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Research on Mean-Variance Portfolio Model with singular Covariance Matrix
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作者 Xinmeng Wang Haiyue Jin +1 位作者 Junjie Bai Yicheng Hong 《经济管理学刊(中英文版)》 2017年第2期60-66,共7页
关键词 协变性 矩阵解 模型 发现方法 模拟试验 非退化
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Application of Portfolio Model in the Real Investment Transactions
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作者 WANG Guo-xin LIU Jing 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2013年第1期33-40,共8页
This paper studies discrete investment portfolio model that the objective function is utility function. According to a hybrid branch-and-bound method based on Lagrangian relaxation and continuous relaxation, the paper... This paper studies discrete investment portfolio model that the objective function is utility function. According to a hybrid branch-and-bound method based on Lagrangian relaxation and continuous relaxation, the paper analyzes the question using the real statistical data. The results indicate that discrete investment portfolio model really has its guidance in the actual investment. 展开更多
关键词 investment portfolio single factor model BRANCH-AND-BOUND numerical analysis
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Portfolio Choice under the Mean-Variance Model with Parameter Uncertainty 被引量:1
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作者 何朝林 许倩 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第3期498-503,共6页
Assuming the investor is uncertainty-aversion,the multiprior approach is applied to studying the problem of portfolio choice under the uncertainty about the expected return of risky asset based on the mean-variance mo... Assuming the investor is uncertainty-aversion,the multiprior approach is applied to studying the problem of portfolio choice under the uncertainty about the expected return of risky asset based on the mean-variance model. By introducing a set of constraint constants to measure uncertainty degree of the estimated expected return,it built the max-min model of multi-prior portfolio,and utilized the Lagrange method to obtain the closed-form solution of the model,which was compared with the mean-variance model and the minimum-variance model; then,an empirical study was done based on the monthly returns over the period June 2011 to May 2014 of eight kinds of stocks in Shanghai Exchange 50 Index. Results showed,the weight of multi-prior portfolio was a weighted average of the weight of mean-variance portfolio and that of minimumvariance portfolio; the steady of multi-prior portfolio was strengthened compared with the mean-variance portfolio; the performance of multi-prior portfolio was greater than that of minimum-variance portfolio. The study demonstrates that the investor can improve the steady of multi-prior portfolio as well as its performance for some appropriate constraint constants. 展开更多
关键词 portfolio choice mean-variance model parameter uncertainty multi-prior approach constraint constant
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A branch-and-bound algorithm for discrete multi-factor portfolio optimization model 被引量:1
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作者 牛淑芬 王国欣 孙小玲 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2008年第1期26-30,共5页
In this paper, a new branch-and-bound algorithm based on the Lagrangian dual relaxation and continuous relaxation is proposed for discrete multi-factor portfolio selection model with roundlot restriction in financial ... In this paper, a new branch-and-bound algorithm based on the Lagrangian dual relaxation and continuous relaxation is proposed for discrete multi-factor portfolio selection model with roundlot restriction in financial optimization. This discrete portfolio model is of integer quadratic programming problems. The separable structure of the model is investigated by using Lagrangian relaxation and dual search. Computational results show that the algorithm is capable of solving real-world portfolio problems with data from US stock market and randomly generated test problems with up to 120 securities. 展开更多
关键词 portfolio optimization discrete multi-factor model Lagrangian relaxation and continuous relaxation branch-and-bound method.
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Stochastic Modelling on Dynamics of Portfolio Diversifications among the Fixed and Operational Investments through Internal Bivariate Linear Birth, Death and Migration Processes
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作者 Tirupathi Rao Padi Chiranjeevi Gudala 《Applied Mathematics》 2017年第8期1211-1225,共15页
In this paper, a bivariate stochastic process with Poisson postulates has been considered to model the incomings, outgoings and mutual transfers of investments between and within the portfolios during an epoch of time... In this paper, a bivariate stochastic process with Poisson postulates has been considered to model the incomings, outgoings and mutual transfers of investments between and within the portfolios during an epoch of time “t”. Stochastic differential equations were obtained from the simple differential difference equations during the epoch of time “Δt”. The notion of bivariate linear birth, death and migration process has been utilized for measuring various statistical characteristics among the investments of Long and Short terms. All possible fluctuations in the investment flow have been considered to explore more meaningful assumptions with contemporary marketing environments. Mathematical relations for proposed statistical measures such as average sizes and variances of short term and long-term investments along with the correlation coefficient between them are derived after obtaining the related differential equations. Numerical illustrations were provided for better understanding of the developed models with practitioner’s point of view. 展开更多
关键词 Stochastic modelling portfolio DIVERSIFICATION Difference-Differential Equations
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Online risk‑based portfolio allocation on subsets of crypto assets applying a prototype‑based clustering algorithm
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作者 Luis Lorenzo Javier Arroyo 《Financial Innovation》 2023年第1期797-836,共40页
Mean-variance portfolio optimization models are sensitive to uncertainty in risk-return estimates,which may result in poor out-of-sample performance.In particular,the estimates may suffer when the number of assets con... Mean-variance portfolio optimization models are sensitive to uncertainty in risk-return estimates,which may result in poor out-of-sample performance.In particular,the estimates may suffer when the number of assets considered is high and the length of the return time series is not sufficiently long.This is precisely the case in the cryptocur-rency market,where there are hundreds of crypto assets that have been traded for a few years.We propose enhancing the mean-variance(MV)model with a pre-selection stage that uses a prototype-based clustering algorithm to reduce the number of crypto assets considered at each investment period.In the pre-selection stage,we run a prototype-based clustering algorithm where the assets are described by variables representing the profit-risk duality.The prototypes of the clustering partition are auto-matically examined and the one that best suits our risk-aversion preference is selected.We then run the MV portfolio optimization with the crypto assets of the selected cluster.The proposed approach is tested for a period of 17 months in the whole cryp-tocurrency market and two selections of the cryptocurrencies with the higher market capitalization(175 and 250 cryptos).We compare the results against three methods applied to the whole market:classic MV,risk parity,and hierarchical risk parity methods.We also compare our results with those from investing in the market index CCI30.The simulation results generally favor our proposal in terms of profit and risk-profit financial indicators.This result reaffirms the convenience of using machine learning methods to guide financial investments in complex and highly-volatile environments such as the cryptocurrency market. 展开更多
关键词 Fintech MEAN-VARIANCE Cryptocurrency Electronic market portfolio allocation model Clustering
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Schedule Model for Project Portfolio Based on Design Structure Matrix
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作者 LI Sui-ke BAI Si-jun GUO Yu-tao 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2013年第1期50-57,共8页
To improve the enterprise resource utilization and shorten the cycle of the whole project portfolio, a scheduling model based on Design Structure Matrix (DSM) is built. By setting the project activity weight index s... To improve the enterprise resource utilization and shorten the cycle of the whole project portfolio, a scheduling model based on Design Structure Matrix (DSM) is built. By setting the project activity weight index system and calculating the activity weight for the project portfolio, the constraint relationship between project portfolio information and resource utilization, as the two dimensions of the DSM, are fully reflected in the sched- ule model to determine the order of these activities of project portfolio. A project portfolio example is given to il- lustrate the applicability and effectiveness of the schedule model. 展开更多
关键词 project portfolio schedule model design structure matrix activity weight index system
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Multi-Knapsack Model of Collaborative Portfolio Configurations in Multi-Strategy Oriented
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作者 Shujuan Luo Sijun Bai Suike Li 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2015年第5期401-408,共8页
Aiming at constructing the multi-knapsack model of collaborative portfolio configurations in multi-strategy oriented, the hybrid evolutionary algorithm was designed based on greedy method, combining with the organizat... Aiming at constructing the multi-knapsack model of collaborative portfolio configurations in multi-strategy oriented, the hybrid evolutionary algorithm was designed based on greedy method, combining with the organization of the multiple strategical guidance and multi-knapsack model. Furthermore, the organizing resource utility and risk management of portfolio were considered. The experiments were conducted on three main technological markets which contain communication, transportation and industry. The results demonstrated that the proposed model and algorithm were feasible and reliable. 展开更多
关键词 MULTI KNAPSACK model MULTI STRATEGY COLLABORATIVE portfolio Evolutionary Algorithm
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Rational Portfolio Investment Based on Consumer's Preferences: Blak-Scholes Model and Stochastic Control
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作者 Yuri P. Pavlov 《通讯和计算机(中英文版)》 2015年第5期262-271,共10页
关键词 投资组合理论 消费者 随机控制 理性 模型 偏好 期权定价理论 随机微分方程
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Copula模型的改进及其应用
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作者 夏喆 余浪 黄洁莉 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2024年第10期58-62,共5页
Copula模型能精确计算投资组合尾部风险,弥补Person相关系数的不足。文章基于信用风险Cop⁃ula模型,探讨了不同抽样算法在信贷投资组合中的应用问题,优化重要性抽样和交叉熵算法,测试了高斯及t-Copula模型的风险计算算法,并通过数值模拟... Copula模型能精确计算投资组合尾部风险,弥补Person相关系数的不足。文章基于信用风险Cop⁃ula模型,探讨了不同抽样算法在信贷投资组合中的应用问题,优化重要性抽样和交叉熵算法,测试了高斯及t-Copula模型的风险计算算法,并通过数值模拟予以检验,结果表明:朴素蒙特卡罗模拟的精度和效率较低;重要性抽样算法通过解析逼近显著降低计算方差,提高精度,但求解复杂且耗时;交叉熵算法同样有效,但需自适应算法求解优化问题。算例分析结果表明,基于不同场景选择Copula模型,可提高信贷投资组合风险计算精度和效率。 展开更多
关键词 投资组合 风险分析 COPULA模型
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工程项目组合风险扩散模型的级联失效分析
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作者 李倩 韦洁琳 刘锋涛 《运筹与管理》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期172-178,共7页
为构建符合工程项目组合特点的风险扩散模型,解决风险扩散问题。本文考虑风险扩散的双关系载体—项目交互关系和风险因素逻辑关系,构建工程项目组合风险扩散的双层相依网络模型,运用级联失效理论提出风险扩散规则,通过数值仿真分析风险... 为构建符合工程项目组合特点的风险扩散模型,解决风险扩散问题。本文考虑风险扩散的双关系载体—项目交互关系和风险因素逻辑关系,构建工程项目组合风险扩散的双层相依网络模型,运用级联失效理论提出风险扩散规则,通过数值仿真分析风险扩散特征。仿真结果发现:工程项目组合中,双层网络模型能够反映风险在项目和风险因素双关系载体中的扩散特征;与单层网络风险扩散模型相比,构建的模型展现出差异性的风险扩散效应,风险扩散在工程项目组合中表现出更剧烈的级联失效过程。风险扩散模型作为工程项目组合风险扩散问题的前置性研究,为进一步风险扩散网络稳定性的研究提供新思路和启发。 展开更多
关键词 工程项目组合 风险扩散模型 双层相依网络 级联失效
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Heston模型下的两人鲁棒非零和随机微分投资组合博弈
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作者 朱怀念 陈卓扬 宾宁 《中山大学学报(自然科学版)(中英文)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期158-169,共12页
用Heston模型描述风险资产的价格动态,构建了包含一种无风险资产和一种风险资产的金融市场,投资者可以将其财富自由地配置于无风险资产和风险资产中.考虑到投资者之间经济行为的随机博弈,用相对业绩刻画投资者之间的博弈行为,同时考虑... 用Heston模型描述风险资产的价格动态,构建了包含一种无风险资产和一种风险资产的金融市场,投资者可以将其财富自由地配置于无风险资产和风险资产中.考虑到投资者之间经济行为的随机博弈,用相对业绩刻画投资者之间的博弈行为,同时考虑模型的不确定性,以最大化最坏情境下投资者相对业绩的期望效用为目标,构建了包含两个投资者的鲁棒非零和随机微分投资组合博弈模型,利用动态规划方法分别求得了CRRA效用下Nash均衡策略的解析表达,借助数值仿真算例进行了参数的敏感性分析并给出了相应的经济意义阐释.研究发现:相较于不涉及市场竞争的传统投资策略,竞争将使投资者产生羊群效应,跟风投资风险资产,致使金融市场的系统性风险上升.此外,与不考虑模型不确定性相比,模型的不确定性使得投资者减少对风险资产的投资. 展开更多
关键词 投资组合博弈 纳什均衡 CRRA效用 相对业绩 模型不确定性
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基于改进Black-Litterman模型的投资组合优化
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作者 黄羿 蒋文正 《吉首大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2024年第2期89-96,共8页
考虑到金融市场“非完全有效性”且投资者“非完全理性”,通过贝叶斯框架建立了投资者观点与多渠道信息相结合的改进Black-Litterman模型,由此确定了最优的个性化投资策略.在中国股票市场的实证研究中,利用SVM-ARIMA-GARCH模型解决了投... 考虑到金融市场“非完全有效性”且投资者“非完全理性”,通过贝叶斯框架建立了投资者观点与多渠道信息相结合的改进Black-Litterman模型,由此确定了最优的个性化投资策略.在中国股票市场的实证研究中,利用SVM-ARIMA-GARCH模型解决了投资者观点量化的问题.对比几类参考策略,改进Black-Litterman模型所确定的最优投资策略的样本外绩效表现更加稳健,在不同市场行情下均能获得较高的夏普比率和较低的换手率. 展开更多
关键词 BLACK-LITTERMAN模型 贝叶斯框架 投资者观点 投资组合优化
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一种基于机器学习的模型检查算法性能预测方法
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作者 张枨宇 诸嘉逸 +7 位作者 黄怿豪 杨迪 李建文 缪炜恺 阎迪 顾斌 詹乃军 蒲戈光 《华东师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第4期18-29,共12页
与非图模型是一种表示电路设计的通用基础形式,同时也是模型检查器的一种通用输入格式.介绍了一种基于与非图结构编码的特征提取方法,并基于该方法实现了一种快速的组合模型检查器Liquid.所提出的结构编码的核心思想:首先罗列出与非图... 与非图模型是一种表示电路设计的通用基础形式,同时也是模型检查器的一种通用输入格式.介绍了一种基于与非图结构编码的特征提取方法,并基于该方法实现了一种快速的组合模型检查器Liquid.所提出的结构编码的核心思想:首先罗列出与非图中所有可能的子结构,再将每个子结构出现的次数编码成向量,该向量即作为与非图的特征向量参与之后的机器学习过程.由于各种模型检查算法的性能在不同的与非图上参差不齐,Liquid的设计目标是组合多种模型检查算法,针对不同的与非图使用机器学习模型挑选出合适的算法.收集了目前所有的模型检查器基准测试集作为实验数据集并进行了实验.实验结果表明,Liquid在实验数据集上的表现优于所有组合中的独立模型检查算法,并有着不错的预测准确率.同时,还从多个维度分析了Liquid有效的原因. 展开更多
关键词 模型检查 与非图 组合模型检查器
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基于投资组合高阶矩分析的电力系统灵活性评估 被引量:1
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作者 刘颖杰 陈红坤 +1 位作者 田圆 高鹏 《电力系统保护与控制》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第5期116-127,共12页
针对现有灵活性指标形式主要集中于低阶统计量,仅能反映系统灵活性的平均水平与集中程度,而忽视了灵活性的高阶特征这一问题,引入投资组合高阶矩分析理论对电力系统灵活性进行刻画,以揭示系统灵活性的调节潜力与风险。首先,通过分析投... 针对现有灵活性指标形式主要集中于低阶统计量,仅能反映系统灵活性的平均水平与集中程度,而忽视了灵活性的高阶特征这一问题,引入投资组合高阶矩分析理论对电力系统灵活性进行刻画,以揭示系统灵活性的调节潜力与风险。首先,通过分析投资组合的均值-方差-偏度-峰度模型(mean-variance-skewness-kurtosismodel,MVSK Model),给出了灵活性单元组合的定义,基于多元Copula函数构建考虑空间相关性的灵活性单元概率模型。其次,基于灵活性单元组合的各阶矩建立灵活性评估指标,并给出基于核密度估计与蒙特卡洛模拟的指标计算方法。最后,通过FTS-213测试系统与德国某电网的历史数据对所提指标进行了测算和验证。算例表明所提指标能够反映系统灵活性调节能力的平均水平、稳定程度、潜力与风险,且能量化评估灵活性资源种类与投建地区对系统灵活性的影响,为后续的灵活性资源规划提供理论支持。 展开更多
关键词 电力系统灵活性 投资组合 高阶矩 MVSK模型 COPULA函数 指标评估
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System portfolio selection based on GRA method under hesitant fuzzy environment 被引量:3
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作者 LI Zhuoqian DOU Yajie +2 位作者 XIA Boyuan YANG Kewei LI Mengjun 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2022年第1期120-133,共14页
The hesitant fuzzy set(HFS) is an important tool to deal with uncertain and vague information.In equipment system portfolio selection, the index attribute of the equipment system may not be expressed by precise data;i... The hesitant fuzzy set(HFS) is an important tool to deal with uncertain and vague information.In equipment system portfolio selection, the index attribute of the equipment system may not be expressed by precise data;it is usually described by qualitative information and expressed as multiple possible values.We propose a method of equipment system portfolio selection under hesitant fuzzy environment.The hesitant fuzzy element(HFE) is used to describe the index and attribute values of the equipment system.The hesitation degree of HFEs measures the uncertainty of the criterion data of the equipment system.The hesitant fuzzy grey relational analysis(GRA) method is used to evaluate the score of the equipment system, and the improved HFE distance measure is used to fully consider the influence of hesitation degree on the grey correlation degree.Based on the score and hesitation degree of the equipment system,two portfolio selection models of the equipment system and an equipment system portfolio selection case is given to illustrate the application process and effectiveness of the method. 展开更多
关键词 system portfolio selection hesitant fuzzy set(HFS) grey relational analysis(GRA) score-hesitation tradeoff portfolio model
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得分驱动时变DCC模型及其应用
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作者 周泽峰 沈根祥 《统计与决策》 北大核心 2024年第3期63-68,共6页
收益率协方差矩阵在投资组合和风险计量中有重要应用。文章先用得分驱动方法推导出DCC模型的等价形式,以此表明DCC模型的观测驱动特性;然后再次采用得分驱动方法将DCC模型的参数时变化,得出加速DCC(aDCC)模型。随机模拟及实证研究显示,... 收益率协方差矩阵在投资组合和风险计量中有重要应用。文章先用得分驱动方法推导出DCC模型的等价形式,以此表明DCC模型的观测驱动特性;然后再次采用得分驱动方法将DCC模型的参数时变化,得出加速DCC(aDCC)模型。随机模拟及实证研究显示,加速DCC模型不仅具有更好的波动拟合效果,而且基于其构建的最小方差组合还能实现更小的组合方差及夏普比率。 展开更多
关键词 得分驱动 DCC模型 投资组合
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基于压力-状态-响应和云模型的危废处置中心安全韧性评价
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作者 王美 李旭康 +1 位作者 胡立嵩 冷朝阳 《武汉工程大学学报》 CAS 2024年第3期343-348,共6页
为提高危险废物处置中心的系统风险抵抗能力,保证其处置过程安全进行,以武汉某危险废物处置中心为研究对象,基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型从压力、状态以及响应3个方面构建危险废物处置中心的安全韧性评价指标体系,运用层次分析法和熵权... 为提高危险废物处置中心的系统风险抵抗能力,保证其处置过程安全进行,以武汉某危险废物处置中心为研究对象,基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型从压力、状态以及响应3个方面构建危险废物处置中心的安全韧性评价指标体系,运用层次分析法和熵权法分别得出主观权重值和客观权重值,并运用组合赋权法得出各指标组合权重值,根据云模型得出危险废物处置中心的安全韧性等级为“良好”。结果表明,基于PSR模型的安全韧性评价模型对于系统安全评价具有一定的科学性和借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 危险废物 Pressure-State-Response模型 组合赋权 云模型 安全韧性
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基于扭曲风险度量的鲁棒投资策略
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作者 闫雪晨 李璐 王雅实 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期122-138,共17页
投资组合策略在很大程度上取决于损失的基本分布.因此当损失的分布信息只能通过有限的数据样本来观察时,投资组合策略模型的稳健性是至关重要的.假设损失的基本分布具有已知的均值和方差且位于一个以经验分布为中心,以Wasserstein距离... 投资组合策略在很大程度上取决于损失的基本分布.因此当损失的分布信息只能通过有限的数据样本来观察时,投资组合策略模型的稳健性是至关重要的.假设损失的基本分布具有已知的均值和方差且位于一个以经验分布为中心,以Wasserstein距离为半径的球内,本文建立了一个基于扭曲风险度量的稳健投资组合策略模型,并将其转化为更简便的等价形式.此外,本文运用模拟和实证研究证明了该模型的有效性. 展开更多
关键词 扭曲风险度量 投资组合策略 鲁棒模型 Wasserstein距离
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Optimal Portfolio Rules with Habit Formation and Preference for Wealth 被引量:1
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作者 XiaoZheng-yan XuXu-song 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2003年第04A期1057-1060,共4页
This paper describes a model in which a representative investor's preference depends on both the consumption history consumption and his wealth. Thus, the investor accumulates wealth not only for the sake of consu... This paper describes a model in which a representative investor's preference depends on both the consumption history consumption and his wealth. Thus, the investor accumulates wealth not only for the sake of consumption history but also for wealth. We examine the implication for consumption, portfolio choice. We solve the consumption portfolio choice problem and provide the optimal policy. The optimal solution to the problem shows that the preference for wealth and consumption formation will affect the investor's optimal portfolio policy. For the purpose of further research, we also calculate the steady-state distribution of habit-consumption ratio. 展开更多
关键词 preference for wealth habit formation consumption-portfolio model
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