Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for a...Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for analyzing the data of N-of-1 trials.This simulation study aimed to compare two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials.Methods:The simulated data of N-of-1 trials with different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios are obtained by SAS 9.1 system.The missing values are filled with mean filling and regression filling respectively in the condition of different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios by SPSS 25.0 software.Bayesian models are built to estimate the posterior means by Winbugs 14 software.Results:When the missing ratio is relatively small,e.g.5%,missing values have relatively little effect on the results.Therapeutic effects may be underestimated when the coefficient of autocorrelation increases and no filling is used.However,it may be overestimated when mean or regression filling is used,and the results after mean filling are closer to the actual effect than regression filling.In the case of moderate missing ratio,the estimated effect after mean filling is closer to the actual effect compared to regression filling.When a large missing ratio(20%)occurs,data missing can lead to significantly underestimate the effect.In this case,the estimated effect after regression filling is closer to the actual effect compared to mean filling.Conclusion:Data missing can affect the estimated therapeutic effects using Bayesian models in N-of-1 trials.The present study suggests that mean filling can be used under situation of missing ratio≤10%.Otherwise,regression filling may be preferable.展开更多
In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for la...In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for launch vehicles in China. It realizes a complex coupling model within a unified model for different domains, so that technologists can work on one model. It ensured the success of YL-1 first launch mission, supports rapid iteration, full validation, and tight design collaboration.展开更多
After landing in the Utopia Planitia,Tianwen-1 formed the deepest landing crater on Mars,approximately 40 cm deep,exposing precious information about the mechanical properties of Martian soil.We established numerical ...After landing in the Utopia Planitia,Tianwen-1 formed the deepest landing crater on Mars,approximately 40 cm deep,exposing precious information about the mechanical properties of Martian soil.We established numerical models for the plume-surface interaction(PSI)and the crater formation based on Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD)methods and the erosion model modified from Roberts’Theory.Comparative studies of cases were conducted with different nozzle heights and soil mechanical properties.The increase in cohesion and internal friction angle leads to a decrease in erosion rate and maximum crater depth,with the cohesion having a greater impact.The influence of the nozzle height is not clear,as it interacts with the position of the Shock Diamond to jointly control the erosion process.Furthermore,we categorized the evolution of landing craters into the dispersive and the concentrated erosion modes based on the morphological characteristics.Finally,we estimated the upper limits of the Martian soil’s mechanical properties near Tianwen-1 landing site,with the cohesion ranging from 2612 to 2042 Pa and internal friction angle from 25°to 41°.展开更多
In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generati...In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generation of photovoltaic cells based on the CIGS material is promising. Indeed, the efficiency of these cells has exceeded 20% in recent years. Thus, our work consists in the modeling of a tandem solar cell based on Cu(In,Ga)Se<sub>2</sub> (CGS/CIGS). The goal is to optimize its physical and geometrical parameters in order to obtain a better photovoltaic conversion efficiency compared to other research works on tandem in the past. We used AMPS-1D software for the simulation. When we realize the tandem, the least efficient cell (CGS) imposes the current and the shape of the J-V characteristic of the tandem. We obtained a theoretical efficiency of 39.30% which is significantly higher than the efficiencies obtained in the past by other researchers with a short circuit current of 34.60 mA/cm<sup>2</sup>, an open circuit voltage of 1.74 V and a form factor of 65.20%. The simulation also showed that the high defect density in the material strongly impacts the performance of the tandem.展开更多
Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, ...Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS)-based ultra-thin solar cell (SC) configuration (Ag/ZnO/ZnSe/CIGS/Si/Ni) has been designed and examined using SCAPS-1D. The numerical calculations revealed that this new design resulted in a substantial improvement in SC performance. This study explores the utilization of two absorber layers, CIGS and Si, both with a total of 2 μm thickness, to enhance device performance while reducing material costs, observing an increase in key SC parameters as the Si absorber layer thickness is increased, reaching a maximum efficiency of 29.13% when CIGS and Si thicknesses are set at 0.4 μm and 1.6 μm, respectively with doping absorber doping density of 10<sup>14</sup> cm<sup>-3</sup>. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of variation in absorber and buffer layer thickness, as well as doping concentration, surface recombination velocity (SRV), electron affinity, series-shunt resistance, and temperature, on optimized CIGS SC parameters such as short-circuit current density (J<sub>SC</sub>), open circuit voltage (V<sub>OC</sub>), fill factor (FF), and power conversion efficiency (PCE). The findings yielded by the investigation offer significant elucidation regarding the fabrication of economically viable and highly efficient non-hazardous CIGS ultra-thin SC.展开更多
Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）,...Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）, cyclotetramethylenetetranitroamine （HMX）, cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine （RDX）, and N-nitrodihydroxyethylaminedinitrate （DINA））. Tm was determined from the inflexion point on the curve of mean specific volume vs. temperature. The result shows that the Tm values of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, and TNAD/DINA systems are 500, 536, and 488 K, respectively. The TNAD/DNP system has no obvious Tm value, which shows the system is insoluble. Using Tm, the solubility of the four systems was analyzed. The radial distribution functions of the four systems were analyzed and the main intermolecular forces between TNAD and other energetic components are short-range interactions. The better the solubility is, the stronger the intermoleenlar interaction is. In addition, the force field energy at different temperature was also analyzed to predict Tm of the four systems.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.81973705).
文摘Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for analyzing the data of N-of-1 trials.This simulation study aimed to compare two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials.Methods:The simulated data of N-of-1 trials with different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios are obtained by SAS 9.1 system.The missing values are filled with mean filling and regression filling respectively in the condition of different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios by SPSS 25.0 software.Bayesian models are built to estimate the posterior means by Winbugs 14 software.Results:When the missing ratio is relatively small,e.g.5%,missing values have relatively little effect on the results.Therapeutic effects may be underestimated when the coefficient of autocorrelation increases and no filling is used.However,it may be overestimated when mean or regression filling is used,and the results after mean filling are closer to the actual effect than regression filling.In the case of moderate missing ratio,the estimated effect after mean filling is closer to the actual effect compared to regression filling.When a large missing ratio(20%)occurs,data missing can lead to significantly underestimate the effect.In this case,the estimated effect after regression filling is closer to the actual effect compared to mean filling.Conclusion:Data missing can affect the estimated therapeutic effects using Bayesian models in N-of-1 trials.The present study suggests that mean filling can be used under situation of missing ratio≤10%.Otherwise,regression filling may be preferable.
文摘In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for launch vehicles in China. It realizes a complex coupling model within a unified model for different domains, so that technologists can work on one model. It ensured the success of YL-1 first launch mission, supports rapid iteration, full validation, and tight design collaboration.
基金supported by the Key Research Program of the Institute of Geology and Geophysics,CAS(Nos.IGGCAS-202102 and IGGCAS-201904)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42230111)the CAS Key Technology Talent Program。
文摘After landing in the Utopia Planitia,Tianwen-1 formed the deepest landing crater on Mars,approximately 40 cm deep,exposing precious information about the mechanical properties of Martian soil.We established numerical models for the plume-surface interaction(PSI)and the crater formation based on Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD)methods and the erosion model modified from Roberts’Theory.Comparative studies of cases were conducted with different nozzle heights and soil mechanical properties.The increase in cohesion and internal friction angle leads to a decrease in erosion rate and maximum crater depth,with the cohesion having a greater impact.The influence of the nozzle height is not clear,as it interacts with the position of the Shock Diamond to jointly control the erosion process.Furthermore,we categorized the evolution of landing craters into the dispersive and the concentrated erosion modes based on the morphological characteristics.Finally,we estimated the upper limits of the Martian soil’s mechanical properties near Tianwen-1 landing site,with the cohesion ranging from 2612 to 2042 Pa and internal friction angle from 25°to 41°.
文摘In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generation of photovoltaic cells based on the CIGS material is promising. Indeed, the efficiency of these cells has exceeded 20% in recent years. Thus, our work consists in the modeling of a tandem solar cell based on Cu(In,Ga)Se<sub>2</sub> (CGS/CIGS). The goal is to optimize its physical and geometrical parameters in order to obtain a better photovoltaic conversion efficiency compared to other research works on tandem in the past. We used AMPS-1D software for the simulation. When we realize the tandem, the least efficient cell (CGS) imposes the current and the shape of the J-V characteristic of the tandem. We obtained a theoretical efficiency of 39.30% which is significantly higher than the efficiencies obtained in the past by other researchers with a short circuit current of 34.60 mA/cm<sup>2</sup>, an open circuit voltage of 1.74 V and a form factor of 65.20%. The simulation also showed that the high defect density in the material strongly impacts the performance of the tandem.
文摘Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS)-based ultra-thin solar cell (SC) configuration (Ag/ZnO/ZnSe/CIGS/Si/Ni) has been designed and examined using SCAPS-1D. The numerical calculations revealed that this new design resulted in a substantial improvement in SC performance. This study explores the utilization of two absorber layers, CIGS and Si, both with a total of 2 μm thickness, to enhance device performance while reducing material costs, observing an increase in key SC parameters as the Si absorber layer thickness is increased, reaching a maximum efficiency of 29.13% when CIGS and Si thicknesses are set at 0.4 μm and 1.6 μm, respectively with doping absorber doping density of 10<sup>14</sup> cm<sup>-3</sup>. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of variation in absorber and buffer layer thickness, as well as doping concentration, surface recombination velocity (SRV), electron affinity, series-shunt resistance, and temperature, on optimized CIGS SC parameters such as short-circuit current density (J<sub>SC</sub>), open circuit voltage (V<sub>OC</sub>), fill factor (FF), and power conversion efficiency (PCE). The findings yielded by the investigation offer significant elucidation regarding the fabrication of economically viable and highly efficient non-hazardous CIGS ultra-thin SC.
基金V. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （No.U1304111）, the Laboratory of Science and Technology on Combustion and Explosion （No.9140C3501021101）, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation （No.2013M531361）, and Jiangsu Planned Projects for Postdoctoral Research Funds （No.1201015B）.
文摘Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）, cyclotetramethylenetetranitroamine （HMX）, cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine （RDX）, and N-nitrodihydroxyethylaminedinitrate （DINA））. Tm was determined from the inflexion point on the curve of mean specific volume vs. temperature. The result shows that the Tm values of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, and TNAD/DINA systems are 500, 536, and 488 K, respectively. The TNAD/DNP system has no obvious Tm value, which shows the system is insoluble. Using Tm, the solubility of the four systems was analyzed. The radial distribution functions of the four systems were analyzed and the main intermolecular forces between TNAD and other energetic components are short-range interactions. The better the solubility is, the stronger the intermoleenlar interaction is. In addition, the force field energy at different temperature was also analyzed to predict Tm of the four systems.
