基于SIR模型的无线网络安全威胁态势量化评估算法

为确保网络安全,及时掌控安全状况,以易感者、感染者和免疫者(SIR:Susceptible Infected Recovered)模型为基础,面向无线网络提出安全威胁态势量化评估算法。选取资产价值性,系统脆弱性与威胁性作为量化评估指标,分别根据信息资产的安全属性与主机劣势的Agent检测值,得到价值性量化值与脆弱性量化值。基于病毒的传播特性,改进SIR模型,分析病毒传播特征,获得威胁性量化值。结合3个指标量化值,建立无线网络安全威胁态势的量化评估算法,用所得态势值评估网络安全状况。测试结果表明,该方法评估出的主机与整个无线网络的安全威胁态势值均与期望值高度拟合,且评估时间更短。所提算法具备良好的评估准确性与实时性,能为网络安全状况分析提供有效的数据依据,及时给予管理员可靠的决策支持。

基于PCA-XGBoost算法的哑铃状SIR差分滤波器设计

随着多业务无线通信技术的发展,具有共模抑制能力的差分带通滤波器越来越受到人们的关注,但是设计差分微带滤波器的传统方法过程复杂且耗时较长。针对这些问题,结合非线性赋权的极限梯度提升(eXtreme Gradient Boosting,XGBoost)算法,通过训练和学习滤波器结构参数和相应频率响应S参数的关系辅助进行滤波器的设计,设计了一款基于改进阶跃阻抗谐振器(Stepped Impedance Resonator,SIR)的哑铃状差分带通滤波器。该滤波器的中心频率为2.6 GHz,相对带宽为7.3%,通带内插入损耗优于0.95 dB,回波损耗优于20 dB,通带内共模抑制优于42 dB,并且具有较宽的阻带。实物测试结果与算法预测结果的一致性,验证了PCA-XGBoost算法(Principal Component Analysis,PCA)用于滤波器辅助设计的可行性。

一类具有饱和恢复率的随机SIR传染病模型的持久性

在确定型模型的基础上,考虑随机因素,得到了一类具有饱和发生率的随机SIR模型。首先给出随机模型的正不变集,进而介绍持久性含义,利用Ito公式及强大数定律得到了疾病流行的充分性条件。结果表明,当白噪声强度满足一定的参数条件时,染病类群体不会消失,这对于控制疾病的蔓延是不利的。

Transcriptome analysis reveals different response of resistant and susceptible rice varieties to rice stripe virus infection

Rice stripe disease,caused by rice stripe virus (RSV) which is transmitted by small brown planthopper (SBPH,Laodelphax striatellus Fallen),resulted in serious losses to rice production during the last 2 decades.Research on the molecular differences between resistant and susceptible rice varieties and the interaction between rice and RSV remains inadequate.In this study,RNA-Seq was used to analyze the transcriptomic differences between the resistant and susceptible rice varieties at different times post RSV infection.Through Gene Ontology (GO) annotation,the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to transcription factors,peroxidases,and kinases of 2 varieties at 3 time points were identified.Comparing these 2 varieties,the DEGs associated with these 3 GOs were numerically less in the resistant variety than in the susceptible variety,but the expression showed a significant up-or down-regulation trend under the conditions of|log_2(Fold change)|>0&P_(adj)<0.05 by significance analysis.Then through Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) annotation,DEGs involved in some pathways that have a contribution to disease resistance including plant hormone signal transduction and plant–pathogen interaction were found.The results showed that resistance responses regulated by abscisic acid (ABA) and brassinosteroids (BR) were the same for 2 varieties,but that mediated by salicylic acid (SA) and jasmonic acid (JA)/ethylene (ET) were different.The DEGs in resistant and susceptible varieties at the 3 time points were identified in both PAMP-triggered immunity (PTI) and Effector proteintriggered immunity (ETI),with that most of the unigenes of the susceptible variety were involved in PTI,whereas most of the unigenes of the resistant variety were involved in ETI.These results revealed the different responses of resistant and susceptible varieties in the transcription level to RSV infection.

基于SIR模型重构医院保障设备监控预警系统

医院智能楼宇的建设离不开精细化的管理。后勤系统众多,对各系统运行状态进行实时监控,保障医疗秩序的安全稳定开展,需要楼宇自控系统合理分配监控点位。点位分布的过多,会造成成本增加;分布过少,起不到全面监控的效果。借助管理工具查找预警信息规律,找出系统运行风险的阈值和极值,实现点位重构,并对不同风险程度的点位采取不同的管理措施,从而达到降低成本、降低风险、优化运维的最终目标。

How do the landslide and non-landslide sampling strategies impact landslide susceptibility assessment? d A catchment-scale case study from China

The aim of this study is to investigate the impacts of the sampling strategy of landslide and non-landslide on the performance of landslide susceptibility assessment(LSA).The study area is the Feiyun catchment in Wenzhou City,Southeast China.Two types of landslides samples,combined with seven non-landslide sampling strategies,resulted in a total of 14 scenarios.The corresponding landslide susceptibility map(LSM)for each scenario was generated using the random forest model.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and statistical indicators were calculated and used to assess the impact of the dataset sampling strategy.The results showed that higher accuracies were achieved when using the landslide core as positive samples,combined with non-landslide sampling from the very low zone or buffer zone.The results reveal the influence of landslide and non-landslide sampling strategies on the accuracy of LSA,which provides a reference for subsequent researchers aiming to obtain a more reasonable LSM.

Liquefaction susceptibility and deformation characteristics of saturated coral sandy soils subjected to cyclic loadings-a critical review

Coral sandy soils widely exist in coral island reefs and seashores in tropical and subtropical regions.Due to the unique marine depositional environment of coral sandy soils,the engineering characteristics and responses of these soils subjected to monotonic and cyclic loadings have been a subject of intense interest among the geotechnical and earthquake engineering communities.This paper critically reviews the progress of experimental investigations on the undrained behavior of coral sandy soils under monotonic and cyclic loadings over the last three decades.The focus of coverage includes the contractive-dilative behavior,the pattern of excess pore-water pressure(EPWP)generation and the liquefaction mechanism and liquefaction resistance,the small-strain shear modulus and strain-dependent shear modulus and damping,the cyclic softening feature,and the anisotropic characteristics of undrained responses of saturated coral sandy soils.In particular,the advances made in the past decades are reviewed from the following aspects:(1)the characterization of factors that impact the mechanism and patterns of EPWP build-up;(2)the identification of liquefaction triggering in terms of the apparent viscosity and the average flow coefficient;(3)the establishment of the invariable form of strain-based,stress-based,or energy-based EPWP ratio formulas and the unique relationship between the new proxy of liquefaction resistance and the number of cycles required to reach liquefaction;(4)the establishment of the invariable form of the predictive formulas of small strain modulus and strain-dependent shear modulus;and(5)the investigation on the effects of stress-induced anisotropy on liquefaction susceptibility and dynamic deformation characteristics.Insights gained through the critical review of these advances in the past decades offer a perspective for future research to further resolve the fundamental issues concerning the liquefaction mechanism and responses of coral sandy sites subjected to cyclic loadings associated with seismic events in marine environments.

10 kV电缆中间接头受潮XLPE-SiR绝缘界面放电演化分析

10 kV电缆中间接头交联聚乙烯硅橡胶(XLPE-SiR)绝缘界面在受潮条件下的放电行为严重影响配电网的可靠性,鉴于对绝缘界面放电行为的发展和特征研究较少,分析在受潮条件下10 kV电缆中间接头XLPE-SiR绝缘界面的放电行为,从仿真和试验2个方面验证XLPE-SiR绝缘界面的击穿过程。结果表明:在水分的作用下,XLPE-SiR绝缘界面会出现局部放电,并逐步演变为电弧放电。放电会产生2个影响:一方面引起绝缘材料的热解,形成电痕;另一方面,放电产生的热量导致水蒸发,有效地阻止了绝缘界面处放电的继续。随后,在存在电痕的情况下,进一步研究XLPE-SiR绝缘界面的放电行为。结果表明,当XLPE-SiR绝缘界面存在电痕时,水分的存在会迅速导致绝缘界面击穿。10 kV电缆中间接头绝缘界面受潮直接决定了其绝缘界面放电—短路故障的发展过程,因此在实际电缆中间接头的生产及施工工艺中需要加强防水管控。

经典SIR模型的改进及其应用

将较难数量化的疾病传播影响因素转换为传播阻碍因子,并基于经典的确定性SIR模型,在疾病传播的中早期阶段将传播阻碍因子引入其中,以此降低模型对疾病传播数据广度和精度的依赖;同时引入动态变化的治愈率函数,以此建立改进后的SIR模型。并运用四阶、五阶runge-kutta单步算法求解改进SIR模型对应的微分方程组。最后,应用改进后的SIR模型对疾病传播的中早期数据进行分析,拟合疾病传播中早期阶段的传播阻碍因子,模拟未被隔离的感染者数量,预测疾病传播进程。

一类具有进化效应的时滞SIR模型的动力学分析

主要研究具有进化效应和受时滞影响的SIR传染病模型的动力学行为.首先,将时滞参数作为分支参数,在常微分和偏微分系统中研究带时滞因素的SIR模型的正平衡点稳定性,并得到在健康个体的防御能力和已感染个体的感染能力相互作用的情况下产生Hopf分支的条件;其次,利用规范型理论和中心流形定理,判断Hopf分支方向及分支周期解的稳定性;最后,通过MATLAB进行数值模拟以验证理论结果的正确性.

基于SIR模型预测新型冠状病毒在广东省的传播

自2019年底以来,全球爆发的COVID-19疫情对全球公共卫生系统带来了前所未有的挑战。传染病模型,尤其是SIR模型,成为疾病传播和防控研究的关键工具。本文采用数据驱动的建模方法研究新型冠状病毒在广东省的传播,首先采集广东省疫情初期的数据,然后通过采用有限差分方法和数据拟合求解得到SIR模型的两个重要参数:传染率和康复率,最后应用龙格库塔方法对SIR模型进行数值求解。本文的模型可以更好地理解疫情传播过程,为决策者提供科学依据,有助于政府和卫生机构制定更合理的防控措施和资源分配策略。

具有Logistic增长和心理作用的随机SIRS传染病模型定性分析

基于流行病受环境噪声和心理作用的影响,建立了一类具有Logistic增长和心理作用的随机SIRS传染病模型,目的在于讨论Logistic增长和心理作用对模型全局动力学的影响。首先,通过构造Lyapunov函数并利用Itˆo公式,证明了该模型全局正解的存在唯一性;然后,在适当的条件下,利用随机Lyapunov函数方法,应用LaSalle不变性原理得到该模型正解存在遍历平稳分布的充分条件。结果表明:环境和心理变化在一定条件下会对疾病起抑制作用。最后,通过数值模拟验证了理论结果的正确性。

一类具有时滞和进化效应的SIR模型的稳定性和Hopf分支分析

本文主要研究了一类在齐次Neumann边界条件下具有时滞和进化效应的SIR模型.首先,以时滞为参数,分析了时滞对该系统正平衡点稳定性的影响,并给出了Hopf分支的存在条件.其次,利用规范型理论和中心流形定理,得到Hopf分支方向和分支周期解的稳定性.最后,利用Matlab进行数值模拟,验证结论的正确性,得出时滞会使稳定的系统变得不稳定,并产生Hopf分支.

一类时间周期SIRS扩散传染病模型的渐近传播速度

利用渐近传播速度理论,研究了一类模拟时间周期变化传播环境中疾病传播的SIRS反应扩散传染病模型的渐近传播性质。区别于已有针对SI二维系统的传播速度的结果,该模型中R仓室无法解耦于整个系统,为此需要克服高维和非自治性耦合带来的困难,以证明高维系统渐近传播速度的存在性。首先,借助单调系统渐近传播速度的抽象理论和比较原理证明了染病者I仓室在疾病未入侵区域的传播性质,以此结论为基础,利用整体解结合最大值原理进一步验证了恢复者R仓室在未入侵区域具有类似的传播性质。其次,分别对I和R方程运用比较原理结合一致持久思想和最大值原理分析了其在疾病已入侵区域的一致持久性。由此,得到了划分这两个变化区域的渐近传播速度阈值,即证明了整个系统渐近传播速度的存在性。最后,利用数值方法进一步模拟了时间周期传播环境下疾病已入侵区域更具体的传播动态。

基于多段SIR的微带交指滤波器小型化设计

微带交指滤波器作为一种常见的二维滤波器,在工程上有着广泛应用,但由于其尺寸较大,从而限制了应用场景的扩展。基于阶跃阻抗谐振器(stepped impedance resona-tor,SIR)理论,设计了一款新型微带交指滤波器,完成了对传统微带交指滤波器的尺寸优化。该滤波器使用三段式SIR结构,与传统结构滤波器的谐振器相比,长度缩减了23.2%。利用CST仿真了相同设计指标下SIR滤波器和传统滤波器的性能,结果表明二者都能够满足设计指标要求,且SIR滤波器在通带内性能更佳,说明使用该方法实现小型化具有较强实用意义。为验证滤波器的可用性,进行了实物加工和测试,谐振结构尺寸为10.9 mm×13.6 mm,为便于测试,电路板尺寸为24 mm×18 mm×0.508 mm,实测结果与仿真结果在通带内最大差异小于1.5 dB。该滤波器的最终指标为中心频率2.5 GHz,带宽150 MHz,带内损耗≤4 dB,阻带抑制≥23 dB(频率≤2.2 GHz或≥2.72 GHz)。

Assessment of large-scale multiple forest disturbance susceptibilities with AutoML framework: an Izmir Regional Forest Directorate case

Disturbances such as forest fires,intense winds,and insect damage exert strong impacts on forest ecosystems by shaping their structure and growth dynamics,with contributions from climate change.Consequently,there is a need for reliable and operational methods to monitor and map these disturbances for the development of suitable management strategies.While susceptibility assessment using machine learning methods has increased,most studies have focused on a single disturbance.Moreover,there has been limited exploration of the use of“Automated Machine Learning(AutoML)”in the literature.In this study,susceptibility assessment for multiple forest disturbances(fires,insect damage,and wind damage)was conducted using the PyCaret AutoML framework in the Izmir Regional Forest Directorate(RFD)in Turkey.The AutoML framework compared 14 machine learning algorithms and ranked the best models based on AUC(area under the curve)values.The extra tree classifier(ET)algorithm was selected for modeling the susceptibility of each disturbance due to its good performance(AUC values>0.98).The study evaluated susceptibilities for both individual and multiple disturbances,creating a total of four susceptibility maps using fifteen driving factors in the assessment.According to the results,82.5%of forested areas in the Izmir RFD are susceptible to multiple disturbances at high and very high levels.Additionally,a potential forest disturbances map was created,revealing that 15.6%of forested areas in the Izmir RFD may experience no damage from the disturbances considered,while 54.2%could face damage from all three disturbances.The SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations)methodology was applied to evaluate the importance of features on prediction and the nonlinear relationship between explanatory features and susceptibility to disturbance.

Nucleotide excision repair gene polymorphisms and hepatoblastoma susceptibility in Eastern Chinese children:A five-center case-control study

Objective:Nucleotide excision repair(NER)plays a vital role in maintaining genome stability,and the effect of NER gene polymorphisms on hepatoblastoma susceptibility is still under investigation.This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between NER gene polymorphisms and the risk of hepatoblastoma in Eastern Chinese Han children.Methods:In this five-center case-control study,we enrolled 966 subjects from East China(193 hepatoblastoma patients and 773 healthy controls).The TaqMan method was used to genotype 19 single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs)in NER pathway genes,including ERCC1,XPA,XPC,XPD,XPF,and XPG.Then,multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed,and odds ratios(ORs)and 95%confidence intervals(95%CIs)were utilized to assess the strength of associations.Results:Three SNPs were related to hepatoblastoma risk.XPC rs2229090 and XPD rs3810366 significantly contributed to hepatoblastoma risk according to the dominant model(adjusted OR=1.49,95%CI=1.07−2.08,P=0.019;adjusted OR=1.66,95%CI=1.12−2.45,P=0.012,respectively).However,XPD rs238406 conferred a significantly decreased risk of hepatoblastoma under the dominant model(adjusted OR=0.68,95%CI=0.49−0.95;P=0.024).Stratified analysis demonstrated that these significant associations were more prominent in certain subgroups.Moreover,there was evidence of functional implications of these significant SNPs suggested by online expression quantitative trait loci(eQTLs)and splicing quantitative trait loci(sQTLs)analysis.Conclusions:In summary,NER pathway gene polymorphisms(XPC rs2229090,XPD rs3810366,and XPD rs238406)are significantly associated with hepatoblastoma risk,and further research is required to verify these findings.

基于SIR模型的直播电商供应链运营风险传播与控制研究

为正确识别直播电商供应链的风险因素,分析、研判风险在直播电商供应链的传播规律,构建了直播电商供应链的结构框架,利用复杂网络模拟了供应链的运营过程。首先,识别出直播电商供应链的22个风险因素,引入SIR风险传染模型。其次,根据风险因素的分类,设置不同初始风险状态和传播规则,对风险传播过程进行模拟仿真分析。结果发现:品牌方的销售策略、主播的直播状态、直播间消费者对产品和主播的负面评价等风险需要重点关注。最后,结合风险传播路径和关键风险因素,提出控制直播电商供应链运营风险的管理措施。

Induced CTL-S15 gene expression by Bacillus thuringiensis declines susceptibility in Spodoptera exigua

It has been reported that C-type lectins(CTLs),which are pattern recognition receptors of the insect innate immunity response,may compete with Cry toxin for the receptor alkaline phosphatase to decrease its toxicity in insects.However,to date,which CTLs affect larval susceptibility to Bt in Spodoptera exigua is not clear.In this study,33 CTL genes were identified from S.exigua.Based on the number of carbohydrate-recognition domains(CRDs)and the domain architectures,they were classified into three groups:(1)nineteen CTL-S(single-CRD),(2)eight immulectin(dual-CRD)and(3)six CTL-X(CRD with other domains).RT-qPCR analysis revealed that expression levels of SeCTL-S15,IML-4 and CTL-X6 were upregulated after challenge with Bt and Cry1Ab.Tissue and developmental stage expression analysis showed that only SeCTL-S15 was mainly expressed in the midgut and larva,respectively.Knockdown of SeCTL-S15 significantly increased Bt susceptibility,as indicated by reduced survival and larval weight.These results suggest that CTL-S15 might play a vital role in the low susceptibility of larvae to Bt in S.exigua.Our results provide new insights into CTL function in insects.

Landslide hazard susceptibility evaluation based on SBAS-InSAR technology and SSA-BP neural network algorithm:A case study of Baihetan Reservoir Area

Landslide hazard susceptibility evaluation takes on critical significance in early warning and disaster prevention and reduction.In order to solve the problems of poor effectiveness of landslide data and complex calculation of weights for multiple evaluation factors in the existing landslide susceptibility evaluation models,in this study,a method of landslide hazard susceptibility evaluation is proposed by combining SBAS-InSAR(Small Baseline Subsets-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar)and SSA-BP(Sparrow Search Algorithm-Back Propagation)neural network algorithm.The SBAS-InSAR technology is adopted to identify potential landslide hazards in the study area,update the cataloging data of landslide hazards,and 11 evaluation factors are chosen for constructing the SSA-BP model for training and validation.Baihetan Reservoir area is selected as a case study for validation.As indicated by the results,the application of SBAS-InSAR technology,combined with both ascending and descending orbit data,effectively addresses the incomplete identification of landslide hazards caused by geometric distortion of single orbit SAR data(e.g.,shadow,overlay,and perspective contraction)in deep canyon areas,thereby enabling the acquisition of up-to-date landslide hazard data.Moreover,in comparison to the conventional BP(Back Propagation)algorithm,the accuracy of the model constructed by the SSA-BP algorithm exhibits a significant increase,with mean squared error and mean absolute error reduced by 0.0142 and 0.0607,respectively.Additionally,during the process of susceptibility evaluation,the SSA-BP model effectively circumvents the issue of considerable manual interventions in calculating the weight of evaluation factors.The area under the curve of this model reaches 0.909,surpassing BP(0.835),random forest(0.792),and the information value method(0.699).The risk of landslide occurrence in the Baihetan Reservoir area is positively correlated with slope,surface temperature,and deformation rate,while it is negatively correlated with fault distance and normalized difference vegetation index.Geological lithology exerts minimal influence on the occurrence of landslides,with the risk being low in forest land and high in grassland.The method proposed in this study provides a useful reference for disaster prevention and mitigation departments to perform landslide hazard susceptibility evaluations in deep canyon areas under complex geological conditions.