基于MODIS反演逐日LAI及SIMRIW模型的冷害对水稻单产的影响研究

该文旨在将遥感技术与水稻作物模型SIMRIW相结合,以黑龙江省五常市为例,研究冷害对水稻单产的影响。通过在水稻移栽期至成熟期选取的系列MODIS图像计算NDVI,进而反演水稻全生育期逐日LAI,结合SIMRIW模型计算水稻单产。计算结果表明2006年五常市水稻单产值为5411.74 kg/hm2,为实际值的83%;而在4种用于LAI反演的统计模型中,抛物线模型精度最好;整体拟合法在逐日LAI计算中要优于分段拟合法。这说明应用MODIS能够准确反演并拟合逐日LAI,它可为冷害影响水稻单产的评价研究提供参考。

Modeling the rice phenology and production in China with SIMRIW： sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation

Crop models are robust tools for simulating the impact of climate change on rice development and production, but are usually designed for specific stations and varieties. This study focuses on a more adaptable model called Simulation Model for Rice-Weather Relations （SIMRIW）. The model was calibrated and validated in major rice production regions over China, and the parameters that most affect the model＇s output were determined in sensitivity analyses. These sensitive parameters were estimated in different ecological zones. The simulated results of single and double rice cropping systems in different ecological zones were then compared. The accuracy of SIMRIW was found to depend on a few crucial parameters. Using optimized parameters, SIMRIW properly simulated the rice phenology and yield in single and double cropping systems in different ecological zones. Some of the parameters were largely dependent on ecological zone and rice type, and may reflect the different climate conditions and rice varieties among ecological zones.

基于遥感技术的气象因素变化影响水稻单产定量研究

以黑龙江省五常市为研究区域,应用在水稻移栽期至成熟期选择的系列MODIS影像反演NDVI,通过NDVI间接反演LAI,并逐日拟合水稻全生育期的LAI,结合SIMRIW模型,计算研究区域2006年低温影响下的水稻单产。经演算,水稻单产值为5411.74 kg/hm2,是实际值的84%。研究结果表明应用高时间分辨率MODIS图像能够准确反演并拟合逐日LAI,可以为冷害影响下水稻单产的研究提供参考。