Predictors of disease recurrence after radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage IIb-IIIa squamous cell lung cancer:A retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND Lung cancer(LC)is a global medical,social and economic problem and is one of the most common cancers and the leading cause of mortality from malignant neoplasms.LC is characterized by an aggressive course,and in the presence of disease recurrence risk factors,patients,even at an early stage,may be indicated for adjuvant therapy to improve survival.However,combined treatment does not always guarantee a favorable prognosis.In this regard,establishing predictors of LC recurrence is highly important both for determining the optimal treatment plan for the patients and for evaluating its effectiveness.AIM To establish predictors of disease recurrence after radical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage IIb-IIIa lung squamous cell carcinoma(LSCC).METHODS A retrospective case-control cohort study included 69 patients with LSCC who underwent radical surgery at the Orenburg Regional Clinical Oncology Center from 2009 to 2018.Postoperatively,all patients received adjuvant chemotherapy.Histological samples of the resected lung were stained with Mayer's hematoxylin and eosin and examined under a light microscope.Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify predictors associated with the risk of disease recurrence.Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to discriminate between patients with a high risk of disease recurrence and those with a low risk of disease recurrence.Survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method.The log-rank test was used to compare survival curves between patient subgroups.Differences were considered to be significant at P<0.05.RESULTS The following predictors of a high risk of disease recurrence in patients with stage IIb-IIa LSCC were established:a low degree of tumor differentiation[odds ratio(OR)=7.94,95%CI=1.08-135.81,P=0.049];metastases in regional lymph nodes(OR=5.67,95%CI=1.09-36.54,P=0.048);the presence of loose,fine-fiber connective tissue in the tumor stroma(OR=21.70,95%CI=4.27-110.38,P=0.0002);and fragmentation of the tumor solid component(OR=2.53,95%CI=1.01-12.23,P=0.049).The area under the curve of the predictive model was 0.846(95%CI=0.73-0.96,P<0.0001).The sensitivity,accuracy and specificity of the method were 91.8%,86.9%and 75.0%,respectively.In the group of patients with a low risk of LSCC recurrence,the 1-,2-and 5-year disease-free survival(DFS)rates were 84.2%,84.2%and 75.8%,respectively,while in the group with a high risk of LSCC recurrence the DFS rates were 71.7%,40.1%and 8.2%,respectively(P<0.00001).Accordingly,in the first group of patients,the 1-,2-and 5-year overall survival(OS)rates were 94.7%,82.5%and 82.5%,respectively,while in the second group of patients,the OS rates were 89.8%,80.1%and 10.3%,respectively(P<0.00001).CONCLUSION The developed method allows us to identify a group of patients at high risk of disease recurrence and to adjust to ongoing treatment.

A clinical analysis of risk factor with lymph node metastatic recurrence in patients with N0 esophageal cancer after Ivor-Lewis Esophagectomy

Objective To investigate the risk factors with lymph node metastatic recurrence in patients with N0 esophageal cancer after Ivor-Lewis Esophagectomy. Methods The subjects were 82 patients with pN0 esophagea cancer who underwent Ivor-Lewis esophagectomy from January 2001 to January 2005. By using RT-PCR,VEGF C mRNA was detected in tumor issues,and Mucin (MUC1) mRNA was detected in lymph nodes. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the survival

Shorter recurrence-free survival time, higher risk of multiple recurrences： a retrospective study of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer after transurethral resection

Background Multiple recurrences are common in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, but the-risk of multiple recurrences has not been fully described. Identifying patients at high risk of multiple recurrences will help to select an optimal therapeutic strategy and to improve prognosis. This study was conducted to identify the risk factors for multiple recurrences of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. Methods We reviewed the clinical data of all patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer in our hospital between January 2003 and February 2010. Patients with at least one recurrence were included. Multivariate analysis was performed for theorized risk factors （age, gender, tumor stage, grade, size, location, number of lesions, adjuvant intra-vesical chemotherapy after transurethral resection, and recurrence-free survival after each resection） to clarify risk factors for multiple recurrences of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. Results Of the 278 patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, 84 were with at least one recurrence and a total of 222 recurrences among them were followed up for 6-70 months （mean, 36.1 months）. Recurrence-free survival after initial resection predicted the overall frequency of bladder cancer recurrence （risk ratio （RR） = 37.83, 95% confidence interval （C/）=3.45-396.13, P=0.001） and second recurrence （RR=6.15, 95% C/=1.28-29.57, P=0.023）. Similarly, recurrence-free survival after a second resection was the only significant risk factor for third recurrence （RR=31.08, 95% C1=2.53-381.47, P=0.007）. Moreover, recurrence-free survival after initial resection was the only significant factor to predict later progression to muscle invasive bladder cancer （RR=8.62, 95% C1=1.47-58.34, P=0.001）. Conclusions Recurrence-free survival after resection is an independent predictor of multiple recurrences of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. The shorter the period between resection and recurrence is, the higher the risk of multiple recurrences.

Mortality and recurrence of vascular disease among stroke patients treated with combined TCM therapy

OBJECTIVE:To confirm the long-term outcomes of stroke patients and determine predicting factors for death,recurrence of vascular events and poor outcome(either recurrence or death) after the use of combined TCM therapy.METHODS:This was a retrospective hospital-based cohort study and was performed in the First Affiliated Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Tianjin.All subjects with stroke consecutively admitted to an inpatient ward of the Acupuncture Department from January 1,2008,to December 31,2008 were retrospectively followed through one year.The main outcomes were either a recurrence of vascular events,,mortality or both.Risk factors were recorded from medical records.Multivariate regression models were used to analyze predictors.The following independent variables were used:age,gender,hypertension,ischemic heart disease,atrial fibrillation,diabetes mellitus,carotid arterial lesions and history of stroke.RESULTS:Four-hundred and five patients were included.The 1-year mortality rate was 11.11%.23.70% of the patients had a recurrent vascular event,and 30.86% suffered a poor outcome.Multiple logistic regression analysis found that previous stroke,and advanced age were predictors of death within one year,Recurrence of vascular events was associated with carotid arterial lesions,history of diabetes and previous stroke.Long-term poor outcome was predicted by advanced age,history of diabetes,and previous stroke.CONCLUSION:Age,previous stroke,carotid arterial lesions and diabetes history seem to have different impacts on the three outcomes within one year.Our findings provide important data for planning future hospital register studies of stroke patients in TCM hospitals.

Coexistence of High Fibrinogen and Low High-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels Predicts Recurrent Cerebral Venous Thrombosis

Background： Cerebral venous thrombosis （CVT） may lead to serious neurological disorders; however, little is known about the risk factors for recurrent CVT. Our aim was to determine the association between elevated fibrinogen and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol （HDL-C） levels with recurrent CVT. Methods： This retrospective cohort study included participants if they had a first episode of objectively defined CVT and were admitted to Xuan Wu Hospital, Capital Medical University from August 2005 to September 2009. Demographic and clinical variables were collected, as well as laboratory parameters, inchiding plasma fibrinogen and HDL-C. Patients with CVT were tbllowed for recurrent symptomatic CVT. Follow-up was through the end of September 2010. Potential predictors of recurrence were analyzed using Cox survival analysis. Results： At tile end of the lbllow-up, 95 patients were eligible lbr the study. Twelve of 95 patients （12.6%） had recurred CVT. Tile median time of recurrence was 7 months （range： 1-39 months）. Eight of these 12 （66.7%） experienced rectirrence within the first 12 months alter their initial CVT. The recurrence rate of CVT was 2.76 per 100 patient-years. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that the coexistence of high fibrinogen （〉4.00 g/L） and low HDL-C （〈1.08 mmol/L） levels at baseline was the only independent predictor for recurrent CVT （hazard ratio： 4.69; 95% confidence interval： 1.10-20,11; P 〈 0.05）. Of tile twelve patients with recurrent CVT in our study, 7 （58.3%） had high fibrinogen plus low HDL-C levels. All 7 of these patients took warfarin for 3-12 months, and 6 of 7 had rectirrent CVT after the discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment. Conclusions： Concomitant high fibrinogen and low HDL-C levels may be associated with recurrence of CVT. The ett＇ect of potential risk lhctors related to atherothrombosis on rectinent CVT should be closely monitored.