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资本账户开放对人民币跨境结算的影响——基于2012-2022年月度数据的实证分析
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作者 万光彩 钱瀚宇 《安徽工业大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2023年第4期455-468,共14页
基于2012-2022年月度数据,探究资本账户开放影响人民币跨境结算的具体传导机制,采用误差修正(VECM)模型从长期均衡与短期波动的角度检验宏观经济因素对人民币跨境结算的影响,借助时变参数向量自回归(TVP-SV-VAR)模型围绕经济波动就资本... 基于2012-2022年月度数据,探究资本账户开放影响人民币跨境结算的具体传导机制,采用误差修正(VECM)模型从长期均衡与短期波动的角度检验宏观经济因素对人民币跨境结算的影响,借助时变参数向量自回归(TVP-SV-VAR)模型围绕经济波动就资本账户开放影响跨境结算的相关路径展开研究。结果表明:汇率与离岸市场是资本账户开放影响人民币跨境结算的主要渠道;价格机制辅以适当资本管制可有效规避套利风险;资本项目开放不足导致现行利率管理方式在一定程度上制约人民币跨境流动;利用离岸市场发挥价格发现功能可进一步完善人民币市场化定价机制。据此从审慎开放资本账户与推进汇率自由化、利率市场化、离岸市场建设等角度提出政策性建议,缓解资本账户开放对跨境贸易结算的不利影响,推动后疫情时代人民币跨境结算的发展。 展开更多
关键词 资本账户开放 人民币跨境算 汇率 利率 离岸市场
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Bilateral swap agreement and renminbi settlement in cross-border trade 被引量:7
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作者 Ke Song Le Xia 《Economic and Political Studies》 2020年第3期355-373,共19页
This research empirically examines the impact of China’s renminbi(RMB)Bilateral Swap Agreements(BSAs)on the usage of the currency in cross-border trade transactions.By using a unique dataset from SWIFT including cros... This research empirically examines the impact of China’s renminbi(RMB)Bilateral Swap Agreements(BSAs)on the usage of the currency in cross-border trade transactions.By using a unique dataset from SWIFT including cross-border settlement messages of 91 countries/regions between October 2010 and November 2015,we confirm that the signing of an RMB BSA helps increase the number,value and proportion of the RMB settlement in cross-border trade.Our results are robust with respect to the choice of different models,including multi-level mixed model,two-stage regression model,and difference-in-difference model.In addition to justifying the effectiveness of China’s BSA-signing strategy to promote the RMB usage in trade settlement,our results clarify that the signing of those RMB BSAs is not purely for China’s political ends as some scholars claim. 展开更多
关键词 rmb bilateral swap agreement cross-border trade SWIFT
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A decade of RMB internationalisation 被引量:1
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作者 Yin-Wong Cheung 《Economic and Political Studies》 2023年第1期47-74,共28页
This article recounts China’s renminbi(RMB)internationalisation experiences since the 2009 RMB cross-border trade settlement ini-tiative.In the first few years,the RMB made inroads into global financial markets and h... This article recounts China’s renminbi(RMB)internationalisation experiences since the 2009 RMB cross-border trade settlement ini-tiative.In the first few years,the RMB made inroads into global financial markets and had a few remarkable accomplishments,including the Special Drawing Right currency status.Since the 2015 market turmoil,RMB internationalisation has levelled off–possibly due to changes in both domestic and geopolitical condi-tions.The RMB is currently under-represented in the global mar-ket.China’s deliberate and schematic policies will elevate the RMB’s global stature in a gradual manner but there will not be a leapfrogging in the near term. 展开更多
关键词 cross-border trade settlement Special Drawing Right offshore rmb trading global FX trading global reserves
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Renminbi Going Global 被引量:7
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作者 Xiaoli Chen Yin-Wong Cheung 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2011年第2期1-18,共18页
The present paper evaluates the international status of the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), by examining its use in the global market. Specifically, the discussion focuses on the recent developments of RMB tra... The present paper evaluates the international status of the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), by examining its use in the global market. Specifically, the discussion focuses on the recent developments of RMB trading in the global foreign exchange market, cross-border trade settlement in RMB, the Hong Kong offshore market and China's policies relating to the RMB. The evidence suggests that the use of the RMB overseas, especially in trade financing and in the off-shore market, has increased rapidly in recent years. However, compared with the size of the Chinese economy, the current scale of the use of the RMB is quite small. Although the RMB has great potential to become an international currency, its acceptance in the global economy is affected by both economic andpolitical factors. Attaining a fully fledged international RMB is still a distant goal. 展开更多
关键词 cross-border trade settlement off-shore rmb market panda bonds rmb internationalization
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