This paper focuses on how to use consortium blockchain to improve the regulation of peer-to-peer(P2 P) lending market. The partial decentralized consortium blockchain with limited pre-set nodes can well improve transp...This paper focuses on how to use consortium blockchain to improve the regulation of peer-to-peer(P2 P) lending market. The partial decentralized consortium blockchain with limited pre-set nodes can well improve transparency and security, which is suitable for financial regulation. Considering irregularities of the P2P lending market, the Hyperledger-based Peer-to-Peer Lending System(HyperP2PLS) is proposed. First elaborate the application scenario and business logic of the system, where a national P2P Lending Trading Center will be established to integrate all transactions and information of P2P lending market. Then construct the system architecture consisting of the blockchain network, HTTP server, and applications. The algorithm of implementation process and the web application for users have been well illustrated. The performance analysis shows that HyperP2PLS can guarantee the reliability, safety, transparency and efficiency.展开更多
Previous studies indicate that individuals’default behaviors on online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending platforms greatly influence other borrowers’default intentions.However,the mechanism of this impact is not clear.Moreov...Previous studies indicate that individuals’default behaviors on online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending platforms greatly influence other borrowers’default intentions.However,the mechanism of this impact is not clear.Moreover,there is scarce research in regard to which factors influence the relationship between an individual’s default behavior and an observer’s default intention.These important questions are yet to be resolved;hence,we conducted two experiments using the scenario-based research method,focusing on Chinese online P2P lending platforms.Our results indicate that an individual’s default behavior can trigger an observer’s default intention as a result of the imperfect punitive measures as they currently exist on Chinese online P2P lending platforms.Both the observer’s moral disengagement level and pragmatic self-activation level serve as mediating variables.In situations where an observer knows an individual’s default behavior,the level of intimacy between the defaulter and observer positively affects the relationship between their default behavior and intention.The intimacy level also positively influences the relationship between the individual’s default behavior and the two mediator variables.Based on the findings,we provide management suggestions in the context of online P2P lending.Our study sets a foundation for future research to utilize other methods to extend the present research findings to other regions and domains.展开更多
Although psychometric features have been considered for alternative credit scoring,they have not yet been applied to peer-to-peer(P2P)lending because such information is not available on platforms.This study proposed ...Although psychometric features have been considered for alternative credit scoring,they have not yet been applied to peer-to-peer(P2P)lending because such information is not available on platforms.This study proposed an alternative credit scoring model for P2P lending by extracting typical personality types inferred from the borrowers’job category.We projected a virtual space of borrowers by using the affinity matrix based on the Myers–Briggs type indicator(MBTI)that fits each job category.Applying the distance in this space to Lending Club data,we used locally weighted logistic regression to vary the coefficients of the variables,which affect loan repayments,with each MBTI type for predicting the default probability.We found that each MBTI type’s credit scoring model has different significant variables.This study provides insights into breakthroughs in developing alternative credit scoring for P2P lending.展开更多
Using a large dataset obtained from "Paipaidai," an online peer-to-peer lending platform in China, we examine whether credit officers' mood affects the efficiency of credit approval from a perspective of individual...Using a large dataset obtained from "Paipaidai," an online peer-to-peer lending platform in China, we examine whether credit officers' mood affects the efficiency of credit approval from a perspective of individual decision-making. Refering to studies in psychology and financial economics, we employ season, temperature and weather as mood proxies, and control the variables related to the quality of the loan to study credit approval behavior under different mood conditions. The results suggest that the efficiency of credit approval by individual credit officers is significantly correlated with their mood--a positive mood improves efficiency, while a negative mood reduces it. Specifically, loans examined under better mood conditions (e.g., during spring, comfortable temperatures, and sunny days) have a significantly higher probability of approval, but a lower probability of default if approved; and those examined under poorer mood conditions show a lower probability of approval and a higher probability of default if approved. This effect of mood is even stronger when a loan application is more complex, atypical, or unusual to evaluate. Moreover, investor sentiment, denoted by closed-end fund premiums, has the same effect on credit approval as well.展开更多
This study investigates the effect of voluntary disclosures on lending decisions in the repeated game.Using a unique dataset from a peer-to-peer lending platform,"ppdai" (poipaidai),we document that voluntar...This study investigates the effect of voluntary disclosures on lending decisions in the repeated game.Using a unique dataset from a peer-to-peer lending platform,"ppdai" (poipaidai),we document that voluntary disclosures in the repeated game play a stronger role in promoting funding success than those in the one-shot game.We argue that voluntary disclosures improve the bidding activity in the repeated game through which they increase funding success.In addition,the greater impact of voluntary disclosures on funding success in the repeated game only holds for loans without a personal guarantee attribution.Our extended results suggest that the subjective voluntary disclosures in the repeated game have greater information content only when borrowers have a successful borrowing experience.We also point out that voluntary disclosures in the repeated game are associated with a lower probability of default.Our results are robust to the Heckman two-step estimation that addresses the self-selection effect and a specification designed to rule out the alternative explanation from reputation in the repeated game.Our study provides new insights into the real effects of costless,voluntary and unverifiable disclosures on lending decisions.展开更多
A dramatic surge in online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending emerged in China,where(under conditions of credit deficiency)it took only three years for the size of the P2P lending market in China to reach four times that of the...A dramatic surge in online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending emerged in China,where(under conditions of credit deficiency)it took only three years for the size of the P2P lending market in China to reach four times that of the United States and ten times that of the United Kingdom.The literature indicates that ownership structure is an important factor that influences P2P lending firms’performance,while research on the underlying mechanisms remain insufficient.This study analyzes the data of P2P lending companies between June 2016 and March 2017.The results demonstrate that although ownership structure has minimal direct effect on the turnover volume and number of lenders and borrowers,it moderates the effects of firm age,interest rate,and loan term on firm performance.These results enrich the property theory and shed light on how P2P lending firms with different ownership structures could succeed when there is institutional deficiency.展开更多
This paper investigates whether innovative Peer-to-Peer lending by FinTechs’has a regulatory advantage over the big banks in respect of small business lending.We do this through the lens of the regulations imposed by...This paper investigates whether innovative Peer-to-Peer lending by FinTechs’has a regulatory advantage over the big banks in respect of small business lending.We do this through the lens of the regulations imposed by the Dodd-Frank Act,using a difference-in-difference methodology.The Act tightened traditional bank credit standards on business loans,especially for small firms.However,the new FinTech lenders were not subject to the same regulatory burden.We find that traditional banks significantly reduced their lending to small businesses,as compared to their FinTech competitors.Our results suggest that while the Dodd-Frank Act constrained lending to small businesses,innovative new lending models gained a regulatory advantage and the Peer-to-Peer lenders capitalized on this.展开更多
We examine the impact of the short sell disclosure(SSD)regime on the stock lending market and investor behaviors,employing a staggered difference-indifference(DiD)methodology.Our research reveals that the introduction...We examine the impact of the short sell disclosure(SSD)regime on the stock lending market and investor behaviors,employing a staggered difference-indifference(DiD)methodology.Our research reveals that the introduction of the disclosure regime enhances market transparency,resulting in a diminished appeal of stock ownership in the lending market for active investors.This shift is accompanied by a reduction in information leakage risks and longer loan durations.Specifically,our analysis reveals a significant decrease in the risk of loan recall by 4.87%,accompanied by an average increase of 23.72%in loan duration for short selling activities.Furthermore,the cost associated with short-sell disclosure causes a decline in both lending supply and short demand.展开更多
Peer to Peer网络(简称p2p)作为一种新型的覆盖网络引起了越来越多研究者的兴趣。本文介绍了在我国进行的骨干互联网上p2p网络流量测量。与现有国外研究不同,本文的数据来源于核心路由器,因此克服了它们的缺陷。其研究集中在汇聚流中的...Peer to Peer网络(简称p2p)作为一种新型的覆盖网络引起了越来越多研究者的兴趣。本文介绍了在我国进行的骨干互联网上p2p网络流量测量。与现有国外研究不同,本文的数据来源于核心路由器,因此克服了它们的缺陷。其研究集中在汇聚流中的3个周期性尖峰群、不同主机发送或接收流量的重尾分布、p2p流量的长相关特性以及提出了ADTE的估计方法来区分信令和数据流量。本文的研究也显示出Napster在p2p流中占大部分,这暗示着超级节点和阶层式拓扑较纯p2p结构潜在的优势。同时,观察到在我国p2p的流量仅占Internet总流量的1%弱,这个值跟国外的数据有很大区别。我们分析了其中的原因并希望该结论为我国p2p软件的发展提供参考。展开更多
As the COVID-19 pandemic adversely affects the financial markets,a better understanding of the lending dynamics of a successful marketplace is necessary under the conditions of financial distress.Using the loan book d...As the COVID-19 pandemic adversely affects the financial markets,a better understanding of the lending dynamics of a successful marketplace is necessary under the conditions of financial distress.Using the loan book database of Mintos(Latvia)and employing logit regression method,we provide evidence of the pandemic-induced exposure to default risk in the marketplace lending market.Our analysis indicates that the probability of default increases from 0.056 in the pre-pandemic period to 0.079 in the post-pandemic period.COVID-19 pandemic has a significant impact on default risk during May and June of 2020.We also find that the magnitude of the impact of COVID-19 risk is higher for borrowers with lower credit ratings and in countries with low levels of FinTech adoption.Our main findings are robust to sample selection bias allowing for a better understanding of and quantifying risks related to FinTech loans during the pandemic and periods of overall economic distress.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.71872020 and No.71402008the Corporate Finance and Innovation Development Research Center in BUPT
文摘This paper focuses on how to use consortium blockchain to improve the regulation of peer-to-peer(P2 P) lending market. The partial decentralized consortium blockchain with limited pre-set nodes can well improve transparency and security, which is suitable for financial regulation. Considering irregularities of the P2P lending market, the Hyperledger-based Peer-to-Peer Lending System(HyperP2PLS) is proposed. First elaborate the application scenario and business logic of the system, where a national P2P Lending Trading Center will be established to integrate all transactions and information of P2P lending market. Then construct the system architecture consisting of the blockchain network, HTTP server, and applications. The algorithm of implementation process and the web application for users have been well illustrated. The performance analysis shows that HyperP2PLS can guarantee the reliability, safety, transparency and efficiency.
基金This study was financed by Southwestern University of Finance and Economics(grand number JBK2002028)National Natural Science Foundation of China(grant numbers G0302/71403221,71764026)Sichuan Science and Technology Bureau(grand number 2017ZR0240).
文摘Previous studies indicate that individuals’default behaviors on online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending platforms greatly influence other borrowers’default intentions.However,the mechanism of this impact is not clear.Moreover,there is scarce research in regard to which factors influence the relationship between an individual’s default behavior and an observer’s default intention.These important questions are yet to be resolved;hence,we conducted two experiments using the scenario-based research method,focusing on Chinese online P2P lending platforms.Our results indicate that an individual’s default behavior can trigger an observer’s default intention as a result of the imperfect punitive measures as they currently exist on Chinese online P2P lending platforms.Both the observer’s moral disengagement level and pragmatic self-activation level serve as mediating variables.In situations where an observer knows an individual’s default behavior,the level of intimacy between the defaulter and observer positively affects the relationship between their default behavior and intention.The intimacy level also positively influences the relationship between the individual’s default behavior and the two mediator variables.Based on the findings,we provide management suggestions in the context of online P2P lending.Our study sets a foundation for future research to utilize other methods to extend the present research findings to other regions and domains.
基金the National Research Foundation of Korea(NRF)grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(2020R1A2C2005026)。
文摘Although psychometric features have been considered for alternative credit scoring,they have not yet been applied to peer-to-peer(P2P)lending because such information is not available on platforms.This study proposed an alternative credit scoring model for P2P lending by extracting typical personality types inferred from the borrowers’job category.We projected a virtual space of borrowers by using the affinity matrix based on the Myers–Briggs type indicator(MBTI)that fits each job category.Applying the distance in this space to Lending Club data,we used locally weighted logistic regression to vary the coefficients of the variables,which affect loan repayments,with each MBTI type for predicting the default probability.We found that each MBTI type’s credit scoring model has different significant variables.This study provides insights into breakthroughs in developing alternative credit scoring for P2P lending.
文摘Using a large dataset obtained from "Paipaidai," an online peer-to-peer lending platform in China, we examine whether credit officers' mood affects the efficiency of credit approval from a perspective of individual decision-making. Refering to studies in psychology and financial economics, we employ season, temperature and weather as mood proxies, and control the variables related to the quality of the loan to study credit approval behavior under different mood conditions. The results suggest that the efficiency of credit approval by individual credit officers is significantly correlated with their mood--a positive mood improves efficiency, while a negative mood reduces it. Specifically, loans examined under better mood conditions (e.g., during spring, comfortable temperatures, and sunny days) have a significantly higher probability of approval, but a lower probability of default if approved; and those examined under poorer mood conditions show a lower probability of approval and a higher probability of default if approved. This effect of mood is even stronger when a loan application is more complex, atypical, or unusual to evaluate. Moreover, investor sentiment, denoted by closed-end fund premiums, has the same effect on credit approval as well.
基金This study is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71272150)National Social Science Foundation of China(No.15AZD012)Social Science Research Fund of Inner Mongolia Autonom ous Region in China(2017NDC145).
文摘This study investigates the effect of voluntary disclosures on lending decisions in the repeated game.Using a unique dataset from a peer-to-peer lending platform,"ppdai" (poipaidai),we document that voluntary disclosures in the repeated game play a stronger role in promoting funding success than those in the one-shot game.We argue that voluntary disclosures improve the bidding activity in the repeated game through which they increase funding success.In addition,the greater impact of voluntary disclosures on funding success in the repeated game only holds for loans without a personal guarantee attribution.Our extended results suggest that the subjective voluntary disclosures in the repeated game have greater information content only when borrowers have a successful borrowing experience.We also point out that voluntary disclosures in the repeated game are associated with a lower probability of default.Our results are robust to the Heckman two-step estimation that addresses the self-selection effect and a specification designed to rule out the alternative explanation from reputation in the repeated game.Our study provides new insights into the real effects of costless,voluntary and unverifiable disclosures on lending decisions.
文摘A dramatic surge in online peer-to-peer(P2P)lending emerged in China,where(under conditions of credit deficiency)it took only three years for the size of the P2P lending market in China to reach four times that of the United States and ten times that of the United Kingdom.The literature indicates that ownership structure is an important factor that influences P2P lending firms’performance,while research on the underlying mechanisms remain insufficient.This study analyzes the data of P2P lending companies between June 2016 and March 2017.The results demonstrate that although ownership structure has minimal direct effect on the turnover volume and number of lenders and borrowers,it moderates the effects of firm age,interest rate,and loan term on firm performance.These results enrich the property theory and shed light on how P2P lending firms with different ownership structures could succeed when there is institutional deficiency.
文摘This paper investigates whether innovative Peer-to-Peer lending by FinTechs’has a regulatory advantage over the big banks in respect of small business lending.We do this through the lens of the regulations imposed by the Dodd-Frank Act,using a difference-in-difference methodology.The Act tightened traditional bank credit standards on business loans,especially for small firms.However,the new FinTech lenders were not subject to the same regulatory burden.We find that traditional banks significantly reduced their lending to small businesses,as compared to their FinTech competitors.Our results suggest that while the Dodd-Frank Act constrained lending to small businesses,innovative new lending models gained a regulatory advantage and the Peer-to-Peer lenders capitalized on this.
文摘We examine the impact of the short sell disclosure(SSD)regime on the stock lending market and investor behaviors,employing a staggered difference-indifference(DiD)methodology.Our research reveals that the introduction of the disclosure regime enhances market transparency,resulting in a diminished appeal of stock ownership in the lending market for active investors.This shift is accompanied by a reduction in information leakage risks and longer loan durations.Specifically,our analysis reveals a significant decrease in the risk of loan recall by 4.87%,accompanied by an average increase of 23.72%in loan duration for short selling activities.Furthermore,the cost associated with short-sell disclosure causes a decline in both lending supply and short demand.
文摘Peer to Peer网络(简称p2p)作为一种新型的覆盖网络引起了越来越多研究者的兴趣。本文介绍了在我国进行的骨干互联网上p2p网络流量测量。与现有国外研究不同,本文的数据来源于核心路由器,因此克服了它们的缺陷。其研究集中在汇聚流中的3个周期性尖峰群、不同主机发送或接收流量的重尾分布、p2p流量的长相关特性以及提出了ADTE的估计方法来区分信令和数据流量。本文的研究也显示出Napster在p2p流中占大部分,这暗示着超级节点和阶层式拓扑较纯p2p结构潜在的优势。同时,观察到在我国p2p的流量仅占Internet总流量的1%弱,这个值跟国外的数据有很大区别。我们分析了其中的原因并希望该结论为我国p2p软件的发展提供参考。
文摘As the COVID-19 pandemic adversely affects the financial markets,a better understanding of the lending dynamics of a successful marketplace is necessary under the conditions of financial distress.Using the loan book database of Mintos(Latvia)and employing logit regression method,we provide evidence of the pandemic-induced exposure to default risk in the marketplace lending market.Our analysis indicates that the probability of default increases from 0.056 in the pre-pandemic period to 0.079 in the post-pandemic period.COVID-19 pandemic has a significant impact on default risk during May and June of 2020.We also find that the magnitude of the impact of COVID-19 risk is higher for borrowers with lower credit ratings and in countries with low levels of FinTech adoption.Our main findings are robust to sample selection bias allowing for a better understanding of and quantifying risks related to FinTech loans during the pandemic and periods of overall economic distress.