A real-time intelligent lithology identification method based on a dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm

Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.

Random Forest-Based Fatigue Reliability-Based Design Optimization for Aeroengine Structures

Fatigue reliability-based design optimization of aeroengine structures involves multiple repeated calculations of reliability degree and large-scale calls of implicit high-nonlinearity limit state function,leading to the traditional direct Monte Claro and surrogate methods prone to unacceptable computing efficiency and accuracy.In this case,by fusing the random subspace strategy and weight allocation technology into bagging ensemble theory,a random forest(RF)model is presented to enhance the computing efficiency of reliability degree;moreover,by embedding the RF model into multilevel optimization model,an efficient RF-assisted fatigue reliability-based design optimization framework is developed.Regarding the low-cycle fatigue reliability-based design optimization of aeroengine turbine disc as a case,the effectiveness of the presented framework is validated.The reliabilitybased design optimization results exhibit that the proposed framework holds high computing accuracy and computing efficiency.The current efforts shed a light on the theory/method development of reliability-based design optimization of complex engineering structures.

An Optimized System of Random Forest Model by Global Harmony Search with Generalized Opposition-Based Learning for Forecasting TBM Advance Rate

As massive underground projects have become popular in dense urban cities,a problem has arisen:which model predicts the best for Tunnel Boring Machine(TBM)performance in these tunneling projects?However,performance level of TBMs in complex geological conditions is still a great challenge for practitioners and researchers.On the other hand,a reliable and accurate prediction of TBM performance is essential to planning an applicable tunnel construction schedule.The performance of TBM is very difficult to estimate due to various geotechnical and geological factors and machine specifications.The previously-proposed intelligent techniques in this field are mostly based on a single or base model with a low level of accuracy.Hence,this study aims to introduce a hybrid randomforest(RF)technique optimized by global harmony search with generalized oppositionbased learning(GOGHS)for forecasting TBM advance rate(AR).Optimizing the RF hyper-parameters in terms of,e.g.,tree number and maximum tree depth is the main objective of using the GOGHS-RF model.In the modelling of this study,a comprehensive databasewith themost influential parameters onTBMtogetherwithTBM AR were used as input and output variables,respectively.To examine the capability and power of the GOGHSRF model,three more hybrid models of particle swarm optimization-RF,genetic algorithm-RF and artificial bee colony-RF were also constructed to forecast TBM AR.Evaluation of the developed models was performed by calculating several performance indices,including determination coefficient(R2),root-mean-square-error(RMSE),and mean-absolute-percentage-error(MAPE).The results showed that theGOGHS-RF is a more accurate technique for estimatingTBMAR compared to the other applied models.The newly-developedGOGHS-RFmodel enjoyed R2=0.9937 and 0.9844,respectively,for train and test stages,which are higher than a pre-developed RF.Also,the importance of the input parameters was interpreted through the SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)method,and it was found that thrust force per cutter is the most important variable on TBMAR.The GOGHS-RF model can be used in mechanized tunnel projects for predicting and checking performance.

Winter Wheat Yield Estimation Based on Sparrow Search Algorithm Combined with Random Forest:A Case Study in Henan Province,China

Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.

A HybridManufacturing ProcessMonitoringMethod Using Stacked Gated Recurrent Unit and Random Forest

This study proposed a new real-time manufacturing process monitoring method to monitor and detect process shifts in manufacturing operations.Since real-time production process monitoring is critical in today’s smart manufacturing.The more robust the monitoring model,the more reliable a process is to be under control.In the past,many researchers have developed real-time monitoring methods to detect process shifts early.However,thesemethods have limitations in detecting process shifts as quickly as possible and handling various data volumes and varieties.In this paper,a robust monitoring model combining Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU)and Random Forest(RF)with Real-Time Contrast(RTC)called GRU-RF-RTC was proposed to detect process shifts rapidly.The effectiveness of the proposed GRU-RF-RTC model is first evaluated using multivariate normal and nonnormal distribution datasets.Then,to prove the applicability of the proposed model in a realmanufacturing setting,the model was evaluated using real-world normal and non-normal problems.The results demonstrate that the proposed GRU-RF-RTC outperforms other methods in detecting process shifts quickly with the lowest average out-of-control run length(ARL1)in all synthesis and real-world problems under normal and non-normal cases.The experiment results on real-world problems highlight the significance of the proposed GRU-RF-RTC model in modern manufacturing process monitoring applications.The result reveals that the proposed method improves the shift detection capability by 42.14%in normal and 43.64%in gamma distribution problems.

基于Random Forest和层次分析法的混凝土连续梁桥耐久性评估

为了准确快速地评估混凝土连续梁桥的耐久性,避免造成结构耐久性评估结果受桥梁技术人员因对规范不熟悉的主观因素影响,基于层次分析法建立适用于混凝土连续梁桥的耐久性评估指标体系,构建随机森林耐久性评估模型。经过参数调优获得随机森林模型最优参数组合为105、10、2、2。结果表明:使用随机森林耐久性评估模型的精确率、召回率、F1值均大于87%;主梁裂缝、重载率、下部结构保护层厚度安全系数等对混凝土连续梁桥耐久性的影响依次递减。将评估结果与桥检报告技术状况等级、课题软件结果对比,验证了模型的可靠性。

基于RF-GWO的水利工程地质渗透系数智能反演分析

地质渗透系数是准确分析水利工程渗流的关键参数。针对传统反演方法计算效率低、精度差的问题,采用有限元正演模型和正交试验设计构建渗透系数反演样本集,建立了基于随机森林(RF)算法的渗流计算代理模型;在此基础上,引入灰狼优化(GWO)算法,提出了基于RF-GWO的渗透系数智能反演方法,并以Z抽水蓄能电站为研究案例进行了验证。结果表明:RF模型对各钻孔水位预测结果均接近实测值,性能优于CART和BP模型;GWO可搜寻到地质最佳渗透系数,钻孔水位反演结果合理,相对误差最大为0.42%,精度满足工程要求,计算的天然渗流场分布形态也符合一般山体渗流场分布规律。建立的反演模型能够快速准确地推断工程区地层渗透系数,具有实际工程应用价值。

基于RF-SFLA-SVM的装配式建筑高空作业工人不安全行为预警

为有效预警装配式建筑高空作业工人不安全行为的发生趋势或状态,增强对装配式建筑工人不安全行为(PBWUBs)的管控,采用随机森林(RF)-混合蛙跳算法(SFLA)-支持向量机(SVM)模型,开展工人不安全行为预警研究。首先,采用SHEL模型分析处于高空作业危险中的PBWUBs的影响因素,并通过RF确定关键预警指标;然后,采用SFLA对SVM的参数进行寻优改进;最后,利用RF-SFLA-SVM预警高空作业PBWUBs,提出应对措施,并与其他预警模型对比。研究结果表明:基于RF-SFLA-SVM预警高空作业PBWUBs,准确率最高,为91.67%,与其他模型的预警性能相比,最高提升14%。研究结果可为高空作业PBWUBs的防控提供参考。

基于RF-RNN模型的DNS隐蔽信道检测方法

为提高检测隐蔽信道的灵敏度,提出一种基于随机森林(Random Forest,RF)和循环神经网络(Recurrent Neural Network,RNN)的域名系统(Domain Name System,DNS)隐蔽信道检测方法。该方法采用域名检测作为主要手段,使用RF模型对域名进行分类,通过深度学习方法挖掘更高阶的特征表示。实验结果表明,与单一模型相比,该方法在检测准确性和健壮性方面均取得了显著提升。

基于IHHT‑RF的配电网单相接地故障选线方法

小电流系统发生单相接地故障时故障特征易受高接地过渡电阻、小初相角等弱故障条件影响而导致选线准确率低。为此,提出一种基于改进希尔伯特黄变换—随机森林(improved Hilbert⁃Huang transform⁃random forest,IHHT⁃RF)的配电网单相接地故障选线方法。首先,提取每条线路在故障发生时的电流暂态信号,通过IHHT提取纯净的暂态电气量,构造标准差、能量熵和幅值畸变度3类特征向量;然后,将特征向量输入RF分类器建立故障选线模型,把故障选线问题转化为二分类问题;最后,将测量数据输入RF分类器中得出分类结果,实现故障线路的自动识别。仿真结果表明,该选线方法综合利用暂态信号的幅值、频率和能量等特征信息,不受弱故障条件、馈线结构等因素的影响,能有效提高故障选线的准确率,具有较强的适应性和可靠性。

基于K-means SMOTE和IDBO-RF岩爆烈度等级预测模型

为解决岩爆数据集不均衡和模型参数寻优困难等问题,提出1种基于K-means SMOTE与改进蜣螂算法优化随机森林(random forest,RF)的预测模型。首先,分析岩爆发生机理构建指标体系;其次,使用K-means SMOTE算法对岩爆数据集进行均衡化处理,采用Robust标准化消除量纲;最后,引入Tent混沌映射和非线性递减策略组合改进蜣螂优化(improved dung beetle optimizer,IDBO)算法,寻优RF超参数,建立岩爆烈度等级预测模型(IDBO-RF)并与其他模型对比验证其有效性。研究结果表明:数据均衡处理后,各模型准确率提高10.85%~16.02%;设计的IDBO-RF预测模型平均准确率约为94.37%,较RF、GWO-RF、DBO-RF模型分别提高约7.76百分点、1.69百分点、1.11百分点;IDBO-RF预测模型准确率最高约为96.43%,优于RF、GWO-RF、DBO-RF模型。研究结果可为解决岩爆预测问题提供一定参考。

基于自适应GA-RF的用户流失预测研究

针对电信用户流失问题,文章提出一种自适应遗传算法优化随机森林的预测模型。首先对Kaggle平台提供的电信数据进行数据清洗、特征提取及无量纲化处理,然后运用SMOTE过采样以解决数据不平衡问题,对决策树、随机森林等模型预测的召回率、F1和AUC值进行对比。最后提出一种自适应遗传算法优化随机森林的电信用户流失预测模型。结果表明,自适应遗传算法优化的随机森林模型的预测性能优于单一分类模型。

基于BWO-RF模型的岩体质量评价方法

岩体质量分级是地下工程初期设计和施工的基础。为了更加高效准确地开展岩体质量评价,提出了一种基于白鲸优化(BWO)随机森林的岩体质量评价模型——BWO-RF模型,同时构建了麻雀搜索算法优化随机森林(SSA-RF)、粒子群优化随机森林(PSO-RF)和未优化随机森林(RF)的岩体质量评价模型进行对比。在模型构建前,建立了包含131组工程实例数据的数据库,运用该数据库最终完成了4种模型的训练和测试。基于模型测试结果,采用准确率、查准率、召回率、F1值和AUC值5个评价指标对模型进行对比优选。研究结果表明:BWO-RF模型各项评价指标均优于其余3种模型,具有更优的评价性能;经过工程实例验证,本研究所提出的BWO-RF模型预测准确率达90%,可为实际工程建设提供参考依据,具备实际工程应用价值。

Data cleaning method for the process of acid production with flue gas based on improved random forest

Acid production with flue gas is a complex nonlinear process with multiple variables and strong coupling.The operation data is an important basis for state monitoring,optimal control,and fault diagnosis.However,the operating environment of acid production with flue gas is complex and there is much equipment.The data obtained by the detection equipment is seriously polluted and prone to abnormal phenomena such as data loss and outliers.Therefore,to solve the problem of abnormal data in the process of acid production with flue gas,a data cleaning method based on improved random forest is proposed.Firstly,an outlier data recognition model based on isolation forest is designed to identify and eliminate the outliers in the dataset.Secondly,an improved random forest regression model is established.Genetic algorithm is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the random forest regression model.Then the optimal parameter combination is found in the search space and the trend of data is predicted.Finally,the improved random forest data cleaning method is used to compensate for the missing data after eliminating abnormal data and the data cleaning is realized.Results show that the proposed method can accurately eliminate and compensate for the abnormal data in the process of acid production with flue gas.The method improves the accuracy of compensation for missing data.With the data after cleaning,a more accurate model can be established,which is significant to the subsequent temperature control.The conversion rate of SO_(2) can be further improved,thereby improving the yield of sulfuric acid and economic benefits.

Research on stock trend prediction method based on optimized random forest

As a complex hot problem in the financial field,stock trend forecasting uses a large amount of data and many related indicators;hence it is difficult to obtain sustainable and effective results only by relying on empirical analysis.Researchers in the field of machine learning have proved that random forest can form better judgements on this kind of problem,and it has an auxiliary role in the prediction of stock trend.This study uses historical trading data of four listed companies in the USA stock market,and the purpose of this study is to improve the performance of random forest model in medium-and long-term stock trend prediction.This study applies the exponential smoothing method to process the initial data,calculates the relevant technical indicators as the characteristics to be selected,and proposes the D-RF-RS method to optimize random forest.As the random forest is an ensemble learning model and is closely related to decision tree,D-RF-RS method uses a decision tree to screen the importance of features,and obtains the effective strong feature set of the model as input.Then,the parameter combination of the model is optimized through random parameter search.The experimental results show that the average accuracy of random forest is increased by 0.17 after the above process optimization,which is 0.18 higher than the average accuracy of light gradient boosting machine model.Combined with the performance of the ROC curve and Precision–Recall curve,the stability of the model is also guaranteed,which further demonstrates the advantages of random forest in medium-and long-term trend prediction of the stock market.

Structural Damage Identification System Suitable for Old Arch Bridge in Rural Regions: Random Forest Approach

A huge number of old arch bridges located in rural regions are at the peak of maintenance.The health monitoring technology of the long-span bridge is hardly applicable to the small-span bridge,owing to the absence of technical resources and sufficient funds in rural regions.There is an urgent need for an economical,fast,and accurate damage identification solution.The authors proposed a damage identification system of an old arch bridge implemented with amachine learning algorithm,which took the vehicle-induced response as the excitation.A damage index was defined based on wavelet packet theory,and a machine learning sample database collecting the denoised response was constructed.Through comparing three machine learning algorithms:Back-Propagation Neural Network(BPNN),Support Vector Machine(SVM),and Random Forest(R.F.),the R.F.damage identification model were found to have a better recognition ability.Finally,the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)algorithm was used to optimize the number of subtrees and split features of the R.F.model.The PSO optimized R.F.model was capable of the identification of different damage levels of old arch bridges with sensitive damage index.The proposed framework is practical and promising for the old bridge’s structural damage identification in rural regions.

Power Transformer Fault Diagnosis Using Random Forest and Optimized Kernel Extreme Learning Machine

Power transformer is one of the most crucial devices in power grid.It is significant to determine incipient faults of power transformers fast and accurately.Input features play critical roles in fault diagnosis accuracy.In order to further improve the fault diagnosis performance of power trans-formers,a random forest feature selection method coupled with optimized kernel extreme learning machine is presented in this study.Firstly,the random forest feature selection approach is adopted to rank 42 related input features derived from gas concentration,gas ratio and energy-weighted dissolved gas analysis.Afterwards,a kernel extreme learning machine tuned by the Aquila optimization algorithm is implemented to adjust crucial parameters and select the optimal feature subsets.The diagnosis accuracy is used to assess the fault diagnosis capability of concerned feature subsets.Finally,the optimal feature subsets are applied to establish fault diagnosis model.According to the experimental results based on two public datasets and comparison with 5 conventional approaches,it can be seen that the average accuracy of the pro-posed method is up to 94.5%,which is superior to that of other conventional approaches.Fault diagnosis performances verify that the optimum feature subset obtained by the presented method can dramatically improve power transformers fault diagnosis accuracy.

基于RF建立的双层桥墩矢量式损伤极限状态能力模型

为了确定双层桥墩的抗震能力,基于随机森林(RF)算法构建了双层桥墩的矢量式损伤极限状态能力模型.将地震动激励角视作为一个符合均匀分布的随机变量,通过大量推倒(Pushover)分析构建双层桥墩的能力样本数据库,以训练其能力值预测模型,并利用SHAP进行特征重要性分析.结果表明:双层桥墩的能力阈值不服从对数正态分布,且分布参数明显不同于以往研究的建议值;矢量式损伤极限状态能力模型能有效识别双层桥墩能力的分层现象,决定系数R^(2)>0.95,具有良好的预测性;地震动激励角显著影响双层桥墩的抗震能力.相比于上层墩柱,双层桥墩严重损伤极限状态的目标值更容易受到下层墩柱特征参数的影响,可适当关注下层墩柱属性以增强双层桥墩整体的抗震性能.

基于GJO特征量优选的AO-RF的变压器故障诊断模型

在变压器故障诊断过程中,进行合理的特征优选,将有助于提高诊断模型的诊断精度,为此,文中提出了一种基于金豺优化算法(golden Jackal optimization,GJO)特征量优选与AO-RF的变压器故障诊断模型。首先,采用GJO对构建的21维变压器油中溶解气体特征量进行优选;然后,根据GJO得到的特征优选结果,采用天鹰算法(aquila optimizer,AO)优化随机森林(random forest,RF)的变压器故障诊断模型对变压器故障进行诊断,并与不同特征量、不同故障诊断模型的诊断结果进行了对比。实验结果表明:GJO优选特征量相比21维原始特征、三比值法、无编码比值法以及AO优选特征量的故障诊断准确率可提高1.12%~25.78%,kappa系数可提高0.02~0.24;AO-RF故障诊断模型较RF、SVM、ELM、SSA-RF、WOA-RF、GJO-RF模型的诊断准确率可提高1.84%~15.86%,kappa系数可提高0.02~0.16,验证了所提方法的有效性和准确性。

基于RSIV-RF模型的凉山州泥石流易发性评价

针对随机森林(RF)模型进行泥石流易发性评价过程中存在连续型因子依靠主观意识分级、随机选取的非泥石流样本准确度较低等问题,以位于四川西南部的凉山彝族自治州为研究区,提出基于统计学先验模型抽样的随机森林对研究区进行泥石流易发性评价分区。利用累计灾害频率等曲线的相对变化对连续型因子进行分级处理;采用粗糙集理论(RS)和信息量法(IV)计算加权信息量值,划定极低和低易发性区并从中选择负样本数据。通过袋外误差(OOB)变化曲线确定RF模型的最佳树棵数n_estimators和分裂特征数max_features,随后构建加权信息量-随机森林(RSIV-RF)模型预测凉山州泥石流易发性。进一步地,与从全区随机选择非泥石流样本的RF模型开展对比研究。结果表明,训练集和测试集下RSIV-RF模型的准确度分别为0.89,0.83,且对应的ROC曲线的AUC值分别为0.920,0.895,均高于单独的RF模型;RSIV-RF绘制的泥石流易发性评价图与历史灾害分布较为一致,较高和高易发性等级区域占研究区面积比为18.625%,包含了78.57%的泥石流点。性能评估和易发性统计结果均表明基于RSIV-RF能够解决单独模型存在的非泥石样本采样不准确的问题,其泥石流易发性预测精度更高,在凉山州地区泥石流易发性评价研究中具有较好的适应性。