The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model-gamil (FGOALS-g) was used to study the spring prediction barrier (SPB) in an ensemble system. This coupled model was developed and maintained at the State Key Lab...The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model-gamil (FGOALS-g) was used to study the spring prediction barrier (SPB) in an ensemble system. This coupled model was developed and maintained at the State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG). There are two steps in our hindcast experiments. The first is to integrate the coupled model continuously with sea surface temperature (SST) nudging, from 1971 to 2006. The second is to carry out a series of one-year hindcasts without SST nudging, by adopting initial values from the first step on January 1 st , April 1st , July 1st , and October 1st , from 1982 to 2005. We generate 10 ensemble members for a particular start date (1st ) by choosing different atmospheric and land conditions around the hindcast start date (1st through 10th ). To estimate the predicted SST, two methods are used: (1) Anomaly Correlation Coefficient and its rate of decrease; and (2) Talagrand distribution and its standard deviation. Results show that FGOALS-g offers a reliable ensemble system with realistic initial atmospheric and oceanic conditions, and high anomaly correlation (>0.5) within 6 month lead time. Further, the ensemble approach is effective, in that the anomaly correlation of ensemble mean is much higher than that of most individual ensemble members. The SPB exists in the FGOALS-g ensemble system, as shown by anomaly correlation and equal likelihood. Nevertheless, the role of the ensemble mean in reducing the SPB of ENSO prediction is significant. The rate of decrease of the ensemble mean is smaller than the largest deviations by 0.04-0.14. At the same time, the ensemble system "equal likelihood" declines during spring. An ensemble mean helps give a correct prediction direction, departing from largely-deviated ensemble members.展开更多
In this paper,the notion of local Sβ-compactness of L-topological spaces is introduced.It is proved that the local Sβ-compactness is an L-good extension,which is inherited by a closed subspace,multiplicative and inv...In this paper,the notion of local Sβ-compactness of L-topological spaces is introduced.It is proved that the local Sβ-compactness is an L-good extension,which is inherited by a closed subspace,multiplicative and invariable under the continuous open surjective L-valued Zadeh function.展开更多
By using function one direction S-rough sets,the concept of F-interior hiding image is presented; the theorem of F-interior hiding and the recognition criteria of interior hiding are proposed; and the applications of ...By using function one direction S-rough sets,the concept of F-interior hiding image is presented; the theorem of F-interior hiding and the recognition criteria of interior hiding are proposed; and the applications of F-interior hiding image are given. F-interior hiding image is a new application area of function S-rough sets,and function S-rough sets is a new theory and new tools for iconology research.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program)(No. 2007CB411806)the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Nos. KZCX2-YW-Q11-02, XDA05090404)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 40975065)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(863 Program) (No. 2010AA012304)
文摘The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model-gamil (FGOALS-g) was used to study the spring prediction barrier (SPB) in an ensemble system. This coupled model was developed and maintained at the State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG). There are two steps in our hindcast experiments. The first is to integrate the coupled model continuously with sea surface temperature (SST) nudging, from 1971 to 2006. The second is to carry out a series of one-year hindcasts without SST nudging, by adopting initial values from the first step on January 1 st , April 1st , July 1st , and October 1st , from 1982 to 2005. We generate 10 ensemble members for a particular start date (1st ) by choosing different atmospheric and land conditions around the hindcast start date (1st through 10th ). To estimate the predicted SST, two methods are used: (1) Anomaly Correlation Coefficient and its rate of decrease; and (2) Talagrand distribution and its standard deviation. Results show that FGOALS-g offers a reliable ensemble system with realistic initial atmospheric and oceanic conditions, and high anomaly correlation (>0.5) within 6 month lead time. Further, the ensemble approach is effective, in that the anomaly correlation of ensemble mean is much higher than that of most individual ensemble members. The SPB exists in the FGOALS-g ensemble system, as shown by anomaly correlation and equal likelihood. Nevertheless, the role of the ensemble mean in reducing the SPB of ENSO prediction is significant. The rate of decrease of the ensemble mean is smaller than the largest deviations by 0.04-0.14. At the same time, the ensemble system "equal likelihood" declines during spring. An ensemble mean helps give a correct prediction direction, departing from largely-deviated ensemble members.
基金Supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province（Y2003A01）
文摘In this paper,the notion of local Sβ-compactness of L-topological spaces is introduced.It is proved that the local Sβ-compactness is an L-good extension,which is inherited by a closed subspace,multiplicative and invariable under the continuous open surjective L-valued Zadeh function.
基金Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province of China ( No.2009J01293)The Open Project of Brain-like Key Laboratory of Fujian Province of China (No. BLISSOS20101015)
文摘By using function one direction S-rough sets,the concept of F-interior hiding image is presented; the theorem of F-interior hiding and the recognition criteria of interior hiding are proposed; and the applications of F-interior hiding image are given. F-interior hiding image is a new application area of function S-rough sets,and function S-rough sets is a new theory and new tools for iconology research.
