Comparison of two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials: a simulation study

Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for analyzing the data of N-of-1 trials.This simulation study aimed to compare two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials.Methods:The simulated data of N-of-1 trials with different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios are obtained by SAS 9.1 system.The missing values are filled with mean filling and regression filling respectively in the condition of different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios by SPSS 25.0 software.Bayesian models are built to estimate the posterior means by Winbugs 14 software.Results:When the missing ratio is relatively small,e.g.5%,missing values have relatively little effect on the results.Therapeutic effects may be underestimated when the coefficient of autocorrelation increases and no filling is used.However,it may be overestimated when mean or regression filling is used,and the results after mean filling are closer to the actual effect than regression filling.In the case of moderate missing ratio,the estimated effect after mean filling is closer to the actual effect compared to regression filling.When a large missing ratio(20%)occurs,data missing can lead to significantly underestimate the effect.In this case,the estimated effect after regression filling is closer to the actual effect compared to mean filling.Conclusion:Data missing can affect the estimated therapeutic effects using Bayesian models in N-of-1 trials.The present study suggests that mean filling can be used under situation of missing ratio≤10%.Otherwise,regression filling may be preferable.

RH底喷粉精炼过程数值模拟研究

RH真空槽底喷粉精炼将脱硫粉剂直接喷入钢液,冶金反应程度高,终点元素含量稳定,能够完成高品质钢的炉外精炼任务。对RH底喷粉过程进行数值模拟研究,探究底喷粉过程的粉剂行为及对钢液流场的影响规律,优化喷嘴布置方案,旨在推动该技术的工业化应用。研究结果表明,180°喷嘴布置方案(即下降管侧喷吹,简称方案2)的钢液环流量比0°喷嘴布置方案(即上升管侧喷吹,简称方案1)增加1.8 t/min(增量比例为1.4%);方案2的钢包最下端钢液粉剂浓度比方案1高0.2~0.9 kg/m^(3)(增量比例为6.7%~81.8%);方案2条件下,钢包内钢液流动死区的粉剂浓度随喷嘴布置高度的降低而降低。结合粉剂收得率,确定方案2喷嘴布置高度为300 mm,此时粉剂收得率较方案1提升2.59%。

Indoor Simulation Study on Nutrient Release of Fishponds Sediment

[Objective] The study aimed to research the nutrients release of ponds sediment.[Method] The sediments which from a new pond(A) and an old one (B) these analyses used to carry out indoor experiment under the anaerobic dark condition for researching on nutrient release. The N(nitrogenous) and P(phosphorous) release were analyzed every two days.[Result] At the prophase, the N release in B was bigger than that in A, while the decline sediment release in A was gentle.[Conclusion] There was no accumulation of organic compound during the breeding time. The NH4-N was the main form of N release; and the P release was correlated with N release, while PO4-P was the main form of P release.

Simulation study of the superharmonic field generated from a phase array transducer

Ultrasound imaging is the most widely used noninvasive medical imaging modality. Its latest elite concept is Superharmonic Imaging which is the most talked-about future of medical diagnostic ultrasound. In this paper, the computational and analytical study for superharmonic field generation from phased array transducer of 16 × 16 elements is presented. For this, the model preferred, includes the calculation for diffraction effect in frequency domain and nonlinear effect in time domain. The attenuation is included along with the diffraction in frequency domain as well. The comparative analysis of superharmonic field is also carried out with simulated fundamental and second harmonic fields by the same model. Similarly, the comparison with the results from the literature is also reported.

Numerical Simulation of Recirculating Flow and Decarburization in RH Vacuum Refining Degasser

Based on the principle of RH process and the mechanism of decarburization, a three-dimensional mathematical model to represent the flow and decarburization of molten steel was established. The model was verified and the effect of operating parameters on the process was investigated.

Modeling study on the flow patterns of gas–liquid flow for fast decarburization during the RH process

A water model and a high-speed video camera were utilized in the 300-t RH equipment to study the effect of steel flow patterns in a vacuum chamber on fast decarburization and a superior flow-pattern map was obtained during the practical RH process. There are three flow patterns with different bubbling characteristics and steel surface states in the vacuum chamber： boiling pattern（BP）, transition pattern（TP）, and wave pattern（WP）. The effect of the liquid-steel level and the residence time of the steel in the chamber on flow patterns and decarburization reaction were investigated, respectively. The liquid-steel level significantly affected the flow-pattern transition from BP to WP, and the residence time and reaction area were crucial to evaluate the whole decarburization process rather than the circulation flow rate and mixing time. A superior flow-pattern map during the practical RH process showed that the steel flow pattern changed from BP to TP quickly, and then remained as TP until the end of decarburization.

Effect of Valence Band Tail Width on the Open Circuit Voltage of P3HT:PCBM Bulk Heterojunction Solar Cell:AMPS-1D Simulation Study

The effect of the valence band tail width on the open circuit voltage of P3HT：PCBM bulk heterojunction solar cell is investigated by using the AMPS-1D computer program. An effective medium model with exponential valence and conduction band tail states is used to simulate the photovoltaic cell. The simulation result shows that the open circuit voltage depends Iinearly on the logarithm of the generation rate and the slope depends on the width of the valence band tail. The open circuit voltage decreases with the increasing width of the band tail. The dark and light ideality factors increase with the width of the valence band tail.

Simulation Study on the Controllable Dielectrophoresis Parameters of Graphene

The method of using dielectrophoresis （DEP） to assemble graphene between micro-electrodes has been proven to be simple and efficient. We present an optimization method for the kinetic formula of graphene DEP, and discuss the simulation of the graphene assembly process based on the finite element method. The simulated results illustrate that the accelerated motion of graphene is in agreement with the distribution of the electric field squared gradient. We also conduct research on the controllable parameters of the DEP assembly such as the alternating current （AC） frequency, the shape of micro-electrodes, and the ratio of the gap between electrodes to the characteristic/geometric length of graphene （λ）. The simulations based on the Clausius-Mossotti factor reveal that both graphene velocity and direction are influenced by the AC frequency. When graphene is close to the electrodes, the shape of micro-electrodes will exert great influence on the velocity of graphene. Also, λ has a great influence on the velocity of graphene. Generally, the velocity of graphene would be greater when λ is in the range of 0.4 0.6. The study is of a theoretical guiding significance in improving the precision and efficiency of the graphene DEP assembly.

Simulation Study on the ITB Formation during LHCD in JT-60U

A transport simulation has been done by using a i.5D time dependent transportcode to reproduce a formation of the ITB on electron temperature Profile during the long pu1seLHCD in JT-60U tokamak. The transport coefficients were assumed to reduce with a reversedmagnetic shear and the LH driven current profile was evaluated by fitting dynamic change inthe measured current profile. The gradual increase in the central electron temperature could beexplained by the change in the current profile during LHCD in the present simulation model. Theestimated LH-driven current profile by the transport code analysis shows a finite current densityat the plasma center. Analysis of transport simulation suggests some mechanisms for broadeningthe LH-driven current profile at the central region of the plasma.

Impact of Temperature Variation on Performance of Carbon Nanotube Field-Effect Transistor-Based on Chaotic Oscillator:A Quantum Simulation Study

We evaluate the impact of temperature on the output behavior of a carbon nanotube field effect transistor （CNFET） based chaotic generator. The sources cause the variations in both current-voltage characteristics of the CNFET device and an overall chaotic circuit is pointed out. To verify the effect of temperature variation on the output dynamics of the chaotic circuit, a simulation is performed by employing the CNFET compact model of Wong et al. in HSPICE with a temperature range from -100℃ to 100℃. The obtained results with time series, frequency spectra, and bifurcation diagram from the simulation demonstrate that temperature plays a significant role in the output dynamics of the CNFET-based chaotic circuit. Thus, temperature-related issues should be taken into account while designing a high-quality chaotic generator with high stability.

A simulation study on CO_2 assimilation and crop growth in agroforest ecosystems in the East China Plain

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A Simulation Study on Boiler Fault Diagnosis Expert System

The boiler is one of the key parts of power station. Monitoring the operation of the boiler automatically, continuously and accurately is very important. In case of malfunctions, an expert system might be helpful to find the sources of faults, and thereafter will assist the operator to act correctly and to prevent the fault from further development.In this paper, a simulation study of an expert system, which can diagnose the running faults of boiler system, is conducted. Shallow and deep two-layer knowledge base structure is used in this two layers of knowledge base. So. this kind of expert system can overcome the disadvantages of the old types of expert systems, which are only able to deal with experience rules base.A simulator of power boiler is used for the research on fault diagnose expert system. This boiler simulator gives all necessary information for the diagnosis. The knowledge base of expert system is built in hierarchies, so the speed of reasoning may be invreased. After the reasoning the

Simulation study on factors influencing the entrainment behavior of liquid steel as bubbles pass through the steel/slag interface

In this study, a water/silicone oil interface was used to simulate the steel/slag interface in a converter. A high-speed camera was used to record the entrainment process of droplets when air bubbles were passed through the water/silicone oil interface. Motion parameters of the bubbles and droplets were obtained using particle kinematic analysis software, and the entrainment rate of the droplets was calculated. It was found that the entrainment rate decreased from 29.5% to 0 when the viscosity of the silicone oil was increased from 60 mPa.s to 820 mPa.s in the case of bubbles with a 5 mm equivalent diameter passing through the water/silicone oil interface. The results indicate that in- creasing the viscosity of the silicone oil is conducive to reducing the entrainment rate. The entrainment rate increased from 0 to 136.3% in the case of silicone oil with a viscosity of 60 mPa.s when the equivalent diameter of the bubbles was increased from 3 mm to 7 ram. We there- fore conclude that small bubbles are also conductive to reducing the entrainment rate. The force analysis results for the water colmnn indicate that the entrainment rate of droplets is affected by the velocity of the bubble passing through the water/silicone oil interface and that the en- trainment rate decreases with the bubble velocity.

RH脱碳模型的建立和测试

笔者针对无排气信息的 RH精炼装置 ,在碳氧平衡原理的基础上 ,结合工艺人员提供的经验知识 ,经过大量数据统计和仿真测试建立了 RH脱碳模型 .此文着重对其基本原理、模型主要流程、建模仿真过程和仿真测试结果进行阐述 .

Field Scale Simulation Study of Miscible Water Alternating CO₂Injection Process in Fractured Reservoirs

Vast amounts of world oil reservoirs are in natural fractured reservoirs. There are different methods for increasing recovery from fractured reservoirs. Miscible injection of water alternating CO2?is a good choice among EOR methods. In this method, water and CO2?slugs are injected alternatively in reservoir as miscible agent into reservoir. This paper studies water injection scenario and miscible injection of water and CO2?in a two dimensional, inhomogeneous fractured reservoir. The results show that miscible water alternating CO2?gas injection leads to 3.95% increase in final oil recovery and total water production decrease of 3.89% comparing to water injection scenario.

Simulation Study on Electromechanical Disturbance Propagation in Large Power System

Power systems are subjected to all kinds of random disturbances, showing the electromechanical dynamic. A lot of theoretical researches show that the disturbance power and frequency is propagating in the form of wave which is called electromechanical wave. But electromechanical wave theory is not widely used in actual power system. In this paper we focus on simulation study of electromechanical wave frequency sensitivity and propagation velocity and elaborating the simulation results with the electromechanical wave theory. Finally some summaries and expectations on electromechanical wave study are made.