In accordance with population development of Guizhou Province in 1977-2007,this paper adopts natural growth method,model prediction method and gray system GM (1,1) model prediction method to predict population of Guiz...In accordance with population development of Guizhou Province in 1977-2007,this paper adopts natural growth method,model prediction method and gray system GM (1,1) model prediction method to predict population of Guizhou Province in 2020. On the basis of overall consideration of many factors of population development and future development trend of Guizhou Province,it analyzes advantages and disadvantages of three prediction methods,and obtains the prediction value of total population of Guizhou Province in 2020.展开更多
基金Supported by Key Agricultural Scientific and Technological Project of Guizhou Province(NY[2010]3014)2009 Youth Program of Social Science Planning Project of Guizhou Province(09GHQNHQ04)
文摘In accordance with population development of Guizhou Province in 1977-2007,this paper adopts natural growth method,model prediction method and gray system GM (1,1) model prediction method to predict population of Guizhou Province in 2020. On the basis of overall consideration of many factors of population development and future development trend of Guizhou Province,it analyzes advantages and disadvantages of three prediction methods,and obtains the prediction value of total population of Guizhou Province in 2020.
