In view of the uncertainty of the monitored performance parameters of aeroengines, the fluctuating scope of the monitored infurmation during a period is taken as interval numbers, and the interval multi-attribute deci...In view of the uncertainty of the monitored performance parameters of aeroengines, the fluctuating scope of the monitored infurmation during a period is taken as interval numbers, and the interval multi-attribute decision-making method is employed to predict the performance of aeroengine, The synthetic weights of interval numbers are obtained by calculating deviation degree and possibility degree. As an example of application, 5 performance parameters monitored on 10 CF6 aeroengines of China Eastern Airlines Co., Ltd are adopted as decision attributes to verify the algorithm. The obtained synthetic ranking result shows the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method in reflecting the performance stares of aeroengins.展开更多
This study develops a procedure to rank agencies based on their incident responses using roadway clearance times for crashes. This analysis is not intended to grade agencies but to assist in identifying agencies requi...This study develops a procedure to rank agencies based on their incident responses using roadway clearance times for crashes. This analysis is not intended to grade agencies but to assist in identifying agencies requiring more training or resources for incident management. Previous NCHRP reports discussed usage of different factors including incident severity, roadway characteristics, number of lanes involved and time of incident separately for estimating the performance. However, it does not tell us how to incorporate all the factors at the same time. Thus, this study aims to account for multiple factors to ensure fair comparisons. This study used 149,174 crashes from Iowa that occurred from 2018 to 2021. A Tobit regression model was used to find the effect of different variables on roadway clearance time. Variables that cannot be controlled directly by agencies such as crash severity, roadway type, weather conditions, lighting conditions, etc., were included in the analysis as it helps to reduce bias in the ranking procedure. Then clearance time of each crash is normalized into a base condition using the regression coefficients. The normalization makes the process more efficient as the effect of uncontrollable factors has already been mitigated. Finally, the agencies were ranked by their average normalized roadway clearance time. This ranking process allows agencies to track their performance of previous crashes, can be used in identifying low performing agencies that could use additional resources and training, and can be used to identify high performing agencies to recognize for their efforts and performance.展开更多
The effect of magma intrusion on gas outburst is illustrated by a case study of the exposed magma intru- sion in the 313 mining area, upper coal seam Number 3, in the Qiwu Mine located in Shandong province. Vitrinite ...The effect of magma intrusion on gas outburst is illustrated by a case study of the exposed magma intru- sion in the 313 mining area, upper coal seam Number 3, in the Qiwu Mine located in Shandong province. Vitrinite reflectance, mercury injection, and maceral statistical analysis are used to characterize the coal. The aspects of coal metamorphism include changes in micro-components as well as in coal structure, the formation of new substances, and changes in gas absorption and storage. The results show that vitrinite reflectance increases within the region influenced by magma intrusion. The metamorphosed region may be divided into a weakly affected belt, a medium affected belt, a strongly affected belt, and a completely affected belt. Compared to the unaffected coal the total pore volume, as well as the amount of big and middle sized holes, increases while the number of transition holes and micro-pores decreases. This diminishes the absorption capacity of the matrix but enlarges the total gas storage space. Vitrinite con- tent initially decreases slightly but then increases rapidly while the inertinite content increases at first but then decreases. Exinite content decreases, then increases, and finally drops to zero. Higher vitrinite, and a lower inertinite, content increase gas absorption ability. This balances reduced adsorption caused by changes to pore structure. Consequently, gas adsorption capacity is not substantially reduced as the coal rank increases. Thermal metamorphism of the coal produces CH4 and other hydrocarbons that increase the total gas content in the coal seam. Asphaltene migrates into the medium and weakly affected regions filling in the pores and fractures there. This plugs the pathway for gas transport. A barrier is formed that hinders gas flow. C02, H2S, N2, and other gases carried in by the magma react to produce C02, which increases in relative concentration and enhances the risk of gas outburst. The two barriers, magma intrusion on one side and the medium and weakly affected belts on the other, as well as the unaf- fected coal seam itself, trap a large amount of gas during the thermal activity. This is the basic reason for gas outburst. These conclusions can enlighten activities related to gas prevention and control in a low rank coal mine affected by ma^ma intrusion.展开更多
文摘In view of the uncertainty of the monitored performance parameters of aeroengines, the fluctuating scope of the monitored infurmation during a period is taken as interval numbers, and the interval multi-attribute decision-making method is employed to predict the performance of aeroengine, The synthetic weights of interval numbers are obtained by calculating deviation degree and possibility degree. As an example of application, 5 performance parameters monitored on 10 CF6 aeroengines of China Eastern Airlines Co., Ltd are adopted as decision attributes to verify the algorithm. The obtained synthetic ranking result shows the effectiveness and rationality of the proposed method in reflecting the performance stares of aeroengins.
文摘This study develops a procedure to rank agencies based on their incident responses using roadway clearance times for crashes. This analysis is not intended to grade agencies but to assist in identifying agencies requiring more training or resources for incident management. Previous NCHRP reports discussed usage of different factors including incident severity, roadway characteristics, number of lanes involved and time of incident separately for estimating the performance. However, it does not tell us how to incorporate all the factors at the same time. Thus, this study aims to account for multiple factors to ensure fair comparisons. This study used 149,174 crashes from Iowa that occurred from 2018 to 2021. A Tobit regression model was used to find the effect of different variables on roadway clearance time. Variables that cannot be controlled directly by agencies such as crash severity, roadway type, weather conditions, lighting conditions, etc., were included in the analysis as it helps to reduce bias in the ranking procedure. Then clearance time of each crash is normalized into a base condition using the regression coefficients. The normalization makes the process more efficient as the effect of uncontrollable factors has already been mitigated. Finally, the agencies were ranked by their average normalized roadway clearance time. This ranking process allows agencies to track their performance of previous crashes, can be used in identifying low performing agencies that could use additional resources and training, and can be used to identify high performing agencies to recognize for their efforts and performance.
基金jointly supported by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (PAPD)the National Basic Research Program of China (No. 2009CB219605)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41072117)
文摘The effect of magma intrusion on gas outburst is illustrated by a case study of the exposed magma intru- sion in the 313 mining area, upper coal seam Number 3, in the Qiwu Mine located in Shandong province. Vitrinite reflectance, mercury injection, and maceral statistical analysis are used to characterize the coal. The aspects of coal metamorphism include changes in micro-components as well as in coal structure, the formation of new substances, and changes in gas absorption and storage. The results show that vitrinite reflectance increases within the region influenced by magma intrusion. The metamorphosed region may be divided into a weakly affected belt, a medium affected belt, a strongly affected belt, and a completely affected belt. Compared to the unaffected coal the total pore volume, as well as the amount of big and middle sized holes, increases while the number of transition holes and micro-pores decreases. This diminishes the absorption capacity of the matrix but enlarges the total gas storage space. Vitrinite con- tent initially decreases slightly but then increases rapidly while the inertinite content increases at first but then decreases. Exinite content decreases, then increases, and finally drops to zero. Higher vitrinite, and a lower inertinite, content increase gas absorption ability. This balances reduced adsorption caused by changes to pore structure. Consequently, gas adsorption capacity is not substantially reduced as the coal rank increases. Thermal metamorphism of the coal produces CH4 and other hydrocarbons that increase the total gas content in the coal seam. Asphaltene migrates into the medium and weakly affected regions filling in the pores and fractures there. This plugs the pathway for gas transport. A barrier is formed that hinders gas flow. C02, H2S, N2, and other gases carried in by the magma react to produce C02, which increases in relative concentration and enhances the risk of gas outburst. The two barriers, magma intrusion on one side and the medium and weakly affected belts on the other, as well as the unaf- fected coal seam itself, trap a large amount of gas during the thermal activity. This is the basic reason for gas outburst. These conclusions can enlighten activities related to gas prevention and control in a low rank coal mine affected by ma^ma intrusion.