Risk analysis and assessment relating coastal structures has been one of the hot topics in the area of coastal protection recently. In this paper, from three aspects of joint return period of multiple loads, dike fail...Risk analysis and assessment relating coastal structures has been one of the hot topics in the area of coastal protection recently. In this paper, from three aspects of joint return period of multiple loads, dike failure rate and dike continuous risk prevention respectively, three new risk analysis methods concerning overtopping of sea dikes are developed. It is worth noting that the factors of storm surge which leads to overtopping are also considered in the three methods. In order to verify and estimate the effectiveness and reliability of the newly developed methods, quantified mutual information is adopted. By means of case testing, it can be found that different prior variables might be selected dividedly, according to the requirement of special engineering application or the dominance of loads. Based on the selection of prior variables, the correlating risk analysis method can be successfully applied to practical engineering.展开更多
In this study,an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province,South China was developed based on a coupled storm-surge and wave model.This forecasting system is important because o...In this study,an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province,South China was developed based on a coupled storm-surge and wave model.This forecasting system is important because of the high cost of storm-surge damage and the need for rapid emergency planning.A comparison with astronomical tides in 2016 and the validation of storm surges and high water marks of 20 typhoons verified that the forecast system has a good simulation ability.The system can forecast relatively realistic water levels and wave heights as shown under the parametric atmospheric forces simulated in a case study;the sea dikes in credible high risk were mainly located in the estuaries,rivers,and around the islands in the southern Zhejiang.Therefore,the forecast system is applicable in the southern Zhejiang with a support to the effective prevention from typhoon storm-surge damage.展开更多
In the context of global climate change,the impact of group-occurring ocean dynamic disasters on China's offshore areas is becoming more and more intense.The study of the effect of existing ocean dynamic disasters...In the context of global climate change,the impact of group-occurring ocean dynamic disasters on China's offshore areas is becoming more and more intense.The study of the effect of existing ocean dynamic disasters on offshore hazard-bearing bodies mostly focuses on the effect of single disaster-causing factors,and it is still insufficient to study storm surge and dynamic wave coupling&reinforcement effects as well as the process of the dynamic response of such hazard-bearing bodies as seawalls.This study firstly realized the synchronous process of water level and wave through continuous tide generation and wave generation by the wave maker and tide generating device,so as to realize the dynamic coupling simulation of storm surge and wave in the laboratory.Then the physical model test of the typical seawall section was carried out under the dynamic coupling of storm surge and wave as well as at a conventional fixed water level respectively.In the process of test wave overtopping discharge and the damage process of the levee crown and backwall of seawalls were observed and compared,and their damage mechanism was also studied.展开更多
用国家堤防设计规范和欧美最广泛认可的van der Meer提出的斜坡复式海堤波浪爬高计算方法,对一系列工程实例计算对比之后,分析了有关影响因素,提出了对后者的修改和使用意见;对用van der Meer法计算的越浪量,与有关实验结果作定性对比分...用国家堤防设计规范和欧美最广泛认可的van der Meer提出的斜坡复式海堤波浪爬高计算方法,对一系列工程实例计算对比之后,分析了有关影响因素,提出了对后者的修改和使用意见;对用van der Meer法计算的越浪量,与有关实验结果作定性对比分析,提出斜坡复式海堤越浪量计算中存在的问题和对有关公式的修改建议。相关分析表明,从海堤越浪安全和工程建设的角度看,现行规范规定的允许越浪或不允许越浪设计准则不够科学,应根据结构防护和功能要求直接以控制越浪量为设计准则。展开更多
基金supported by Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(Grant No.201362030)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41106077 and 51379195)+3 种基金Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.R5110036)Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.ZR2013EEM034)Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting(Grant No.LOMF1101)SRF for ROCS,SEM
文摘Risk analysis and assessment relating coastal structures has been one of the hot topics in the area of coastal protection recently. In this paper, from three aspects of joint return period of multiple loads, dike failure rate and dike continuous risk prevention respectively, three new risk analysis methods concerning overtopping of sea dikes are developed. It is worth noting that the factors of storm surge which leads to overtopping are also considered in the three methods. In order to verify and estimate the effectiveness and reliability of the newly developed methods, quantified mutual information is adopted. By means of case testing, it can be found that different prior variables might be selected dividedly, according to the requirement of special engineering application or the dominance of loads. Based on the selection of prior variables, the correlating risk analysis method can be successfully applied to practical engineering.
基金Supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2016YFC1402000)
文摘In this study,an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province,South China was developed based on a coupled storm-surge and wave model.This forecasting system is important because of the high cost of storm-surge damage and the need for rapid emergency planning.A comparison with astronomical tides in 2016 and the validation of storm surges and high water marks of 20 typhoons verified that the forecast system has a good simulation ability.The system can forecast relatively realistic water levels and wave heights as shown under the parametric atmospheric forces simulated in a case study;the sea dikes in credible high risk were mainly located in the estuaries,rivers,and around the islands in the southern Zhejiang.Therefore,the forecast system is applicable in the southern Zhejiang with a support to the effective prevention from typhoon storm-surge damage.
基金Supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2016YFC1402002)the Fifteenth Session Program between China and Bulgaria Scientific and Technological Cooperation Committee(No.15-13)the Major Project of Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute Funds(Nos.Y218005,Y218006)
文摘In the context of global climate change,the impact of group-occurring ocean dynamic disasters on China's offshore areas is becoming more and more intense.The study of the effect of existing ocean dynamic disasters on offshore hazard-bearing bodies mostly focuses on the effect of single disaster-causing factors,and it is still insufficient to study storm surge and dynamic wave coupling&reinforcement effects as well as the process of the dynamic response of such hazard-bearing bodies as seawalls.This study firstly realized the synchronous process of water level and wave through continuous tide generation and wave generation by the wave maker and tide generating device,so as to realize the dynamic coupling simulation of storm surge and wave in the laboratory.Then the physical model test of the typical seawall section was carried out under the dynamic coupling of storm surge and wave as well as at a conventional fixed water level respectively.In the process of test wave overtopping discharge and the damage process of the levee crown and backwall of seawalls were observed and compared,and their damage mechanism was also studied.
文摘用国家堤防设计规范和欧美最广泛认可的van der Meer提出的斜坡复式海堤波浪爬高计算方法,对一系列工程实例计算对比之后,分析了有关影响因素,提出了对后者的修改和使用意见;对用van der Meer法计算的越浪量,与有关实验结果作定性对比分析,提出斜坡复式海堤越浪量计算中存在的问题和对有关公式的修改建议。相关分析表明,从海堤越浪安全和工程建设的角度看,现行规范规定的允许越浪或不允许越浪设计准则不够科学,应根据结构防护和功能要求直接以控制越浪量为设计准则。
