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Development and validation of a prediction model for early screening of people at high risk for colorectal cancer 被引量:2
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作者 Ling-Li Xu Yi Lin +3 位作者 Li-Yuan Han Yue Wang Jian-Jiong Li Xiao-Yu Dai 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第5期450-461,共12页
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)is a serious threat worldwide.Although early screening is suggested to be the most effective method to prevent and control CRC,the current situation of early screening for CRC is still... BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)is a serious threat worldwide.Although early screening is suggested to be the most effective method to prevent and control CRC,the current situation of early screening for CRC is still not optimistic.In China,the incidence of CRC in the Yangtze River Delta region is increasing dramatically,but few studies have been conducted.Therefore,it is necessary to develop a simple and efficient early screening model for CRC.AIM To develop and validate an early-screening nomogram model to identify individuals at high risk of CRC.METHODS Data of 64448 participants obtained from Ningbo Hospital,China between 2014 and 2017 were retrospectively analyzed.The cohort comprised 64448 individuals,of which,530 were excluded due to missing or incorrect data.Of 63918,7607(11.9%)individuals were considered to be high risk for CRC,and 56311(88.1%)were not.The participants were randomly allocated to a training set(44743)or validation set(19175).The discriminatory ability,predictive accuracy,and clinical utility of the model were evaluated by constructing and analyzing receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and calibration curves and by decision curve analysis.Finally,the model was validated internally using a bootstrap resampling technique.RESULTS Seven variables,including demographic,lifestyle,and family history information,were examined.Multifactorial logistic regression analysis revealed that age[odds ratio(OR):1.03,95%confidence interval(CI):1.02-1.03,P<0.001],body mass index(BMI)(OR:1.07,95%CI:1.06-1.08,P<0.001),waist circumference(WC)(OR:1.03,95%CI:1.02-1.03 P<0.001),lifestyle(OR:0.45,95%CI:0.42-0.48,P<0.001),and family history(OR:4.28,95%CI:4.04-4.54,P<0.001)were the most significant predictors of high-risk CRC.Healthy lifestyle was a protective factor,whereas family history was the most significant risk factor.The area under the curve was 0.734(95%CI:0.723-0.745)for the final validation set ROC curve and 0.735(95%CI:0.728-0.742)for the training set ROC curve.The calibration curve demonstrated a high correlation between the CRC high-risk population predicted by the nomogram model and the actual CRC high-risk population.CONCLUSION The early-screening nomogram model for CRC prediction in high-risk populations developed in this study based on age,BMI,WC,lifestyle,and family history exhibited high accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Colorectal cancer Early screening model high-risk population Nomogram model Questionnaire survey Dietary habit Living habit
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Colorectal cancer screening: Modalities and adherence
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作者 Georgios Metaxas Athena Papachristou Martha Stathaki 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第24期3048-3051,共4页
In the last decade,several studies have explored various modalities and strategies for colorectal cancer(CRC)screening,taking into account epidemiological data,individual characteristics,and socioeconomic factors.In t... In the last decade,several studies have explored various modalities and strategies for colorectal cancer(CRC)screening,taking into account epidemiological data,individual characteristics,and socioeconomic factors.In this editorial,we comment further on a retrospective study by Agatsuma et al published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastroenterology.Our focus is on screening trends,particularly in relation to efforts to improve the currently suboptimal uptake among the general population worldwide,aiming to enhance early diagnosis rates of CRC.There is a need to raise awareness through health edu-cation programs and to consider the use of readily available,non-invasive screening methods.These strategies are crucial for attracting screen-eligible populations to participate in first-line screening,especially those in high-or average-risk groups and in regions with limited resources.Liquid biopsies and biomarkers represent rapidly evolving trends in screening and diagnosis;however,their clinical relevance has yet to be standardized. 展开更多
关键词 Colorectal cancer screening test high-risk group Strategies BIOMARKER Liquid biopsy screening adherence
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Cost estimation and control of colorectal cancer screening 被引量:2
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作者 Xinyuan Ma Qilong Li Wanli Ma 《The Chinese-German Journal of Clinical Oncology》 CAS 2012年第2期109-112,共4页
Objective:The aim of our study was to estimate the cost of colorectal cancer screening and to provide evidence for the cost control of colorectal cancer screening among general population in rural area of China.Method... Objective:The aim of our study was to estimate the cost of colorectal cancer screening and to provide evidence for the cost control of colorectal cancer screening among general population in rural area of China.Methods:We determined the net cost for colorectal cancer mass-screening in Jiashan County,and evaluated the cost-benefit and cost effectiveness.Results:The compliance rate of primary screening and intensive screening were 84.6% and 78.7%,respectively.In primary screening,the average cost for each individual was 27.2 yuan,and the average cost for identifying one high-risk individual was 180.5 yuan.The mean cost to diagnose one colorectal cancer patient was 42963.3 yuan.As for identification of adenoma,the average cost for each case was 4384.0 yuan.Based on the calculation,the average cost of reducing one colorectal cancer patient was 12768 yuan by conducting the mass-screening protocol.Conclusion:It was beneficial to do the cost-benefit analysis of colorectal cancer screening in area of high incidence.Based on the results of cost-benefit analysis,more efforts should be made to reduce the cost and to improve the efficiency of the colorectal cancer screening. 展开更多
关键词 colorectal cancer screening high-risk group cost estimation cost-benefit analysis cost-effectiveness analysis
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改进YOLOv8n的花生品质检测方法
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作者 黄英来 牛达伟 +1 位作者 侯畅 杨柳松 《计算机工程与应用》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第23期257-267,共11页
花生品质筛选在农业生产和食品安全中具有重要意义。针对传统花生品质筛选方法效率低的问题,提出改进YOLOv8n算法的轻量化花生品质检测模型LE-YOLO(lightweight and efficient)。提出一种分组重序颈部模块(grouped shuffling bottleneck... 花生品质筛选在农业生产和食品安全中具有重要意义。针对传统花生品质筛选方法效率低的问题,提出改进YOLOv8n算法的轻量化花生品质检测模型LE-YOLO(lightweight and efficient)。提出一种分组重序颈部模块(grouped shuffling bottleneck,GSBottleneck),增加了模型非线性拟合能力,减少了模型推理时间;设计了残差分组重序模块(residual group shuffling block,ResGSBlock),并结合GSConv(grouped shuffle convolution)构建轻量颈部网络(lightweight neck,LW-Neck),减少了模型计算成本,提升了模型推理速度;提出自适应特征优化模块(adaptive feature optimization block,AFOB),增强了通道间信息交互和模型表征能力。在DW花生数据集上进行实验验证,相较于YOLOv8n算法,LE-YOLO的计算量减少了1 GFlops,FPS提升了25%,平均精度均值mAP@0.5达到了98%,验证了该算法在检测精度和速度上的良好性能,为花生品质筛选提供了一种有效的方法。 展开更多
关键词 YOLOv8n GSConv GSBottleneck 花生品质筛选 轻量化模型
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Group screening for ultra-high-dimensional feature under linear model 被引量:1
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作者 Yong Niu Riquan Zhang +1 位作者 Jicai Liu Huapeng Li 《Statistical Theory and Related Fields》 2020年第1期43-54,共12页
Ultra-high-dimensional data with grouping structures arise naturally in many contemporary statistical problems,such as gene-wide association studies and the multi-factor analysis-of-variance(ANOVA).To address this iss... Ultra-high-dimensional data with grouping structures arise naturally in many contemporary statistical problems,such as gene-wide association studies and the multi-factor analysis-of-variance(ANOVA).To address this issue,we proposed a group screening method to do variables selection on groups of variables in linear models.This group screening method is based on a working independence,and sure screening property is also established for our approach.To enhance the finite sample performance,a data-driven thresholding and a two-stage iterative procedure are developed.To the best of our knowledge,screening for grouped variables rarely appeared in the literature,and this method can be regarded as an important and non-trivial extension of screening for individual variables.An extensive simulation study and a real data analysis demonstrate its finite sample performance. 展开更多
关键词 Ultra-high-dimensional group screening linear model sure screening property
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Who to screen and how to screen for celiac disease
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作者 Prashant Singh Achintya Dinesh Singh +1 位作者 Vineet Ahuja Govind K Makharia 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2022年第32期4493-4507,共15页
Celiac disease(CeD)is a chronic gluten-induced enteropathy with plethoric manifestations.The typical manifestations of CeD such as chronic diarrhea and malabsorption are widely recognized,however,many patients have at... Celiac disease(CeD)is a chronic gluten-induced enteropathy with plethoric manifestations.The typical manifestations of CeD such as chronic diarrhea and malabsorption are widely recognized,however,many patients have atypical manifestations like iron deficiency anemia,idiopathic short stature,hypertransaminesemia or infertility,etc.These patients often present to the primary care physicians and/or non-gastrointestinal specialties.However,due to a lack of awareness among the healthcare professionals about the various atypical manifestations,many patients are not screened for CeD.In this review,we have summarized the available literature about the prevalence of CeD in various gastrointestinal(chronic diarrhea)and non-gastrointestinal conditions(iron deficiency anemia,short stature,cryptogenic hypertransaminesemia,cryptogenic cirrhosis or idiopathic ataxia etc.)where the diagnosis of CeD should be considered.In addition,we also discuss special scenarios where screening for CeD should be considered even in absence of symptoms such as patients with type 1 diabetes,Down’s syndrome,and first-degree relatives of patients with CeD.Further,we discuss the diagnostic performance and limitations of various screening tests for CeD such as IgA anti-tissue transglutaminase antibodies,antiendomysial antibodies and anti-deamidated gliadin antibodies.Based on the current recommendations,we propose a diagnostic algorithm for patients with suspected CeD. 展开更多
关键词 screening DIAGNOSIS SEROLOGY high-risk group Small intestine ENTEROPATHY
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筒式筛网振动筛颗粒群运移模型 被引量:3
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作者 侯勇俊 周锋者 +1 位作者 李前春 张明洪 《石油机械》 北大核心 2004年第9期19-21,84,共3页
通过研究筒式筛网上固相颗粒的运移规律 ,可为筒式筛网振动筛的动力学参数选择和结构设计提供指导。根据筒式筛网非淹没区固相运移的实际情况 ,在拟流体假设基础上 ,建立了固相运移颗粒群模型 ,并给出了模型求解方法。在筒式筛网筛筒转... 通过研究筒式筛网上固相颗粒的运移规律 ,可为筒式筛网振动筛的动力学参数选择和结构设计提供指导。根据筒式筛网非淹没区固相运移的实际情况 ,在拟流体假设基础上 ,建立了固相运移颗粒群模型 ,并给出了模型求解方法。在筒式筛网筛筒转速n =8 6r/min下 ,得到颗粒群的平均运移速度试验值为 0 0 90 17m/s ,而其计算值为 0 110 6m/s,表明试验装置的计算结果与试验结果能够吻合。提出的颗粒群运移模型对筒式筛网振动筛的进一步研究具有较大的参考价值。 展开更多
关键词 颗粒群 固相 筛网 振动筛 动力学参数 研究 计算值 筒式 结构设计 试验装置
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超高维数据特征筛选方法综述 被引量:8
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作者 牛勇 李华鹏 +3 位作者 刘阳惠 熊世峰 於州 张日权 《应用概率统计》 CSCD 北大核心 2021年第1期69-110,共42页
随着数据收集和存储能力的大幅提高,超高维数据[9],即数据维数伴随着样本呈指数增长,频繁出现在许多科学邻域.此时,惩罚类变量选择方法普遍遭遇三个方面的挑战:计算的复杂性,统计的准确性以及算法的稳定性.Fan和Lv[9]首先提出超高维特... 随着数据收集和存储能力的大幅提高,超高维数据[9],即数据维数伴随着样本呈指数增长,频繁出现在许多科学邻域.此时,惩罚类变量选择方法普遍遭遇三个方面的挑战:计算的复杂性,统计的准确性以及算法的稳定性.Fan和Lv[9]首先提出超高维特征筛选的方法,并在近十多年取得大量研究成果,成为当今统计最热点的研究邻域.本文主要从带模型假设,包含参数、非参数半参数模型假定的筛选方法、无模型假设的筛选以及特殊数据的筛选方法四个角度来介绍超高维筛选相关工作,并简要探讨目前超高维筛选方法存在的问题以及未来可能的研究方向. 展开更多
关键词 超高维 特征筛选 可加模型 非参数独立筛选 确保筛选性质 线性模型 变量选择 组变量选择 充分降维 纵向数据 稀疏性
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Strategies for early detection of resectable pancreatic cancer 被引量:6
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作者 Keiichi Okanoi Yasuyuki Suzuki 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2014年第32期11230-11240,共11页
Pancreatic cancer is difficult to diagnose at an early stage and generally has a poor prognosis. Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for pancreatic carcinoma. To improve the prognosis of this... Pancreatic cancer is difficult to diagnose at an early stage and generally has a poor prognosis. Surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for pancreatic carcinoma. To improve the prognosis of this disease, it is essential to detect tumors at early stages, when they are resectable. The optimal approach to screening for early pancreatic neoplasia has not been established. The International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening Consortium has recently finalized several recommendations regarding the management of patients who are at an increased risk of familial pancreatic cancer. In addition, there have been notable advances in research on serum markers, tissue markers, gene signatures, and genomic targets of pancreatic cancer. To date, however, no biomarkers have been established in the clinical setting. Advancements in imaging modalities touch all aspects of the clinical management of pancreatic diseases, including the early detection of pancreatic masses, their characterization, and evaluations of tumor resectability. This article reviews strategies for screening high-risk groups, biomarkers, and current advances in imaging modalities for the early detection of resectable pancreatic cancer. 展开更多
关键词 Early detection Resectable Pancreatic cancer screening high-risk group BIOMARKER IMAGING
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数学建模在会议筹备工作中的应用 被引量:2
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作者 尹川 刘润 +2 位作者 白云强 郭东星 李建平 《太原师范学院学报(自然科学版)》 2012年第4期78-81,共4页
为举行一个大型会议,根据某地宾馆、会议室、车辆等条件,确定会议筹备的方案.以2009年全国大学生"高教社杯"数学建模竞赛D题为例建立数学模型,得到一个预定宾馆客房、租借会议室、租用客车的合理方案.数学建模方法可以有效解... 为举行一个大型会议,根据某地宾馆、会议室、车辆等条件,确定会议筹备的方案.以2009年全国大学生"高教社杯"数学建模竞赛D题为例建立数学模型,得到一个预定宾馆客房、租借会议室、租用客车的合理方案.数学建模方法可以有效解决会议筹备问题,也可推广到其他领域的应用. 展开更多
关键词 会议筹备 数学建模 组合 筛选 聚集度
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结直肠息肉高危人群早期筛查评分模型的建立 被引量:9
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作者 吕莹莹 朱炳喜 《医学研究杂志》 2019年第8期132-136,共5页
目的研究血清血脂指标、血糖指标及一般病史(性别、年龄、身高、体重、高血压病史、糖尿病史、胃息肉、脂肪肝、吸烟史、饮酒史)与结直肠息肉发病的相关关系,并建立结直肠息肉高危人群早期筛查评分模型。方法回顾性分析2017年1月~2018年... 目的研究血清血脂指标、血糖指标及一般病史(性别、年龄、身高、体重、高血压病史、糖尿病史、胃息肉、脂肪肝、吸烟史、饮酒史)与结直肠息肉发病的相关关系,并建立结直肠息肉高危人群早期筛查评分模型。方法回顾性分析2017年1月~2018年5月就诊于徐州医科大学附属医院消化内科的592例患者的临床资料(其中有息肉者为实验组,共306例,无息肉者为对照组,共286例),包括血清血脂指标、血糖指标及一般病史资料,并对各因素进行统计学分析,确定差异有统计学意义的危险因素,进行二元Logistic回归分析,进而得出相应自变量的回归系数,由此建立早期筛查评分模型。结果通过研究确定年龄>50岁,糖尿病史、吸烟史、肥胖、高胆固醇水平、高甘油三酯水平与结直肠息肉的发病相关,并建立评分模型,根据两组各受试者评分绘制ROC曲线,曲线下面积(AUG)为0.731(标准误0.02,渐进显著性P=0.000,置信区间0.691~0.771)。结论本研究得出结直肠息肉的独立危险因素包括:年龄>50岁、糖尿病史、吸烟史、肥胖、高胆固醇水平及高甘油三酯水平,并由此建立的结直肠息肉高危人群早期筛查评分模型对结直肠息肉高危人群的早期筛查具有一定效果。 展开更多
关键词 结直肠息肉 高危人群 筛查 评分模型
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增城市免费孕期出生缺陷群体干预模式的建立与成效 被引量:2
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作者 黄丽娟 兰斓 +1 位作者 江帆 黄贵甜 《中国当代医药》 2012年第24期165-169,共5页
目的探讨增城市免费孕期出生缺陷群体干预模式的建立与成效。方法选取增城市2009年4月~2011年4月户籍计划内妊娠夫妇,进行孕中期葡萄糖-6-磷酸脱氢酶(G-6-PD)缺乏症、地中海贫血、唐氏综合征和胎儿体表、骨骼和内脏畸形免费筛查干预工... 目的探讨增城市免费孕期出生缺陷群体干预模式的建立与成效。方法选取增城市2009年4月~2011年4月户籍计划内妊娠夫妇,进行孕中期葡萄糖-6-磷酸脱氢酶(G-6-PD)缺乏症、地中海贫血、唐氏综合征和胎儿体表、骨骼和内脏畸形免费筛查干预工作。结果免费筛查率达61%,共免费干预了61例重大缺陷胎儿。G-6-PD筛查阳性率为11.47%;确诊α地中海贫血1622例,确诊β地中海贫血624例;行孕中期唐氏综合征筛查5726例孕妇,共筛查出高风险孕妇205例;行孕中期B超排畸筛查7612例,发现和确诊胎儿体表、骨骼或内脏畸形缺陷。结论免费孕期出生缺陷群体干预模式的建立降低了围生儿出生缺陷率,提高了人口素质。 展开更多
关键词 孕期出生缺陷群体干预模式 建立 成效 筛查
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银行个人客户流失预警模型的研究与应用 被引量:1
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作者 刘训艳 杨晓彦 +3 位作者 李梦霄 陆雨欣 曹婉茹 牟槿 《信息技术与标准化》 2021年第6期30-34,共5页
针对商业银行传统金融业务正面临客户流失等巨大挑战,通过对商业银行理财/定存客户的特征分析,进行特征清洗、特征衍生和特征筛选,阐述应用梯度提升决策树(GBDT)建立客户流失预警模型的方法,划分训练集、测试集和验证集进行模型有效性... 针对商业银行传统金融业务正面临客户流失等巨大挑战,通过对商业银行理财/定存客户的特征分析,进行特征清洗、特征衍生和特征筛选,阐述应用梯度提升决策树(GBDT)建立客户流失预警模型的方法,划分训练集、测试集和验证集进行模型有效性验证。通过模型ABtest分析挽留客群筛选策略和营销策略,降低客户的流失金额。 展开更多
关键词 GBDT 客户流失 预测模型 客群筛选 营销策略
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金华地区妊娠期糖尿病高危人群筛选模型建立及针对性干预效果评价
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作者 牛艳昕 王楠 +2 位作者 王建芳 郑雪君 徐秋莲 《中国妇幼保健》 CAS 2024年第19期3781-3786,共6页
目的 分析金华地区妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)的危险因素,建立高危人群筛选模型,并评估模型的预测效能。方法 收集金华地区4家医院2022年1—6月建卡并定期产检的孕妇的临床资料及口服葡萄糖耐量试验(OGTT)检查结果,采用单因素及多因素logistic分... 目的 分析金华地区妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)的危险因素,建立高危人群筛选模型,并评估模型的预测效能。方法 收集金华地区4家医院2022年1—6月建卡并定期产检的孕妇的临床资料及口服葡萄糖耐量试验(OGTT)检查结果,采用单因素及多因素logistic分析GDM的危险因素,建立高危人群筛选模型,采用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)对模型预测效能进行评估。根据建立的GDM高危人群筛选模型将入选孕妇分为A组(GDM高危孕妇,自愿接受针对性健康管理干预,28例)、B组(GDM高危孕妇,未接受针对性健康管理干预,28例)和C组(正常孕妇,未接受针对性健康管理干预,304例),前瞻性分析针对性健康管理干预对GDM高危人群的效果。结果 单因素分析显示,孕前体质量指数(BMI)、产次、胎次、流产史、既往GDM史、糖尿病家族史、多囊卵巢综合征、生殖道炎症、早期建卡空腹血糖、OGTT三项指标异常、孕期体力活动及失眠均为孕妇发生GDM的影响因素,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05);年龄、巨大儿史、死胎史、早产史、初潮年龄、月经周期、高血压家族史、产前被动吸烟及饮酒情况比较,差异均无统计学意义(均P>0.05),非孕妇发生GDM的影响因素;logistic回归分析结果显示,孕前BMI、产次、胎次、流产史、既往GDM史、糖尿病家族史、多囊卵巢综合征、生殖道炎症、早期建卡空腹血糖、OGTT三项指标异常、孕期体力活动及失眠是影响孕妇发生GDM的独立危险因素(P<0.05);ROC曲线检验结果显示,95%CI(0.932~0.996),P<0.05,ROC曲线下面积为0.784,灵敏度为0.76,特异度为0.64;干预3个月后,A、B组GDM发生例数分别为10例(35.71%)、15例(53.57%),差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);干预期间,A组的空腹血糖、孕晚期体质量增加、TG、SBP、DBP均低于B组,差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05),两组TC水平比较,差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);妊娠结局和新生儿情况结果显示,A组剖宫产率、早产率均低于B组(均P<0.05);两组发生胎膜早破、产后出血、新生儿黄疸、巨大儿情况比较,差异均无统计学意义(均P>0.05)。结论 孕前BMI、产次、胎次、流产史、既往妊娠期糖尿病史、糖尿病家族史、多囊卵巢综合征、生殖道炎症、早期建卡空腹血糖、OGTT三项指标异常、孕期体力活动及失眠均为影响孕妇发生GDM的独立危险因素,以此建立的高危人群筛选模型预测效能佳。患者应用针对性干预有助于改善GDM孕妇的妊娠结局及新生儿情况,降低GDM发病率。 展开更多
关键词 妊娠期糖尿病 高危人群筛选模型 针对性干预
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