Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for a...Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for analyzing the data of N-of-1 trials.This simulation study aimed to compare two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials.Methods:The simulated data of N-of-1 trials with different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios are obtained by SAS 9.1 system.The missing values are filled with mean filling and regression filling respectively in the condition of different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios by SPSS 25.0 software.Bayesian models are built to estimate the posterior means by Winbugs 14 software.Results:When the missing ratio is relatively small,e.g.5%,missing values have relatively little effect on the results.Therapeutic effects may be underestimated when the coefficient of autocorrelation increases and no filling is used.However,it may be overestimated when mean or regression filling is used,and the results after mean filling are closer to the actual effect than regression filling.In the case of moderate missing ratio,the estimated effect after mean filling is closer to the actual effect compared to regression filling.When a large missing ratio(20%)occurs,data missing can lead to significantly underestimate the effect.In this case,the estimated effect after regression filling is closer to the actual effect compared to mean filling.Conclusion:Data missing can affect the estimated therapeutic effects using Bayesian models in N-of-1 trials.The present study suggests that mean filling can be used under situation of missing ratio≤10%.Otherwise,regression filling may be preferable.展开更多
In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for la...In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for launch vehicles in China. It realizes a complex coupling model within a unified model for different domains, so that technologists can work on one model. It ensured the success of YL-1 first launch mission, supports rapid iteration, full validation, and tight design collaboration.展开更多
In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generati...In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generation of photovoltaic cells based on the CIGS material is promising. Indeed, the efficiency of these cells has exceeded 20% in recent years. Thus, our work consists in the modeling of a tandem solar cell based on Cu(In,Ga)Se<sub>2</sub> (CGS/CIGS). The goal is to optimize its physical and geometrical parameters in order to obtain a better photovoltaic conversion efficiency compared to other research works on tandem in the past. We used AMPS-1D software for the simulation. When we realize the tandem, the least efficient cell (CGS) imposes the current and the shape of the J-V characteristic of the tandem. We obtained a theoretical efficiency of 39.30% which is significantly higher than the efficiencies obtained in the past by other researchers with a short circuit current of 34.60 mA/cm<sup>2</sup>, an open circuit voltage of 1.74 V and a form factor of 65.20%. The simulation also showed that the high defect density in the material strongly impacts the performance of the tandem.展开更多
Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, ...Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS)-based ultra-thin solar cell (SC) configuration (Ag/ZnO/ZnSe/CIGS/Si/Ni) has been designed and examined using SCAPS-1D. The numerical calculations revealed that this new design resulted in a substantial improvement in SC performance. This study explores the utilization of two absorber layers, CIGS and Si, both with a total of 2 μm thickness, to enhance device performance while reducing material costs, observing an increase in key SC parameters as the Si absorber layer thickness is increased, reaching a maximum efficiency of 29.13% when CIGS and Si thicknesses are set at 0.4 μm and 1.6 μm, respectively with doping absorber doping density of 10<sup>14</sup> cm<sup>-3</sup>. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of variation in absorber and buffer layer thickness, as well as doping concentration, surface recombination velocity (SRV), electron affinity, series-shunt resistance, and temperature, on optimized CIGS SC parameters such as short-circuit current density (J<sub>SC</sub>), open circuit voltage (V<sub>OC</sub>), fill factor (FF), and power conversion efficiency (PCE). The findings yielded by the investigation offer significant elucidation regarding the fabrication of economically viable and highly efficient non-hazardous CIGS ultra-thin SC.展开更多
Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）,...Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）, cyclotetramethylenetetranitroamine （HMX）, cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine （RDX）, and N-nitrodihydroxyethylaminedinitrate （DINA））. Tm was determined from the inflexion point on the curve of mean specific volume vs. temperature. The result shows that the Tm values of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, and TNAD/DINA systems are 500, 536, and 488 K, respectively. The TNAD/DNP system has no obvious Tm value, which shows the system is insoluble. Using Tm, the solubility of the four systems was analyzed. The radial distribution functions of the four systems were analyzed and the main intermolecular forces between TNAD and other energetic components are short-range interactions. The better the solubility is, the stronger the intermoleenlar interaction is. In addition, the force field energy at different temperature was also analyzed to predict Tm of the four systems.展开更多
电力系统具有良好的稳定性是保证电网正常运行的关键,充分应用Power World Simulator电力系统仿真软件对我国西北某地区实际电网进行安全稳定性分析。根据给定的实际电网运行数据搭建电网模型并进行潮流计算,将潮流计算结果与静态安全...电力系统具有良好的稳定性是保证电网正常运行的关键,充分应用Power World Simulator电力系统仿真软件对我国西北某地区实际电网进行安全稳定性分析。根据给定的实际电网运行数据搭建电网模型并进行潮流计算,将潮流计算结果与静态安全理论相结合,对该地区电网模型进行N-1静态安全性分析。针对线路负载率过高以及节点母线电压越限的情况,提出解决措施以达到提高电网运行稳定性的目的。展开更多
Nowadays, extractive distillation is the main technique to produce 1,3-butadiene. This study simulated the 1,3-butadiene production process with DMF extractive distillation by Aspen Plus. The solvent ratio is the most...Nowadays, extractive distillation is the main technique to produce 1,3-butadiene. This study simulated the 1,3-butadiene production process with DMF extractive distillation by Aspen Plus. The solvent ratio is the most important parameter to the extractive distillation process. The article has given out the proper solvent ratios, reflux ratios, distillate ratios, and bottom product ratios of the columns. It also discusses the thermal loads of several columns. The results of simulation are consequently compared with the plant data, which shows good accordance with each other.展开更多
In order to guide the explosive welding experiment of titanium-stainless steel,Three-dimensional numerical simulation of explosive welding,which select TA1 as flyer plate and 304 stainless steel as base plate,is carri...In order to guide the explosive welding experiment of titanium-stainless steel,Three-dimensional numerical simulation of explosive welding,which select TA1 as flyer plate and 304 stainless steel as base plate,is carried out by using the LS-DYNA software and SPH-FEM coupling algorithm in the present study.The explosive welding window is calculated and established.It is found that the numerical simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental results.The displacement,velocity and pressure-time curves of characteristic elements show that the quality of explosive welding composites is superior.It is proved that SPH-FEM coupling algorithm is effective for explosive welding of TA1/304 stainless steel and can effectively guide the selection of explosive welding parameters.展开更多
In this paper, a-Si：H/a-SiGe：H/μc-SiGe：H triple-junction solar cell structure is proposed. By the analyses of mi- croelectronic and photonic structures （AMPS-1D） and our TRJ-F/TRJ-M/TRJ-B tunneling-recombination...In this paper, a-Si：H/a-SiGe：H/μc-SiGe：H triple-junction solar cell structure is proposed. By the analyses of mi- croelectronic and photonic structures （AMPS-1D） and our TRJ-F/TRJ-M/TRJ-B tunneling-recombination junction （TRJ） model, the most preferably combined bandgap for this structure is found to be 1.85 eV/1.50 eV/1.0 eV. Using more realistic material properties, optimized thickness combination is investigated. Along this direction, a-Si：H/a-SiGe：H/μc-SiGe：H triple cell with an initial efficiency of 12.09% （Voc = 2.03 V, FF = 0.69, Jsc = 8.63 mA/cm^2, area = 1 cm^2） is achieved in our laboratory.展开更多
At Kuwana illegal dumping site in Japan, where hazardous waste was illegally dumped, groundwater was severely contaminated by Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs). Groundwater was already remedied by conducting Pump-and-...At Kuwana illegal dumping site in Japan, where hazardous waste was illegally dumped, groundwater was severely contaminated by Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs). Groundwater was already remedied by conducting Pump-and-Treat (P&T) after containment of all the waste by vertical slurry walls from 2002 to 2007. However, 1,4-dioxane was detected in both waste and groundwater outside of slurry walls after it was newly added into Japan environmental standards in late 2009, which suggested that the walls did not contain 1,4-dioxane completely. Our previous study developed a model to predict the 1,4-dioxane distribution in groundwater after the previous remediation at the site. In this study, numerical simulation was applied for remediation planning at the site based on the concept of Verified Follow Up (VF-UP) that had been proposed as a new approach to complete remediation effectively with consideration of future risks. The amount of waste to be removed and pumping plans were discussed by numerical simulation to achieve the remedial objective in which 1,4-dioxane in groundwater outside of walls is remedied within 10 years and 1,4-dioxane spreading throughout the walls is prevented in the case where a portion of waste is remained. Firstly, the amount of waste to be removed considering pumping plans for P&T was determined by scenario analysis. As a result, at least two-third of waste should be removed by combining with P&T. However, if the waste is remained, future risks of 1,4-dioxane spreading through the slurry walls may occur. Our simulation suggested that groundwater within the remaining waste must be pumped up at least 20 m3/d for containment of 1,4-dioxane within the remaining waste. In conclusion, our numerical simulation determined the amount of waste to be removed and the pumping plans for P&T to achieve the remedial objective effectively considering future risks based on the concept of VF-UP.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.81973705).
文摘Background:Missing data are frequently occurred in clinical studies.Due to the development of precision medicine,there is an increased interest in N-of-1 trial.Bayesian models are one of main statistical methods for analyzing the data of N-of-1 trials.This simulation study aimed to compare two statistical methods for handling missing values of quantitative data in Bayesian N-of-1 trials.Methods:The simulated data of N-of-1 trials with different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios are obtained by SAS 9.1 system.The missing values are filled with mean filling and regression filling respectively in the condition of different coefficients of autocorrelation,effect sizes and missing ratios by SPSS 25.0 software.Bayesian models are built to estimate the posterior means by Winbugs 14 software.Results:When the missing ratio is relatively small,e.g.5%,missing values have relatively little effect on the results.Therapeutic effects may be underestimated when the coefficient of autocorrelation increases and no filling is used.However,it may be overestimated when mean or regression filling is used,and the results after mean filling are closer to the actual effect than regression filling.In the case of moderate missing ratio,the estimated effect after mean filling is closer to the actual effect compared to regression filling.When a large missing ratio(20%)occurs,data missing can lead to significantly underestimate the effect.In this case,the estimated effect after regression filling is closer to the actual effect compared to mean filling.Conclusion:Data missing can affect the estimated therapeutic effects using Bayesian models in N-of-1 trials.The present study suggests that mean filling can be used under situation of missing ratio≤10%.Otherwise,regression filling may be preferable.
文摘In the R&D phase of Gravity-1(YL-1), a multi-domain modeling and simulation technology based on Modelica language was introduced, which was a recent attempt in the practice of modeling and simulation method for launch vehicles in China. It realizes a complex coupling model within a unified model for different domains, so that technologists can work on one model. It ensured the success of YL-1 first launch mission, supports rapid iteration, full validation, and tight design collaboration.
文摘In the global context of diversification of usable energy sources, the use of renewable energies, in particular solar photovoltaic energy, is becoming increasingly important. As such, the development of a new generation of photovoltaic cells based on the CIGS material is promising. Indeed, the efficiency of these cells has exceeded 20% in recent years. Thus, our work consists in the modeling of a tandem solar cell based on Cu(In,Ga)Se<sub>2</sub> (CGS/CIGS). The goal is to optimize its physical and geometrical parameters in order to obtain a better photovoltaic conversion efficiency compared to other research works on tandem in the past. We used AMPS-1D software for the simulation. When we realize the tandem, the least efficient cell (CGS) imposes the current and the shape of the J-V characteristic of the tandem. We obtained a theoretical efficiency of 39.30% which is significantly higher than the efficiencies obtained in the past by other researchers with a short circuit current of 34.60 mA/cm<sup>2</sup>, an open circuit voltage of 1.74 V and a form factor of 65.20%. The simulation also showed that the high defect density in the material strongly impacts the performance of the tandem.
文摘Thin-film solar cells possess the distinct advantage of being cost-effective and relatively simple to manufacture. Nevertheless, it is of utmost importance to enhance their overall performance. In this research work, copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS)-based ultra-thin solar cell (SC) configuration (Ag/ZnO/ZnSe/CIGS/Si/Ni) has been designed and examined using SCAPS-1D. The numerical calculations revealed that this new design resulted in a substantial improvement in SC performance. This study explores the utilization of two absorber layers, CIGS and Si, both with a total of 2 μm thickness, to enhance device performance while reducing material costs, observing an increase in key SC parameters as the Si absorber layer thickness is increased, reaching a maximum efficiency of 29.13% when CIGS and Si thicknesses are set at 0.4 μm and 1.6 μm, respectively with doping absorber doping density of 10<sup>14</sup> cm<sup>-3</sup>. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of variation in absorber and buffer layer thickness, as well as doping concentration, surface recombination velocity (SRV), electron affinity, series-shunt resistance, and temperature, on optimized CIGS SC parameters such as short-circuit current density (J<sub>SC</sub>), open circuit voltage (V<sub>OC</sub>), fill factor (FF), and power conversion efficiency (PCE). The findings yielded by the investigation offer significant elucidation regarding the fabrication of economically viable and highly efficient non-hazardous CIGS ultra-thin SC.
基金V. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （No.U1304111）, the Laboratory of Science and Technology on Combustion and Explosion （No.9140C3501021101）, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation （No.2013M531361）, and Jiangsu Planned Projects for Postdoctoral Research Funds （No.1201015B）.
文摘Molecular dynamic simulation was employed to predict the melting points Tm of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, TNAD/DINA, and TNAD/DNP systems （tans-1,4,5,8- tetranitro-1,4,5,8-tetraazadacalin （TNAD）, dinitropiperazine （DNP）, cyclotetramethylenetetranitroamine （HMX）, cyclotrimethylenetrinitramine （RDX）, and N-nitrodihydroxyethylaminedinitrate （DINA））. Tm was determined from the inflexion point on the curve of mean specific volume vs. temperature. The result shows that the Tm values of TNAD/HMX, TNAD/RDX, and TNAD/DINA systems are 500, 536, and 488 K, respectively. The TNAD/DNP system has no obvious Tm value, which shows the system is insoluble. Using Tm, the solubility of the four systems was analyzed. The radial distribution functions of the four systems were analyzed and the main intermolecular forces between TNAD and other energetic components are short-range interactions. The better the solubility is, the stronger the intermoleenlar interaction is. In addition, the force field energy at different temperature was also analyzed to predict Tm of the four systems.
文摘电力系统具有良好的稳定性是保证电网正常运行的关键,充分应用Power World Simulator电力系统仿真软件对我国西北某地区实际电网进行安全稳定性分析。根据给定的实际电网运行数据搭建电网模型并进行潮流计算,将潮流计算结果与静态安全理论相结合,对该地区电网模型进行N-1静态安全性分析。针对线路负载率过高以及节点母线电压越限的情况,提出解决措施以达到提高电网运行稳定性的目的。
文摘Nowadays, extractive distillation is the main technique to produce 1,3-butadiene. This study simulated the 1,3-butadiene production process with DMF extractive distillation by Aspen Plus. The solvent ratio is the most important parameter to the extractive distillation process. The article has given out the proper solvent ratios, reflux ratios, distillate ratios, and bottom product ratios of the columns. It also discusses the thermal loads of several columns. The results of simulation are consequently compared with the plant data, which shows good accordance with each other.
基金Project was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11902003).
文摘In order to guide the explosive welding experiment of titanium-stainless steel,Three-dimensional numerical simulation of explosive welding,which select TA1 as flyer plate and 304 stainless steel as base plate,is carried out by using the LS-DYNA software and SPH-FEM coupling algorithm in the present study.The explosive welding window is calculated and established.It is found that the numerical simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental results.The displacement,velocity and pressure-time curves of characteristic elements show that the quality of explosive welding composites is superior.It is proved that SPH-FEM coupling algorithm is effective for explosive welding of TA1/304 stainless steel and can effectively guide the selection of explosive welding parameters.
基金supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2011CBA00705, 2011CBA00706, and 2011CBA00707)the Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin City, China (Grant No. 12JCQNJC01000)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (Grant No. 65012371)
文摘In this paper, a-Si：H/a-SiGe：H/μc-SiGe：H triple-junction solar cell structure is proposed. By the analyses of mi- croelectronic and photonic structures （AMPS-1D） and our TRJ-F/TRJ-M/TRJ-B tunneling-recombination junction （TRJ） model, the most preferably combined bandgap for this structure is found to be 1.85 eV/1.50 eV/1.0 eV. Using more realistic material properties, optimized thickness combination is investigated. Along this direction, a-Si：H/a-SiGe：H/μc-SiGe：H triple cell with an initial efficiency of 12.09% （Voc = 2.03 V, FF = 0.69, Jsc = 8.63 mA/cm^2, area = 1 cm^2） is achieved in our laboratory.
文摘At Kuwana illegal dumping site in Japan, where hazardous waste was illegally dumped, groundwater was severely contaminated by Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs). Groundwater was already remedied by conducting Pump-and-Treat (P&T) after containment of all the waste by vertical slurry walls from 2002 to 2007. However, 1,4-dioxane was detected in both waste and groundwater outside of slurry walls after it was newly added into Japan environmental standards in late 2009, which suggested that the walls did not contain 1,4-dioxane completely. Our previous study developed a model to predict the 1,4-dioxane distribution in groundwater after the previous remediation at the site. In this study, numerical simulation was applied for remediation planning at the site based on the concept of Verified Follow Up (VF-UP) that had been proposed as a new approach to complete remediation effectively with consideration of future risks. The amount of waste to be removed and pumping plans were discussed by numerical simulation to achieve the remedial objective in which 1,4-dioxane in groundwater outside of walls is remedied within 10 years and 1,4-dioxane spreading throughout the walls is prevented in the case where a portion of waste is remained. Firstly, the amount of waste to be removed considering pumping plans for P&T was determined by scenario analysis. As a result, at least two-third of waste should be removed by combining with P&T. However, if the waste is remained, future risks of 1,4-dioxane spreading through the slurry walls may occur. Our simulation suggested that groundwater within the remaining waste must be pumped up at least 20 m3/d for containment of 1,4-dioxane within the remaining waste. In conclusion, our numerical simulation determined the amount of waste to be removed and the pumping plans for P&T to achieve the remedial objective effectively considering future risks based on the concept of VF-UP.
