Based on the CINRAD Doppler radar data in Guangzhou and the lightning data in 2004 by power suppliers of Guangdong, statistical study is done by overlaying lightning's position on radar's echo. The result shows the ...Based on the CINRAD Doppler radar data in Guangzhou and the lightning data in 2004 by power suppliers of Guangdong, statistical study is done by overlaying lightning's position on radar's echo. The result shows the followings. The concentrated period in which more negative lightning occurred at the middle levels (2 - 14 km), where radar echo was moderate (12 - 45 dBz), rather than at the low levels with the weakest echoes or at high levels with the strongest echoes. At levels 3 - 11 km, where the radar echo was between 10 dBz and 35 dBz, the area of negative lightning was much larger in central Guangdong than in the rest of the province. At levels 0.5 - 7 krn where the radar echoes were between 44 dBz and 51 dBz, the probability for a point to have negative lightning varies from 0.4 to 0.7.展开更多
The European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association(EISCAT) Very High Frequency(224 MHz) Radar has been used to investigate the aspect sensitivity of polar mesosphere summer echoes(PMSE) in the period 13–15 July 2...The European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association(EISCAT) Very High Frequency(224 MHz) Radar has been used to investigate the aspect sensitivity of polar mesosphere summer echoes(PMSE) in the period 13–15 July 2010. The aspect sensitivity of PMSE using this radar and at such a high frequency has not been previously reported. Data concerning the aspect sensitivity of PMSE were collected by traversing the antenna beam from the zenith direction, and comparing the received power. Surprisingly, as the intensity received by the oblique beam was often larger than that of the vertical beam, suggesting the presence of tilted dusty plasma layers as a potential cause, a theoretical model was developed to confirm the existence of these layers and their formation process. The experimental results and theoretical model presented help elucidate the structural properties of the possible generation mechanism of strong radar echoes in the polar summer mesosphere region.展开更多
Based on the radar data and lightning position indicator data of strong thunderstorm weather which happened in Fuxin on July 8,2007,the relationship between the lightning activity and the radar echo was analyzed.The r...Based on the radar data and lightning position indicator data of strong thunderstorm weather which happened in Fuxin on July 8,2007,the relationship between the lightning activity and the radar echo was analyzed.The results showed that Fuxin area located in the cross position of T-shaped trough and was affected by the cold air which continuously glided down.The corresponding warm front on the ground advanced southward and arrived here.It was the weather background of this thunderstorm weather.The position variation of lightning occurrence was closely related to the strong echo movement of squall line,and the velocity echo clearly reflected and predicted the movement tendency of the radar echo.展开更多
As the core of a digital phased array radar system,a radar signal processing environment is created to measure multitarget range and velocity information. The radar echo signal is achieved by superposing target echo, ...As the core of a digital phased array radar system,a radar signal processing environment is created to measure multitarget range and velocity information. The radar echo signal is achieved by superposing target echo, noise, clutter and jamming signals linearly. Considering that these signals have many types,two typical combinations are selected to construct the multi-target echo signal and the simulated echo signal is used as the input of the signal processing environment. This environment mainly adopts pulse compression,moving target indication and detection technologies to process the echo signal.It is found that the frequency domain method is more desirable for the pulse compression effect than the time domain method,and multi-target range information can be measured from the moving target indication result after using a double delay canceller. A new moving target detecting method is proposed,which can present the positive and negative velocity accurately with the multi-target range and velocity measured simultaneously. Simulation results indicate that the potential targets are detected from the chaotic radar echo signals successfully,and their range and velocity can be figured out correctly in the built radar signal processing environment.展开更多
Accurate precipitation nowcasting can provide great convenience to the public so they can conduct corresponding arrangements in advance to deal with the possible impact of upcoming heavy rain.Recent relevant research ...Accurate precipitation nowcasting can provide great convenience to the public so they can conduct corresponding arrangements in advance to deal with the possible impact of upcoming heavy rain.Recent relevant research activities have shown their concerns on various deep learning models for radar echo extrapolation,where radar echo maps were used to predict their consequent moment,so as to recognize potential severe convective weather events.However,these approaches suffer from an inaccurate prediction of echo dynamics and unreliable depiction of echo aggregation or dissipation,due to the size limitation of convolution filter,lack of global feature,and less attention to features from previous states.To address the problems,this paper proposes a CEMA-LSTM recurrent unit,which is embedded with a Contextual Feature Correlation Enhancement Block(CEB)and a Multi-Attention Mechanism Block(MAB).The CEB enhances contextual feature correlation and supports its model to memorize significant features for near-future prediction;the MAB uses a position and channel attention mechanism to capture global features of radar echoes.Two practical radar echo datasets were used involving the FREM and CIKM 2017 datasets.Both quantification and visualization of comparative experimental results have demonstrated outperformance of the proposed CEMA-LSTMover recentmodels,e.g.,PhyDNet,MIM and PredRNN++,etc.In particular,compared with the second-rankedmodel,its average POD,FAR and CSI have been improved by 3.87%,1.65%and 1.79%,respectively on the FREM,and by 1.42%,5.60%and 3.16%,respectively on the CIKM 2017.展开更多
Radar quantitative precipitation estimation(QPE)is a key and challenging task for many designs and applications with meteorological purposes.Since the Z-R relation between radar and rain has a number of parameters on ...Radar quantitative precipitation estimation(QPE)is a key and challenging task for many designs and applications with meteorological purposes.Since the Z-R relation between radar and rain has a number of parameters on different areas,and the rainfall varies with seasons,the traditional methods are incapable of achieving high spatial and temporal resolution and thus difficult to obtain a refined rainfall estimation.This paper proposes a radar quantitative precipitation estimation algorithm based on the spatiotemporal network model(ST-QPE),which designs a convolutional time-series network QPE-Net8 and a multi-scale feature fusion time-series network QPE-Net22 to address these limitations.We report on our investigation into contrast reversal experiments with radar echo and rainfall data collected by the Hunan Meteorological Observatory.Experimental results are verified and analyzed by using statistical and meteorological methods,and show that the ST-QPE model can inverse the rainfall information corresponding to the radar echo at a given moment,which provides practical guidance for accurate short-range precipitation nowcasting to prevent and mitigate disasters efficiently.展开更多
By using the conventional observations, radar data, NCEP/NCAR FNL 1°×1° reanalysis data and numerical simulation data and with the construction and calculation of radar echo parameters, this paper prese...By using the conventional observations, radar data, NCEP/NCAR FNL 1°×1° reanalysis data and numerical simulation data and with the construction and calculation of radar echo parameters, this paper presents the structural characteristics and physical processes of a short-time heavy precipitation supercell that occurred in the squall line process in Shanxi Province on 24 June 2020. The results show that this squall line event occurred in front of a surface cold front,combined with infiltration of low-level cold air and continuous increase of near-surface humidity in the afternoon. The surface mesoscale convergence line and mesoscale dew point front contributed to the development and systemization of the squall line by a large degree. The short-time extremely heavy precipitation in Pingshun County was caused by the development of a supercell from thunderstorm cells on the front side of the squall line. The characteristics of sharp increase in vertical integral liquid water content, persistent increase in reflectivity factor and continuous rise in the echo top height appeared about 23 min earlier than the severe precipitation, which has qualitative indicating significance for the nowcasting of short-time heavy precipitation. A quantitative analysis of the radar echo parameters suggests that the“sudden drop”of FV40was a precursor signal of cells’ coalescence and rapid development to the mature stage. The areal change of the echo core at the 6 km height was highly subject to the merging and developing of cells, the rapid change of hydrometeor particles in clouds and the precipitation intensity. Changes in the cross-sectional area of convective cells at different heights can indirectly reflect the changes of liquid particles and ice particles in clouds, which is indicatively meaningful for predicting the coalescing and developing-to-maturing of cells and heavy precipitation 30-45 min earlier.A comprehensive echo parameter prediction model constructed by the random forest principle can predict the magnitude of short-time heavy precipitation 40-50 min in advance. Numerical simulation reveals that large amounts of water vapor existed in the near-surface atmosphere, and that the cells rapidly obtained moisture from the ambient atmosphere and developed rapidly through maternal feeding. The cold cloud zone was narrow, upright and had a high stretch height. The upward motion in clouds was strong and deep, and very rich in liquid water content. The graupel particles had a large vertical distribution range, the coexistence area of graupel and snow was large, the height of raindrops was close to the surface with a wide horizontal scale, and the precipitation efficiency was high. These may be the important elements responsible for the occurrence of the short-time heavy precipitation that exceeded historical extreme values. On the basis of the above analyses, a comprehensive parameter(CP) prediction model is worked out, which can estimate the developing trend of supercells and the intensity of short-time heavy precipitation about 1 h in advance.展开更多
Bistatic/multistatic radar has great potential advantages over its monostatic counterpart. However, the separation of a transmitter and a receiver leads to difficulties in locating the target position accurately and g...Bistatic/multistatic radar has great potential advantages over its monostatic counterpart. However, the separation of a transmitter and a receiver leads to difficulties in locating the target position accurately and guaranteeing space-timefrequency synchronization of the transmitter and the receiver.The error model of space-time-frequency synchronization in a motion platform of bistatic/multistatic radar is studied. The relationship between the space synchronization error and the transmitter platform position, receiver platform position, moving state, and beam pointing error, is analyzed. The effect of space synchronization error on target echo power is studied. The target scattering characteristics are restructured by many separate scattering centers of the target in high frequency regions. Based on the scattering centers model of the radar target, this radar target echo model and the simulation method are discussed. The algorithm of bistatic/multistatic radar target echo accurately reflects the scattering characteristics of the radar target, pulse modulation speciality of radar transmitting signals, and spacetime-frequency synchronization error characteristics between the transmitter station and the receiver station. The simulation of bistatic radar is completed in computer, and the results of the simulation validate the feasibility of the method.展开更多
Sand-dust storm is a type of disastrous weather, typically occurring in arid and semi-arid climates. This study selected a region in the hinterlands of the Taklimakan Desert, called the Tazhong region, as the experime...Sand-dust storm is a type of disastrous weather, typically occurring in arid and semi-arid climates. This study selected a region in the hinterlands of the Taklimakan Desert, called the Tazhong region, as the experimental area to quantitatively estimate the particle concentrations of sand-dust storms using the boundary layer wind-profiling radar. We thoroughly studied the radar echo signals and reflectivity factor features during the sand-dust storms. The results indicate that(1) under sand-dust storm conditions, boundary layer wind-profiling radar cannot capture the complete information regarding horizontal wind velocity and direction, but it can obtain the backscattering intensity of sand-dust storms; and(2) during sand-dust storms particle size distributions in the surface layer closely resemble log-normal distributions, with sand-dust particles sizes of 90–100 μm accounting for the maximum particle probability. Retrieved particle size distributions at heights of 600, 800, and 1000 m follow log-normal distributions, and the expected value of particle diameter decreases gradually with increasing height. From the perspective of orders of magnitude, the retrieved results for particle number concentrations and mass concentrations are consistent with previous aircraft-detected results, indicating that it is basically feasible to use boundary layer wind-profiling radar to quantitatively detect the particle concentrations of dust storms.展开更多
This paper presents a novel method for fast calculation of radar echo in near-field regions after the equivalent source has been computed by method of moments(MoM).An easy-to-access near-field database(NFDB)is establi...This paper presents a novel method for fast calculation of radar echo in near-field regions after the equivalent source has been computed by method of moments(MoM).An easy-to-access near-field database(NFDB)is established,which is built on the auxiliary tetrahedral meshes surrounding the nearfield regions of interest.The near-fields calculation(NFC)of arbitrary observation points can be expressed explicitly via the NFDB.An efficient matrix compression scheme named random sampling-based butterfly factorization(RS-BF)is proposed to speed up the construction of NFDB.With this approach,each group of O(N)elements in the database can be calculated through one fast matrix-vector multiplication operation that has a computational complexity below O(Nlog~2 N).The proposed method can avoid time-consuming point-by-point NFC of the traditional methods.Several numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of this method.In particular,the echo simulation of a missile-target encounter example is presented to illustrate its capability for practical applications.展开更多
Weather radar echo extrapolation plays a crucial role in weather forecasting.However,traditional weather radar echo extrapolation methods are not very accurate and do not make full use of historical data.Deep learning...Weather radar echo extrapolation plays a crucial role in weather forecasting.However,traditional weather radar echo extrapolation methods are not very accurate and do not make full use of historical data.Deep learning algorithms based on Recurrent Neural Networks also have the problem of accumulating errors.Moreover,it is difficult to obtain higher accuracy by relying on a single historical radar echo observation.Therefore,in this study,we constructed the Fusion GRU module,which leverages a cascade structure to effectively combine radar echo data and mean wind data.We also designed the Top Connection so that the model can capture the global spatial relationship to construct constraints on the predictions.Based on the Jiangsu Province dataset,we compared some models.The results show that our proposed model,Cascade Fusion Spatiotemporal Network(CFSN),improved the critical success index(CSI)by 10.7%over the baseline at the threshold of 30 dBZ.Ablation experiments further validated the effectiveness of our model.Similarly,the CSI of the complete CFSN was 0.004 higher than the suboptimal solution without the cross-attention module at the threshold of 30 dBZ.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to summarize the characteristics of refelectivity factors of Doppler radar of the cold front cloud system. [Method] Judging from the characteristics of reflectivity factors, by dint of the new ...[Objective] The aim was to summarize the characteristics of refelectivity factors of Doppler radar of the cold front cloud system. [Method] Judging from the characteristics of reflectivity factors, by dint of the new generation weather radar in Harbin from 2002 to 2007, the features of the reflectivity factors of the cold front cloud system were summarized. [Result] The cloud formed by the cold front was in banded form in general. However, there was void in the cloud and its intensity was uneven. Most fast moving cold front was long and narrow banded echo and basically the radial velocity turned from northwest wind to southwest. With the changes of month, the feature of the reflective rate also changed. In winter, the cold front cloud was in layer form. The feature of the reflectivity factors was weak and in large area. However, the structure was loose and there was space in the echo. Among them, there were several strong echoes. Strong convection cell echo formed in the two sides of the cold front, and it moved with the entire cloud belt. When the dry cold front moved, regional strong convective current formed, mainly by convective cloud and small echo area. Generally, the changes of the wind direction can not be expounded from the radial velocity. However, the intensity of the convection cell was distinct, 'three-body scattering', 'side lobe echo', and 'weak echo', as well as features of super convection cell. [Conclusion] The study provided positive role for the application of Doppler radar in the surveillance of weather in Heilongjiang Province.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to analyze radar echo characteristic of a heavy rainstorm in central Guangxi in June, 2010. [Method] Using conventional observations and automatic stations, Doppler radar and other data, a seve...[Objective] The aim was to analyze radar echo characteristic of a heavy rainstorm in central Guangxi in June, 2010. [Method] Using conventional observations and automatic stations, Doppler radar and other data, a severe rainstorm in central of Guangxi which occurred on 31 May to 1 June 2010 was analyzed. The characteristics of weather radar data were analyzed to reveal the characteristics of radar echo during the heavy precipitation process. [ Result] The heavy rainstorm had gone through many singular wind storms towards MCS variation. The existence of ultra-sin- gular and "train effect" was the main reason of the heavy rainstorm. The results showed that during the heavy rainfall experienced an evolution process from multi-cell storm to MCS, and found that super cell and the "train effect" was the major reason which caused this torrential rain. The echo centroid of multi-cell storm stretching along its moving reverse order was the key factor which maintained the heavy rain. Analysis also found that the average echo intensity had a good relationship with rainfall. Strong echoes were in quasi-stationary state for a long time and was favorable heavy rain. In the diameter velocity diagram, mesoscale convergence line, the adverse wind regions and the mid-cyclone were the important basis to determine producing and keeping heavy rainfall. Radar wind profile can reflect the configuration of layers of wind conditions, and it was an effective tool to determine whether the trough was in transition or not. [ Conclusion] The study provided reference for the short-term and nowcasting report.展开更多
Based on the observation data of meteorological stations,Doppler radar observation data of Ulanqab City,and ERA-5 reanalysis data,a snowstorm process in Ulanqab City from March 17 to 18,2022 was analyzed.The results s...Based on the observation data of meteorological stations,Doppler radar observation data of Ulanqab City,and ERA-5 reanalysis data,a snowstorm process in Ulanqab City from March 17 to 18,2022 was analyzed.The results show that this was a type Ⅱ snowstorm process generated under the joint influence of upper trough and ground low inverted trough and frontal cyclone.The main period of snowfall can be divided into two time stages,and the total snowfall was more in the south and less in the north,which was consistent with that of average specific humidity field.Water vapor conditions provided by strong water vapor transport and convergence,strong upward movement shown by large vertical velocity field,and the suction action of high-and low-layer divergence and convergence were the reasons for the hourly heavy snowfall on the 18^(th).During the process,radar echoes were mainly sheet-shaped,and composite reflectivity was 15-25 dBZ in most areas.The zero speed line in the first period was positively"S"-shaped,and there was warm advection and southwest wind.On the morning of the 18^(th),after the cold front transited the city,Ulanqab City was gradually controlled by northwest wind,and the snow tended to end.展开更多
[Objective] The aim was to simulate the development process of one spring hailstone weather in Hohhot. [Method] By dint of three dimensional cumulus numerical models, and considering real time radar echo document and ...[Objective] The aim was to simulate the development process of one spring hailstone weather in Hohhot. [Method] By dint of three dimensional cumulus numerical models, and considering real time radar echo document and ground hailstorm data, numerical simulation was conducted to the development process of one hailstorm in Hohhot. [Result] The numerical simulation suggested that in the early period of the development of hailstorm cloud, the low layer convergence and high layer divergence were weak and the divergence layer height was low (4.5 km), Vor had weak symmetric dual structure; in the maturing period of the formation of hail cloud, the low layer convergence and high layer divergence strengthened and the divergence layer height increased obviously (9.5 km). Vor has obvious dual symmetric structure. Qg and Qt value increased rapidly and the top of Qt uplifted (10.5 km). The maximum upward airstream speed of output model Wm, divergence Div, vertical vector of vortex Vor, specific water content of graupel Qg, total specific water content Qt, ground solid precipitation Rs and theoretical value, radar echo and ground observation fit well. [Conclusion] The model had capacity to simulate strong convective cloud development process and could be developed and used continuously in the professional work of the weather modification.展开更多
Based on routine weather charts, numerical predication products and satellite cloud images, the causes of an infrequent regional hail weather process occurred in east of Gansu on Aug. 2, 2006 were diagnosed and analyz...Based on routine weather charts, numerical predication products and satellite cloud images, the causes of an infrequent regional hail weather process occurred in east of Gansu on Aug. 2, 2006 were diagnosed and analyzed. The results showed that the hail weather process occurred at the abnormal large-scale circulation leading the system to west. When the cold trough, which was separated by the north cold vortex, moved southward through Hetao and then intersected with 300 hPa jet stream and the surface cold front, that led to the strong convection. There were strong upward motion and unstable stratification in hail area, three MCS in satellite cloud, and a character of formed arch shape echo on radar echo charts.展开更多
To analyze the effects of gas cannons on clouds and precipitation,multisource observational data,including those from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis,Hangzhou and Huzhou new-generation we...To analyze the effects of gas cannons on clouds and precipitation,multisource observational data,including those from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis,Hangzhou and Huzhou new-generation weather radars,laser disdrometer,ground-based automatic weather station,wind profiler radar,and Lin'an C-band dualpolarization radar,were adopted in this study.Based on the variational dual-Doppler wind retrieval method and the polarimetric variables obtained by the dual-polarization radar,we analyzed the microphysical processes and the variations in the macro-and microphysical quantities in clouds from the perspective of the synoptic background before precipitation enhancement,the polarization echo characteristics before,during and after enhancement,and the evolution of the fine three-dimensional kinematic structure and the microphysical structure.The results show that the precipitation enhancement operation promoted the development of radar echoes and prolonged their duration,and both the horizontal and vertical wind speeds increased.The dual-polarization radar echo showed that the diameter of the precipitation particles increased,and the concentration of raindrops increased after precipitation enhancement.The raindrops were lifted to a height corresponding to 0 to-20℃due to vertical updrafts.Based on the disdrometer data during precipitation enhancement,the concentration of small raindrops(lgN_(w))showed a significant increase,and the mass-weighted diameter D_(m)value decreased,indicating that the precipitation enhancement operation played a certain“lubricating”effect.After the precipitation enhancement,the concentration of raindrops did not change much compared with that during the enhancement process,while the Dm increased,corresponding to an increase in rain intensity.The results suggest the positive effect of gas cannons on precipitation enhancement.展开更多
Using NCEP 1° × 1° reanalysis data within 6 h, conventional observational data, data from regional automatic rainfall stations, satellite cloud pictures and Doppler radar data, we compared the physical ...Using NCEP 1° × 1° reanalysis data within 6 h, conventional observational data, data from regional automatic rainfall stations, satellite cloud pictures and Doppler radar data, we compared the physical conditions, dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of two rainstorms in the southwest of Hunan Province on May 12 and June 15 in 2011. The results showed that the first process was triggered by strong cold air under unstable potential, while the second process was caused by shear line appearing from the east; during the first process, cold air divided into many parts and moved towards south, rainfall was uniform and lasted for a long time, while rainfall was relatively concentrated and strong, and lasted for a short time during the second process; the peak of K index appeared only during the second process; no sign of heavy rainfall was found from satellite cloud pictures and radar echo pictures during the first process, while obvious cloud cluster and echo ribbons could be found from satellite cloud pictures and radar echo pictures during the second process, which were the sign of heavy rainfall; slow movement of echo or little movement resulted in the second rainstorm, and constant echo intensity was the main reason for the occurrence of the second rainstorm. In addition, there was low-level southwest jet during the two processes, which provided favorable conditions for the transportation of water vapor and energy during the two processes. However, there was a great difference between the two rainstorms in the intensity and thickness of low-level jet, that is, the intensity and thickness of low-level jet during the first process were obviously weaker than these during the second process.展开更多
Precipitation nowcasting is of great significance for severe convective weather warnings.Radar echo extrapolation is a commonly used precipitation nowcasting method.However,the traditional radar echo extrapolation met...Precipitation nowcasting is of great significance for severe convective weather warnings.Radar echo extrapolation is a commonly used precipitation nowcasting method.However,the traditional radar echo extrapolation methods are encountered with the dilemma of low prediction accuracy and extrapolation ambiguity.The reason is that those methods cannot retain important long-term information and fail to capture short-term motion information from the long-range data stream.In order to solve the above problems,we select the spatiotemporal long short-term memory(ST-LSTM)as the recurrent unit of the model and integrate the 3D convolution operation in it to strengthen the model’s ability to capture short-term motion information which plays a vital role in the prediction of radar echo motion trends.For the purpose of enhancing the model’s ability to retain long-term important information,we also introduce the channel attention mechanism to achieve this goal.In the experiment,the training and testing datasets are constructed using radar data of Shanghai,we compare our model with three benchmark models under the reflectance thresholds of 15 and 25.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms the three benchmark models in radar echo extrapolation task,which obtains a higher accuracy rate and improves the clarity of the extrapolated image.展开更多
文摘Based on the CINRAD Doppler radar data in Guangzhou and the lightning data in 2004 by power suppliers of Guangdong, statistical study is done by overlaying lightning's position on radar's echo. The result shows the followings. The concentrated period in which more negative lightning occurred at the middle levels (2 - 14 km), where radar echo was moderate (12 - 45 dBz), rather than at the low levels with the weakest echoes or at high levels with the strongest echoes. At levels 3 - 11 km, where the radar echo was between 10 dBz and 35 dBz, the area of negative lightning was much larger in central Guangdong than in the rest of the province. At levels 0.5 - 7 krn where the radar echoes were between 44 dBz and 51 dBz, the probability for a point to have negative lightning varies from 0.4 to 0.7.
基金supported by CRIRP (China)NIPR (Japan)+3 种基金NFR (Sweden)PPARC (UK)RCN (Norway)SA (Finland)
文摘The European Incoherent Scatter Scientific Association(EISCAT) Very High Frequency(224 MHz) Radar has been used to investigate the aspect sensitivity of polar mesosphere summer echoes(PMSE) in the period 13–15 July 2010. The aspect sensitivity of PMSE using this radar and at such a high frequency has not been previously reported. Data concerning the aspect sensitivity of PMSE were collected by traversing the antenna beam from the zenith direction, and comparing the received power. Surprisingly, as the intensity received by the oblique beam was often larger than that of the vertical beam, suggesting the presence of tilted dusty plasma layers as a potential cause, a theoretical model was developed to confirm the existence of these layers and their formation process. The experimental results and theoretical model presented help elucidate the structural properties of the possible generation mechanism of strong radar echoes in the polar summer mesosphere region.
基金Supported by The Special Project of Public Welfare Industry Scientific Research(GYHY200806014)Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology Project(E30JG0730)
文摘Based on the radar data and lightning position indicator data of strong thunderstorm weather which happened in Fuxin on July 8,2007,the relationship between the lightning activity and the radar echo was analyzed.The results showed that Fuxin area located in the cross position of T-shaped trough and was affected by the cold air which continuously glided down.The corresponding warm front on the ground advanced southward and arrived here.It was the weather background of this thunderstorm weather.The position variation of lightning occurrence was closely related to the strong echo movement of squall line,and the velocity echo clearly reflected and predicted the movement tendency of the radar echo.
基金The"13th Five-Year"Equipment Pre-Research Common Technology Fund of China(No.41411010202)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61571113)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK20160697)
文摘As the core of a digital phased array radar system,a radar signal processing environment is created to measure multitarget range and velocity information. The radar echo signal is achieved by superposing target echo, noise, clutter and jamming signals linearly. Considering that these signals have many types,two typical combinations are selected to construct the multi-target echo signal and the simulated echo signal is used as the input of the signal processing environment. This environment mainly adopts pulse compression,moving target indication and detection technologies to process the echo signal.It is found that the frequency domain method is more desirable for the pulse compression effect than the time domain method,and multi-target range information can be measured from the moving target indication result after using a double delay canceller. A new moving target detecting method is proposed,which can present the positive and negative velocity accurately with the multi-target range and velocity measured simultaneously. Simulation results indicate that the potential targets are detected from the chaotic radar echo signals successfully,and their range and velocity can be figured out correctly in the built radar signal processing environment.
基金funding from the Key Laboratory Foundation of National Defence Technology under Grant 61424010208National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.62002276,41911530242 and 41975142)+3 种基金5150 Spring Specialists(05492018012 and 05762018039)Major Program of the National Social Science Fund of China(Grant No.17ZDA092)333 High-LevelTalent Cultivation Project of Jiangsu Province(BRA2018332)Royal Society of Edinburgh,UK andChina Natural Science Foundation Council(RSE Reference:62967)_Liu)_2018)_2)under their Joint International Projects Funding Scheme and Basic Research Programs(Natural Science Foundation)of Jiangsu Province(BK20191398 and BK20180794).
文摘Accurate precipitation nowcasting can provide great convenience to the public so they can conduct corresponding arrangements in advance to deal with the possible impact of upcoming heavy rain.Recent relevant research activities have shown their concerns on various deep learning models for radar echo extrapolation,where radar echo maps were used to predict their consequent moment,so as to recognize potential severe convective weather events.However,these approaches suffer from an inaccurate prediction of echo dynamics and unreliable depiction of echo aggregation or dissipation,due to the size limitation of convolution filter,lack of global feature,and less attention to features from previous states.To address the problems,this paper proposes a CEMA-LSTM recurrent unit,which is embedded with a Contextual Feature Correlation Enhancement Block(CEB)and a Multi-Attention Mechanism Block(MAB).The CEB enhances contextual feature correlation and supports its model to memorize significant features for near-future prediction;the MAB uses a position and channel attention mechanism to capture global features of radar echoes.Two practical radar echo datasets were used involving the FREM and CIKM 2017 datasets.Both quantification and visualization of comparative experimental results have demonstrated outperformance of the proposed CEMA-LSTMover recentmodels,e.g.,PhyDNet,MIM and PredRNN++,etc.In particular,compared with the second-rankedmodel,its average POD,FAR and CSI have been improved by 3.87%,1.65%and 1.79%,respectively on the FREM,and by 1.42%,5.60%and 3.16%,respectively on the CIKM 2017.
基金This work is supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Hunan Province(No.2019SK2161)the Key Research and Development Program of Hunan Province(No.2016SK2017).
文摘Radar quantitative precipitation estimation(QPE)is a key and challenging task for many designs and applications with meteorological purposes.Since the Z-R relation between radar and rain has a number of parameters on different areas,and the rainfall varies with seasons,the traditional methods are incapable of achieving high spatial and temporal resolution and thus difficult to obtain a refined rainfall estimation.This paper proposes a radar quantitative precipitation estimation algorithm based on the spatiotemporal network model(ST-QPE),which designs a convolutional time-series network QPE-Net8 and a multi-scale feature fusion time-series network QPE-Net22 to address these limitations.We report on our investigation into contrast reversal experiments with radar echo and rainfall data collected by the Hunan Meteorological Observatory.Experimental results are verified and analyzed by using statistical and meteorological methods,and show that the ST-QPE model can inverse the rainfall information corresponding to the radar echo at a given moment,which provides practical guidance for accurate short-range precipitation nowcasting to prevent and mitigate disasters efficiently.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(41475050)。
文摘By using the conventional observations, radar data, NCEP/NCAR FNL 1°×1° reanalysis data and numerical simulation data and with the construction and calculation of radar echo parameters, this paper presents the structural characteristics and physical processes of a short-time heavy precipitation supercell that occurred in the squall line process in Shanxi Province on 24 June 2020. The results show that this squall line event occurred in front of a surface cold front,combined with infiltration of low-level cold air and continuous increase of near-surface humidity in the afternoon. The surface mesoscale convergence line and mesoscale dew point front contributed to the development and systemization of the squall line by a large degree. The short-time extremely heavy precipitation in Pingshun County was caused by the development of a supercell from thunderstorm cells on the front side of the squall line. The characteristics of sharp increase in vertical integral liquid water content, persistent increase in reflectivity factor and continuous rise in the echo top height appeared about 23 min earlier than the severe precipitation, which has qualitative indicating significance for the nowcasting of short-time heavy precipitation. A quantitative analysis of the radar echo parameters suggests that the“sudden drop”of FV40was a precursor signal of cells’ coalescence and rapid development to the mature stage. The areal change of the echo core at the 6 km height was highly subject to the merging and developing of cells, the rapid change of hydrometeor particles in clouds and the precipitation intensity. Changes in the cross-sectional area of convective cells at different heights can indirectly reflect the changes of liquid particles and ice particles in clouds, which is indicatively meaningful for predicting the coalescing and developing-to-maturing of cells and heavy precipitation 30-45 min earlier.A comprehensive echo parameter prediction model constructed by the random forest principle can predict the magnitude of short-time heavy precipitation 40-50 min in advance. Numerical simulation reveals that large amounts of water vapor existed in the near-surface atmosphere, and that the cells rapidly obtained moisture from the ambient atmosphere and developed rapidly through maternal feeding. The cold cloud zone was narrow, upright and had a high stretch height. The upward motion in clouds was strong and deep, and very rich in liquid water content. The graupel particles had a large vertical distribution range, the coexistence area of graupel and snow was large, the height of raindrops was close to the surface with a wide horizontal scale, and the precipitation efficiency was high. These may be the important elements responsible for the occurrence of the short-time heavy precipitation that exceeded historical extreme values. On the basis of the above analyses, a comprehensive parameter(CP) prediction model is worked out, which can estimate the developing trend of supercells and the intensity of short-time heavy precipitation about 1 h in advance.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61271327)
文摘Bistatic/multistatic radar has great potential advantages over its monostatic counterpart. However, the separation of a transmitter and a receiver leads to difficulties in locating the target position accurately and guaranteeing space-timefrequency synchronization of the transmitter and the receiver.The error model of space-time-frequency synchronization in a motion platform of bistatic/multistatic radar is studied. The relationship between the space synchronization error and the transmitter platform position, receiver platform position, moving state, and beam pointing error, is analyzed. The effect of space synchronization error on target echo power is studied. The target scattering characteristics are restructured by many separate scattering centers of the target in high frequency regions. Based on the scattering centers model of the radar target, this radar target echo model and the simulation method are discussed. The algorithm of bistatic/multistatic radar target echo accurately reflects the scattering characteristics of the radar target, pulse modulation speciality of radar transmitting signals, and spacetime-frequency synchronization error characteristics between the transmitter station and the receiver station. The simulation of bistatic radar is completed in computer, and the results of the simulation validate the feasibility of the method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41775030, 41575008, 11302111, 11562017)the China Research Foundation for Desert Meteorology (SQJ2014003)the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation
文摘Sand-dust storm is a type of disastrous weather, typically occurring in arid and semi-arid climates. This study selected a region in the hinterlands of the Taklimakan Desert, called the Tazhong region, as the experimental area to quantitatively estimate the particle concentrations of sand-dust storms using the boundary layer wind-profiling radar. We thoroughly studied the radar echo signals and reflectivity factor features during the sand-dust storms. The results indicate that(1) under sand-dust storm conditions, boundary layer wind-profiling radar cannot capture the complete information regarding horizontal wind velocity and direction, but it can obtain the backscattering intensity of sand-dust storms; and(2) during sand-dust storms particle size distributions in the surface layer closely resemble log-normal distributions, with sand-dust particles sizes of 90–100 μm accounting for the maximum particle probability. Retrieved particle size distributions at heights of 600, 800, and 1000 m follow log-normal distributions, and the expected value of particle diameter decreases gradually with increasing height. From the perspective of orders of magnitude, the retrieved results for particle number concentrations and mass concentrations are consistent with previous aircraft-detected results, indicating that it is basically feasible to use boundary layer wind-profiling radar to quantitatively detect the particle concentrations of dust storms.
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2017YFB0202500)。
文摘This paper presents a novel method for fast calculation of radar echo in near-field regions after the equivalent source has been computed by method of moments(MoM).An easy-to-access near-field database(NFDB)is established,which is built on the auxiliary tetrahedral meshes surrounding the nearfield regions of interest.The near-fields calculation(NFC)of arbitrary observation points can be expressed explicitly via the NFDB.An efficient matrix compression scheme named random sampling-based butterfly factorization(RS-BF)is proposed to speed up the construction of NFDB.With this approach,each group of O(N)elements in the database can be calculated through one fast matrix-vector multiplication operation that has a computational complexity below O(Nlog~2 N).The proposed method can avoid time-consuming point-by-point NFC of the traditional methods.Several numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of this method.In particular,the echo simulation of a missile-target encounter example is presented to illustrate its capability for practical applications.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(42375145)The Open Grants of China Meteorological Admin-istration Radar Meteorology Key Laboratory(2023LRM-A02)。
文摘Weather radar echo extrapolation plays a crucial role in weather forecasting.However,traditional weather radar echo extrapolation methods are not very accurate and do not make full use of historical data.Deep learning algorithms based on Recurrent Neural Networks also have the problem of accumulating errors.Moreover,it is difficult to obtain higher accuracy by relying on a single historical radar echo observation.Therefore,in this study,we constructed the Fusion GRU module,which leverages a cascade structure to effectively combine radar echo data and mean wind data.We also designed the Top Connection so that the model can capture the global spatial relationship to construct constraints on the predictions.Based on the Jiangsu Province dataset,we compared some models.The results show that our proposed model,Cascade Fusion Spatiotemporal Network(CFSN),improved the critical success index(CSI)by 10.7%over the baseline at the threshold of 30 dBZ.Ablation experiments further validated the effectiveness of our model.Similarly,the CSI of the complete CFSN was 0.004 higher than the suboptimal solution without the cross-attention module at the threshold of 30 dBZ.
文摘[Objective] The aim was to summarize the characteristics of refelectivity factors of Doppler radar of the cold front cloud system. [Method] Judging from the characteristics of reflectivity factors, by dint of the new generation weather radar in Harbin from 2002 to 2007, the features of the reflectivity factors of the cold front cloud system were summarized. [Result] The cloud formed by the cold front was in banded form in general. However, there was void in the cloud and its intensity was uneven. Most fast moving cold front was long and narrow banded echo and basically the radial velocity turned from northwest wind to southwest. With the changes of month, the feature of the reflective rate also changed. In winter, the cold front cloud was in layer form. The feature of the reflectivity factors was weak and in large area. However, the structure was loose and there was space in the echo. Among them, there were several strong echoes. Strong convection cell echo formed in the two sides of the cold front, and it moved with the entire cloud belt. When the dry cold front moved, regional strong convective current formed, mainly by convective cloud and small echo area. Generally, the changes of the wind direction can not be expounded from the radial velocity. However, the intensity of the convection cell was distinct, 'three-body scattering', 'side lobe echo', and 'weak echo', as well as features of super convection cell. [Conclusion] The study provided positive role for the application of Doppler radar in the surveillance of weather in Heilongjiang Province.
文摘[Objective] The aim was to analyze radar echo characteristic of a heavy rainstorm in central Guangxi in June, 2010. [Method] Using conventional observations and automatic stations, Doppler radar and other data, a severe rainstorm in central of Guangxi which occurred on 31 May to 1 June 2010 was analyzed. The characteristics of weather radar data were analyzed to reveal the characteristics of radar echo during the heavy precipitation process. [ Result] The heavy rainstorm had gone through many singular wind storms towards MCS variation. The existence of ultra-sin- gular and "train effect" was the main reason of the heavy rainstorm. The results showed that during the heavy rainfall experienced an evolution process from multi-cell storm to MCS, and found that super cell and the "train effect" was the major reason which caused this torrential rain. The echo centroid of multi-cell storm stretching along its moving reverse order was the key factor which maintained the heavy rain. Analysis also found that the average echo intensity had a good relationship with rainfall. Strong echoes were in quasi-stationary state for a long time and was favorable heavy rain. In the diameter velocity diagram, mesoscale convergence line, the adverse wind regions and the mid-cyclone were the important basis to determine producing and keeping heavy rainfall. Radar wind profile can reflect the configuration of layers of wind conditions, and it was an effective tool to determine whether the trough was in transition or not. [ Conclusion] The study provided reference for the short-term and nowcasting report.
文摘Based on the observation data of meteorological stations,Doppler radar observation data of Ulanqab City,and ERA-5 reanalysis data,a snowstorm process in Ulanqab City from March 17 to 18,2022 was analyzed.The results show that this was a type Ⅱ snowstorm process generated under the joint influence of upper trough and ground low inverted trough and frontal cyclone.The main period of snowfall can be divided into two time stages,and the total snowfall was more in the south and less in the north,which was consistent with that of average specific humidity field.Water vapor conditions provided by strong water vapor transport and convergence,strong upward movement shown by large vertical velocity field,and the suction action of high-and low-layer divergence and convergence were the reasons for the hourly heavy snowfall on the 18^(th).During the process,radar echoes were mainly sheet-shaped,and composite reflectivity was 15-25 dBZ in most areas.The zero speed line in the first period was positively"S"-shaped,and there was warm advection and southwest wind.On the morning of the 18^(th),after the cold front transited the city,Ulanqab City was gradually controlled by northwest wind,and the snow tended to end.
基金Supported by Inner Mongolia Meteorological Bureau Scientific Innovation Program (nmqxkjcx 200811)
文摘[Objective] The aim was to simulate the development process of one spring hailstone weather in Hohhot. [Method] By dint of three dimensional cumulus numerical models, and considering real time radar echo document and ground hailstorm data, numerical simulation was conducted to the development process of one hailstorm in Hohhot. [Result] The numerical simulation suggested that in the early period of the development of hailstorm cloud, the low layer convergence and high layer divergence were weak and the divergence layer height was low (4.5 km), Vor had weak symmetric dual structure; in the maturing period of the formation of hail cloud, the low layer convergence and high layer divergence strengthened and the divergence layer height increased obviously (9.5 km). Vor has obvious dual symmetric structure. Qg and Qt value increased rapidly and the top of Qt uplifted (10.5 km). The maximum upward airstream speed of output model Wm, divergence Div, vertical vector of vortex Vor, specific water content of graupel Qg, total specific water content Qt, ground solid precipitation Rs and theoretical value, radar echo and ground observation fit well. [Conclusion] The model had capacity to simulate strong convective cloud development process and could be developed and used continuously in the professional work of the weather modification.
基金Supported by Meteorological Research Program of Gansu Province:Thunder and Lightning Monitor Based on New Generation Weather Radar and LD-II Thunder and Lightning Locator Prediction Services System Research of Pingliang City
文摘Based on routine weather charts, numerical predication products and satellite cloud images, the causes of an infrequent regional hail weather process occurred in east of Gansu on Aug. 2, 2006 were diagnosed and analyzed. The results showed that the hail weather process occurred at the abnormal large-scale circulation leading the system to west. When the cold trough, which was separated by the north cold vortex, moved southward through Hetao and then intersected with 300 hPa jet stream and the surface cold front, that led to the strong convection. There were strong upward motion and unstable stratification in hail area, three MCS in satellite cloud, and a character of formed arch shape echo on radar echo charts.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(41675029)Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(KYCX18_0998)+1 种基金Science and Technology Program of Huzhou(2021GZ14,2020GZ31)Science and Technology(Key)Program of Zhejiang Meteorological Service(2021ZD27)。
文摘To analyze the effects of gas cannons on clouds and precipitation,multisource observational data,including those from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP)reanalysis,Hangzhou and Huzhou new-generation weather radars,laser disdrometer,ground-based automatic weather station,wind profiler radar,and Lin'an C-band dualpolarization radar,were adopted in this study.Based on the variational dual-Doppler wind retrieval method and the polarimetric variables obtained by the dual-polarization radar,we analyzed the microphysical processes and the variations in the macro-and microphysical quantities in clouds from the perspective of the synoptic background before precipitation enhancement,the polarization echo characteristics before,during and after enhancement,and the evolution of the fine three-dimensional kinematic structure and the microphysical structure.The results show that the precipitation enhancement operation promoted the development of radar echoes and prolonged their duration,and both the horizontal and vertical wind speeds increased.The dual-polarization radar echo showed that the diameter of the precipitation particles increased,and the concentration of raindrops increased after precipitation enhancement.The raindrops were lifted to a height corresponding to 0 to-20℃due to vertical updrafts.Based on the disdrometer data during precipitation enhancement,the concentration of small raindrops(lgN_(w))showed a significant increase,and the mass-weighted diameter D_(m)value decreased,indicating that the precipitation enhancement operation played a certain“lubricating”effect.After the precipitation enhancement,the concentration of raindrops did not change much compared with that during the enhancement process,while the Dm increased,corresponding to an increase in rain intensity.The results suggest the positive effect of gas cannons on precipitation enhancement.
文摘Using NCEP 1° × 1° reanalysis data within 6 h, conventional observational data, data from regional automatic rainfall stations, satellite cloud pictures and Doppler radar data, we compared the physical conditions, dynamic and thermodynamic characteristics of two rainstorms in the southwest of Hunan Province on May 12 and June 15 in 2011. The results showed that the first process was triggered by strong cold air under unstable potential, while the second process was caused by shear line appearing from the east; during the first process, cold air divided into many parts and moved towards south, rainfall was uniform and lasted for a long time, while rainfall was relatively concentrated and strong, and lasted for a short time during the second process; the peak of K index appeared only during the second process; no sign of heavy rainfall was found from satellite cloud pictures and radar echo pictures during the first process, while obvious cloud cluster and echo ribbons could be found from satellite cloud pictures and radar echo pictures during the second process, which were the sign of heavy rainfall; slow movement of echo or little movement resulted in the second rainstorm, and constant echo intensity was the main reason for the occurrence of the second rainstorm. In addition, there was low-level southwest jet during the two processes, which provided favorable conditions for the transportation of water vapor and energy during the two processes. However, there was a great difference between the two rainstorms in the intensity and thickness of low-level jet, that is, the intensity and thickness of low-level jet during the first process were obviously weaker than these during the second process.
基金This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42075007)the Open Grants of the State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather(No.2021LASW-B19).
文摘Precipitation nowcasting is of great significance for severe convective weather warnings.Radar echo extrapolation is a commonly used precipitation nowcasting method.However,the traditional radar echo extrapolation methods are encountered with the dilemma of low prediction accuracy and extrapolation ambiguity.The reason is that those methods cannot retain important long-term information and fail to capture short-term motion information from the long-range data stream.In order to solve the above problems,we select the spatiotemporal long short-term memory(ST-LSTM)as the recurrent unit of the model and integrate the 3D convolution operation in it to strengthen the model’s ability to capture short-term motion information which plays a vital role in the prediction of radar echo motion trends.For the purpose of enhancing the model’s ability to retain long-term important information,we also introduce the channel attention mechanism to achieve this goal.In the experiment,the training and testing datasets are constructed using radar data of Shanghai,we compare our model with three benchmark models under the reflectance thresholds of 15 and 25.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms the three benchmark models in radar echo extrapolation task,which obtains a higher accuracy rate and improves the clarity of the extrapolated image.