In this paper, we propose a non-cooperative differential game theory based resource allocation approach for the network security risk assessment. For the risk assessment, the resource will be used for risk assess, inc...In this paper, we propose a non-cooperative differential game theory based resource allocation approach for the network security risk assessment. For the risk assessment, the resource will be used for risk assess, including response cost and response negative cost. The whole assessment process is considered as a differential game for optimal resource control. The proposed scheme can be obtained through the Nash Equilibrium. It is proved that the game theory based algorithm is applicable and the optimal resource level can be achieved based on the proposed algorithm.展开更多
In order to protect the website and assess the security risk of website, a novel website security risk assessment method is proposed based on the improved Bayesian attack graph(I-BAG) model. First, the Improved Bayesi...In order to protect the website and assess the security risk of website, a novel website security risk assessment method is proposed based on the improved Bayesian attack graph(I-BAG) model. First, the Improved Bayesian attack graph model is established, which takes attack benefits and threat factors into consideration. Compared with the existing attack graph models, it can better describe the website's security risk. Then, the improved Bayesian attack graph is constructed with optimized website attack graph, attack benefit nodes, threat factor nodes and the local conditional probability distribution of each node, which is calculated accordingly. Finally, website's attack probability and risk value are calculated on the level of nodes, hosts and the whole website separately. The experimental results demonstrate that the risk evaluating method based on I-BAG model proposed is a effective way for assessing the website security risk.展开更多
With the exponential increase in information security risks,ensuring the safety of aircraft heavily relies on the accurate performance of risk assessment.However,experts possess a limited understanding of fundamental ...With the exponential increase in information security risks,ensuring the safety of aircraft heavily relies on the accurate performance of risk assessment.However,experts possess a limited understanding of fundamental security elements,such as assets,threats,and vulnerabilities,due to the confidentiality of airborne networks,resulting in cognitive uncertainty.Therefore,the Pythagorean fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)is proposed to address the expert cognitive uncertainty during information security risk assessment for airborne networks.First,Pythagorean fuzzy AHP is employed to construct an index system and quantify the pairwise comparison matrix for determining the index weights,which is used to solve the expert cognitive uncertainty in the process of evaluating the index system weight of airborne networks.Second,Pythagorean fuzzy the TOPSIS to an Ideal Solution is utilized to assess the risk prioritization of airborne networks using the Pythagorean fuzzy weighted distance measure,which is used to address the cognitive uncertainty in the evaluation process of various indicators in airborne network threat scenarios.Finally,a comparative analysis was conducted.The proposed method demonstrated the highest Kendall coordination coefficient of 0.952.This finding indicates superior consistency and confirms the efficacy of the method in addressing expert cognition during information security risk assessment for airborne networks.展开更多
The information society depends increasingly on risk assessment and management systems as means to adequately protect its key information assets.The availability of these systems is now vital for the protection and ev...The information society depends increasingly on risk assessment and management systems as means to adequately protect its key information assets.The availability of these systems is now vital for the protection and evolution of companies.However,several factors have led to an increasing need for more accurate risk analysis approaches.These are:the speed at which technologies evolve,their global impact and the growing requirement for companies to collaborate.Risk analysis processes must consequently adapt to these new circumstances and new technological paradigms.The objective of this paper is,therefore,to present the results of an exhaustive analysis of the techniques and methods offered by the scientific community with the aim of identifying their main weaknesses and providing a new risk assessment and management process.This analysis was carried out using the systematic review protocol and found that these proposals do not fully meet these new needs.The paper also presents a summary of MARISMA,the risk analysis and management framework designed by our research group.The basis of our framework is the main existing risk standards and proposals,and it seeks to address the weaknesses found in these proposals.MARISMA is in a process of continuous improvement,as is being applied by customers in several European and American countries.It consists of a risk data management module,a methodology for its systematic application and a tool that automates the process.展开更多
Aiming at the issues of privacy security in Internet of Things (IoT) applications, we propose an effective risk assessment model to handle probabilistic causality of evaluation factors and derive weights of influenc...Aiming at the issues of privacy security in Internet of Things (IoT) applications, we propose an effective risk assessment model to handle probabilistic causality of evaluation factors and derive weights of influence-relation of propagation paths. The model undertakes probabilistic inference and generates values of risk probability for assets and propagation paths by using Bayesian causal relation-network and prior probability. According to Bayes- ian network (BN) structure, the risk analysts can easily find out relevant risk propagation paths and calculate weight values of each path by using decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL). This model is applied to determine the risk level of assets and each risk propagation path as well as implement countermeasure of recommendation in accordance with evaluation results. The simulation analysis shows that this model efficiently revises recommendation of countermeasures for decision-makers and mitigates risk to an acceptable range, in addition, it provides the theoretical basis for decision-making of privacy security risk assessment (PSRA) for further development in lot area.展开更多
基金supported by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(No.2015M570936)National Science Foundation Project of P.R.China(No.61501026,61272506)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.FRF-TP-15032A1)
文摘In this paper, we propose a non-cooperative differential game theory based resource allocation approach for the network security risk assessment. For the risk assessment, the resource will be used for risk assess, including response cost and response negative cost. The whole assessment process is considered as a differential game for optimal resource control. The proposed scheme can be obtained through the Nash Equilibrium. It is proved that the game theory based algorithm is applicable and the optimal resource level can be achieved based on the proposed algorithm.
基金supported by the project of the State Key Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 90818021)supported by a grant from the national high technology research and development program of China (863program) (No.2012AA012903)
文摘In order to protect the website and assess the security risk of website, a novel website security risk assessment method is proposed based on the improved Bayesian attack graph(I-BAG) model. First, the Improved Bayesian attack graph model is established, which takes attack benefits and threat factors into consideration. Compared with the existing attack graph models, it can better describe the website's security risk. Then, the improved Bayesian attack graph is constructed with optimized website attack graph, attack benefit nodes, threat factor nodes and the local conditional probability distribution of each node, which is calculated accordingly. Finally, website's attack probability and risk value are calculated on the level of nodes, hosts and the whole website separately. The experimental results demonstrate that the risk evaluating method based on I-BAG model proposed is a effective way for assessing the website security risk.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of CAUC(3122022076)National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(U2133203).
文摘With the exponential increase in information security risks,ensuring the safety of aircraft heavily relies on the accurate performance of risk assessment.However,experts possess a limited understanding of fundamental security elements,such as assets,threats,and vulnerabilities,due to the confidentiality of airborne networks,resulting in cognitive uncertainty.Therefore,the Pythagorean fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)is proposed to address the expert cognitive uncertainty during information security risk assessment for airborne networks.First,Pythagorean fuzzy AHP is employed to construct an index system and quantify the pairwise comparison matrix for determining the index weights,which is used to solve the expert cognitive uncertainty in the process of evaluating the index system weight of airborne networks.Second,Pythagorean fuzzy the TOPSIS to an Ideal Solution is utilized to assess the risk prioritization of airborne networks using the Pythagorean fuzzy weighted distance measure,which is used to address the cognitive uncertainty in the evaluation process of various indicators in airborne network threat scenarios.Finally,a comparative analysis was conducted.The proposed method demonstrated the highest Kendall coordination coefficient of 0.952.This finding indicates superior consistency and confirms the efficacy of the method in addressing expert cognition during information security risk assessment for airborne networks.
基金the AETHERUCLM(PID2020-112540RB-C42)funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033,SpainALBA-UCLM(TED2021-130355B-C31,id.4809130355-130355-28-521)+1 种基金ALBA-UC(TED2021-130355B-C33,id.3611130630-130630-28-521)funded by the“Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion”,Spainsupported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Project“CyberSANE”under Grant Agreement No.833683.
文摘The information society depends increasingly on risk assessment and management systems as means to adequately protect its key information assets.The availability of these systems is now vital for the protection and evolution of companies.However,several factors have led to an increasing need for more accurate risk analysis approaches.These are:the speed at which technologies evolve,their global impact and the growing requirement for companies to collaborate.Risk analysis processes must consequently adapt to these new circumstances and new technological paradigms.The objective of this paper is,therefore,to present the results of an exhaustive analysis of the techniques and methods offered by the scientific community with the aim of identifying their main weaknesses and providing a new risk assessment and management process.This analysis was carried out using the systematic review protocol and found that these proposals do not fully meet these new needs.The paper also presents a summary of MARISMA,the risk analysis and management framework designed by our research group.The basis of our framework is the main existing risk standards and proposals,and it seeks to address the weaknesses found in these proposals.MARISMA is in a process of continuous improvement,as is being applied by customers in several European and American countries.It consists of a risk data management module,a methodology for its systematic application and a tool that automates the process.
基金Supported by the National Key Technology Research and Development Program in the 12th Five year Plan of China(2012BAH08B02)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61272513)the Project of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education in China(10YJC630385)
文摘Aiming at the issues of privacy security in Internet of Things (IoT) applications, we propose an effective risk assessment model to handle probabilistic causality of evaluation factors and derive weights of influence-relation of propagation paths. The model undertakes probabilistic inference and generates values of risk probability for assets and propagation paths by using Bayesian causal relation-network and prior probability. According to Bayes- ian network (BN) structure, the risk analysts can easily find out relevant risk propagation paths and calculate weight values of each path by using decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL). This model is applied to determine the risk level of assets and each risk propagation path as well as implement countermeasure of recommendation in accordance with evaluation results. The simulation analysis shows that this model efficiently revises recommendation of countermeasures for decision-makers and mitigates risk to an acceptable range, in addition, it provides the theoretical basis for decision-making of privacy security risk assessment (PSRA) for further development in lot area.