A HEVC Video Steganalysis Method Using the Optimality of Motion Vector Prediction

Among steganalysis techniques,detection against MV(motion vector)domain-based video steganography in the HEVC(High Efficiency Video Coding)standard remains a challenging issue.For the purpose of improving the detection performance,this paper proposes a steganalysis method that can perfectly detectMV-based steganography in HEVC.Firstly,we define the local optimality of MVP(Motion Vector Prediction)based on the technology of AMVP(Advanced Motion Vector Prediction).Secondly,we analyze that in HEVC video,message embedding either usingMVP index orMVD(Motion Vector Difference)may destroy the above optimality of MVP.And then,we define the optimal rate of MVP as a steganalysis feature.Finally,we conduct steganalysis detection experiments on two general datasets for three popular steganographymethods and compare the performance with four state-ofthe-art steganalysis methods.The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed feature set.Furthermore,our method stands out for its practical applicability,requiring no model training and exhibiting low computational complexity,making it a viable solution for real-world scenarios.

Towards trustworthy multi-modal motion prediction:Holistic evaluation and interpretability of outputs

Predicting the motion of other road agents enables autonomous vehicles to perform safe and efficient path planning.This task is very complex,as the behaviour of road agents depends on many factors and the number of possible future trajectories can be consid-erable(multi-modal).Most prior approaches proposed to address multi-modal motion prediction are based on complex machine learning systems that have limited interpret-ability.Moreover,the metrics used in current benchmarks do not evaluate all aspects of the problem,such as the diversity and admissibility of the output.The authors aim to advance towards the design of trustworthy motion prediction systems,based on some of the re-quirements for the design of Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence.The focus is on evaluation criteria,robustness,and interpretability of outputs.First,the evaluation metrics are comprehensively analysed,the main gaps of current benchmarks are identified,and a new holistic evaluation framework is proposed.Then,a method for the assessment of spatial and temporal robustness is introduced by simulating noise in the perception system.To enhance the interpretability of the outputs and generate more balanced results in the proposed evaluation framework,an intent prediction layer that can be attached to multi-modal motion prediction models is proposed.The effectiveness of this approach is assessed through a survey that explores different elements in the visualisation of the multi-modal trajectories and intentions.The proposed approach and findings make a significant contribution to the development of trustworthy motion prediction systems for autono-mous vehicles,advancing the field towards greater safety and reliability.

Polar motion prediction using the combination of SSA and ARMA

High-precision polar motion(PM) prediction is of important significance in astronomy, geodesy, aviation,hydrographic mapping, interstellar navigation, and so on. SSA can effectively extract the trend and period terms of PM,in the process of achieving high-precision medium-and long-term polar motion prediction,it is necessary to solve the end effect problem and overfitting problem of SSA forecasting method;therefore, ARMA was applied to decreasethe end effect, and a suitable combination of reconstructed components was determined to avoid the high variance reaction of SSA overfitting. Based on the decomposition and reconstruction of the PM by SSA, the reconstructed components are determined to participate in the SSA iterative fitting model according to the variance contribution rate. The combination of the reconstructed components representing the polar motion period term and the trend term is determined according to the correlation analysis of the selected reconstructed components. After the above work, the principal component prediction sequence is obtained by fitting the period term and the trend term to convergence, respectively, and then, the SSA end effect is modified, and the residual term is predicted based on ARMA. The test results show that he prediction accuracy of SSA + ARMA at the front of the X and Y directions are improved by 96.90% and 97.53% compared with those of SSA, respectively,and the forecast accuracy of 365 days are improved by 37.93% and 19.53% in the X and Y directions compared with those of Bulletin A, respectively.

Multipoint Heave Motion Prediction Method for Ships Based on the PSO-TGCN Model

During ship operations,frequent heave movements can pose significant challenges to the overall safety of the ship and completion of cargo loading.The existing heave compensation systems suffer from issues such as dead zones and control system time lags,which necessitate the development of reasonable prediction models for ship heave movements.In this paper,a novel model based on a time graph convolutional neural network algorithm and particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO-TGCN)is proposed for the first time to predict the multipoint heave movements of ships under different sea conditions.To enhance the dataset's suitability for training and reduce interference,various filter algorithms are employed to optimize the dataset.The training process utilizes simulated heave data under different sea conditions and measured heave data from multiple points.The results show that the PSO-TGCN model predicts the ship swaying motion in different sea states after 2 s with 84.7%accuracy,while predicting the swaying motion in three different positions.By performing a comparative study,it was also found that the present method achieves better performance that other popular methods.This model can provide technical support for intelligent ship control,improve the control accuracy of intelligent ships,and promote the development of intelligent ships.

A Hybrid BPNN-GARF-SVR Prediction Model Based on EEMD for Ship Motion

Accurate prediction of shipmotion is very important for ensuringmarine safety,weapon control,and aircraft carrier landing,etc.Ship motion is a complex time-varying nonlinear process which is affected by many factors.Time series analysis method and many machine learning methods such as neural networks,support vector machines regression(SVR)have been widely used in ship motion predictions.However,these single models have certain limitations,so this paper adopts amulti-model prediction method.First,ensemble empirical mode decomposition(EEMD)is used to remove noise in ship motion data.Then the randomforest(RF)prediction model optimized by genetic algorithm(GA),back propagation neural network(BPNN)prediction model and SVR prediction model are respectively established,and the final prediction results are obtained by results of three models.And the weights coefficients are determined by the correlation coefficients,reducing the risk of prediction and improving the reliability.The experimental results show that the proposed combined model EEMD-GARF-BPNN-SVR is superior to the single predictive model and more reliable.The mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of the proposed model is 0.84%,but the results of the single models are greater than 1%.

Robotic Etiquette:Socially Acceptable Navigation of Service Robots with Human Motion Pattern Learning and Prediction

Nonverbal and noncontact behaviors play a significant role in allowing service robots to structure their interactions withhumans.In this paper, a novel human-mimic mechanism of robot’s navigational skills was proposed for developing sociallyacceptable robotic etiquette.Based on the sociological and physiological concerns of interpersonal interactions in movement,several criteria in navigation were represented by constraints and incorporated into a unified probabilistic cost grid for safemotion planning and control, followed by an emphasis on the prediction of the human’s movement for adjusting the robot’spre-collision navigational strategy.The human motion prediction utilizes a clustering-based algorithm for modeling humans’indoor motion patterns as well as the combination of the long-term and short-term tendency prediction that takes into accountthe uncertainties of both velocity and heading direction.Both simulation and real-world experiments verified the effectivenessand reliability of the method to ensure human’s safety and comfort in navigation.A statistical user trials study was also given tovalidate the users’favorable views of the human-friendly navigational behavior.

Vehicle Motion Prediction at Intersections Based on the Turning Intention and Prior Trajectories Model

Intersections are quite important and complex traffic scenarios,where the future motion of surrounding vehicles is an indispensable reference factor for the decision-making or path planning of autonomous vehicles.Considering that the motion trajectory of a vehicle at an intersection partly obeys the statistical law of historical data once its driving intention is determined,this paper proposes a long short-term memory based(LSTM-based)framework that combines intention prediction and trajectory prediction together.First,we build an intersection prior trajectories model(IPTM)by clustering and statistically analyzing a large number of prior traffic flow trajectories.The prior trajectories model with fitted probabilistic density is used to approximate the distribution of the predicted trajectory,and also serves as a reference for credibility evaluation.Second,we conduct the intention prediction through another LSTM model and regard it as a crucial cue for a trajectory forecast at the early stage.Furthermore,the predicted intention is also a key that is associated with the prior trajectories model.The proposed framework is validated on two publically released datasets,next generation simulation(NGSIM)and INTERACTION.Compared with other prediction methods,our framework is able to sample a trajectory from the estimated distribution,with its accuracy improved by about 20%.Finally,the credibility evaluation,which is based on the prior trajectories model,makes the framework more practical in the real-world applications.

Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving with Real Traffic Data Validation

Accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding road users is the fundamental input for motion planning,which enables safe autonomous driving on public roads.In this paper,a safe motion planning approach is proposed based on the deep learning-based trajectory prediction method.To begin with,a trajectory prediction model is established based on the graph neural network(GNN)that is trained utilizing the INTERACTION dataset.Then,the validated trajectory prediction model is used to predict the future trajectories of surrounding road users,including pedestrians and vehicles.In addition,a GNN prediction model-enabled motion planner is developed based on the model predictive control technique.Furthermore,two driving scenarios are extracted from the INTERACTION dataset to validate and evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed motion planning approach,i.e.,merging and roundabout scenarios.The results demonstrate that the proposed method can lower the risk and improve driving safety compared with the baseline method.

Improving longitudinal motion prediction of hybrid monohulls with the viscous effect

A new method improves prediction of the motion of a hybrid monohull in regular waves. Stem section hydrodynamic coefficients of a hybrid monohull with harmonic oscillation were computed using the Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes Equations （RANSE）. The governing equations were solved using the finite volume method. The VOF method was used for free surface treatment, and RNGK-ε turbulence model was employed in viscous flow calculation. The whole computational domain was divided into many blocks each with structured grids, and the dynamic process was treated with moving grids. Using a 2-D strip method and 2.5D theory with the correction hydrodynamic coefficients allows consideration of the viscous effect when predicting longitudinal motion of a hybrid monohull in regular waves. The method is effective at predicting motion of a hybrid monohull, showing that the viscous effect on a semi-submerged body cannot be ignored.

A new polar motion prediction method combined with the difference between polar motion series

After the first Earth Orientation Parameters Prediction Comparison Campaign(1 st EOP PCC),the traditional method using least-squares extrapolation and autoregressive(LS+AR)models was considered as one of the polar motion prediction methods with higher accuracy.The traditional method predicts individual polar motion series separately,which has a single input data and limited improvement in prediction accuracy.To address this problem,this paper proposes a new method for predicting polar motion by combining the difference between polar motion series.The X,Y,and Y-X series were predicted separately using LS+AR models.Then,the new forecast value of X series is obtained by combining the forecast value of Y series with that of Y-X series;the new forecast value of Y series is obtained by combining the forecast value of X series with that of Y-X series.The hindcast experimental comparison results from January 1,2011 to April 4,2021 show that the new method achieves a maximum improvement of 12.95%and 14.96%over the traditional method in the X and Y directions,respectively.The new method has obvious advantages compared with the differential method.This study tests the stability and superiority of the new method and provides a new idea for the research of polar motion prediction.

A Lightweight Temporal Convolutional Network for Human Motion Prediction

A lightweight multi-layer residual temporal convolutional network model(RTCN)is proposed to target the highly complex kinematics and temporal correlation of human motion.RTCN uses 1-D convolution to efficiently obtain the spatial structure information of human motion and extract the correlation in the time series of human motion.The residual structure is applied to the proposed network model to alleviate the problem of gradient disappearance in the deep network.Experiments on the Human 3.6M dataset demonstrate that the proposed method effectively reduces the errors of motion prediction compared with previous methods,especially of long-term prediction.

Improvement of the prediction accuracy of polar motion using empirical mode decomposition

Previous studies revealed that the error of pole coordinate prediction will significantly increase for a prediction period longer than 100 days, and this is mainly caused by short period oscillations. Empirical mode decomposition （EMD）, which is increasingly popular and has advantages over classical wavelet decomposition, can be used to remove short period variations from observed time series of pole co- ordinates. A hybrid model combing EMD and extreme learning machine （ELM）, where high frequency signals are removed and processed time series is then modeled and predicted, is summarized in this paper. The prediction performance of the hybrid model is compared with that of the ELM-only method created from original time series. The results show that the proposed hybrid model outperforms the pure ELM method for both short-term and long-term prediction of pole coordinates. The improvement of prediction accuracy up to 360 days in the future is found to be 24.91% and 26.79% on average in terms of mean absolute error （MAE） for the xp and yp components of pole coordinates, respectively.

Motion Predictions for a Vessel with Water on Deck

A numerical method is proposed for predicting six degree of freedom ship motion with green water on deck.Numerical results are presented which show the dynamic effect of water on deck on the ship motion.

Minimum Distortion Direction Prediction-based Fast Half-pixel Motion Vector Search Algorithm

A minimum distortion direction prediction-based novel fast half-pixel motion vector search algorithm is proposed, which can reduce considerably the computation load of half-pixel search. Based on the single valley characteristic of half-pixel error matching function inside search grid, the minimum distortion direction is predicted with the help of comparative results of sum of absolute difference(SAD) values of four integer-pixel points around integer-pixel motion vector. The experimental results reveal that, to all kinds of video sequences, the proposed algorithm can obtain almost the same video quality as that of the half-pixel full search algorithm with a decrease of computation cost by more than 66%.

Sensitivity analysis of ground motion prediction equation using next generation attenuation dataset

Seismic hazard assessment is an important stage in earthquake engineering.Since the ground motion prediction equation(GMPE)has a key role in seismic hazard assessment,it is necessary to determine this equation as well as possible.Some mutual seismic parameters,such as earthquake magnitude,distance,fault type,and site effect,are applied in GMPEs.The ridge regression method is applied to find the relation between input seismic parameters and targets(PGA,PGV,PGD,SA(T=0.02 s),and SA(T=1 s)).Results of regression show that equations obtained in this study have a root mean square error(RMSE)of 90%.In the last part,GMPEs are inspected by sensitivity analysis through two methods:Sobol and Delta Moment-Independent Measure.The results from the two methods were very similar to each other for each equation.Furthermore,the analysis shows that the most effective parameters in determining GMPEs are moment magnitude and shear wave velocity.

STTG-net:a Spatio-temporal network for human motion prediction based on transformer and graph convolution network

In recent years,human motion prediction has become an active research topic in computer vision.However,owing to the complexity and stochastic nature of human motion,it remains a challenging problem.In previous works,human motion prediction has always been treated as a typical inter-sequence problem,and most works have aimed to capture the temporal dependence between successive frames.However,although these approaches focused on the effects of the temporal dimension,they rarely considered the correlation between different joints in space.Thus,the spatio-temporal coupling of human joints is considered,to propose a novel spatio-temporal network based on a transformer and a gragh convolutional network(GCN)(STTG-Net).The temporal transformer is used to capture the global temporal dependencies,and the spatial GCN module is used to establish local spatial correlations between the joints for each frame.To overcome the problems of error accumulation and discontinuity in the motion prediction,a revision method based on fusion strategy is also proposed,in which the current prediction frame is fused with the previous frame.The experimental results show that the proposed prediction method has less prediction error and the prediction motion is smoother than previous prediction methods.The effectiveness of the proposed method is also demonstrated comparing it with the state-of-the-art method on the Human3.6 M dataset.

Design of Human Adaptive Mechatronics Controller for Upper Limb Motion Intention Prediction

Human Adaptive Mechatronics(HAM)includes human and computer system in a closed loop.Elderly person with disabilities,normally carry out their daily routines with some assistance to move their limbs.With the short fall of human care takers,mechatronics devices are used with the likes of exoskeleton and exosuits to assist them.The rehabilitation and occupational therapy equipments utilize the electromyography(EMG)signals to measure the muscle activity potential.This paper focuses on optimizing the HAM model in prediction of intended motion of upper limb with high accuracy and to increase the response time of the system.Limb characteristics extraction from EMG signal and prediction of optimal controller parameters are modeled.Time and frequency based approach of EMG signal are considered for feature extraction.The models used for estimating motion and muscle parameters from EMG signal for carrying out limb movement predictions are validated.Based on the extracted features,optimal parameters are selected by Modified Lion Optimization(MLO)for controlling the HAM system.Finally,supervised machine learning makes predictions at different points in time for individual sensing using Support Vector Neural Network(SVNN).This model is also evaluated based on optimal parameters of motion estimation and the accuracy level along with different optimization models for various upper limb movements.The proposed model of human adaptive controller predicts the limb movement by 96%accuracy.

Study of tide prediction method influenced by nonperiodic factors based on support vector machines

Harmonic analysis, the traditional tidal forecasting method, cannot take into account the impact of noncyclical factors, and is also based on the BP neural network tidal prediction model which is easily limited by the amount of data. According to the movement of celestial bodies, and considering the insufficient tidal characteristics of historical data which are impacted by the nonperiodic weather, a tidal prediction method is designed based on support vector machine （SVM） to carry out the simulation experiment by using tidal data from Xiamen Tide Gauge, Luchaogang Tide Gauge and Weifang Tide Gauge individually. And the results show that the model satisfactorily carries out the tide prediction which is influenced by noncyclical factors. At the same time, it also proves that the proposed prediction method, which when compared with harmonic analysis method and the BP neural network method, has faster modeling speed, higher prediction precision and stronger generalization ability.

Platform motion minimization using model predictive control of a floating offshore wind turbine

Wind turbines are installed offshore with the assistance of a floating platform to help meet the world’s increasing energy needs.However,the incident wind and extra incident wave disturbances have an impact on the performance and operation of the floating offshore wind turbine(FOWT)in comparison to bottom-fixed wind turbines.In this paper,model predictive control(MPC)is utilized to overcome the limitation caused by platform motion.Due to the ease of control synthesis,the MPC is developed using a simplified model instead of high fidelity simulation model.The performance of the controller is verified in the presence of realistic wind and wave disturbances.The study demonstrates the effectiveness of MPC in reducing platform motions and rotor/generator speed regulation of FOWTs.

The application of modeling and prediction with MRA wavelet network

As there are lots of non-linear systems in the real engineering, it is very important to do more researches on the modeling and prediction of non-linear systems. Based on the multi-resolution analysis (MRA) of wavelet theory, this paper combined the wavelet theory with neural network and established a MRA wavelet network with the scaling function and wavelet function as its neurons. From the analysis in the frequency domain, the results indicated that MRA wavelet network was better than other wavelet networks in the ability of approaching to the signals. An essential research was can:led out on modeling and prediction with MRA wavelet network in the non-linear system. Using the lengthwise sway data received from the experiment of ship model, a model of offline prediction was established and was applied to the short-time prediction of ship motion. The simulation results indicated that the forecasting model improved the prediction precision effectively, lengthened the forecasting time and had a better prediction results than that of AR linear model. The research indicates that it is feasible to use the MRA wavelet network in the short-time prediction of ship motion.