症中应用的研究较少...背景脓毒症是由感染因素引发机体免疫反应失调而导致的全身炎症反应,可能会导致潜在的危及生命的器官功能障碍。目前对于未成熟血小板比率(IPF)在脓毒症严重程度及预后方面已有一些研究,但关于IPF联合其他指标在脓毒症中应用的研究较少。目的探讨IPF联合其他指标在脓毒症严重程度及其预后中的预测价值。方法收集2020年11月—2022年11月复旦大学附属中山医院厦门医院重症医学科收治的60例脓毒症患者的临床资料进行回顾性分析。分组情况:严重程度按定义划分,可分为严重脓毒症组24例与脓毒性休克组36例;严重程度按序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分划分,可分为低SOFA组26例(SOFA评分<6分)与高SOFA组34例(SOFA评分≥6分);按预后划分,可分为生存组39例与死亡组21例。对比不同分组患者IPF及其他血液指标[中性粒细胞与白蛋白比值(NAR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、乳酸与白蛋白比值(LAR)]的差异,绘制不同联合指标评估脓毒症严重程度和预后的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,计算ROC曲线下面积(AUC)并比较其评估价值。结果死亡组患者肺部疾病所占比例、基线急性生理学与慢性健康状况量表系统Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分、基线SOFA评分高于生存组(P<0.05)。高SOFA组患者肺部疾病所占比例、基线APACHEⅡ评分、死亡所占比例高于低SOFA组(P<0.05)。对于治疗开始48hIPF,脓毒性休克组患者高于严重脓毒症组,高SOFA组患者高于低SOFA组,死亡组患者高于生存组(P<0.05)。因不同组患者治疗开始48 h IPF均存在统计学差异,故截取48 h各实验室检查指标进行进一步研究分析:IPF在预测脓毒性休克及高SOFA评分的AUC分别为0.70(95%CI=0.55~0.83,截断值为3.95%)、0.72(95%CI=0.60~0.86,截断值7.70%),预测死亡的AUC为0.73(95%CI=0.58~0.89,截断值为6.10%)。IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+NLR、IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+LAR预测高SOFA评分的AUC分别为0.91(95%CI=0.84~0.98)和0.93(95%CI=0.84~0.99);IPF+NAR+PLR预测脓毒症患者死亡的AUC为0.90(95%CI=0.81~0.98)。结论IPF联合不同血液指标能够提高临床实践中对脓毒症患者病情严重程度及预后的评估能力,治疗开始48 h IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+治疗开始48 h NLR及治疗开始48 h IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+治疗开始48 h LAR在脓毒症严重程度预测中具有较高效能;而治疗开始48h的IPF+NAR+PLR在预测脓毒症患者预后方面效能较好。展开更多
文摘BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a common surgical condition,with severe AP(SAP)potentially lethal.Many prognostic indices,including;acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score(APACHE II),bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP),Glasgow score,harmless acute pancreatitis score(HAPS),Ranson’s score,and sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)evaluate AP severity and predict mortality.AIM To evaluate these indices'utility in predicting severity,intensive care unit(ICU)admission,and mortality.METHODS A retrospective analysis of 653 patients with AP from July 2009 to September 2016 was performed.The demographic,clinical profile,and patient outcomes were collected.SAP was defined as per the revised Atlanta classification.Values for APACHE II score,BISAP,HAPS,and SOFA within 24 h of admission were retrospectively obtained based on laboratory results and patient evaluation recorded on a secure hospital-based online electronic platform.Data with<10%missing data was imputed via mean substitution.Other patient information such as demographics,disease etiology,and patient outcomes were also derived from electronic medical records.RESULTS The mean age was 58.7±17.5 years,with 58.7%males.Gallstones(n=404,61.9%),alcohol(n=38,5.8%),and hypertriglyceridemia(n=19,2.9%)were more common aetiologies.81(12.4%)patients developed SAP,20(3.1%)required ICU admission,and 12(1.8%)deaths were attributed to SAP.Ranson’s score and APACHE-II demonstrated the highest sensitivity in predicting SAP(92.6%,80.2%respectively),ICU admission(100%),and mortality(100%).While SOFA and BISAP demonstrated lowest sensitivity in predicting SAP(13.6%,24.7%respectively),ICU admission(40.0%,25.0%respectively)and mortality(50.0%,25.5%respectively).However,SOFA demonstrated the highest specificity in predicting SAP(99.7%),ICU admission(99.2%),and mortality(98.9%).SOFA demonstrated the highest positive predictive value,positive likelihood ratio,diagnostic odds ratio,and overall accuracy in predicting SAP,ICU admission,and mortality.SOFA and Ranson’s score demonstrated the highest area under receiver-operator curves at 48 h in predicting SAP(0.966,0.857 respectively),ICU admission(0.943,0.946 respectively),and mortality(0.968,0.917 respectively).CONCLUSION The SOFA and 48-h Ranson’s scores accurately predict severity,ICU admission,and mortality in AP,with more favorable statistics for the SOFA score.
文摘BACKGROUND:The quick sequential organ failure assessment(qSOFA)is recommended to identify sepsis and predict sepsis mortality.However,some studies have recently shown its poor performance in sepsis mortality prediction.To enhance its effectiveness,researchers have developed various revised versions of the qSOFA by adding other parameters,such as the lactate-enhanced qSOFA(LqSOFA),the procalcitonin-enhanced qSOFA(PqSOFA),and the modified qSOFA(MqSOFA).This study aimed to compare the performance of these versions of the qSOFA in predicting sepsis mortality in the emergency department(ED).METHODS:This retrospective study analyzed data obtained from an electronic register system of adult patients with sepsis between January 1 and December 31,2019.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analyses were performed to determine the area under the curve(AUC),with sensitivity,specificity,and positive and negative predictive values calculated for the various scores.RESULTS:Among the 936 enrolled cases,there were 835 survivors and 101 deaths.The AUCs of the LqSOFA,MqSOFA,PqSOFA,and qSOFA were 0.740,0.731,0.712,and 0.705,respectively.The sensitivity of the LqSOFA,MqSOFA,PqSOFA,and qSOFA were 64.36%,51.40%,71.29%,and 39.60%,respectively.The specificity of the four scores were 70.78%,80.96%,61.68%,and 91.62%,respectively.The LqSOFA and MqSOFA were superior to the qSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality.CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with sepsis in the ED,the performance of the PqSOFA was similar to that of the qSOFA and the values of the LqSOFA and MqSOFA in predicting in-hospital mortality were greater compared to qSOFA.As the added parameter of the MqSOFA was more convenient compared to the LqSOFA,the MqSOFA could be used as a candidate for the revised qSOFA to increase the performance of the early prediction of sepsis mortality.
文摘Background The prognostic power of n-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide （NT-proBNP） in sepsis is disputable and unstable among different models. We attempt to evaluate the prognostic potential of NT-proBNP in combination with the sequential organ failure assessment （SOFA） score in sepsis. Methods In this retrospective study, 100 consecutive sepsis patients were enrolled. Clinical data such as admission SOFA, the Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation score, shock prevalence, use of lung protective ventilation, vasopressors, and glucocorticoids were recorded. Additionally, serum creatinine （Scrl and Scr3） and NT-proBNP （NT-proBNP1 and NT-proBNP3） were assayed and evaluated at admission and on day 3 respectively. Results ANT-proBNP （NT-proBNP3 minus NT-proBNP1） （P 〈0.001, Hazard ratio （HR）=1.245, 95% confidence interval （CI）, 1.137-1.362） and admission SOFA （P 〈0.001, HR=1.197, 95% CI, 1.106-1.295） were independently related to in-hospital mortality. Their combination was a more robust predictor for in-hospital mortality than either of them individually. Patients with high ANT-proBNP and SOFA had the poorest prognosis. Conclusions In our study, both ANT-proBNP and SOFA were independent predictors of septic patients＇ prognosis. Moreover, the combination of ,~NT-proBNP and admission SOFA provided a novel strategy that contained information regarding both the response to treatment and sepsis severity.
文摘Background： The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment （qSOFA） score emerged recently. We investigated its contribution to risk stratification in acute pulmonary embolism （PE） by combining with electrocardiography （ECG）. Methods： Acute PE patients diagnosed in Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, from 2008 to 2018 were retrospectively studied and divided into high- and low-risk groups by imaging and biomarkers. The ECG scores consisted oftachycardia, McGinn-White sign （S1Q3T3）, right bundle branch block, and T-wave inversion of leads V1-V3. A new combination of qSOFA scores and ECG scores by logistic regression for predicting high-risk stratification patients with acute PE was evaluated by a receiver operating characteristic curve. Results： Totally 1318 patients were enrolled, including 271 in the high-risk group and 1047 in the low-risk group. A combination predictive scoring system named qSOFA-ECG = qSOFA score ＋ ECG score was created. The optimal cutoffvalue for qSOFA-ECG was 2, and the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 81.5%, 72.3%, 43.2%, and 93.8%, respectively. For predicting high-risk stratification and reperfusion therapy, the qSOFA-ECG is superior to PE Severity Index （PESI） and simplified PESI. Conclusions： The qSOFA score contributes to identify acute PE patients with potentially hemodynamic decompensation that need monitoring and possible reperfusion therapy at the emergency department arrival when used in combination with ECG score.
文摘目的评价新生儿序贯器官衰竭评分(nSOFA)对极低出生体重儿晚发败血症死亡风险的预测价值。方法采用单中心、回顾性病例对照性研究。收集2018—2021年于南京医科大学附属苏州医院(苏州市立医院)新生儿科重症监护室住院的首次患有晚发败血症的95例极低出生体重儿确诊感染时及感染6 h后的nSOFA评分,上述患者以持续使用抗生素后发生的临床结局分为死亡组和存活组。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估nSOFA评分对极低出生体重儿晚发败血症死亡风险的预测价值。结果感染后6 h晚发败血症死亡组nSOFA与存活组相比,差异有统计学意义(P<0.01),而在确诊感染时差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。感染后6 h nSOFA评分预测模型ROC的AUC=0.873(95%CI 0.729~1.00,P=0.000),而确诊感染时AUC=0.541(95%CI 0.32~0.77,P=0.69)。感染后6 h nSOFA评分约登指数最大值为0.687,最佳截断值为6.5分。结论确诊败血症后6 h nSOFA能较好地预测极低出生体重儿的死亡风险。监测nSOFA对改善新生儿脓毒症预后有一定的临床价值。
文摘背景脓毒症是由感染因素引发机体免疫反应失调而导致的全身炎症反应,可能会导致潜在的危及生命的器官功能障碍。目前对于未成熟血小板比率(IPF)在脓毒症严重程度及预后方面已有一些研究,但关于IPF联合其他指标在脓毒症中应用的研究较少。目的探讨IPF联合其他指标在脓毒症严重程度及其预后中的预测价值。方法收集2020年11月—2022年11月复旦大学附属中山医院厦门医院重症医学科收治的60例脓毒症患者的临床资料进行回顾性分析。分组情况:严重程度按定义划分,可分为严重脓毒症组24例与脓毒性休克组36例;严重程度按序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分划分,可分为低SOFA组26例(SOFA评分<6分)与高SOFA组34例(SOFA评分≥6分);按预后划分,可分为生存组39例与死亡组21例。对比不同分组患者IPF及其他血液指标[中性粒细胞与白蛋白比值(NAR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、乳酸与白蛋白比值(LAR)]的差异,绘制不同联合指标评估脓毒症严重程度和预后的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,计算ROC曲线下面积(AUC)并比较其评估价值。结果死亡组患者肺部疾病所占比例、基线急性生理学与慢性健康状况量表系统Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分、基线SOFA评分高于生存组(P<0.05)。高SOFA组患者肺部疾病所占比例、基线APACHEⅡ评分、死亡所占比例高于低SOFA组(P<0.05)。对于治疗开始48hIPF,脓毒性休克组患者高于严重脓毒症组,高SOFA组患者高于低SOFA组,死亡组患者高于生存组(P<0.05)。因不同组患者治疗开始48 h IPF均存在统计学差异,故截取48 h各实验室检查指标进行进一步研究分析:IPF在预测脓毒性休克及高SOFA评分的AUC分别为0.70(95%CI=0.55~0.83,截断值为3.95%)、0.72(95%CI=0.60~0.86,截断值7.70%),预测死亡的AUC为0.73(95%CI=0.58~0.89,截断值为6.10%)。IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+NLR、IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+LAR预测高SOFA评分的AUC分别为0.91(95%CI=0.84~0.98)和0.93(95%CI=0.84~0.99);IPF+NAR+PLR预测脓毒症患者死亡的AUC为0.90(95%CI=0.81~0.98)。结论IPF联合不同血液指标能够提高临床实践中对脓毒症患者病情严重程度及预后的评估能力,治疗开始48 h IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+治疗开始48 h NLR及治疗开始48 h IPF+基线APACHEⅡ评分+治疗开始48 h LAR在脓毒症严重程度预测中具有较高效能;而治疗开始48h的IPF+NAR+PLR在预测脓毒症患者预后方面效能较好。
